Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ:HNRG) Accelerates Gas Transition; WMDST Anticipates Near-Term Valuation Upside

Hallador shifts toward natural‑gas generation while coal operations provide steady cash flow; combined signals point to early bullish technical momentum against long‑term resistance. WMDST values the stock as under‑valued based on free cash flow and balance‑sheet liquidity.

Recent News

On June 1, 2026 the company announced acquisition of 460 MW of Siemens turbines for $350 million to accelerate its Merom/Turtle Creek gas generation project. On June 5, 2026 a subsidiary entered negotiations with the U.S. Department of Energy for up to $27.2 million in potential funding for a water‑management modernization project at Merom. On July 27, 2026 Hallador scheduled its second‑quarter 2026 conference call for August 10; on August 10 the company filed its Q2 2026 release and emphasized progress on the Turtle Creek project and a reduced project budget below $800 million while noting continued equipment procurement and interconnection work.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 11.12 indicates no established directional trend; the market currently lacks strong trend strength, which raises the importance of confirmation from volume and momentum indicators.

Directional indicators show DI+ at 17.67 with a peak‑and‑reversal, a bearish signal, while DI‑ at 19.56 is decreasing, a bullish signal; together these point to weakening directional engagement and a contested short‑term bias rather than a confirmed trend.

MACD sits at -0.08 and has crossed above its signal line (-0.28), producing a bullish momentum signal despite a negative MACD level; that cross signals improving short‑term momentum that can support a recovery attempt if confirmed by volume.

MRO at -7.7 with a dip‑and‑reversal indicates the price sits below WMDST’s target and carries implied upside potential as the oscillator reverses upward from negative territory.

RSI near 47.2 and rising places price in neutral territory with room to move higher; the increasing RSI supports the recent MACD cross as evidence of early bullish momentum rather than exhaustion.

Price trades above the 12‑ and 26‑day EMAs (~$15.72–$15.74) and above the 20‑ and 50‑day averages (~$15.42 and $16.20), but remains below the 200‑day average ($18.04). Short‑term moving averages support an intramonth recovery while the 200‑day average stands as longer‑term resistance.

Bollinger bands place the close ($16.38) slightly above the 1× upper band ($16.16) and below the 2× upper band ($16.89), indicating short‑term strength but limited headroom before volatility‑driven resistance. Volume on the most recent session (615,609) runs below the 10‑day average (884,170) and 50/200‑day averages, suggesting lower conviction behind the recent move.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $101,807,000; top‑line growth reads near flat at -0.13% overall, with reported quarter‑over‑quarter change of -99.56% and year‑over‑year change of -100.54% per the provided metrics. Gross profit reached $42,825,000, leaving a gross margin of 42.07%.

Operating and EBIT results remain negative: operating income around -$5,852,000 and EBIT at -$6,129,000, producing an EBIT margin of -6.02%. QoQ the EBIT margin contracted by -209.06% and YoY by -153.70%. The EBIT margin sits well below the industry peer mean (≈27.28%) and median (≈16.04%).

Net income showed a loss of -$9,321,000; EPS came in at -$0.32 versus an estimate of -$0.10, an EPS surprise of -220%. EBITDA remained positive at $4,564,000, supporting operating cash generation despite the net loss.

Operating cash flow totaled $20,496,000, free cash flow $12,815,000, and free cash flow yield about 1.60%, roughly in line with the industry peer mean of 1.52% for this metric. Cash and short‑term investments stood at $36,778,000 against total debt of $6,206,000, producing a low gross leverage profile and debt to EBITDA near 1.36×.

Liquidity ratios show a current ratio of 0.80 and a quick ratio of 0.29, reflecting working‑capital pressure; the cash conversion cycle extended to about 168 days, markedly longer than the industry peer mean (≈ -20.75 days), signaling slower cash conversion from operations relative to peers.

Margins and returns remained subdued: operating margin ≈ -5.75%, return on assets ≈ -2.18%, and return on equity ≈ -4.53%. Capital expenditure outflow totaled -$7,681,000 and depreciation and amortization ran $10,693,000, reflecting ongoing asset investments tied to both mining operations and power‑project development.

