Axcelis Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACLS) Poised For Near-Term Pullback After Momentum Peak

Strong trend strength meets waning momentum: liquidity and margins support a fair-valued stance, while short-term momentum signals favor a corrective phase.

Recent News

On May 6, 2026 Axcelis announced participation in ASMC 2026, reaffirming industry event engagement and visibility ahead of mid‑year fabs and customers. On March 12, 2026 the company announced a CFO transition, appointing an interim chief financial officer as the outgoing CFO departs April 24, 2026.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show a strong trend environment: ADX sits at 48.9, indicating very strong trend strength while DI+ shows a peak-and-reversal and DI- shows a dip-and-reversal — both configurations signal a shift toward bearish directional pressure relative to the recent upmove.

MACD currently reads 13.79 with a signal line at 12.56, so the MACD remains above its signal line but the MACD trend is a peak-and-reversal, indicating momentum has peaked and momentum pressure has turned bearish despite the recent crossover history.

MRO stands at 41.06 and registers positive; that level indicates price sits above the model target and implies a higher likelihood of downward mean reversion in the near term.

RSI stands at 66.62 with an increasing trajectory, signaling near‑overbought short‑term conditions that heighten the risk of a pullback as momentum softens.

Price structure stays elevated: the close at $162.15 trades above the 12‑day EMA ($152.70, increasing), the 20‑day average ($149.32), the 50‑day average ($113.77) and the 200‑day average ($92.23). Short‑term support sits near the superTrend lower band at $145.87; higher beta (42‑day 2.12, 52‑week 2.15) and recent volume below the 10‑day average suggest outsized intraday moves remain possible.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT totals $41,354,000 and EBIT margin registers 17.35%, down 27.11% year‑over‑year but up 17.84% quarter‑over‑quarter. That EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean (34.65%) and median (35.31%). Operating margin equals 15.18%, reflecting similar pressure versus recent year levels.

Earnings and consensus: Reported EPS came in at $0.72 versus an estimate of $0.71, a surprise of roughly 1.41%. Trailing PE stands near 58.74x while forward PE sits about 74.05x, reflecting elevated multiples on modest near‑term earnings; price‑to‑book equals 2.60x, below the industry peer mean of 14.17x and median of 11.17x.

Revenue and growth: Total revenue reached $238,330,000 with the reported revenue growth metric at ~11.57% and quarter‑over‑quarter revenue growth near 18.07%, while year‑over‑year revenue change shows a decline of about 8.16%.

Cash flow and liquidity: Cash and short‑term investments total $374,253,000 and the cash ratio measures ~1.89, supported by a current ratio near 4.77 and a quick ratio ~3.11. Operating cash flow registered a negative $6,567,000 and free cash flow was negative $8,902,000, producing a negative free cash flow yield of roughly -0.33%.

Balance sheet and leverage: Total debt remains low at $42,329,000 with debt‑to‑assets about 3.11% and debt‑to‑EBITDA under 1.0x, indicating modest leverage and substantial liquidity coverage for near‑term obligations.

Other metrics: Gross margin sits near 46.97% (up modestly QoQ), R&D at $30,126,000 supports product roadmaps, and inventory days and cash conversion cycle remain extended (inventory days ~239; cash conversion cycle ~265 days), reflecting capital tied in build and service inventory.

