Celanese Corporation (NYSE:CE) Strengthens Margin Momentum; Valuation Signals Near-Term Upside

Celanese shows improving margin dynamics and a positive free-cash-flow profile that support the WMDST under-valued determination, while elevated leverage and subdued trend strength limit a clear breakout in the immediate term.

Recent News

July 15, 2026: Company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.03 per share payable August 10. July 30, 2026: Amsterdam District Court dismissed claims against Celanese and co‑defendants. Late July 2026: Celanese amended its revolving credit agreement. June–July 2026: product and sustainability collaborations announced and an engineered‑materials footprint optimization in Asia disclosed.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show low trend strength: ADX at 16.0 signals no established trend, reducing conviction for large directional moves tied to valuation. DI+ sits at 18.65 with a dip-and-reversal pattern, which reads as a short-term bullish re-acceleration in buying pressure. DI- at 22.8 also shows a dip-and-reversal pattern, with DI- remaining above DI+ and implying sellers currently retain the upper hand for near-term price direction.

MACD reads -0.37 with a peak-and-reversal characteristic, indicating bearish momentum; the MACD currently sits above its signal line (-0.55), producing a recent bullish crossover that can act as a short-duration momentum trigger before the larger MACD trend reasserts itself.

MRO at 23.34 (positive) signals the price sits above the model target and therefore faces downward pressure from reversion toward that target; the magnitude suggests a material mean-reversion force rather than a weak signal. RSI at 43.95 and increasing conveys improving momentum from lower levels while remaining below the 50 midline, allowing limited upside without additional buying strength.

Price action trades near short-term averages: close $45.00 sits nearly at the 20‑day average ($45.15) and below the 50‑day ($46.04) and 200‑day ($50.52) averages, indicating the path to a sustained rally requires reclaiming higher moving averages. Bollinger bands place price between the 1x lower band ($44.04) and 1x upper band ($46.26), reflecting low immediate volatility. Ichimoku components (Tenkan $45.43; Kijun $45.37; Senkou A $47.74; Senkou B $57.20) keep price below the cloud, which preserves a cautious technical bias until price clears the cloud boundary toward $47.74 or higher.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue and profitability: Total revenue stands at $2,752,000,000 with revenue growth of 6.03% and year‑over‑year revenue growth of 0.80%. Gross margin equals 22.46% and operating margin equals 10.87%; EBIT margin measures 11.92% and improved QoQ by 5.12% while declining YoY by 3.27%. The QoQ margin improvement supports the headline margin momentum noted above.

Earnings: Reported EPS $2.45 versus an estimate $2.22 produced a positive EPS surprise of 10.36%, which corroborates the QoQ margin gain and the free cash flow performance for the period.

Cash flow and valuation metrics: Operating cash flow $206,000,000 and free cash flow $147,000,000 yield a free‑cash‑flow yield of 2.68%, above the industry peer mean of 1.16% for the comparable metric. WMDST notes the enterprise multiple at 28.63 while the market capitalization equals $5,486,448,121 and net debt totals $10,643,000,000; the enterprise valuation context and free‑cash‑flow generation underpin WMDST’s current under‑valued assessment.

Balance sheet and leverage: Total debt $12,397,000,000 yields debt‑to‑EBITDA of 21.49 and debt‑to‑equity of 297.50%—both signals of pronounced leverage. Interest coverage sits at 1.76x, indicating limited cushion relative to interest cost. Net debt exceeds market capitalization, a material leverage factor that constrains valuation multiples despite solid cash conversion (cash conversion ratio 1.54) and a cash conversion cycle of ~80 days.

Peer comparisons where available: EBIT margin at 11.92% sits below the industry peer mean of 15.87% and median of 17.71% but above the industry peer low. Price‑to‑book at 1.32 reads below the industry peer mean of 4.93 and median of 5.28. Free‑cash‑flow yield exceeds the industry peer mean. Return on equity measures 3.00%, below the industry peer mean of 4.16%. These comparisons show operational margins and returns lagging typical peer central tendencies even as valuation multiples sit on the lower side of the peer distribution.

