STMicroelectronics N.V. (NYSE:STM) Rallies Technical Momentum While Fundamentals Signal Overvaluation

Short-term momentum shows constructive signs after recent dip-and-reversal signals, while fundamental metrics—margins, earnings, and WMDST valuation—portray pressure that should limit sustained upside.

Recent News

May 27, 2026: Annual General Meeting outcomes published and a supervisory-board statement released. June 2, 2026: Company raised its revenue ambition for data-center demand tied to AI infrastructure. June 16, 2026: ST priced a US$1.5 billion dual-tranche offering of new convertible bonds and announced early redemption of certain existing convertible debt. June 24, 2026: ST unveiled the ST54M secure mobile chip that supports post-quantum cryptography. July 6, 2026: Company disclosed status updates on its common share repurchase program.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+ / DI-: ADX at 27.21 indicates a strong trend strength present; DI+ shows a dip & reversal while DI- shows decreasing, a configuration that favors near-term bullish directional pressure relative to recent downside.

MACD: MACD at -2.69 with a MACD signal at -3.26 and an increasing MACD trend — MACD has crossed above its signal line, providing a bullish momentum signal that supports near-term upside potential.

MRO: MRO at -14.5 with an increasing MRO trend — the negative MRO signals price below WMDST’s target level and therefore room for upward convergence toward target.

RSI: RSI at 45.05 with an increasing trend indicates improving momentum from neutral territory rather than overbought conditions, which supports measured continuation of the current move.

Price vs. Moving Averages & Bands: Price closed at $55.79, above the 12‑day EMA ($54.79) whose 12‑day EMA shows a dip & reversal, but below the 26‑day EMA ($57.39) and well below the 50‑day average ($64.83); price sits just above the 1× Bollinger upper band ($55.69). This mix suggests short-term upside momentum that may meet resistance near intermediate moving averages and the 1×–2× band region.

Volatility & Volume: 42‑day beta at 4.05 and 52‑week beta at 2.67 signal elevated short-term sensitivity; daily volume near 9.5M compares with a 10‑day average of ~7.3M and a 50‑day average of ~11.9M, supporting active trading interest and potential for outsized intraperiod moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue & Growth: Quarterly revenue stands at $3,095,000,000. Reported revenue growth equals -7.06%; reported revenue growth QoQ reads -257.28% and revenue growth YoY reads -70.88% as provided. Those reported QoQ and YoY movements indicate material contraction over the stated intervals.

Profitability: EBIT equals $66,000,000, producing an EBIT margin of 3.10%. EBIT margin moved QoQ by -35.44% and YoY by -305.43% relative to the prior periods shown. Industry peer mean for EBIT margin sits at 37.20% and industry peer median at 32.66%, placing STMicroelectronics notably below the industry peer mean and median on this margin metric.

Earnings: Reported EPS reached $0.24 against an estimate of $0.27, an EPS surprise of -11.11% (EPS difference -$0.03). Forward EPS sits at $0.6321 with a forward PE of 64.18, while trailing PE reads 866.69—trailing multiple reflects a depressed denominator relative to current price and contrasts with the more moderate forward multiple. Earnings growth QoQ provided at 2.53% and earnings growth YoY provided at -21.52% indicate sequential stabilization but lower year-on-year earnings.

Cash, Leverage, and Cash Flow: Cash and short‑term investments total $4,571,000,000 with net debt of $680,000,000 and a current ratio of 3.31; debt to EBITDA registers 4.67. Operating cash flow reached $534,000,000 while free cash flow totaled -$32,000,000 (free cash flow yield ~0.50%). Capital expenditures reached -$566,000,000, reflecting ongoing capex investment that pressured free cash flow in the reported period.