Balance‑sheet and valuation context: market capitalization near $802.0 million with enterprise value about $771.5 million; enterprise multiple registers at 169.0 (per the provided metric), and forward PE around 61.7x on forward EPS of $0.196. WMDST values the stock as under‑valued, citing positive free cash flow, a low debt load, and substantial cash reserves to fund the Merom/Turtle Creek capital program while preserving operating liquidity.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-10
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-09
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 15.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 20.5 M
 Capital Expenditures -7.68 M
 Change In Working Capital 51.4 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 28.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 43.4 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 101.8 M
 Forward Revenue -25.20 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 59.0 M
 Depreciation 10.7 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 10.7 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 107.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 42.8 M
 EBITDA 4.6 M
 EBIT -6.13 M
 Operating Income -5.85 M
 Interest Income 147.0 K
 Interest Expense 3.7 M
 Net Interest Income -3.82 M
 Income Before Tax -9.82 M
 Tax Provision -504.00 K
 Tax Rate 5.13 %
 Net Income -9.32 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -9.32 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.10
 EPS Actual -0.32
 EPS Difference -0.22
 EPS Surprise -220.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.20
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 448.6 M
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 205.6 M
 Total Current Assets 151.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 36.8 M
 Cash 36.8 M
 Net Receivables 9.2 M
 Inventory 95.1 M
 Long-Term Investments 7.9 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 19.8 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 190.0 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 6.2 M
 Total Liabilities 243.1 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 205.6 M
 Retained Earnings -52.89 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 4.36
 Shares Outstanding 47.132 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.16
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 802.0 M
 Enterprise Value 771.5 M
 Enterprise Multiple 169.03
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 233.564 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 723.525 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 186.596
HNRG: 169.03
median: 30.147
mean: 28.232
low: -234.841
 EV/R 7.578
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.182
 Asset To Liability 1.846
 Debt To Capital 0.029
 Debt To Assets 0.014
Debt To Assets QoQ -85.314 %
Debt To Assets YoY -85.514 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.831
median: 0.48
mean: 0.391
HNRG: 0.014
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 0.03
Debt To Equity QoQ -87.443 %
Debt To Equity YoY -90.037 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.348
median: 1.505
mean: 1.225
HNRG: 0.03
low: -2.33
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.901
Price To Book QoQ -25.997 %
Price To Book YoY -18.235 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 10.555
HNRG: 3.901
median: 2.064
mean: 2.033
low: -1.858
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -89.561
Price To Earnings QoQ -95.343 %
Price To Earnings YoY -267.847 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 202.32
mean: 54.515
median: 53.619
low: -49.343
HNRG: -89.561
 PE/G Ratio 0.045
 Price To Sales (P/S) 7.878
Price To Sales QoQ -4.691 %
Price To Sales YoY 68.596 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 77.712
mean: 8.618
HNRG: 7.878
median: 7.479
low: 0.049
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 61.706
Forward PE/G -0.031
Forward P/S -20.816
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1554.618
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.238
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.699 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -25.82 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.282
HNRG: 0.238
mean: 0.112
median: 0.1
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 8.799
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 67.235 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 4.657 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA HNRG: 8.799
high: 7.021
mean: 2.602
median: 2.552
low: 0.51
 Inventory Turnover 0.643
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 17.863 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -2.952 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 28.671
mean: 7.05
median: 5.705
HNRG: 0.643
low: 0.137
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 10.371
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 167.859
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 77.568 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 9.056 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA HNRG: 167.859
high: 141.82
median: -19.358
mean: -20.745
low: -84.281
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -2.614
 CapEx To Revenue -0.075
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.718
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 205.6 M
 Net Invested Capital 205.6 M
 Invested Capital 205.6 M
 Net Tangible Assets 205.6 M
