Nutanix, Inc (NASDAQ:NTNX) Momentum Points Toward Continued Near-Term Strength

Nutanix enters the next several weeks with constructive momentum, supported by recent product and capital-allocation catalysts alongside a clear technical uptrend. Near-term risk centers on overbought breadth and a discrete restructuring charge announced in August.

Recent News

May 27, 2026: Q3 fiscal results published showing ARR growth and a $750 million increase to the share-repurchase authorization; June 1–30, 2026: product and ecosystem items including NVIDIA validation, community and education grants; July 15, 2026: new regulated-industry data on Shadow AI and data sovereignty; August 4, 2026: company announced a plan to reduce global headcount by ~5% with estimated pre-tax charges of $33–$43 million; August 6–10, 2026: company scheduled Q4 results and announced Model Context MCP server for agentic AI; August 18, 2026: new ChronoScale partnership to accelerate enterprise AI workflows.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 42.95 signals a very-strong trend, indicating directional momentum carries weight for near-term price action and validates continuation scenarios implied by valuation upside.

DI+ sits at 40.34 and is increasing, which presents a bullish directional bias and supports the view that upside continuation remains more likely than a decisive trend reversal.

DI‑ registered a dip & reversal at 12.89, a bearish sign that reflects renewed selling pressure episodes; the coexistence of DI+ increasing and DI‑ dipping suggests trend-force dominance but intermittent downside risk.

MACD at 3.28 is increasing and currently above its signal line at 2.94, which constitutes a bullish momentum confirmation that reinforces near-term upside potential.

MRO reads 8.28 and is increasing; because MRO is positive, price sits above the model target and the indicator flags mean-reversion risk into the short term despite growing momentum.

RSI at 67.29 has formed a peak & reversal, a bearish short-term sign that raises the probability of a corrective pullback or consolidation before any further leg higher.

Price trades above the 12-day, 26-day EMAs and above the 20-, 50- and 200-day averages (price close $65.83 vs. 200-day $49.15), reinforcing trend alignment with medium-term valuation improvement; the Ichimoku Tenkan (63.45) and Kijun (60.55) sit below price, supporting the same bias.

Bollinger context shows price near the upper 1σ band (upper 1σ $66.34), implying compressed upside room before volatility-driven reversion; the super-trend lower at $62.29 provides a nearby technical support reference.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $703.1 million with YoY revenue growth of 13.73% and a QoQ revenue change of -135.09% (reported QoQ figure). ARR expanded and free cash flow remained positive at $197.2 million; free cash flow yield measures 1.72%, a material improvement versus the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 0.75%.

Operating performance shows GAAP operating margin of 10.03% and EBIT margin of 11.99%; EBIT margin improved YoY by 13.44% but declined QoQ by 13.75%. The EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean of 39.80% and below the industry peer median of 49.87%, indicating material operating leverage opportunity relative to peers.

Profitability mixed: return on invested capital at 12.02% exceeds the industry peer mean of 6.12%, while return on equity registers -9.94%, below the industry peer mean of 6.88%, reflecting a negative equity base and capital-structure effects on ROE.

Leverage and liquidity: total debt $1.529 billion with net debt $628.7 million; debt-to-EBITDA reads 15.07x while interest coverage equals 28.14x. Current ratio equals 1.78 and cash plus short-term investments total $2.018 billion, providing liquidity to fund restructuring charges and strategic investments cited in recent releases.

Valuation multiples show PE ~91.79 and forward PE ~75.82; price-to-book registers negative at -15.85, which falls below the industry peer range low of -10.15. EPS beat consensus by $0.12 on the most recent release, a 34.3% surprise versus estimates (EPS actual $0.47 vs. estimate $0.35).

