Sprott Inc. (NYSE:SII) Poised To Reprice Lower As Momentum Falters

Sprott Inc. (NYSE:SII) shows operational strength through fund flows and liquidity, but technical momentum and stretched valuation point toward near-term downside pressure. The balance of visible catalysts supports range-bound risk with a bias lower until earnings cadence and product adoption clarify direction.

Recent News

On May 5, 2026 the board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.40 per common share, payable June 3, 2026 to shareholders of record May 19, 2026. Subsequent to quarter-end, Sprott launched the Sprott Rare Earths Ex‑China ETF on April 15, 2026 and the Sprott Physical Copper Trust began trading on the NYSE on May 4, 2026 with an enhanced monthly physical redemption feature; the company reported AUM of $65.1 billion as at March 31, 2026 and $65.5 billion as at May 1, 2026. The company announced the timing for its first‑quarter 2026 results release on April 29, 2026.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 16.37 indicates no established trend; the market sits in a low‑trend environment, which raises the risk of whipsaws around key moving averages and amplifies the importance of short‑term indicators for direction.

Directional indicators show DI‑ at 31.0 with a peak‑and‑reversal (DI‑ decreasing), which reads as bullish by the directional rule set, while DI+ at 21.37 sits on a decreasing path, a bearish signal. Those opposing signals in a low ADX environment imply rotational pressure rather than a sustained directional move and favor choppy action near current levels.

MACD sits negative at -4.58 but registers a dip‑and‑reversal (increasing), indicating a shift toward bullish momentum from a negative base; the MACD remains below its signal line (-4.39), so momentum improvement has not yet delivered a confirmed crossover. That pattern suggests any bounce may start from a technical oversold base rather than from confirmed trend reversal.

MRO at 1.53 reads positive, indicating price sits modestly above the model target and therefore carries limited downside pressure from a large negative gap; the small positive value implies only modest mean‑reversion risk if selling intensifies.

RSI at 41.23 with a dip‑and‑reversal pattern indicates momentum recovering from recent weakness but still below neutral, consistent with a lower‑to‑sideways bias until RSI clears equilibrium levels.

Price sits below the 12‑ and 26‑day EMAs (price $104.92 vs 12‑day EMA $107.95 and 26‑day EMA $112.63) and beneath the 20‑day average ($109.38) and 200‑day average ($116.43), so short‑term strength would need to reclaim these averages to change the near‑term price bias. Bollinger bands show a 1‑SD band roughly $104–$114, placing current close to the lower band and indicating compressed volatility with upside room inside the band.

High short‑term volatility (42‑day beta 2.07 versus 52‑week beta 1.6) and volumes running below 10/50/200‑day averages suggest directional moves may occur with thin liquidity, increasing the likelihood of exaggerated intraday swings around earnings and fund‑level news.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $141.87 million for the period with total net fees and carried interest driving operating performance; year‑over‑year revenue growth registers 177.52% while quarter‑over‑quarter revenue contracted 61.71%, reflecting timing effects from carried interest and product launches. Free cash flow stood at $43.82 million, producing a free cash flow yield of 1.26% and free cash flow growth year‑over‑year of -69.17%.

Operating metrics show EBIT $42.24 million and EBITDA $42.93 million, yielding an EBIT margin of 29.77%, which undercuts the industry peer mean of 40.56% and industry peer median of 37.17%. QoQ EBIT margin declined ~18.01% and YoY declined ~22.60%, consistent with higher compensation and carried interest variability during the quarter.

Earnings per share came in at $0.60 versus an estimate of $0.93, an EPS surprise of -35.48%. Forward EPS sits at $1.238, implying a forward PE of 106.71 while the trailing PE registers at 224.37, signaling a substantial premium to normalized earnings expectations.

Balance sheet and liquidity remain strong: cash and short‑term investments $174.57 million, cash ratio 2.82, current ratio 3.19, and interest coverage ~140x. Dividend coverage and payout sit at a dividend payout ratio near 35.30% and dividend coverage ratio about 2.83, reflecting sustainable distributionability from current cash generation.

