Keros Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:KROS) Triggers Short-Term Retracement Amid Liquidity Repricing

Keros shows concentrated technical weakness despite ample cash and a recent milestone that recalibrates near-term funding. Fundamentals reflect ongoing development expense declines but persistent losses, leaving valuation labeled over-valued by WMDST.

Recent News

June 1, 2026 — Keros announced that President and CEO Jasbir Seehra will present in a fireside chat at the Goldman Sachs 47th Annual Global Healthcare Conference on June 8, 2026. June 25, 2026 — Keros named Anne Prener, M.D., Ph.D., to its Board of Directors effective July 1, 2026. July 30, 2026 — Keros said it will receive a $20.0 million development milestone payment from partner Takeda following first-patient dosing in the ELRiSE MDS trial. July 17–22, 2026 (filed) — The company recorded the resignation of CFO Keith Regnante, effective August 3, 2026. August 3–4, 2026 — Keros issued second-quarter 2026 financial results covering the period ended June 30, 2026.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators (ADX/DI+/DI-): ADX registers 21.47, indicating an emerging trend rather than a strong directional move; DI+ registers 20.56 with a peak-and-reversal, which reads as bearish pressure, while DI- at 14.02 and decreasing signals some diminishing downside momentum. Together, directional signals favor near-term range work with a bias toward retracement against longer-term averages.

MACD and signal: MACD sits at -0.04 versus a signal of -0.08, producing a recent cross above the signal line that constitutes a short-term bullish trigger; concurrently the MACD_trend shows a peak-and-reversal, which signals momentum rolling lower and increases the likelihood of mean reversion toward moving averages.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO reads -3.37 with an increasing trend. The negative MRO places price below the target and therefore implies modest upside potential back toward the modeled target; the small absolute value suggests that any upside from momentum alone likely remains limited.

RSI and momentum: RSI measures 47.1 with a peak-and-reversal, which indicates loss of recent upside conviction and favors further consolidation or pullback rather than fresh advance above short-term resistance.

Price vs moving averages and bands: Closing price at $10.10 sits below the 20-day average $10.41 and 50-day average $10.61, and well below the 200-day average $14.04, signaling pressure relative to longer-term trend. Price occupies the lower half of the 1x Bollinger band band (lower $9.94, upper $10.88) and rests just above the superTrend lower at $9.82, making that band and the $9.82 level the nearest technical support confluence. Volume at 315,067 outpaced the 10-day average 249,537, indicating above-normal activity during the latest session but remaining below the 200-day average.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and earnings: Net income for the period ended June 30, 2026 registers a loss of $28,710,000 and EBIT of $-30,937,000; EPS arrived at $-1.45 versus an estimate of $-1.24, producing an EPS surprise of -16.94%. Negative operating cash flow totaled $27,985,000 and free cash flow measured $-20,576,000 for the period.

Liquidity and capital structure: Cash and short-term investments stood at $257,606,000 as of 2026-06-30, down $23,891,000 from the beginning cash balance; the current ratio reads 21.96 and the cash ratio reads 21.20, reflecting a large liquidity cushion. Total debt runs $15,724,000, debt-to-assets at 5.47% and debt-to-equity at 5.99%, showing a low leverage profile.

Revenue and spending trends: YoY revenue growth contracted by 94.89%, while sequential revenue reads about -4.68% year-over baseline movement; research and development expense dropped to $22.33 million for the quarter from $43.5 million a year earlier, consistent with program transitions to partners. Earnings growth reported at 19.84% on a headline basis, though quarterly and yearly growth metrics show volatility (earnings growth QoQ -51.26%, YoY -116.39%).

