STMicroelectronics N.V. (NYSE:STM) Accelerates Data-Center And Security Push While Technicals Signal Near-Term Upside

STMicroelectronics shows strengthening short-term momentum even as core revenue and margin metrics remain under pressure; technicals suggest a tactical recovery attempt while fundamentals constrain a re-rating. The current WMDST valuation labels the stock as over-valued.

Recent News

On June 16, the company priced a dual‑tranche convertible bond offering totaling approximately $1.5 billion; in late June ST announced a new secure mobile processor (ST54M) that integrates post‑quantum cryptography acceleration alongside NFC and eSIM functionality; ST disclosed supply‑chain capacity ramp plans tied to accelerating AI data‑center demand in early June; multiple small open‑market ordinary share repurchases occurred in July and mid‑July updates showed continued buyback activity.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 31.84 signals a strong trend environment; this strength increases the significance of directional signals for near‑term price movement and implies momentum-driven moves likely persist until materially reversed.

Directional indicators improved: DI+ registered a dip‑and‑reversal at 19.04 (bullish) while DI‑ sits at 38.08 and shows a decreasing trend (bullish). Together these moves favor short‑term upside attempts, aligning with the ADX strength to suggest trend continuation if DI+ holds its reversal.

MACD sits at −3.63 with the signal at −3.70 and the MACD has crossed above its signal line — a classic bullish momentum trigger. The MACD trend shows a dip‑and‑reversal, reinforcing a shift from declining to improving momentum for price action in the coming weeks.

MRO reads −19.56 and has turned on a dip‑and‑reversal; the negative value indicates price below target and therefore potential for price appreciation as MRO moves toward zero. The magnitude suggests a meaningful technical potential for near‑term mean reversion if momentum keeps building.

RSI at 44.65 recently completed a dip‑and‑reversal, indicating that the internal momentum measures have begun to climb from a pullback and can support additional upside before reaching overbought extremes.

Price sits at $54.35 inside the Bollinger 1‑sigma band (lower $49.22 / upper $58.08) and below the 50‑day average ($66.88) but above the 20‑day average ($53.65). The 12‑day EMA shows a dip‑and‑reversal and the 200‑day average remains lower at $42.63, so the near‑term technical setup favors a rebound toward first resistance near the super trend upper value of $59.25 and the analyst price‑target mean of $61.28 if momentum persists. Short‑term beta (42‑day) remains elevated at 4.13, indicating outsized sensitivity to market moves and adding volatility risk to any rally attempt.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Total revenue for the period equals $3,095,000,000 with YoY revenue growth at −70.877% and a trailing revenue growth value of −7.057%; these figures show material top‑line contraction year‑over‑year while more recent growth metrics remain negative. Gross profit measured $1,045,000,000 and gross margin equaled 33.764%.

Operating metrics narrow: EBIT stands at $66,000,000, producing an EBIT margin of 3.102%. That margin sits well below the industry peer mean of 37.198% and below the industry peer median of 32.662%. QoQ EBIT margin fell by −35.442% and YoY change shows −305.43% based on the reported values, indicating substantial margin compression over both intervals.

Earnings per share came in at $0.24 versus an estimate of $0.27, a shortfall of $0.03 or −11.11% on the surprise ratio. Free cash flow registered negative $32,000,000 with a free cash flow yield of 0.503%, while operating cash flow of $534,000,000 kept liquidity supportive: cash and short‑term investments total $4,571,000,000 and the current ratio equals 3.31 with a quick ratio of 2.34.

Leverage remains manageable: total debt equals $2,783,000,000, net debt $680,000,000, debt‑to‑EBITDA stands at 4.67 and interest coverage approximates 7.38x. Return measures show compression: return on assets registers 0.148% and return on equity 0.208%.