Valuation summary: The current valuation as determined by WMDST classifies the stock as under‑valued, supported by above‑mean free cash flow yield and modest market multiples, while elevated leverage and lower peer‑relative margins justify caution and cap upside until leverage metrics improve or margin convergence occurs.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-04
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-03
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.8 B
 Operating Cash Flow 206.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -62.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -122.00 M
 Dividends Paid -3.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -394.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.4 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 2.8 B
 Forward Revenue 932.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 2.1 B
 Depreciation 249.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 249.0 M
 Research and Development 29.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 2.5 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 618.0 M
 EBITDA 577.0 M
 EBIT 328.0 M
 Operating Income 299.0 M
 Interest Income 10.0 M
 Interest Expense 186.0 M
 Net Interest Income -176.00 M
 Income Before Tax 142.0 M
 Tax Provision 11.0 M
 Tax Rate 7.747 %
 Net Income 125.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 129.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.22
 EPS Actual 2.45
 EPS Difference 0.23
 EPS Surprise 10.36 %
 Forward EPS 1.54
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 21.4 B
 Intangible Assets 7.2 B
 Net Tangible Assets -3.06 B
 Total Current Assets 5.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.4 B
 Cash 1.4 B
 Net Receivables 1.3 B
 Inventory 2.3 B
 Long-Term Investments 605.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 1.5 B
 Short-Term Debt 1.3 B
 Total Current Liabilities 4.0 B
 Net Debt 10.6 B
 Total Debt 12.4 B
 Total Liabilities 16.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 4.2 B
 Retained Earnings 10.0 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 37.97
 Shares Outstanding 109.749 M
 Revenue Per-Share 25.08
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 5.5 B
 Enterprise Value 16.5 B
 Enterprise Multiple 28.63
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -23.35 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -18.477 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 79.976
median: 76.739
mean: 61.558
CE: 28.63
low: -37.978
 EV/R 6.003
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 5.138
 Asset To Liability 1.273
 Debt To Capital 0.748
 Debt To Assets 0.579
Debt To Assets QoQ -2.469 %
Debt To Assets YoY 3.138 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.804
CE: 0.579
median: 0.465
mean: 0.369
low: 0.026
 Debt To Equity 2.975
Debt To Equity QoQ -6.334 %
Debt To Equity YoY 17.893 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA CE: 2.975
high: 2.615
median: 1.233
mean: 0.966
low: 0.036
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.317
Price To Book QoQ -17.954 %
Price To Book YoY 24.177 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 7.485
median: 5.277
mean: 4.931
CE: 1.317
low: 0.938
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 20.404
Price To Earnings QoQ -70.83 %
Price To Earnings YoY -32.533 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 128.46
median: 128.46
mean: 99.531
CE: 20.404
low: -30.244
 PE/G Ratio 0.108
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.994
Price To Sales QoQ -28.543 %
Price To Sales YoY -9.765 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 17.046
mean: 12.541
median: 10.431
CE: 1.994
low: 1.523
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 34.027
Forward PE/G 0.181
Forward P/S 5.881
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.339
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.128
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 18.547 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 18.184 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.317
median: 0.161
mean: 0.153
CE: 0.128
low: 0.067
 Receivables Turnover 2.308
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.313 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 11.924 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.095
CE: 2.308
mean: 1.583
median: 1.312
low: 0.402
 Inventory Turnover 0.93
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 12.064 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 7.046 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.058
median: 1.535
mean: 1.227
CE: 0.93
low: 0.413
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 39.541
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 80.137
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -5.853 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -12.853 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 254.878
mean: 81.582
CE: 80.137
median: 49.768
low: 24.622
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.538
 CapEx To Revenue -0.023
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.249
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 14.9 B
 Net Invested Capital 16.2 B
 Invested Capital 16.2 B
 Net Tangible Assets -3.06 B
 Net Working Capital 1.8 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.34
 Current Ratio 1.447
Current Ratio QoQ 4.598 %
Current Ratio YoY -29.468 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.39
mean: 2.08
median: 1.841
CE: 1.447
low: 1.151
 Quick Ratio 0.871
Quick Ratio QoQ 2.037 %
Quick Ratio YoY -28.828 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.11
median: 1.566
