Valhi, Inc (NYSE:VHI) Projects Near-Term Upside Supported By Robust Cash Flow

Valhi shows conditions for a near-term rebound rooted in strong liquidity and a pronounced WMDST undervaluation signal, even as short-term momentum softens.

Recent News

On March 5, 2026 the company declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share, payable March 31, 2026 to shareholders of record March 16, 2026.

Valhi filed proxy materials announcing its 2026 annual meeting for May 21, 2026 in Dallas, Texas.

The company posted its annual report / 10‑K covering the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, documenting recent operating developments and disclosures.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show no established trend: ADX at 16.92 signals a lack of strong directional momentum, implying range-bound behavior unless trend strength increases.

DI+ at 17.08 is decreasing while DI‑ at 14.89 is increasing; that split reads as bearish pressure from negative directional movement and lowers the probability of an immediate breakout to the upside.

MACD at 0.12 sits below its signal line at 0.14 with a decreasing MACD_trend, indicating contracting bullish momentum and a short-term bearish momentum bias unless MACD crosses back above the signal line.

MRO at 27.85 with a peak-and-reversal pattern indicates price sits above the regression target and faces downside pressure from momentum exhaustion.

RSI at 52.08 and decreasing places the stock in neutral territory but sliding toward weaker momentum; this aligns with the ADX reading and suggests limited immediate follow-through higher.

Price sits inside the Bollinger band range (lower ~ $14.29; upper ~ $14.96) and trades marginally below the 20‑day average ($14.63) and 12‑day EMA ($14.55 decreasing), indicating short-term consolidation near the mid‑band rather than a strong trend.

Ichimoku components place price roughly at the leading span boundary (Senkou B at $14.53), implying near-term equilibrium between support and resistance provided by the cloud; traders should note the proximity to cloud lines for potential range support.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Liquidity stands as the clearest strength: cash of $214,000,000 and cash and short‑term investments of $216,900,000, paired with operating cash flow of $100,600,000 and free cash flow of $89,800,000, produce a free cash flow yield of 23.07%, a meaningful cash‑generation metric that underpins the WMDST valuation of under‑valued.

Profitability remains challenged: EBIT of $‑66,500,000 yields an EBIT margin of -13.45%, below the industry peer mean of -0.65% yet above the industry peer low of -24.01%; EBITDA totaled $‑49,100,000 and net income registered $‑53,200,000, reflecting ongoing operating losses despite positive cash flows.

Top-line trends show material contraction year‑over‑year: revenue of $494,500,000 alongside a YoY revenue decline of -81.91% and a QoQ change that likewise registers negative; that drop drove margin compression even as cash generation stayed resilient.

Capital structure displays moderate leverage: total debt $611,600,000 yields debt‑to‑assets of 23.23%, below the industry peer mean of 48.10%, and debt‑to‑equity of 59.77%; interest expense remains elevated relative to earnings (interest coverage negative), pressuring profitability until earnings recover.

Working capital and efficiency metrics highlight operational friction: a cash conversion cycle of 155.69 days sits well above the industry peer mean of 51.86 days, while inventory days (139.14) and receivables turnover (1.58) point to slow conversion of sales into cash—partially offset by a strong current ratio of 2.80 and quick ratio of 1.33.

Market multiples present an undervalued picture relative to peers: price‑to‑book at 0.38x and price‑to‑sales at 0.79x both sit below the industry peer means (book ~1.25x; sales ~1.77x). Forward P/E of 16.39x compares with an analyst price‑target mean of $15.66 against a closing price of $14.53, consistent with the WMDST under‑valued assessment.