Valuation view: WMDST values the stock as fair‑valued given the mix of robust liquidity, above‑average gross margins, elevated price multiples and near‑term cash flow headwinds.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-07
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-06
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 195.1 M
 Operating Cash Flow -6.57 M
 Capital Expenditures -2.33 M
 Change In Working Capital -45.08 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -39.05 M
 End Period Cash Flow 156.1 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 238.3 M
 Forward Revenue 61.8 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 126.4 M
 Depreciation 4.5 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 4.5 M
 Research and Development 30.1 M
 Total Operating Expenses 202.2 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 111.9 M
 EBITDA 45.8 M
 EBIT 41.4 M
 Operating Income 36.2 M
 Interest Income 4.9 M
 Interest Expense 1.3 M
 Net Interest Income 3.6 M
 Income Before Tax 40.0 M
 Tax Provision 5.7 M
 Tax Rate 14.296 %
 Net Income 34.3 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 34.3 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.71
 EPS Actual 0.72
 EPS Difference 0.01
 EPS Surprise 1.408 %
 Forward EPS 1.16
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.4 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 1.0 B
 Total Current Assets 943.2 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 374.3 M
 Cash 145.5 M
 Net Receivables 168.5 M
 Inventory 329.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 56.6 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 42.3 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 197.7 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 42.3 M
 Total Liabilities 326.7 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.0 B
 Retained Earnings 503.5 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 33.68
 Shares Outstanding 30.717 M
 Revenue Per-Share 7.76
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.7 B
 Enterprise Value 2.4 B
 Enterprise Multiple 51.43
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -14.824 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 73.821 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 244.045
median: 114.544
mean: 106.745
ACLS: 51.43
low: -216.655
 EV/R 9.887
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.316
 Asset To Liability 4.167
 Debt To Capital 0.039
 Debt To Assets 0.031
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.489 %
Debt To Assets YoY -3.984 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.455
median: 0.194
mean: 0.165
ACLS: 0.031
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 0.041
Debt To Equity QoQ -2.199 %
Debt To Equity YoY -5.125 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 0.96
mean: 0.266
median: 0.138
ACLS: 0.041
low: -0.408
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.598
Price To Book QoQ 3.23 %
Price To Book YoY 8.203 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 22.16
mean: 14.169
median: 11.172
ACLS: 2.598
low: 1.081
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 58.735
Price To Earnings QoQ -14.197 %
Price To Earnings YoY 20.38 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 422.129
median: 146.908
mean: 138.924
ACLS: 58.735
low: -305.594
 PE/G Ratio 2.538
 Price To Sales (P/S) 11.279
Price To Sales QoQ -6.158 %
Price To Sales YoY 17.075 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 71.828
median: 45.349
mean: 40.791
ACLS: 11.279
low: 3.414
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 74.051
Forward PE/G 3.2
Forward P/S 44.659
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 2.72
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.176
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 10.02 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -6.498 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.471
mean: 0.207
median: 0.203
ACLS: 0.176
low: 0.002
 Receivables Turnover 1.508
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.111 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 15.5 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.887
mean: 1.785
median: 1.515
ACLS: 1.508
low: 0.498
 Inventory Turnover 0.387
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.552 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -18.581 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.239
mean: 0.518
median: 0.401
ACLS: 0.387
low: 0.174
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 60.516
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 264.715
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -9.767 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 22.066 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 596.302
median: 270.338
ACLS: 264.715
mean: 249.425
low: -64.288
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.32
 CapEx To Revenue -0.01
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.523
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.0 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.0 B
 Invested Capital 1.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.0 B
 Net Working Capital 745.5 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.893
 Current Ratio 4.772
Current Ratio QoQ -3.504 %
Current Ratio YoY -11.868 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 10.619
ACLS: 4.772
median: 2.256
mean: 2.155
low: 1.126
 Quick Ratio 3.107
Quick Ratio QoQ -6.27 %
Quick Ratio YoY -23.36 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 7.834
ACLS: 3.107
median: 1.606
mean: 1.515
low: 0.689
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 0.924
 Cost Of Debt 2.626 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 30.954
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 28.42 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -25.565 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 99.429
mean: 34.147
median: 32.93
ACLS: 30.954
low: -8.388
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.016
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 34.647
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.696 %
 Revenue Growth 11.572 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 18.07 %
Revenue Growth YoY -816.089 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 40.838 %
mean: 12.607 %
ACLS: 11.572 %
median: 2.725 %
low: -9.892 %
 Earnings Growth 23.14 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 226.836 %
Earnings Growth YoY 589.511 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 150.0 %
ACLS: 23.14 %
mean: 16.947 %
median: 0.794 %
low: -85.714 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 46.965 %
Gross Margin QoQ 12.967 %
Gross Margin YoY 2.0 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 90.758 %
median: 52.156 %
mean: 52.119 %
ACLS: 46.965 %
low: 9.383 %
 EBIT Margin 17.352 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 17.84 %
EBIT Margin YoY -27.111 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 46.775 %
median: 35.306 %
mean: 34.65 %
ACLS: 17.352 %
low: -49.18 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 15.177 %
Return On Sales QoQ 29.574 %
Return On Sales YoY -36.247 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 69.122 %
median: 35.306 %
mean: 34.004 %
ACLS: 15.177 %
low: -49.18 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -8.90 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.331 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -119.609 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -199.102 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 2.925 %
mean: 1.474 %
median: 1.229 %
ACLS: -0.331 %
low: -3.047 %
 Free Cash Growth -120.542 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -913.429 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 49.571 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 500.136 %
median: -0.341 %
mean: -14.528 %
ACLS: -120.542 %
low: -372.545 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.26
 Cash Flow Margin 1.297 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.09
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.528 %
Return On Assets QoQ 30.108 %
Return On Assets YoY -32.006 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 12.607 %
mean: 6.01 %
median: 5.937 %
ACLS: 2.528 %
low: -7.635 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.554 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.033
Return On Equity QoQ 30.153 %
Return On Equity YoY -32.8 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.21
median: 0.145
mean: 0.14
ACLS: 0.033
low: -0.241
 DuPont ROE 3.338 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.425 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 28.856 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -135.306 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.139 %
median: 10.618 %
mean: 8.929 %
ACLS: 3.425 %
low: -2.702 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect heightened volatility and a tightening of the recent uptrend: technical momentum indicators point to a corrective phase that could test short‑term support near the superTrend lower band (~$145.87) while the broader uptrend remains intact above the 50‑ and 200‑day averages. Fundamental heft from cash reserves and gross margins provides downside support, but negative operating/free cash flow and elevated multiples increase sensitivity to any additional momentum deterioration. Swing traders should monitor a clear stabilizing signal in momentum and a resolution of the MACD peak‑and‑reversal before anticipating a renewed directional advance.

About Axcelis Technologies, Inc.

Axcelis Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACLS) is a distinguished entity in the semiconductor sector, headquartered in Beverly, Massachusetts since 1978. The company is renowned for its expertise in designing and producing ion implantation systems, which are crucial for the fabrication of semiconductor chips. Axcelis serves a global clientele, including regions such as the United States, Japan, Europe, and the Asia Pacific, with a diverse portfolio of high energy, high current, and medium current implanters to accommodate various technological demands. In addition to its state-of-the-art equipment, Axcelis is dedicated to providing a comprehensive suite of aftermarket services. This includes offering refurbished machinery, spare parts, equipment upgrades, and extensive maintenance solutions, ensuring the longevity and efficiency of their products. The company also emphasizes customer education through specialized training programs, empowering clients to maximize the potential of their investments. Axcelis employs a direct sales strategy to connect with semiconductor manufacturers worldwide, prioritizing customer satisfaction and innovation. By continually pushing the boundaries of semiconductor manufacturing technology, Axcelis Technologies solidifies its position as a leader and innovator in the industry.



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