mean: 1.542
CE: 0.871
low: 0.768
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 21.485
 Cost Of Debt 0.85 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 1.763
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 21.777 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 0.041 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 20.317
median: 8.846
mean: 8.058
CE: 1.763
low: -10.302
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.051
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 71.428
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 41.667
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.024
 Dividend Rate 0.03
 Dividend Yield 0.001
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.504 %
 Revenue Growth 6.034 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 0.0 %
Revenue Growth YoY 0.802 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 22.018 %
mean: 11.592 %
median: 8.591 %
CE: 6.034 %
low: 3.112 %
 Earnings Growth 188.235 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -52.941 %
Earnings Growth YoY -13.473 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA CE: 188.235 %
high: 162.222 %
mean: 25.472 %
median: 22.941 %
low: -75.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 22.456 %
Gross Margin QoQ 12.134 %
Gross Margin YoY 6.275 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 55.127 %
median: 44.071 %
mean: 39.84 %
CE: 22.456 %
low: 6.1 %
 EBIT Margin 11.919 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 5.115 %
EBIT Margin YoY -3.271 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 27.108 %
median: 17.711 %
mean: 15.865 %
CE: 11.919 %
low: -14.185 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 10.865 %
Return On Sales QoQ 45.937 %
Return On Sales YoY 10.484 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 29.895 %
median: 18.216 %
mean: 16.188 %
CE: 10.865 %
low: -13.199 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 147.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.679 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 1650.98 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -52.726 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 3.874 %
CE: 2.679 %
mean: 1.16 %
median: 0.65 %
low: -3.553 %
 Free Cash Growth 1370.0 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -1556.703 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -333.115 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA CE: 1370.0 %
high: 402.464 %
median: 208.696 %
mean: 197.013 %
low: -391.667 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.176
 Cash Flow Margin 7.485 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.648
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.02
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.579 %
Return On Assets QoQ 185.222 %
Return On Assets YoY -31.722 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.754 %
median: 1.946 %
mean: 1.433 %
CE: 0.579 %
low: -5.668 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.885 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.03
Return On Equity QoQ 177.008 %
Return On Equity YoY -20.467 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.073
median: 0.053
mean: 0.042
CE: 0.03
low: -0.114
 DuPont ROE 3.038 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.871 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 95.507 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 38.285 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 5.223 %
median: 2.614 %
mean: 2.413 %
CE: 1.871 %
low: -2.063 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term swing window favors range trade with bias toward downside pressure unless directional indicators shift: ADX remains below trend threshold, RSI rising from sub‑50 levels allows short squeezes but not sustained rallies, and MRO implies mean reversion risk. Catalyst set includes margin realization and any balance‑sheet actions; volatility measures remain low, favoring limited intrarange moves. Traders should watch DI lines for a decisive flip with DI+ rising above DI- alongside ADX moving above 20 to validate a stronger upside attempt toward the 50‑day average near $46.04 and the Ichimoku cloud at $47.74; absent those shifts, expect choppy action constrained by leverage considerations and band‑bound dynamics.

About Celanese Corporation

Celanese Corporation (NYSE:CE) designs and manufactures high-performance engineered polymers and acetyl products, serving a diverse range of industries globally. Headquartered in Irving, Texas, the company operates through two main segments: Engineered Materials and the Acetyl Chain. The Engineered Materials segment focuses on developing specialty polymers tailored for sectors such as automotive, medical, industrial, and consumer electronics, ensuring these materials meet the stringent demands of modern applications. The Acetyl Chain segment plays a crucial role in producing and distributing key acetyl products, including acetic acid, vinyl acetate monomers, and acetate esters. These components are vital in the formulation of colorants, paints, adhesives, coatings, and pharmaceuticals. Furthermore, Celanese provides vinyl acetate-based emulsions and ethylene vinyl acetate resins, which support industries like construction, textiles, and packaging. Since its founding in 1918, Celanese has maintained a commitment to innovation and quality, consistently delivering solutions that enhance product performance and sustainability. The company’s dedication to customer satisfaction and excellence continues to drive its growth and influence in the specialty materials industry worldwide.



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