Valuation context: trailing PE reads 866.69 while forward PE stands at 64.18. WMDST values the stock as over‑valued. Enterprise value measures at $28,809,565,438 with an enterprise multiple of 52.38 and an EVR of 9.30842; price‑target mean among analysts sits at $61.28, above current price yet within a range that reflects elevated valuation multiples versus near‑term cash flow generation.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-07-23
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-10-22
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 2.8 B
 Operating Cash Flow 534.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -566.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -3.00 M
 Dividends Paid -71.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -948.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.9 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 3.1 B
 Forward Revenue 11.7 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 2.0 B
 Depreciation 426.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 454.0 M
 Research and Development 520.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 3.0 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.0 B
 EBITDA 520.0 M
 EBIT 66.0 M
 Operating Income 96.0 M
 Interest Income 39.0 M
 Interest Expense 13.0 M
 Net Interest Income 26.0 M
 Income Before Tax 53.0 M
 Tax Provision 10.0 M
 Tax Rate 18.868 %
 Net Income 37.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 43.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.27
 EPS Actual 0.24
 EPS Difference -0.03
 EPS Surprise -11.111 %
 Forward EPS 0.63
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 25.1 B
 Intangible Assets 1.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 16.3 B
 Total Current Assets 10.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 4.6 B
 Cash 1.9 B
 Net Receivables 1.8 B
 Inventory 3.2 B
 Long-Term Investments 50.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 1.4 B
 Short-Term Debt 319.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 3.3 B
 Net Debt 680.0 M
 Total Debt 2.8 B
 Total Liabilities 7.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 17.8 B
 Retained Earnings 13.1 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 19.99
 Shares Outstanding 888.794 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.48
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 30.8 B
 Enterprise Value 28.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 52.381
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 57.22 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 17.133 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 394.414
mean: 56.181
STM: 52.381
median: 22.264
low: -438.379
 EV/R 9.308
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.414
 Asset To Liability 3.611
 Debt To Capital 0.126
 Debt To Assets 0.102
Debt To Assets QoQ 7.701 %
Debt To Assets YoY -11.443 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.579
mean: 0.153
median: 0.106
STM: 0.102
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.145
Debt To Equity QoQ 9.505 %
Debt To Equity YoY -10.912 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.784
mean: 0.284
median: 0.149
STM: 0.145
low: 0.003
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.734
Price To Book QoQ 29.403 %
Price To Book YoY 49.779 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 18.637
mean: 5.808
median: 5.73
STM: 1.734
low: 0.296
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 866.693
Price To Earnings QoQ 254.662 %
Price To Earnings YoY 164.402 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA STM: 866.693
high: 539.07
mean: 88.75
median: 52.779
low: -151.151
 PE/G Ratio -13.62
 Price To Sales (P/S) 9.955
Price To Sales QoQ 38.76 %
Price To Sales YoY 22.097 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 218.897
mean: 26.158
median: 17.401
STM: 9.955
low: 0.418
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 64.181
Forward PE/G -1.009
Forward P/S 3.421
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 5.668
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.124
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -7.884 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 22.307 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.255
median: 0.192
mean: 0.188
STM: 0.124
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 1.736
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -12.271 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 8.098 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.864
mean: 2.072
median: 2.039
STM: 1.736
low: 0.55
 Inventory Turnover 0.65
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.094 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 12.604 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.183
median: 0.725
mean: 0.704
STM: 0.65
low: 0.221
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 52.554
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 124.141
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 4.696 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -1.031 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 330.889
STM: 124.141
mean: 119.796
median: 119.741
low: -57.656
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.409
 CapEx To Revenue -0.122
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.835
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 20.0 B
 Net Invested Capital 20.3 B
 Invested Capital 20.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets 16.3 B
 Net Working Capital 7.6 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.399
 Current Ratio 3.313
Current Ratio QoQ -1.499 %
Current Ratio YoY 8.586 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 19.487