Other Valuation Metrics: Price-to-book at 1.73 falls below the industry peer mean of 5.81 and the industry peer median of 5.73; price-to-sales at 9.96; enterprise multiple at 52.38 and EVR at 9.31. Forward revenue projection provided at $11,749,384,199 implies sizable expected top‑line expansion embedded in forward-looking metrics. WMDST values the stock as over‑valued, a conclusion consistent with elevated trailing multiples, stretched enterprise multiples, and margin compression documented above.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-07-23
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-10-22
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 2.8 B
 Operating Cash Flow 534.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -566.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -3.00 M
 Dividends Paid -71.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -948.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.9 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 3.1 B
 Forward Revenue 11.7 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 2.0 B
 Depreciation 426.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 454.0 M
 Research and Development 520.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 3.0 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.0 B
 EBITDA 520.0 M
 EBIT 66.0 M
 Operating Income 96.0 M
 Interest Income 39.0 M
 Interest Expense 13.0 M
 Net Interest Income 26.0 M
 Income Before Tax 53.0 M
 Tax Provision 10.0 M
 Tax Rate 18.868 %
 Net Income 37.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 43.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.27
 EPS Actual 0.24
 EPS Difference -0.03
 EPS Surprise -11.111 %
 Forward EPS 0.63
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 25.1 B
 Intangible Assets 1.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 16.3 B
 Total Current Assets 10.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 4.6 B
 Cash 1.9 B
 Net Receivables 1.8 B
 Inventory 3.2 B
 Long-Term Investments 50.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 1.4 B
 Short-Term Debt 319.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 3.3 B
 Net Debt 680.0 M
 Total Debt 2.8 B
 Total Liabilities 7.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 17.8 B
 Retained Earnings 13.1 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 19.99
 Shares Outstanding 888.794 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.48
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 30.8 B
 Enterprise Value 28.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 52.381
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 57.22 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 17.133 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 394.414
mean: 56.181
STM: 52.381
median: 22.264
low: -438.379
 EV/R 9.308
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.414
 Asset To Liability 3.611
 Debt To Capital 0.126
 Debt To Assets 0.102
Debt To Assets QoQ 7.701 %
Debt To Assets YoY -11.443 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.579
mean: 0.153
median: 0.106
STM: 0.102
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.145
Debt To Equity QoQ 9.505 %
Debt To Equity YoY -10.912 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.784
mean: 0.284
median: 0.149
STM: 0.145
low: 0.003
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.734
Price To Book QoQ 29.403 %
Price To Book YoY 49.779 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 18.637
mean: 5.808
median: 5.73
STM: 1.734
low: 0.296
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 866.693
Price To Earnings QoQ 254.662 %
Price To Earnings YoY 164.402 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA STM: 866.693
high: 539.07
mean: 88.675
median: 52.779
low: -257.057
 PE/G Ratio -13.62
 Price To Sales (P/S) 9.955
Price To Sales QoQ 38.76 %
Price To Sales YoY 22.097 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 218.897
mean: 26.158
median: 17.401
STM: 9.955
low: 0.418
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 64.181
Forward PE/G -1.009
Forward P/S 3.421
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 5.668
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.124
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -7.884 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 22.307 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.255
median: 0.192
mean: 0.188
STM: 0.124
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 1.736
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -12.271 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 8.098 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.864
mean: 2.072
median: 2.039
STM: 1.736
low: 0.55
 Inventory Turnover 0.65
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.094 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 12.604 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.183
median: 0.725
mean: 0.704
STM: 0.65
low: 0.221
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 52.554
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 124.141
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 4.696 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -1.031 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 330.889
STM: 124.141
mean: 119.796
median: 119.741
low: -57.656
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.409
 CapEx To Revenue -0.122
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.835
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 20.0 B
 Net Invested Capital 20.3 B
 Invested Capital 20.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets 16.3 B
 Net Working Capital 7.6 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.399
 Current Ratio 3.313
Current Ratio QoQ -1.499 %
Current Ratio YoY 8.586 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 19.487
STM: 3.313
mean: 3.118
median: 2.897
low: 0.475
 Quick Ratio 2.342
Quick Ratio QoQ -3.523 %
Quick Ratio YoY 4.326 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 11.279
mean: 2.429
STM: 2.342
median: 2.319
low: 0.421
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 4.671
 Cost Of Debt 0.428 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 7.385
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -40.0 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -488.664 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 87.858
mean: 13.103
median: 12.548
STM: 7.385
low: -116.6
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.1
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 61.799
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.521
 Dividend Payout Ratio 1.919
 Dividend Rate 0.08
 Dividend Yield 0.002
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.331 %
 Revenue Growth -7.057 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -257.277 %
Revenue Growth YoY -70.877 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 74.888 %
mean: 28.376 %
median: 3.547 %
STM: -7.057 %
low: -66.446 %
 Earnings Growth -63.636 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 2.525 %
Earnings Growth YoY -21.516 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 155.23 %
mean: 54.356 %
median: 8.85 %
STM: -63.636 %
low: -188.889 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 33.764 %
Gross Margin QoQ -4.066 %
Gross Margin YoY 1.05 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 86.201 %
median: 64.709 %
mean: 58.164 %
STM: 33.764 %
low: -27.549 %
 EBIT Margin 3.102 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -35.442 %
EBIT Margin YoY -305.43 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 67.863 %
mean: 37.198 %
median: 32.662 %
STM: 3.102 %
low: -257.944 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 3.102 %
Return On Sales QoQ -50.097 %
Return On Sales YoY -305.43 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 67.624 %
mean: 37.554 %
median: 33.067 %
STM: 3.102 %
low: -257.944 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -32.00 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.503 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -11.599 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 187.429 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 9.541 %
median: 1.294 %
STM: 0.503 %
mean: 0.187 %
low: -12.802 %
 Free Cash Growth 13.971 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -61.192 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -131.315 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 263.082 %
median: 38.554 %
mean: 24.745 %
STM: 13.971 %
low: -265.342 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 4.189
 Cash Flow Margin 10.598 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 8.865
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.148 %
Return On Assets QoQ -222.314 %
Return On Assets YoY -34.513 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 14.706 %
median: 13.379 %
mean: 8.501 %
STM: 0.148 %
low: -11.994 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.439 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.002
Return On Equity QoQ -223.81 %
Return On Equity YoY -34.177 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.27
median: 0.19
mean: 0.123
STM: 0.002
low: -0.401
 DuPont ROE 0.208 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.383 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -42.406 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -353.642 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 7.994 %
median: 2.605 %
mean: 2.496 %
STM: 0.383 %
low: -7.726 %