 Net Working Capital -38.94 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.194
 Current Ratio 0.795
Current Ratio QoQ -1.666 %
Current Ratio YoY 31.496 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 11.719
mean: 1.201
median: 0.809
HNRG: 0.795
low: 0.019
 Quick Ratio 0.295
Quick Ratio QoQ 28.585 %
Quick Ratio YoY 70.656 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 5.084
mean: 1.066
median: 0.73
HNRG: 0.295
low: 0.061
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 1.36
 Cost Of Debt 15.712 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -1.658
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -218.882 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -140.512 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 39.712
mean: 8.939
median: 3.229
HNRG: -1.658
low: -29.033
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.036
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 33.797
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 9.945 %
 Revenue Growth -0.134 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -99.562 %
Revenue Growth YoY -100.536 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 72.732 %
median: 18.709 %
mean: 17.848 %
HNRG: -0.134 %
low: -77.547 %
 Earnings Growth -2000.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 1864.289 %
Earnings Growth YoY 669.231 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 350.0 %
mean: 25.314 %
median: 13.235 %
low: -145.0 %
HNRG: -2000.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 42.065 %
Gross Margin QoQ -26.304 %
Gross Margin YoY -26.431 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 83.151 %
median: 44.112 %
HNRG: 42.065 %
mean: 41.021 %
low: -5.303 %
 EBIT Margin -6.02 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -209.058 %
EBIT Margin YoY -153.697 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 91.389 %
mean: 27.278 %
median: 16.044 %
HNRG: -6.02 %
low: -130.769 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -5.748 %
Return On Sales QoQ -195.912 %
Return On Sales YoY -151.271 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 91.389 %
median: 29.66 %
mean: 29.496 %
HNRG: -5.748 %
low: -40.585 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 12.8 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.598 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -180.221 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -67.092 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 9.921 %
median: 1.885 %
HNRG: 1.598 %
mean: 1.521 %
low: -16.26 %
 Free Cash Growth -176.362 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -68.459 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -2988.339 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 415.69 %
median: -21.618 %
mean: -88.464 %
HNRG: -176.362 %
low: -749.778 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -1.375
 Cash Flow Margin 6.644 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -0.726
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -2.176 %
Return On Assets QoQ 3588.136 %
Return On Assets YoY -180.147 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 13.756 %
mean: 1.441 %
median: 0.869 %
HNRG: -2.176 %
low: -13.451 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -2.37 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.045
Return On Equity QoQ 2922.667 %
Return On Equity YoY -152.41 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.237
median: 0.036
mean: 0.035
HNRG: -0.045
low: -0.293
 DuPont ROE -5.102 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -2.828 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -220.546 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 10.952 %
mean: 2.517 %
median: 2.075 %
HNRG: -2.828 %
low: -19.571 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect choppy price action with a bias toward testing the short‑term upside set by recent EMA support. Early momentum signals (MACD cross, increasing RSI and a negative MRO reversal) favor a modest recovery attempt, but ADX below 20 and below‑average volume argue against a sustained breakout without renewed buying interest. Near‑term catalysts that could validate the recovery include continued project‑execution updates on Turtle Creek, DOE award progress, or stronger trading volume. Watch the $18 area defined by the 200‑day average and project commentary as the primary barrier to a broader trend resumption; conversely, lack of volume confirmation could keep price range‑bound near recent averages.

About Hallador Energy Company

Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ:HNRG) develops and produces steam coal, primarily for electric power generation. Based in Terre Haute, Indiana, Hallador operates key mining facilities including Oaktown Mines 1 and 2, Freelandville Center Pit, and Prosperity Surface mine. These strategically located sites enable efficient service to the Midwest’s energy needs. Beyond coal production, Hallador diversifies its energy offerings through gas exploration activities. The company also manages a logistics transport facility to ensure reliable delivery of energy resources. Established in 1949, Hallador Energy Company has a longstanding presence in the energy sector, adapting to market changes while emphasizing responsible resource management. As the energy industry evolves, Hallador pursues innovative solutions to meet the demand for sustainable energy, maintaining its role as a dependable partner for electric power generation.



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