VSE Corporation (NASDAQ:VSEC) Accelerates Margin Expansion After Strategic Acquisitions

Record second-quarter revenue and raised full-year guidance place VSE on a path toward higher consolidated margins while valuation metrics signal elevated investor expectations.

Recent News

On June 1, the company published its June 2026 investor conference schedule, noting management participation in multiple investor conferences in early June.

On August 6, the board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share, payable October 29, 2026, to holders of record as of October 15, 2026.

On August 13, VSE announced an August 2026 investor conference appearance (virtual), listing senior management attendees and engagement logistics.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 18.73 indicates no established trend; with the company valued as over-valued, the low ADX heightens the importance of short-term momentum and mean-reversion dynamics rather than trend-following moves.

Directional indicators show DI+ has completed a dip-and-reverse, a bullish directional inflection, while DI- sits at 22.71 and is increasing — the combination points to renewed short-term buying pressure that remains contested by rising negative-direction momentum.

MACD registered a dip-and-reversal, signaling improving momentum; however, MACD (4.17) remains below its signal line (5.31), so momentum has recovered from a low but has not yet produced a bullish MACD-signal-line crossover.

MRO reads 16.16 and the MRO trend shows a peak-and-reversal, which implies the current price sits above a model target and carries downside potential as the oscillator rolls over; this structural over-extension aligns with the over-valued WMDST classification.

RSI at 53.41 with a dip-and-reversal indicates renewed buying interest without overbought conditions, supporting a window for intermittent upside while momentum indicators remain non-confirmatory.

Price sits at $226.90, below the 20-day average ($228.40) but above the 50-day ($215.07) and 200-day ($196.30) averages; the 12-day EMA shows a peak-and-reversal, which signals short-term pressure despite longer-term moving-average support. Bollinger bands place the mid-to-upper trading range near $241; current price nearer the middle band suggests limited immediate volatility expansion.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Second-quarter 2026 reported revenue totaled $449.1 million, up 65.0% year-over-year; GAAP net income from continuing operations reached $28.5 million and adjusted EBITDA improved to $86.0 million with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 19.2%, and management raised full-year revenue and adjusted-EBITDA-margin guidance.

Operating and profitability metrics: operating margin equals 10.90% and EBIT margin equals 9.905%. Both sit below the industry peer mean (operating/EBIT margin industry peer mean approximately 24% for the provided comparator). The company reported operating income of $48.96 million and EBIT of $44,485,000 for the period; YoY and QoQ margin expansions reflect integration of higher-margin repair and product mix following acquisitions. (All margins shown as percentages.)

EPS and earnings quality: adjusted diluted EPS reported $1.75 versus an estimate of $0.93, producing an EPS surprise of $0.82 and an EPS surprise ratio of 88.17%. Forward EPS stands at $2.00 and forward P/E reads roughly 107.88x; trailing P/E at 114.15x. The magnitude of the EPS beat and elevated P/E multiples indicate investor expectations of continued earnings accretion tied to acquisition synergies and margin expansion.

Balance sheet and capital: total debt equals $1,025,600,000 with net debt of $871,597,000 and interest coverage near 8.51x. Current ratio measures 3.768 and quick ratio 1.303, both above the industry peer mean for current ratio. Free cash flow totaled $19,980,000 with a free-cash-flow yield of 0.356%. Cash conversion cycle days near 235 days exceed the industry peer mean noted, driven by inventory levels ($867,124,000) and extended inventory days.

