Magnite, Inc (NASDAQ:MGNI) Posts Bullish Technical Momentum While Valuation Remains Overvalued

Momentum indicators favor continued near-term strength, yet multiple valuation metrics and cash-flow dynamics keep the company classified as over-valued by WMDST. Market action should therefore be interpreted as momentum-driven rather than value-driven.

Recent News

On June 8, 2026 Magnite’s annual meeting re-elected three Class III directors and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as auditor; the related Form 8-K filed June 11 reports the vote outcomes. In late May–June the company highlighted commercial partnerships and platform integrations with publishers and buyers across CTV and omnichannel inventory, naming several deal expansions and integrations. Market outlets reported insider share sales in June and related market commentary during the period.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators: ADX sits at 27.92, indicating a strong trend strength; DI+ shows a dip & reversal and DI- shows a peak & reversal, both of which constitute bullish directional readings that support short-term upward price bias relative to the WMDST valuation.

MACD and signal: MACD reads 0.78 with a dip & reversal trend and sits above the signal line (0.58), confirming bullish momentum and suggesting continuation of recent buying pressure that has pushed price above shorter-term averages.

Price vs averages and bands: The 12-day EMA sits at $20.44 and the 20-day average at $19.68 while the 200-day average equals $15.21; the last close of $24.32 trades well above all listed averages and above the upper Bollinger band levels ($21.42 for 1×, $23.17 for 2×), signaling an extended short-term posture that heightens mean-reversion risk relative to model targets.

MRO: MRO reads 4.79 with a dip & reversal trend. Because MRO currently sits positive, the price sits above the modeled target and faces downside pressure toward that target even as momentum indicators remain constructive.

RSI and volatility: RSI at 63.07 with a dip & reversal trend reflects sustained buying without reaching classic overbought extremes; 42-day volatility near 4% and elevated volume (10-day avg ~2.80M vs current ~9.99M) indicate episodes of concentrated flows that can amplify short-term moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: EBIT equals $10,739,000 and EBITDA equals $25,106,000; EBIT margin stands at 6.53%. That EBIT margin remains well below the industry peer mean (61.87%) and industry peer median (70.93%). QoQ change in EBIT margin registers -68.71% and YoY change reports -592.31% (reported values as provided), indicating substantial margin compression on sequential and year-over-year bases.

Revenue and growth: Reported total revenue equals $164,371,000 with YoY revenue growth of 1.35% and a QoQ change of -238.52% (reported value). Asset turnover equals 0.0538, signaling low revenue generated per dollar of assets; this metric sits below the industry peer mean of 0.16204.

Cash flow and liquidity: Operating cash flow shows -$120,766,000 and free cash flow equals -$133,886,000, yielding a free cash flow yield of -7.10%. Cash flow margin equals -79.91%. Cash and short-term investments total $184,648,000 while the cash ratio stands at 0.1139, reflecting limited near-term liquid coverage of current liabilities.

Capital structure and coverage: Total debt equals $429,667,000 with net debt near $166,201,000 and debt-to-EBITDA about 17.11x. Interest coverage registers 1.53×, well below the industry peer mean of 30.34×, indicating constrained earnings capacity to cover interest expense versus peers.

