Air T, Inc. (NASDAQ:AIRT) Expands Asset Base While Momentum Turns Cautious

Air T’s portfolio expansion accelerates alongside higher leverage and negative free cash flow, creating a tension between strategic scale and near-term price momentum.

Recent News

On June 16, 2026 Crestone Air Partners, an Air T business, completed the acquisition of Arena Aviation Capital, bringing Crestone’s assets under management above $3.6 billion. On June 29, 2026 Air T announced the closing of its acquisition of Regional Express Holdings Limited (Rex), adding Australia’s leading regional airline to the portfolio.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show a strong trend environment: ADX at 28.9 signals a meaningful trend strength while DI+ at 42.94 has begun decreasing and DI- at 23.22 has been increasing; that directional shift favors downside pressure versus the current valuation level.

MACD sits at 1.07 and trends downward with the MACD line below its signal (1.22); that configuration indicates weakening bullish momentum and a bearish momentum bias for the near term.

MRO at 38.6 with a peak-and-reversal reads as price above target with elevated potential to decline; the magnitude implies notable downside pressure if momentum confirms.

RSI 56.75 shows a peak-and-reversal pattern rather than extreme overbought readings; momentum has likely lost upward conviction even though the level remains mid-range.

Price relationships to moving averages create mixed support: the close at $26.72 sits below the 12-day EMA ($26.87, peak-and-reversal) and below the 20-day average ($27.58), but above the 26-day EMA ($25.81), 50-day ($23.62) and 200-day ($21.97). That placement implies short-term resistance near the 12–20 day band while longer-term averages provide technical support well below current levels.

Ichimoku components add caution: price below the Kijun-sen ($27.87) and near the cloud boundaries (Senkou A $21.88 / Senkou B $21.84) so near-term momentum faces resistance while longer-term cloud levels lie lower.

Bollinger band placement places price between the 1x lower band ($25.88) and 1x upper band ($29.29), suggesting the immediate range remains contained; light recent volume (1,624 vs 10-day avg 2,948) reduces conviction behind recent moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $120,938,000 with revenue growth year-over-year of -5.72% and quarter-over-quarter up 5.43%, indicating sequential pickup after a YoY decline.

EBIT measures $86,825,000, producing an EBIT margin of 71.79% (EBIT margin QoQ +101.12%, YoY -9.57%). That EBIT margin sits well above the industry peer mean and high of the industry peer range, marking a large outperformance on that metric relative to peers.

Operating income shows -$13,771,000 and an operating margin of -11.39% (operating margin QoQ +114.28%, YoY +35.88%), creating a material divergence between EBIT and operating income that requires further accounting reconciliation but currently raises questions about non-operating items or classification impacts on reported operating profitability.

EBITDA equals $95,469,000; cash flow metrics show operating cash flow near zero ($-44,000) and free cash flow negative $15,300,000, with a free cash flow yield of -25.85% versus an industry peer mean near +1.01% — the firm produces falling free cash versus peers while generating high accounting EBIT.

Balance sheet and leverage indicate elevated financing risk relative to peers: total debt $224,703,000, net debt $188,779,000, debt-to-equity 281.55% (debt-to-equity QoQ -101.56%, YoY -107.01%), and debt-to-assets 54.92%. Interest coverage stands at 16.22x but interest expense still represents a cash cost; equity base sits at $79,810,000 versus invested capital $288,921,000.

Market multiples show a low-price perspective from the market: price-to-book 0.74 and price-to-sales 0.49, both below the industry peer mean and median; enterprise multiple 2.75 and EVR 2.17 reflect discounted market capitalization versus enterprise value, consistent with market skepticism given negative free cash flow and leverage.

Returns: return on assets 19.65% and return on equity 97.38% (ROE QoQ -53.52%, YoY -55.44%), illustrating high accounting returns but large sensitivity to capital structure changes; return on invested capital 18.03% remains positive (ROIC QoQ +87.82%, YoY -4.79%).

Liquidity metrics: current ratio 1.67 (above peer mean), quick ratio 0.87 (below peer mean), and cash ratio 0.22; cash conversion cycle roughly 101 days versus an industry peer mean near 8.58 days, indicating significantly longer working capital tied up in operations.