Valuation context: price-to-book equals 1.91, below the industry peer mean book multiple of 2.82 and below the industry peer median of 3.64; price-to-sales sits at 12.48 and far exceeds the industry peer mean of 4.80. Enterprise multiple registers at 95.75x while enterprise value equals $6.55 billion. WMDST values the stock as over-valued, reflecting a premium multiple structure versus revenue and cash-flow yields despite accelerating margins and integration-driven earnings growth.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.2 B
 Operating Cash Flow 27.6 M
 Capital Expenditures -7.58 M
 Change In Working Capital -37.89 M
 Dividends Paid -2.81 M
 Cash Flow Delta -1.16 B
 End Period Cash Flow 75.4 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 449.1 M
 Forward Revenue 221.2 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 391.1 M
 Depreciation 24.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 24.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 400.2 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 58.0 M
 EBITDA 68.5 M
 EBIT 44.5 M
 Operating Income 49.0 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 5.2 M
 Net Interest Income -5.23 M
 Income Before Tax 39.3 M
 Tax Provision 10.7 M
 Tax Rate 27.339 %
 Net Income 28.5 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 28.5 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.93
 EPS Actual 1.75
 EPS Difference 0.82
 EPS Surprise 88.172 %
 Forward EPS 2.00
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 4.4 B
 Intangible Assets 2.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets 170.9 M
 Total Current Assets 1.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 75.4 M
 Cash 75.4 M
 Net Receivables 274.6 M
 Inventory 867.1 M
 Long-Term Investments 22.1 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 187.1 M
 Short-Term Debt 32.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 351.8 M
 Net Debt 871.6 M
 Total Debt 1.0 B
 Total Liabilities 1.5 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.9 B
 Retained Earnings 447.6 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 104.56
 Shares Outstanding 28.056 M
 Revenue Per-Share 16.01
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 5.6 B
 Enterprise Value 6.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 95.748
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -5.411 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -9.838 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA VSEC: 95.748
high: 90.591
median: 90.591
mean: 68.36
low: 3.625
 EV/R 14.594
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.499
 Asset To Liability 3.004
 Debt To Capital 0.259
 Debt To Assets 0.233
Debt To Assets QoQ 91.817 %
Debt To Assets YoY -10.486 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.715
median: 0.257
mean: 0.236
VSEC: 0.233
low: 0.006
 Debt To Equity 0.35
Debt To Equity QoQ 131.567 %
Debt To Equity YoY -17.957 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 4.864
mean: 0.576
median: 0.526
VSEC: 0.35
low: -2.499
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.911
Price To Book QoQ -6.396 %
Price To Book YoY -37.897 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 5.087
median: 3.636
mean: 2.822
VSEC: 1.911
low: -2.624
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 114.153
Price To Earnings QoQ -38.797 %
Price To Earnings YoY -86.691 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 139.848
median: 130.551
VSEC: 114.153
mean: 105.561
low: 5.27
 PE/G Ratio 2.303
 Price To Sales (P/S) 12.479
Price To Sales QoQ -25.575 %
Price To Sales YoY 12.69 %
Price To Sales IPRWA VSEC: 12.479
high: 8.925
mean: 4.803
median: 3.837
low: 0.992
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 107.877
Forward PE/G 2.176
Forward P/S 28.276
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 0.934
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.117
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.145 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -28.591 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.419
median: 0.28
mean: 0.222
VSEC: 0.117
low: 0.083
 Receivables Turnover 1.829
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 14.738 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 18.535 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.541
mean: 1.919
median: 1.875
VSEC: 1.829
low: 1.095
 Inventory Turnover 0.524
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.202 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -1.69 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 33.715
mean: 4.841
median: 0.835
VSEC: 0.524
low: 0.499
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 49.891
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 234.844
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 11.507 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 28.175 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA VSEC: 234.844
high: 181.32
median: 129.608
mean: 70.991
low: -259.334
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.461
 CapEx To Revenue -0.017
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.316
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 3.8 B
 Net Invested Capital 3.9 B
 Invested Capital 3.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets 170.9 M
 Net Working Capital 973.7 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.214
 Current Ratio 3.768
Current Ratio QoQ -57.076 %
Current Ratio YoY 1.01 %