Valuation context: price‑to‑book at 9.13 sits above the industry peer mean (3.15) and above the peer high of ~7.06, while price‑to‑sales of 24.47 and forward PS of 89.57 point to market expectations priced for continued outperformance of fee‑based and physical trust flows. The current valuation as determined by WMDST: over‑valued.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-06
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-05
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 123.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 44.4 M
 Capital Expenditures -542.00 K
 Change In Working Capital 6.4 M
 Dividends Paid -10.31 M
 Cash Flow Delta 50.5 M
 End Period Cash Flow 173.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 141.9 M
 Forward Revenue 38.8 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 94.6 M
 Depreciation 689.0 K
 Depreciation and Amortization 689.0 K
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 101.1 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 47.3 M
 EBITDA 42.9 M
 EBIT 42.2 M
 Operating Income 40.8 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 301.0 K
 Net Interest Income -301.00 K
 Income Before Tax 41.9 M
 Tax Provision 12.7 M
 Tax Rate 30.334 %
 Net Income 29.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 29.2 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.93
 EPS Actual 0.60
 EPS Difference -0.33
 EPS Surprise -35.484 %
 Forward EPS 1.24
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 504.3 M
 Intangible Assets 199.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 180.8 M
 Total Current Assets 197.0 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 174.6 M
 Cash 173.9 M
 Net Receivables 8.7 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 24.7 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 13.3 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 61.8 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt
 Total Liabilities 124.2 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 380.0 M
 Retained Earnings -14.55 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 14.74
 Shares Outstanding 25.783 M
 Revenue Per-Share 5.50
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 3.5 B
 Enterprise Value
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.327
 Asset To Liability 4.059
 Debt To Capital
 Debt To Assets
Debt To Assets QoQ
Debt To Assets YoY
Debt To Assets IPRWA
 Debt To Equity
Debt To Equity QoQ
Debt To Equity YoY
Debt To Equity IPRWA
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 9.133
Price To Book QoQ 19.429 %
Price To Book YoY 147.215 %
Price To Book IPRWA SII: 9.133
high: 7.056
median: 3.216
mean: 3.155
low: -0.507
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 224.374
Price To Earnings QoQ 110.135 %
Price To Earnings YoY 197.919 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA SII: 224.374
high: 131.673
mean: 62.537
median: 56.13
low: -78.913
 PE/G Ratio -5.449
 Price To Sales (P/S) 24.465
Price To Sales QoQ -6.753 %
Price To Sales YoY -15.376 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 89.649
mean: 26.375
SII: 24.465
median: 21.141
low: -50.338
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 106.712
Forward PE/G -2.592
Forward P/S 89.571
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 0.266
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.275
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 27.639 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 156.108 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA SII: 0.275
high: 0.265
mean: 0.037
median: 0.013
low: -0.147
 Receivables Turnover 5.186
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 68.601 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 32.435 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 9.786
SII: 5.186
mean: 1.597
median: 0.21
low: 0.039
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 17.597
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -1.059
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 1888.204 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 439.773
SII: -1.059
median: -123.572
mean: -193.757
low: -917.879
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.049
 CapEx To Revenue -0.004
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.787
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 380.0 M
 Net Invested Capital 380.0 M
 Invested Capital 380.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 180.8 M
 Net Working Capital 135.2 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.824
 Current Ratio 3.187
Current Ratio QoQ 65.572 %
Current Ratio YoY -8.157 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 8.141
SII: 3.187
mean: 1.934
median: 1.178
low: 0.007
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 2.245 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 140.336
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 42.599 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 145.097 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA SII: 140.336
high: 98.464
mean: 10.808
median: 9.06
low: -19.59
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 1.085
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 18.655
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 2.833
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.353
 Dividend Rate 0.40
 Dividend Yield 0.003
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -4.091 %
 Revenue Growth 32.542 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -61.707 %
Revenue Growth YoY 177.52 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 130.559 %
SII: 32.542 %
median: -1.879 %
mean: -3.493 %
low: -156.276 %
 Earnings Growth -41.176 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -478.804 %
Earnings Growth YoY -290.904 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 45.0 %
median: 4.348 %
mean: -0.489 %
SII: -41.176 %
low: -132.432 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 33.349 %
Gross Margin QoQ -13.494 %
Gross Margin YoY -28.975 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 107.251 %
median: 71.417 %
mean: 67.687 %
SII: 33.349 %
low: 14.434 %
 EBIT Margin 29.774 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -18.014 %
EBIT Margin YoY -22.599 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 82.682 %
mean: 40.555 %
median: 37.173 %
SII: 29.774 %
low: -62.871 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 28.731 %
Return On Sales QoQ -13.516 %
Return On Sales YoY -25.31 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 69.661 %
median: 45.647 %
mean: 39.574 %
SII: 28.731 %
low: -58.213 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 43.8 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.262 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -31.301 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 12.278 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 29.426 %
SII: 1.262 %
median: 0.626 %
mean: -1.606 %
low: -27.411 %
 Free Cash Growth -15.073 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -103.444 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -69.168 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 314.536 %
median: 8.623 %
mean: -1.014 %
SII: -15.073 %
low: -569.703 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.5
 Cash Flow Margin 47.264 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.295
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA) 5.673 %
Return On Assets QoQ -2.055 %
Return On Assets YoY 83.83 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.815 %
SII: 5.673 %
mean: 0.806 %
median: 0.371 %
low: -5.651 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 9.547 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.077
Return On Equity QoQ -1.726 %
Return On Equity YoY 109.711 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.222
SII: 0.077
median: 0.052
mean: 0.048
low: -0.164
 DuPont ROE 7.82 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 7.743 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -2.025 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 107.531 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 18.847 %
SII: 7.743 %
mean: 3.511 %
median: 3.357 %
low: -11.601 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a swing‑trader environment dominated by event risk and mean‑reversion themes. Low ADX and opposing DI signals favor range trading between the lower Bollinger band near $104 and resistance clusters between $110–$116 defined by the 20‑day EMA and 200‑day average. MACD’s improving momentum and RSI recovery allow for counter‑trend bounces, but the absence of a MACD crossover and price trading below key EMAs caution that rallies may fail at moving average resistance.

Key catalysts over the six‑week horizon include adoption and flows into newly launched products and the company’s next report on August 5, 2026, which may re‑price carried interest volatility and AUM guidance. Tight volume relative to multi‑day averages increases the probability of exaggerated moves around those catalysts; traders should expect volatility and prepare for quick rotation between trust inflows and fee recognition drivers.

About Sprott Inc.

Sprott Inc. (NYSE:SII) delivers asset management services through a network of subsidiaries. The company manages and administers a diverse range of investment products, including mutual funds, hedge funds, offshore funds, and managed accounts. Sprott Inc. extends its expertise to portfolio management, wealth management, and fund management, ensuring comprehensive financial solutions for its clients. Additionally, the company conducts broker-dealer activities, facilitating seamless financial transactions. Established on February 13, 2008, Sprott Inc. operates from its headquarters in Toronto, Canada, offering professional consulting and administrative services to meet the dynamic needs of its clientele.



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