Valuation summary: WMDST values the stock as under‑valued based on high absolute cash balances, substantial free cash flow yield, and conservative market multiples, balanced against steep YoY revenue decline and negative operating margins that must improve to justify multiple rerating.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-07
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 223.9 M
 Operating Cash Flow 100.6 M
 Capital Expenditures -10.80 M
 Change In Working Capital 146.5 M
 Dividends Paid -2.30 M
 Cash Flow Delta 4.8 M
 End Period Cash Flow 228.7 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 494.5 M
 Forward Revenue -53.64 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 460.3 M
 Depreciation 17.4 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 17.4 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 537.3 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 34.2 M
 EBITDA -49.10 M
 EBIT -66.50 M
 Operating Income -42.80 M
 Interest Income 4.2 M
 Interest Expense 15.2 M
 Net Interest Income -11.00 M
 Income Before Tax -81.70 M
 Tax Provision -18.40 M
 Tax Rate 22.521 %
 Net Income -53.20 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -63.30 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate
 EPS Actual
 EPS Difference
 EPS Surprise
 Forward EPS 0.81
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.6 B
 Intangible Assets 382.3 M
 Net Tangible Assets 640.9 M
 Total Current Assets 1.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 216.9 M
 Cash 214.0 M
 Net Receivables 285.1 M
 Inventory 659.8 M
 Long-Term Investments 26.8 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 231.3 M
 Short-Term Debt 800.0 K
 Total Current Liabilities 449.3 M
 Net Debt 377.7 M
 Total Debt 611.6 M
 Total Liabilities 1.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.0 B
 Retained Earnings 508.0 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 35.90
 Shares Outstanding 28.500 M
 Revenue Per-Share 17.35
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 389.2 M
 Enterprise Value 783.9 M
 Enterprise Multiple -15.966
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -141.914 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -563.854 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 70.624
median: 70.624
mean: 24.233
VHI: -15.966
low: -210.451
 EV/R 1.585
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.573
 Asset To Liability 2.075
 Debt To Capital 0.374
 Debt To Assets 0.232
Debt To Assets QoQ -7.644 %
Debt To Assets YoY 723.609 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.142
mean: 0.481
median: 0.43
VHI: 0.232
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.598
Debt To Equity QoQ -8.355 %
Debt To Equity YoY 683.908 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.392
median: 1.452
mean: 0.711
VHI: 0.598
low: -4.417
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.38
Price To Book QoQ -7.943 %
Price To Book YoY -35.048 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 2.791
median: 1.517
mean: 1.254
VHI: 0.38
low: -0.19
 Price To Earnings (P/E)
Price To Earnings QoQ
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S) 0.787
Price To Sales QoQ -8.442 %
Price To Sales YoY -37.621 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 2.234
median: 2.157
mean: 1.773
VHI: 0.787
low: 0.026
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 16.391
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S -7.255
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 565.575
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.185
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.609 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 7.43 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.278
median: 0.209
mean: 0.205
VHI: 0.185
low: 0.078
 Receivables Turnover 1.585
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.728 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 6.849 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.902
mean: 2.892
median: 2.736
VHI: 1.585
low: 1.418
 Inventory Turnover 0.682
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.346 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 13.195 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.901
median: 1.701
mean: 1.598
VHI: 0.682
low: 0.414
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 57.573
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 155.694
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -5.455 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 0.834 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 207.951
VHI: 155.694
mean: 51.862
median: 48.873
low: -6.528
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.611
 CapEx To Revenue -0.022
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.621
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.6 B
 Invested Capital 1.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 640.9 M
 Net Working Capital 809.8 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.483
 Current Ratio 2.802
Current Ratio QoQ -22.911 %
Current Ratio YoY 24.108 %
Current Ratio IPRWA VHI: 2.802
high: 2.797
median: 1.773
mean: 1.662
low: 0.757
 Quick Ratio 1.334
Quick Ratio QoQ -24.336 %
Quick Ratio YoY 11.829 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.743
VHI: 1.334
median: 1.197
mean: 1.075
low: 0.498
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -12.456
 Cost Of Debt 1.819 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -4.375
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -992.985 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -170.96 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 0.641
median: -0.076
mean: -0.608
VHI: -4.375
low: -5.09
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.253
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 41.02
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio -23.13
 Dividend Payout Ratio -0.043
 Dividend Rate 0.08
 Dividend Yield 0.006
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -3.071 %
 Revenue Growth -1.787 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -73.828 %
Revenue Growth YoY -81.906 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 4.581 %
VHI: -1.787 %
mean: -6.577 %
median: -8.231 %
low: -10.845 %
 Earnings Growth
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 6.916 %
Gross Margin QoQ -42.539 %
Gross Margin YoY -66.939 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 32.09 %
VHI: 6.916 %
median: 4.724 %
mean: 4.339 %
low: -3.428 %
 EBIT Margin -13.448 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -1027.448 %
EBIT Margin YoY -178.869 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 27.847 %
median: -0.141 %
mean: -0.65 %
VHI: -13.448 %
low: -24.011 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -8.655 %
Return On Sales QoQ 156.368 %
Return On Sales YoY -150.759 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 27.785 %
median: -1.001 %
mean: -1.158 %
VHI: -8.655 %
low: -23.634 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 89.8 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 23.072 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -911.823 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 320.408 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 37.999 %
VHI: 23.072 %
mean: 7.682 %
median: 6.912 %
low: -1.652 %
 Free Cash Growth -830.081 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 252.978 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -210.113 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 83.189 %
median: 83.189 %
mean: -35.993 %
low: -681.982 %
VHI: -830.081 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -1.688
 Cash Flow Margin 22.952 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -2.133
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) -1.99 %
Return On Assets QoQ 145.679 %
Return On Assets YoY -343.873 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 1.15 %
median: -0.419 %
VHI: -1.99 %
mean: -2.348 %
low: -12.153 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -3.046 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.052
Return On Equity QoQ 145.352 %
Return On Equity YoY -336.211 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.637
mean: 0.059
median: -0.014
VHI: -0.052
low: -0.124
 DuPont ROE -5.138 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -3.19 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -1046.588 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -86.645 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 13.636 %
median: -0.041 %
mean: -0.061 %
VHI: -3.19 %
low: -8.683 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a period of consolidation with a modest upside bias conditional on cash‑flow signals holding and momentum stabilizing. Technicals indicate limited trend strength now, so near‑term movement likely remains range‑bound between approximately $13.8 (super trend lower) and the upper Bollinger band near $15.0; a reacceleration in MACD or a decline in DI‑ would raise the probability of upside continuation, while further MRO deterioration would favor renewed weakness.

About Valhi, Inc.

Valhi, Inc. (NYSE:VHI) engages in diverse industries, including chemicals, component products, and real estate management and development across Europe, North America, the Asia Pacific, and globally. Within its Chemicals segment, Valhi produces and markets titanium dioxide pigments (TiO2), essential white inorganic pigments utilized by manufacturers in paint, plastics, decorative laminates, and paper industries. These products are marketed under the KRONOS brand through a network of agents and distributors. In the Component Products segment, Valhi manufactures mechanical and electrical cabinet locks and various locking mechanisms, catering to applications such as ignition systems, mailboxes, file cabinets, tool storage, and more. Additionally, the company supplies stainless steel exhaust components, gauges, throttle controls, and related hardware for performance and ski/wakeboard boats. Valhi’s Real Estate Management and Development segment offers utility services to industrial and municipal clients, owns and develops land for commercial, industrial, and residential purposes. The company also manages marketable securities and other investments. Established in 1932 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Valhi, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Dixie Rice Agricultural L.L.C.



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