Current Ratio IPRWA VSEC: 3.768
high: 3.111
mean: 1.489
median: 1.434
low: 0.69
 Quick Ratio 1.303
Quick Ratio QoQ -79.107 %
Quick Ratio YoY -9.356 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.956
VSEC: 1.303
mean: 0.886
median: 0.793
low: 0.524
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 14.981
 Cost Of Debt 0.532 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 8.506
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -52.391 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 143.501 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 26.098
median: 26.098
mean: 16.901
VSEC: 8.506
low: -1.727
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.591
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 53.507
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 10.165
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.098
 Dividend Rate 0.10
 Dividend Yield 0.001
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 32.826 %
 Revenue Growth 38.375 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 393.95 %
Revenue Growth YoY 510.484 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA VSEC: 38.375 %
high: 28.397 %
mean: 5.385 %
median: 2.244 %
low: -5.428 %
 Earnings Growth 49.573 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 709.752 %
Earnings Growth YoY -161.376 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 142.857 %
VSEC: 49.573 %
mean: 13.759 %
median: 1.613 %
low: -32.353 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 12.911 %
Gross Margin QoQ 7.592 %
Gross Margin YoY 13.235 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 89.285 %
median: 50.953 %
mean: 49.428 %
low: 17.714 %
VSEC: 12.911 %
 EBIT Margin 9.905 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -1.824 %
EBIT Margin YoY 19.727 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 37.531 %
mean: 23.658 %
median: 23.209 %
VSEC: 9.905 %
low: -10.144 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 10.9 %
Return On Sales QoQ 8.038 %
Return On Sales YoY 31.754 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 37.531 %
mean: 24.243 %
median: 23.688 %
VSEC: 10.9 %
low: 2.829 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 20.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.356 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -122.864 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 70.335 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 10.746 %
mean: 1.58 %
median: 0.87 %
VSEC: 0.356 %
low: -0.028 %
 Free Cash Growth -123.583 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -66.993 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 9.627 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 769.536 %
mean: 178.917 %
median: 15.555 %
VSEC: -123.583 %
low: -489.75 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.7
 Cash Flow Margin -46.279 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -7.287
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.74 %
Return On Assets QoQ -31.985 %
Return On Assets YoY 285.417 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.922 %
median: 4.922 %
mean: 3.693 %
VSEC: 0.74 %
low: -2.945 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.1 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.01
Return On Equity QoQ -10.826 %
Return On Equity YoY 198.16 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.143
median: 0.099
mean: 0.072
VSEC: 0.01
low: -0.058
 DuPont ROE 1.019 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.833 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -9.457 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -40.754 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 7.279 %
median: 7.021 %
mean: 5.143 %
VSEC: 0.833 %
low: -1.275 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term swing setups hinge on momentum confirmation: MACD needs a cross above its signal line to validate the dip-and-reversal momentum; failure to cross while the MRO remains positive raises the probability of a pullback toward the 50-day average. The ADX reading under 20 favors range-bound trades; RSI around 53 supports opportunity for controlled long exposure on momentum confirmation and tactical short exposure if MRO decay accelerates. Volatility and high 42-day beta suggest position sizing discipline if engaging multi-week swings.

About VSE Corporation

VSE Corporation (NASDAQ:VSEC) delivers a diverse range of aftermarket products and services across the United States. The company divides its operations into two primary segments: Aviation and Fleet. Within the Aviation segment, VSE Corporation supplies and distributes aftermarket parts, while also providing maintenance, repair, and overhaul services for components and engine accessories. This segment caters to a wide array of clients including commercial and regional airlines, cargo transporters, and private aircraft owners, among others. In the Fleet segment, VSE Corporation addresses the needs of the commercial aftermarket medium- and heavy-duty truck market by offering parts supply, inventory management, and e-commerce fulfillment. The segment also extends logistics and supply chain support, along with sustainment solutions and managed inventory services, to both government and commercial truck fleets. VSE Corporation, established in 1959, maintains its headquarters in Vienna, Virginia, continuing its legacy of service in the aviation and fleet industries.



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