Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (NYSE:SQM) Projected Range-Bound Action With Pressure To Revert Toward Support

SQM’s fundamental strength in margins and cash liquidity contrasts with short-term technical signals that favor a contained, oscillating price path; valuation sits at fair value per WMDST. Near-term price bias depends on whether recent bullish momentum sustains through resistance near the 50-day average.

Recent News

On July 21, 2026 SQM and Wesfarmers announced a final investment decision for the Mt Holland lithium expansion project. On July 5–6, 2026 the company provided investor updates emphasizing a strategy focused on lithium and specialty fertilizers amid shifting global demand. On May 26, 2026 the company disclosed changes to its board of directors.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 21.67 indicates an emerging trend strength rather than a fully established directional move; that emerging strength supports a near-term directional bias but does not imply momentum exhaustion.

DI+ equals 21.07 and trends higher while DI- equals 24.40 and trends lower; the combination points to a bullish shift in directional intent as DI+ increases and DI- decreases.

MACD sits at -0.80 and the signal line at -1.61, with the MACD rising and having crossed above its signal line — a bullish momentum inflection despite MACD remaining below zero.

MRO reads 17.94 and trends upward; the positive MRO indicates the current price sits above the model target and therefore carries reversionary pressure that could favor a pullback if momentum stalls.

RSI at 44.49 and rising signals building buying interest from below the mid-point but not yet overbought; allow for range expansion toward recent resistance if momentum accelerates.

Short-term averages show constructive bias: the 12-day EMA at 70.51 and the 26-day EMA at 71.05 both sit below the last close of $72.22 and trend higher, while the 50-day ($73.55) and 200-day ($73.00) averages remain above price—this sets a short-term bullish tilt inside a broader neutral-to-slightly-bearish medium-term structure.

Ichimoku components place price beneath the cloud (Senkou A 77.54, Senkou B 82.76), indicating the medium-term baseline still offers resistance to sustained upside.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $1,760,000,000 with gross profit of $778,600,000; WMDST notes the company converted strong margins into operating profit with EBIT of $740,500,000 and EBITDA equal to $740,500,000. Gross margin at 44.24% and operating margin at 41.46% reflect outsized profitability relative to the industry peer mean operating margin of 14.66% and peer high of 57.96%—SQM’s margins sit above the industry peer high for EBIT margin and well above the industry peer mean.

Net income reached $364,700,000; EPS actual stood at $1.28 versus an estimate of $1.56, producing an EPS surprise of -17.95%.

Revenue growth registers 32.94% on the reported series, while reported year-over-year revenue change shows -10.53% (YoY); sequential growth metrics show strong QoQ expansion. QoQ improvements in operating margin (+44.43% QoQ) and EBIT margin (+44.40% QoQ) indicate accelerating profitability on a quarter-to-quarter basis.

Balance sheet and liquidity: cash and short-term investments total $3,867,500,000 and cash equals $2,829,400,000; current ratio stands at 2.76 and quick ratio at 2.01, both above the industry peer mean current ratio of 1.70, supporting operational flexibility. Net debt measures $2,282,500,000 and debt to EBITDA about 6.90x, while interest coverage of 13.79x remains comfortably above the industry peer mean of 9.15x.