R&D and operating investment remain sizable (R&D $196.1 million; total operating expenses $632.6 million), which aligns with high gross margin (86.88%) but compresses operating margin versus software peers. The current valuation as determined by WMDST remains under-valued based on present free cash flow yield, cash balances, and improvement in ARR metrics.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-04-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-27
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-26
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 603.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 207.5 M
 Capital Expenditures -10.32 M
 Change In Working Capital 26.6 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 115.4 M
 End Period Cash Flow 718.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 703.1 M
 Forward Revenue 356.1 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 92.3 M
 Depreciation 17.1 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 17.2 M
 Research and Development 196.1 M
 Total Operating Expenses 632.6 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 610.8 M
 EBITDA 101.5 M
 EBIT 84.3 M
 Operating Income 70.5 M
 Interest Income 17.5 M
 Interest Expense 3.0 M
 Net Interest Income 14.5 M
 Income Before Tax 81.3 M
 Tax Provision 9.2 M
 Tax Rate 11.347 %
 Net Income 72.1 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 72.1 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.35
 EPS Actual 0.47
 EPS Difference 0.12
 EPS Surprise 34.286 %
 Forward EPS 0.55
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 3.4 B
 Intangible Assets 187.3 M
 Net Tangible Assets -912.88 M
 Total Current Assets 2.6 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.0 B
 Cash 718.8 M
 Net Receivables 251.6 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 126.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 84.4 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 1.5 B
 Net Debt 628.7 M
 Total Debt 1.5 B
 Total Liabilities 4.1 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity -725.61 M
 Retained Earnings -4.94 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share -2.72
 Shares Outstanding 266.525 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.64
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 11.5 B
 Enterprise Value 11.0 B
 Enterprise Multiple 108.504
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 4.193 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -50.744 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 477.541
NTNX: 108.504
mean: 78.359
median: 52.352
low: -246.135
 EV/R 15.66
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity -4.711
 Asset To Liability 0.825
 Debt To Capital 1.903
 Debt To Assets 0.447
Debt To Assets QoQ -5.021 %
Debt To Assets YoY -6.924 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.037
NTNX: 0.447
mean: 0.162
median: 0.075
low: 0.005
 Debt To Equity -2.107
Debt To Equity QoQ 13.517 %
Debt To Equity YoY 0.747 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.078
mean: 0.252
median: 0.128
low: -1.908
NTNX: -2.107
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) -15.847
Price To Book QoQ 3.921 %
Price To Book YoY -41.419 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 19.185
mean: 7.616
median: 6.661
low: -10.151
NTNX: -15.847
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 91.794
Price To Earnings QoQ 7.716 %
Price To Earnings YoY -46.255 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 359.099
mean: 107.321
NTNX: 91.794
median: 81.648
low: -196.279
 PE/G Ratio -5.712
 Price To Sales (P/S) 16.355
Price To Sales QoQ -6.74 %
Price To Sales YoY -45.697 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 81.172
mean: 34.063
median: 32.739
NTNX: 16.355
low: 0.213
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 75.817
Forward PE/G -4.718
Forward P/S 32.318
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 5.893
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.21
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.109 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 0.0 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.368
NTNX: 0.21
mean: 0.128
median: 0.124
low: 0.002
 Receivables Turnover 2.745
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 13.286 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 28.362 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 5.131
NTNX: 2.745
mean: 1.416
median: 1.277
low: 0.46
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 33.238
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -56.99
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -2.376 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 576.642 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 180.031
mean: -22.918
NTNX: -56.99
median: -60.051
low: -179.144
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.616
 CapEx To Revenue -0.015
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.605
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 621.9 M
 Net Invested Capital 621.9 M
 Invested Capital 621.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets -912.88 M
 Net Working Capital 1.1 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.373
 Current Ratio 1.777
Current Ratio QoQ 7.374 %
Current Ratio YoY -5.572 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 7.228
NTNX: 1.777
mean: 1.733
median: 1.23
low: 0.314
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 15.068
 Cost Of Debt 0.173 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 28.141