Six-Week Outlook

Short-term technicals show constructive momentum: directional indicators and MACD signal recent bullish rotation, MRO suggests room for upward catch‑up to WMDST targets, and RSI climbed from lower levels. However, elevated short‑term beta and price sitting near the upper Bollinger band imply heightened volatility and a material risk of mean reversion if momentum stalls. Fundamentals present margin and earnings weakness relative to peer margins and produce high trailing multiples; those factors create a capped reward profile versus downside sensitivity if near-term momentum fades. Expect range-bound, volatile trading with upward edge while MACD and DI+ hold recent gains, but monitor moving averages and the 1×–2× Bollinger band area for signs of rejection that would shift the outlook toward consolidation or pullback.

About STMicroelectronics N.V.

STMicroelectronics N.V. (NYSE:STM) designs, develops, and manufactures semiconductor products across multiple regions, including Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through three main segments: Automotive and Discrete Group, Analog, MEMS and Sensors Group, and Microcontrollers and Digital ICs Group. The Automotive and Discrete Group delivers automotive integrated circuits and discrete power transistor products. The Analog, MEMS and Sensors Group provides industrial application-specific integrated circuits, general-purpose analog products, and MEMS products, including sensors and actuators. This segment also offers wireless charging solutions, touch screen controllers, and optical sensing solutions. The Microcontrollers and Digital ICs Group focuses on general-purpose and secure microcontrollers, as well as radio frequency products. STMicroelectronics serves a diverse range of markets, including automotive, industrial, personal electronics, communications equipment, and computers and peripherals. The company distributes its products through a network of distributors, retailers, and sales representatives. Founded in 1987, STMicroelectronics maintains its headquarters in Geneva, Switzerland.



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