Valuation multiples: trailing P/E reads 64.82 while forward P/E sits near 49.50; price-to-book equals 4.05, slightly above the industry peer mean price-to-book of 3.49. Enterprise Value to Revenue and enterprise multiple metrics show a premium multiple structure consistent with high margin and growth expectations. WMDST values the stock as fair-valued based on these fundamentals and the margin profile.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-26
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-25
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow
 Operating Cash Flow
 Capital Expenditures
 Change In Working Capital -364.70 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta
 End Period Cash Flow
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.8 B
 Forward Revenue 597.5 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 981.5 M
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.0 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 778.6 M
 EBITDA 740.5 M
 EBIT 740.5 M
 Operating Income 729.7 M
 Interest Income 26.8 M
 Interest Expense 53.7 M
 Net Interest Income -26.90 M
 Income Before Tax 686.8 M
 Tax Provision 283.9 M
 Tax Rate 40.0 %
 Net Income 364.7 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 364.7 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.56
 EPS Actual 1.28
 EPS Difference -0.28
 EPS Surprise -17.949 %
 Forward EPS 1.73
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 15.8 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 5.9 B
 Total Current Assets 7.0 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 3.9 B
 Cash 2.8 B
 Net Receivables 826.1 M
 Inventory 1.9 B
 Long-Term Investments 3.2 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable
 Short-Term Debt 324.4 M
 Total Current Liabilities 2.5 B
 Net Debt 2.3 B
 Total Debt 5.1 B
 Total Liabilities 7.6 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 5.9 B
 Retained Earnings
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 20.49
 Shares Outstanding 285.638 M
 Revenue Per-Share 6.16
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 23.7 B
 Enterprise Value 24.9 B
 Enterprise Multiple 33.685
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -40.99 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -31.602 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 194.687
mean: 64.464
median: 54.095
SQM: 33.685
low: -41.898
 EV/R 14.173
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.696
 Asset To Liability 2.086
 Debt To Capital 0.466
 Debt To Assets 0.324
Debt To Assets QoQ -0.617 %
Debt To Assets YoY -21.229 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.892
median: 0.329
SQM: 0.324
mean: 0.289
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.874
Debt To Equity QoQ 5.142 %
Debt To Equity YoY -2.863 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.545
SQM: 0.874
median: 0.751
mean: 0.728
low: 0.002
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 4.05
Price To Book QoQ 14.728 %
Price To Book YoY 104.786 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 7.728
SQM: 4.05
mean: 3.493
median: 2.167
low: -0.199
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 64.82
Price To Earnings QoQ -41.014 %
Price To Earnings YoY -14.454 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 209.878
mean: 86.128
median: 72.19
SQM: 64.82
low: -157.884
 PE/G Ratio 0.648
 Price To Sales (P/S) 13.466
Price To Sales QoQ -11.261 %
Price To Sales YoY 34.364 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 20.33
SQM: 13.466
median: 10.753
mean: 10.733
low: 0.203
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 49.501
Forward PE/G 0.495
Forward P/S 46.483
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 2.792
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.116
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 15.148 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 28.844 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.282
median: 0.155
mean: 0.145
SQM: 0.116
low: 0.002
 Receivables Turnover 2.493
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 9.524 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 32.338 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.196
SQM: 2.493
mean: 1.598
median: 1.342
low: 0.052
 Inventory Turnover 0.533
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 10.949 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 27.009 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.731
mean: 1.09
median: 0.906
SQM: 0.533
low: 0.416
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 36.61
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 228.717
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 13.85 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 11.889 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 332.977
SQM: 228.717
mean: 90.928
median: 60.827
low: -4.195
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.396
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 10.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 11.0 B
 Invested Capital 11.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets 5.9 B
 Net Working Capital 4.4 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.53
 Current Ratio 2.759
Current Ratio QoQ -15.574 %
Current Ratio YoY -4.202 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 5.013
SQM: 2.759
mean: 1.699
median: 1.467
low: 0.644
 Quick Ratio 2.015
Quick Ratio QoQ -10.399 %
Quick Ratio YoY 2.814 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 3.574
SQM: 2.015
mean: 1.115
median: 1.028
low: 0.404
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 6.903
 Cost Of Debt 0.655 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 13.79
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 76.344 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 145.087 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 24.833
SQM: 13.79
mean: 9.151
median: 8.22
low: -7.509
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.0
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 8.787 %
 Revenue Growth 32.944 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 156.234 %
Revenue Growth YoY -1052.689 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 61.032 %
SQM: 32.944 %
mean: 7.164 %
median: 4.698 %
low: -48.15 %
 Earnings Growth 100.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 2999.814 %
Earnings Growth YoY 599.986 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 424.0 %
SQM: 100.0 %
median: -18.269 %
mean: -39.308 %
low: -288.462 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 44.239 %
Gross Margin QoQ 30.576 %
Gross Margin YoY 50.514 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 51.641 %
SQM: 44.239 %
median: 37.14 %
mean: 34.52 %
low: -2.38 %
 EBIT Margin 42.074 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 44.401 %
EBIT Margin YoY 69.394 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA SQM: 42.074 %
high: 32.081 %
median: 15.627 %
mean: 12.754 %
low: -20.445 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 41.46 %
Return On Sales QoQ 45.229 %
Return On Sales YoY 66.922 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 57.958 %
SQM: 41.46 %
median: 16.438 %
mean: 14.661 %
low: -20.805 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF)
 Free Cash Flow Yield
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA
 Free Cash Growth
Free Cash Growth QoQ
Free Cash Growth YoY
Free Cash Growth IPRWA
 Free Cash To Net Income
 Cash Flow Margin 0.0 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.0
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.408 %
Return On Assets QoQ 71.877 %
Return On Assets YoY 101.17 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.022 %
SQM: 2.408 %
median: 1.683 %
mean: 1.225 %
low: -4.763 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 5.588 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.062
Return On Equity QoQ 93.001 %
Return On Equity YoY 138.044 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.16
SQM: 0.062
median: 0.03
mean: 0.021
low: -0.36
 DuPont ROE 6.319 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.052 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 56.993 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 138.353 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 4.674 %
SQM: 4.052 %
median: 2.687 %
mean: 1.929 %
low: -6.035 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term swing dynamics favor a range-bound tape with a modest upside bias conditional on momentum continuation. Short-term trend indicators (rising DI+, MACD having crossed above its signal line, rising short EMAs) support upside attempts back toward the 50-day average near $73.55, but a positive MRO and price sitting below the Ichimoku cloud increase the likelihood of a reversion to the lower structure if buying stalls. Key technical support lies near the super trend lower at $67.10 and the 20-day average at $69.42; traders should expect oscillations between those support levels and the 50-day/200-day resistance band until momentum either reinforces a breakout above the cloud or yields a deeper pullback.

About Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A.

Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (NYSE:SQM) develops and markets a range of products in the mining sector globally. The company produces specialty plant nutrients, including sodium potassium nitrate and various specialty fertilizers under brands like Ultrasol, Qrop, and Speedfol. It supplies iodine and its derivatives for diverse applications such as medical, agricultural, and industrial uses, including x-ray contrast media and antiseptics. SQM also manufactures lithium compounds, including lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide, essential for cathode materials in secondary batteries and other industrial applications. Additionally, the company produces potassium sulfate and potassium chloride, primarily used as fertilizers. SQM’s industrial chemicals portfolio includes sodium nitrate, potassium nitrate, and solar salts, which serve sectors like glass production, metal processing, and solar power generation. The company also engages in the commercialization of third-party fertilizers and explores copper, gold, and silver deposits. Founded in 1926, SQM maintains its headquarters in Santiago, Chile, and continues to expand its footprint in the global mining industry.



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