Valuation metrics and earnings: Trailing P/E equals 101.21× while forward P/E equals 43.82×; price-to-sales equals 11.47× and enterprise multiple reads 84.86×. EPS for the last reported period equaled $0.13 versus estimate $0.11, producing an EPS surprise of +18.18%. WMDST values the stock as over-valued, a conclusion supported by elevated P/E and enterprise multiples, negative free cash flow, and low cash-flow margins despite the recent earnings beat.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-06
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 553.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow -120.77 M
 Capital Expenditures -13.12 M
 Change In Working Capital -156.42 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -368.71 M
 End Period Cash Flow 184.6 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 164.4 M
 Forward Revenue 423.8 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 60.4 M
 Depreciation 14.4 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 14.4 M
 Research and Development 25.2 M
 Total Operating Expenses 156.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 104.0 M
 EBITDA 25.1 M
 EBIT 10.7 M
 Operating Income 7.7 M
 Interest Income 2.5 M
 Interest Expense 7.0 M
 Net Interest Income -4.56 M
 Income Before Tax 3.7 M
 Tax Provision -681.00 K
 Tax Rate 40.0 %
 Net Income 4.4 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 4.4 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.11
 EPS Actual 0.13
 EPS Difference 0.02
 EPS Surprise 18.182 %
 Forward EPS 0.32
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.9 B
 Intangible Assets 1.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets -105.23 M
 Total Current Assets 1.6 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 184.6 M
 Cash 184.6 M
 Net Receivables 1.4 B
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 85.3 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 1.6 B
 Short-Term Debt 3.6 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.6 B
 Net Debt 166.2 M
 Total Debt 429.7 M
 Total Liabilities 2.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 917.9 M
 Retained Earnings -512.15 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 6.41
 Shares Outstanding 143.301 M
 Revenue Per-Share 1.15
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.9 B
 Enterprise Value 2.1 B
 Enterprise Multiple 84.862
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 123.633 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -43.057 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 165.258
MGNI: 84.862
mean: 48.122
median: 44.874
low: -123.613
 EV/R 12.962
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.21
 Asset To Liability 1.452
 Debt To Capital 0.319
 Debt To Assets 0.146
Debt To Assets QoQ -26.331 %
Debt To Assets YoY -36.743 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.025
mean: 0.149
MGNI: 0.146
median: 0.129
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.468
Debt To Equity QoQ -31.071 %
Debt To Equity YoY -43.686 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.998
MGNI: 0.468
mean: 0.229
median: 0.189
low: -0.885
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.054
Price To Book QoQ -8.398 %
Price To Book YoY -16.744 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 11.534
median: 7.963
mean: 7.439
MGNI: 2.054
low: -2.74
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 101.214
Price To Earnings QoQ 137.86 %
Price To Earnings YoY -6.109 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 156.78
MGNI: 101.214
median: 61.576
mean: 58.92
low: -181.412
 PE/G Ratio -1.639
 Price To Sales (P/S) 11.471
Price To Sales QoQ 13.891 %
Price To Sales YoY -2.363 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 34.805
median: 34.69
mean: 32.368
MGNI: 11.471
low: 0.003
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 43.824
Forward PE/G -0.71
Forward P/S 4.594
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 3.756
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.054
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -20.296 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -4.508 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.556
median: 0.169
mean: 0.162
MGNI: 0.054
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 0.12
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -26.264 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -12.996 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 9.116
mean: 1.994
median: 1.746
MGNI: 0.12
low: 0.034
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 758.5
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -1310.948
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -9.21 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 11.145 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 186.093
median: 23.301
mean: 23.042
low: -334.163
MGNI: -1310.948
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 6.162
 CapEx To Revenue -0.08
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.913
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.3 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.3 B
 Invested Capital 1.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets -105.23 M
 Net Working Capital 26.7 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.114
 Current Ratio 1.016
Current Ratio QoQ -0.506 %
Current Ratio YoY 3.217 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 8.196
mean: 1.989
median: 1.922
MGNI: 1.016
low: 0.108
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 17.114
 Cost Of Debt 0.796 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 1.532
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -118.582 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -724.217 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 82.584
median: 39.705
mean: 30.339
MGNI: 1.532
low: -65.038
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.081
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 2069.448
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -6.885 %
 Revenue Growth -19.958 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -238.52 %
Revenue Growth YoY 1.351 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 42.687 %
median: -3.455 %
mean: -3.814 %
MGNI: -19.958 %
low: -48.267 %
 Earnings Growth -61.765 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -188.236 %
Earnings Growth YoY -4.545 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 160.0 %
median: 81.206 %
mean: 65.758 %
MGNI: -61.765 %
low: -229.412 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 63.249 %
Gross Margin QoQ -4.387 %
Gross Margin YoY 5.971 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 100.0 %
mean: 64.7 %
MGNI: 63.249 %
median: 62.445 %
low: -6.038 %
 EBIT Margin 6.533 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -68.709 %
EBIT Margin YoY -592.313 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 70.926 %
median: 70.926 %
mean: 61.868 %
MGNI: 6.533 %
low: -29.087 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 4.696 %
Return On Sales QoQ -81.5 %
Return On Sales YoY -453.881 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 40.617 %
median: 36.121 %
mean: 34.953 %
MGNI: 4.696 %
low: -55.832 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -133.89 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -7.101 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -247.722 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 787.625 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 15.098 %
mean: 0.41 %
median: 0.265 %
MGNI: -7.101 %
low: -13.218 %
 Free Cash Growth -234.649 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -535.131 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 106.71 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 388.901 %
mean: -51.473 %
median: -58.796 %
MGNI: -234.649 %
low: -396.125 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -30.346
 Cash Flow Margin -79.905 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -29.769
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.144 %
Return On Assets QoQ -96.439 %
Return On Assets YoY -141.379 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 9.633 %
median: 9.633 %
mean: 8.622 %
MGNI: 0.144 %
low: -17.322 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.81 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.005
Return On Equity QoQ -96.395 %
Return On Equity YoY -137.028 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.153
median: 0.131
mean: 0.12
MGNI: 0.005
low: -0.326
 DuPont ROE 0.48 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.508 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -77.826 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -447.945 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.327 %
median: 11.327 %
mean: 9.494 %
MGNI: 0.508 %
low: -10.695 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum profile: Directional indicators and MACD favor continued upside driven by renewed buying and above-average volume; price remaining above the 12-day EMA and the 20-day average supports momentum continuation in the near term.

Mean-reversion risk: Price trades above the 2× Bollinger band and MRO sits positive, signaling price extension beyond modeled targets and raising the probability of pullbacks toward near-term support levels such as the superTrend lower at $21.47 and the 20-day average at $19.68.

Balance of signals: Expect a momentum-led advance to remain viable while technicals stay constructive, but elevated valuation multiples, negative free cash flow, weak cash conversion metrics, and thin interest coverage increase the likelihood that negative fundamental surprises or liquidity-driven flows trigger sharper mean reversion within the six-week horizon. Monitor whether MACD sustains above its signal line and whether DI+ retains its reversal reading; deterioration in those indicators would reduce the probability of further momentum-driven extension.

About Magnite, Inc.

Magnite, Inc. (NASDAQ:MGNI) develops an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform, serving both the United States and international markets. The company provides a suite of applications and services tailored for digital advertising inventory sellers, including publishers who manage and monetize CTV channels, applications, websites, and other digital media properties. Magnite also offers solutions for buyers, such as advertisers, agencies, agency trading desks, and demand side platforms, facilitating the purchase of digital advertising inventory. By creating an independent marketplace, Magnite connects buyers and sellers, enhancing the efficiency of digital advertising transactions. The company distributes its solutions through dedicated sales teams operating from various global locations. Originally incorporated in 2007 under the name The Rubicon Project, Inc., the company rebranded to Magnite, Inc. in July 2020. Headquartered in New York, New York, Magnite continues to play a significant role in the digital advertising ecosystem.



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