STM: 3.313
mean: 3.118
median: 2.897
low: 0.475
 Quick Ratio 2.342
Quick Ratio QoQ -3.523 %
Quick Ratio YoY 4.326 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 11.279
mean: 2.429
STM: 2.342
median: 2.319
low: 0.421
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 4.671
 Cost Of Debt 0.428 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 7.385
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -40.0 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -488.664 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 87.858
mean: 13.103
median: 12.548
STM: 7.385
low: -116.6
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.1
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 61.799
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.521
 Dividend Payout Ratio 1.919
 Dividend Rate 0.08
 Dividend Yield 0.002
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.331 %
 Revenue Growth -7.057 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -257.277 %
Revenue Growth YoY -70.877 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 74.888 %
mean: 28.376 %
median: 3.547 %
STM: -7.057 %
low: -66.446 %
 Earnings Growth -63.636 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 2.525 %
Earnings Growth YoY -21.516 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 155.23 %
mean: 54.418 %
median: 8.85 %
STM: -63.636 %
low: -188.889 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 33.764 %
Gross Margin QoQ -4.066 %
Gross Margin YoY 1.05 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 86.201 %
median: 64.709 %
mean: 58.164 %
STM: 33.764 %
low: -27.549 %
 EBIT Margin 3.102 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -35.442 %
EBIT Margin YoY -305.43 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 67.863 %
mean: 37.198 %
median: 32.662 %
STM: 3.102 %
low: -257.944 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 3.102 %
Return On Sales QoQ -50.097 %
Return On Sales YoY -305.43 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 67.624 %
mean: 37.554 %
median: 33.067 %
STM: 3.102 %
low: -257.944 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -32.00 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.503 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -11.599 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 187.429 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 9.541 %
median: 1.294 %
STM: 0.503 %
mean: 0.187 %
low: -12.802 %
 Free Cash Growth 13.971 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -61.192 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -131.315 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 263.082 %
median: 38.554 %
mean: 24.745 %
STM: 13.971 %
low: -265.342 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 4.189
 Cash Flow Margin 10.598 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 8.865
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.148 %
Return On Assets QoQ -222.314 %
Return On Assets YoY -34.513 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 14.706 %
median: 13.379 %
mean: 8.501 %
STM: 0.148 %
low: -11.994 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.439 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.002
Return On Equity QoQ -223.81 %
Return On Equity YoY -34.177 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.27
median: 0.19
mean: 0.123
STM: 0.002
low: -0.401
 DuPont ROE 0.208 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.383 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -42.406 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -353.642 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 7.994 %
median: 2.605 %
mean: 2.496 %
STM: 0.383 %
low: -7.726 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technicals favor a tactical upside window if the MACD‑signal crossover holds and DI+ sustains its reversal: expect attempts toward near‑term resistance around $59–$61. Volume dynamics and the elevated short‑term beta can produce rapid moves in either direction; a failure to build sustained volume on rallies would likely leave the stock capped below the 50‑day average near $66.88. Fundamental constraints — pronounced YoY revenue decline, compressed EBIT margin well below the industry peer mean, a negative free cash flow print, and WMDST’s over‑valued assessment — reduce the probability of a durable re‑rating in the near term, limiting the size and sustainability of any rally over the next six weeks.

About STMicroelectronics N.V.

STMicroelectronics N.V. (NYSE:STM) designs, develops, and manufactures semiconductor products across multiple regions, including Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through three main segments: Automotive and Discrete Group, Analog, MEMS and Sensors Group, and Microcontrollers and Digital ICs Group. The Automotive and Discrete Group delivers automotive integrated circuits and discrete power transistor products. The Analog, MEMS and Sensors Group provides industrial application-specific integrated circuits, general-purpose analog products, and MEMS products, including sensors and actuators. This segment also offers wireless charging solutions, touch screen controllers, and optical sensing solutions. The Microcontrollers and Digital ICs Group focuses on general-purpose and secure microcontrollers, as well as radio frequency products. STMicroelectronics serves a diverse range of markets, including automotive, industrial, personal electronics, communications equipment, and computers and peripherals. The company distributes its products through a network of distributors, retailers, and sales representatives. Founded in 1987, STMicroelectronics maintains its headquarters in Geneva, Switzerland.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.