Valuation summary: WMDST values the stock as over-valued given the combination of negative free cash flow, elevated leverage, and market multiples that appear to price in downside risk despite strong accounting EBIT and aggressive portfolio growth.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-06-26
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-09-25
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 42.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow -44.00 K
 Capital Expenditures -15.26 M
 Change In Working Capital 8.0 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -16.91 M
 End Period Cash Flow 25.3 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 120.9 M
 Forward Revenue
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 103.7 M
 Depreciation 8.6 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 8.6 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 134.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 17.3 M
 EBITDA 95.5 M
 EBIT 86.8 M
 Operating Income -13.77 M
 Interest Income 255.0 K
 Interest Expense 5.4 M
 Net Interest Income -5.10 M
 Income Before Tax 81.5 M
 Tax Provision -817.00 K
 Tax Rate 40.0 %
 Net Income 77.7 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 82.3 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate
 EPS Actual
 EPS Difference
 EPS Surprise
 Forward EPS
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 409.1 M
 Intangible Assets 24.8 M
 Net Tangible Assets 55.0 M
 Total Current Assets 160.0 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 21.4 M
 Cash 20.3 M
 Net Receivables 39.9 M
 Inventory 77.1 M
 Long-Term Investments 7.6 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 37.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 4.5 M
 Total Current Liabilities 95.5 M
 Net Debt 188.8 M
 Total Debt 224.7 M
 Total Liabilities 317.9 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 79.8 M
 Retained Earnings 80.1 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 29.54
 Shares Outstanding 2.701 M
 Revenue Per-Share 44.77
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 59.2 M
 Enterprise Value 262.5 M
 Enterprise Multiple 2.75
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -97.525 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -106.693 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 165.912
mean: 96.18
median: 66.13
AIRT: 2.75
low: -23.964
 EV/R 2.171
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 5.126
 Asset To Liability 1.287
 Debt To Capital 0.738
 Debt To Assets 0.549
Debt To Assets QoQ -0.941 %
Debt To Assets YoY -26.078 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.798
AIRT: 0.549
mean: 0.225
median: 0.223
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 2.815
Debt To Equity QoQ -101.556 %
Debt To Equity YoY -107.013 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.05
AIRT: 2.815
mean: 0.839
median: 0.362
low: 0.001
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.742
Price To Book QoQ -101.498 %
Price To Book YoY -104.641 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 12.508
mean: 5.14
median: 4.642
AIRT: 0.742
low: 0.176
 Price To Earnings (P/E)
Price To Earnings QoQ
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S) 0.489
Price To Sales QoQ -39.918 %
Price To Sales YoY -36.853 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 14.072
mean: 4.586
median: 4.151
low: 1.148
AIRT: 0.489
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 246.567
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.306
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 21.786 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -16.665 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.78
AIRT: 0.306
median: 0.261
mean: 0.232
low: 0.019
 Receivables Turnover 2.912
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 26.525 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 6.475 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.189
AIRT: 2.912
median: 2.003
mean: 1.932
low: 1.167
 Inventory Turnover 1.454
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 39.839 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -1.006 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 252.156
mean: 71.6
median: 29.916
low: 15.049
AIRT: 1.454
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 31.339
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 101.483
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -12.668 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 44.737 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA AIRT: 101.483
high: 38.095
mean: 8.576
median: -0.59
low: -7.806
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.876
 CapEx To Revenue -0.126
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.765
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 284.4 M
 Net Invested Capital 288.9 M
 Invested Capital 288.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets 55.0 M
 Net Working Capital 64.5 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.224
 Current Ratio 1.675
Current Ratio QoQ 74.354 %
Current Ratio YoY 1.671 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 1.877
AIRT: 1.675
mean: 1.349
median: 1.258
low: 0.678
 Quick Ratio 0.867
Quick Ratio QoQ 52.045 %
Quick Ratio YoY 3.366 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 7.416
mean: 1.475
low: 1.437
median: 1.437
AIRT: 0.867
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 2.354
 Cost Of Debt 1.472 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 16.223
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 7622.253 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -665.189 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 54.46
AIRT: 16.223
mean: 13.133
median: 11.567
low: -4.444
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 1.035
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 41.48
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 7.166 %
 Revenue Growth 70.022 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 543.466 %
Revenue Growth YoY -571.529 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA AIRT: 70.022 %
high: 4.227 %
mean: -6.508 %
median: -10.782 %
low: -13.387 %
 Earnings Growth
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 14.294 %
Gross Margin QoQ -20.997 %
Gross Margin YoY -2.41 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 24.357 %
mean: 16.463 %
median: 15.843 %
AIRT: 14.294 %
low: 1.715 %
 EBIT Margin 71.793 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 10112.376 %
EBIT Margin YoY -956.718 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA AIRT: 71.793 %
high: 20.612 %
mean: 7.469 %
median: 6.729 %
low: -2.807 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -11.387 %
Return On Sales QoQ 114.283 %
Return On Sales YoY 35.883 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 18.776 %
mean: 7.245 %
median: 6.729 %
low: -1.333 %
AIRT: -11.387 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -15.30 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -25.845 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -22.31 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -434.65 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 11.654 %
mean: 1.012 %
median: 0.843 %
low: -4.449 %
AIRT: -25.845 %
 Free Cash Growth -20.639 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -108.496 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -72.54 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 166.667 %
AIRT: -20.639 %
median: -40.0 %
mean: -47.583 %
low: -402.796 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.197
 Cash Flow Margin 81.786 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.273
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.02
 Return On Assets (ROA) 19.653 %
Return On Assets QoQ -2372.023 %
Return On Assets YoY -605.348 %
Return On Assets IPRWA AIRT: 19.653 %
high: 4.746 %
median: 2.223 %
mean: 1.827 %
low: -1.268 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 27.687 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.974
Return On Equity QoQ -53.517 %
Return On Equity YoY -55.441 %
Return On Equity IPRWA AIRT: 0.974
high: 0.101
mean: 0.04
median: 0.035
low: -0.024
 DuPont ROE 197.648 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 18.031 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 8782.266 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -479.121 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA AIRT: 18.031 %
high: 5.094 %
median: 2.452 %
mean: 2.448 %
low: -1.502 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term bias: modestly bearish to neutral. Technical momentum indicators (MACD below signal, MRO peak-and-reversal, DI+ falling while DI- rises) favor consolidation or a pullback from the 12–20 day average band. Support exists around the 50-day average ($23.62) and the broader 200-day base ($21.97), while immediate resistance clusters near the 12-day EMA and 20-day average (~$26.87–$27.58).