Valuation metrics and peer context: Price-to-book stands at 0.8326 while book value equals $13.23 per share; the company’s P/B lies well below the industry peer mean of 8.38626 and industry peer median of 6.33402. Enterprise value registers negative $23,487,903 with an enterprise multiple of 0.76921, driven by net cash that exceeds market capitalization ($257.6M cash vs $218.4M market cap). Free cash flow yield reads -9.42% and forward EPS remains negative at $-1.65, producing a forward PE of -7.15. WMDST values the stock as over-valued, reflecting the persistence of operating losses and limited revenue traction despite a strong cash position.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-03
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-02
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 282.9 M
 Operating Cash Flow -27.98 M
 Capital Expenditures -155.00 K
 Change In Working Capital 1.9 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -23.89 M
 End Period Cash Flow 259.1 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue
 Forward Revenue
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation 402.0 K
 Depreciation and Amortization 402.0 K
 Research and Development 22.3 M
 Total Operating Expenses 30.9 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA -30.54 M
 EBIT -30.94 M
 Operating Income -30.94 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income
 Income Before Tax -28.71 M
 Tax Provision
 Tax Rate
 Net Income -28.71 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -28.71 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -1.24
 EPS Actual -1.45
 EPS Difference -0.21
 EPS Surprise -16.935 %
 Forward EPS -1.65
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 287.6 M
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 262.3 M
 Total Current Assets 266.9 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 257.6 M
 Cash 257.6 M
 Net Receivables
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 1.4 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 1.8 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 12.2 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 15.7 M
 Total Liabilities 25.3 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 262.3 M
 Retained Earnings -534.18 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 13.23
 Shares Outstanding 19.827 M
 Revenue Per-Share
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 218.4 M
 Enterprise Value -23.49 M
 Enterprise Multiple 0.769
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 40.16 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -65.49 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 148.972
median: 38.141
mean: 19.86
KROS: 0.769
low: -178.99
 EV/R
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.096
 Asset To Liability 11.377
 Debt To Capital 0.057
 Debt To Assets 0.055
Debt To Assets QoQ 4.672 %
Debt To Assets YoY 130.578 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.833
mean: 0.281
median: 0.223
KROS: 0.055
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 0.06
Debt To Equity QoQ 4.955 %
Debt To Equity YoY 135.984 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.719
mean: 0.307
median: 0.098
KROS: 0.06
low: -0.777
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.833
Price To Book QoQ -5.336 %
Price To Book YoY 0.694 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 18.326
mean: 8.386
median: 6.334
KROS: 0.833
low: -9.25
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -7.596
Price To Earnings QoQ -27.797 %
Price To Earnings YoY -59.273 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 160.554
median: 40.973
mean: 20.569
KROS: -7.596
low: -176.575
 PE/G Ratio -0.383
 Price To Sales (P/S)
Price To Sales QoQ
Price To Sales YoY
Price To Sales IPRWA
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -7.153
Forward PE/G -0.361
Forward P/S
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 564.313
median: 244.94
mean: 168.335
KROS: 0
low: -329.732
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.386
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 262.3 M
 Net Invested Capital 262.3 M
 Invested Capital 262.3 M
 Net Tangible Assets 262.3 M
 Net Working Capital 254.7 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 21.197
 Current Ratio 21.96
Current Ratio QoQ -2.897 %
Current Ratio YoY 4.007 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 31.351
KROS: 21.96
mean: 4.797
median: 3.163
low: 0.34
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -0.515
 Cost Of Debt 0.059 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -3093.7
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 19.554 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -22.302 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 533.0
mean: 42.178
median: 2.337
low: -1501.103
KROS: -3093.7
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -2.303
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -7.907 %
 Revenue Growth -4.675 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -0.0 %
Revenue Growth YoY -94.885 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 278.717 %
mean: 15.344 %
median: 11.617 %
KROS: -4.675 %
low: -242.388 %
 Earnings Growth 19.835 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -51.263 %
Earnings Growth YoY -116.393 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 185.714 %
KROS: 19.835 %
median: 13.636 %
mean: 10.746 %
low: -220.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -20.58 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -9.422 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 557.043 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 81.437 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 13.067 %
median: 0.852 %
mean: 0.546 %
KROS: -9.422 %
low: -26.527 %
 Free Cash Growth 471.238 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -642.488 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -496.355 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA KROS: 471.238 %
high: 175.34 %
mean: 20.27 %
median: 1.424 %
low: -249.171 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.717
 Cash Flow Margin
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.975
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA) -9.572 %
Return On Assets QoQ 31.285 %
Return On Assets YoY 140.382 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 20.575 %
median: 0.317 %
mean: -4.025 %
KROS: -9.572 %
low: -44.847 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -11.232 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.109
Return On Equity QoQ 31.867 %
Return On Equity YoY 152.015 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.462
median: 0.006
mean: -0.103
KROS: -0.109
low: -0.887
 DuPont ROE
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price bias leans toward consolidation with downside risk to the superTrend lower at $9.82 and the 2x lower Bollinger band at $9.48; a sustained move below those levels would extend pressure toward the 52-week low. Short-term upside faces resistance around the 20-day average ~ $10.41 and the 1x Bollinger upper near $10.88, with the consensus price target mean near $10.33 acting as an intramonth reference. Technical momentum signals (MACD peak-and-reversal, RSI peak-and-reversal) favor range-bound or mildly bearish action over the coming six weeks, while the negative MRO and the company’s cash cushion provide limited counterweight for episodic rallies driven by corporate news such as milestone receipts or trial updates.

About Keros Therapeutics, Inc.

Keros Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:KROS) develops and commercializes innovative therapeutics targeting disorders associated with dysfunctional signaling of the transforming growth factor-beta family of proteins. Headquartered in Lexington, Massachusetts, this clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company advances its lead product candidate, KER-050, aimed at treating cytopenias, including anemia and thrombocytopenia, particularly in patients with myelodysplastic syndromes and myelofibrosis. Keros Therapeutics also progresses with KER-012, currently in Phase II clinical trials, designed to address pulmonary arterial hypertension and cardiovascular disorders. Additionally, KER-065 enters Phase I clinical trials targeting obesity and neuromuscular diseases. The company collaborates with Hansoh (Shanghai) Healthtech Co., Ltd., enhancing its capabilities to develop, manufacture, and commercialize KER-050 and related licensed products. Founded in 2015, Keros Therapeutics commits to advancing its pipeline and addressing unmet medical needs through targeted therapeutic development.



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