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -16.137 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 22.897 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 86.943
median: 53.499
mean: 37.42
NTNX: 28.141
low: -64.202
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.059
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 90.228
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 4.324 %
 Revenue Growth -2.734 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -135.087 %
Revenue Growth YoY 13.727 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 18.552 %
median: 8.591 %
mean: 8.164 %
NTNX: -2.734 %
low: -13.038 %
 Earnings Growth -16.071 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -143.928 %
Earnings Growth YoY -35.716 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 66.142 %
mean: 11.683 %
median: 10.345 %
NTNX: -16.071 %
low: -73.529 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 86.875 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.57 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.157 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 90.951 %
NTNX: 86.875 %
mean: 71.187 %
median: 67.197 %
low: 35.718 %
 EBIT Margin 11.992 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -13.751 %
EBIT Margin YoY 13.442 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 80.922 %
median: 49.869 %
mean: 39.799 %
NTNX: 11.992 %
low: -32.768 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 10.029 %
Return On Sales QoQ -13.84 %
Return On Sales YoY -5.127 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 77.678 %
median: 45.111 %
mean: 36.08 %
NTNX: 10.029 %
low: -32.768 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 197.2 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.715 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 13.576 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 62.252 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.981 %
NTNX: 1.715 %
mean: 0.747 %
median: 0.666 %
low: -3.884 %
 Free Cash Growth 3.011 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -68.93 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -65.545 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 215.912 %
median: 24.274 %
mean: 9.804 %
NTNX: 3.011 %
low: -222.15 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.735
 Cash Flow Margin 12.306 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.2
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.153 %
Return On Assets QoQ -31.016 %
Return On Assets YoY 3.41 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 9.707 %
median: 4.924 %
mean: 3.95 %
NTNX: 2.153 %
low: -9.216 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.327 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.099
Return On Equity QoQ -19.834 %
Return On Equity YoY 11.554 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.188
median: 0.081
mean: 0.069
NTNX: -0.099
low: -0.266
 DuPont ROE -9.26 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 12.019 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 2.648 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 14.499 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 19.61 %
NTNX: 12.019 %
median: 7.551 %
mean: 6.124 %
low: -13.889 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technically, momentum and a MACD cross favor continuation, while RSI peak-and-reversal and a positive MRO indicate heightened reversion risk; these combine to favor a higher-probability path of continued trend with intermittent pullbacks. Near-term catalysts include the company’s fiscal fourth-quarter report scheduled for Aug. 26, 2026 and the announced workforce reduction with estimated pre-tax charges of $33–$43 million; both events should increase headline volatility. For swing timeframes expect the market to weigh follow-through from product and partner announcements against headline-driven earnings adjustments, with technical support near the super-trend lower and moving-average cluster and resistance toward the recent upper Bollinger band.

About Nutanix, Inc.

Nutanix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NTNX) develops an enterprise cloud platform that serves a global market, including North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa. The company offers a hyperconverged infrastructure software stack, integrating virtualization, storage, and networking into a comprehensive solution. Nutanix’s Acropolis Hypervisor delivers enterprise-grade virtualization capabilities, while its Flow Virtual Networking and Flow Network Security enhance network visualization, automate operations, and facilitate virtual private network creation. The Nutanix Kubernetes Engine streamlines the deployment and management of Kubernetes clusters, optimizing cloud-native environments and applications. Nutanix Cloud Clusters and Nutanix Cloud Management provide advanced management, capacity planning, operational analytics, and multicloud orchestration. The company also offers Nutanix Files, a robust network file system, and Nutanix Objects, a S3-compatible object storage service. Nutanix Data Lens ensures data security governance, and the Nutanix database service simplifies database administration. Additionally, Nutanix provides comprehensive product support, consulting, and implementation services. The company’s diverse clientele spans industries such as automotive, education, energy, financial services, healthcare, manufacturing, media, public sector, retail, technology, telecommunications, and service providers. Founded in 2009, Nutanix, Inc. maintains its headquarters in San Jose, California.



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