Risk drivers over the next six weeks include integration updates from recent acquisitions, any material cash flow developments, and shifts in trading volume that could validate or negate the current momentum reversal. Technical confirmation of downside would most likely follow sustained MACD deterioration and a declining ADX; conversely, reclaiming the 12–20 day band with rising DI+ would reduce near-term downside odds.

About Air T, Inc.

Air T, Inc. (NASDAQ:AIRT) propels the aviation industry forward from its headquarters in Charlotte, North Carolina. Since its inception in 1980, Air T has expanded its reach through a diverse portfolio of subsidiaries, each contributing unique expertise and services to the global aviation landscape. The Overnight Air Cargo segment ensures timely delivery through its fleet of 105 aircraft, operating under dry-lease agreements with FedEx. This strategic partnership guarantees consistent and efficient cargo transport, meeting the demands of express delivery services. In the Ground Equipment Sales division, Air T engineers and fabricates specialized equipment such as aircraft deicers, scissor lifts, and decontamination units. These products serve a broad spectrum of clients, including airlines, ground handling firms, airports, and the U.S. Air Force, highlighting Air T’s versatility and commitment to quality. The Commercial Jet Engines and Parts segment offers a comprehensive suite of services, from trading and leasing to parts supply. Additionally, this segment provides aircraft storage, maintenance, and disassembly, alongside avionics and electrical accessory services. By delivering composite structures and repair solutions, Air T ensures robust maintenance and operational support for airlines and leasing companies worldwide. Air T’s dedication to innovation and excellence cements its status as a pivotal force in the aviation sector.



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