Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ:HNRG) Secures Multi‑Year Contracts And Shows Mixed Momentum Ahead

Contract wins and financing actions have strengthened the company’s commercial runway while technical momentum presents mixed signals for the immediate term.

Recent News

On May 6, 2026, Hallador announced a 12‑year capacity agreement valued at over $1 billion and released first‑quarter 2026 financial and operating results; the company also reported a forward sales book of roughly $1.2 billion as of March 31, 2026. On March 25, 2026, Hallador signed a three‑year capacity agreement at record pricing for its accredited capacity for planning years 2026–2028. On March 5–10, 2026, Hallador closed $120 million in senior secured credit facilities consisting of a $75 million revolver and a $45 million delayed draw term loan.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show ADX at 30.94, indicating a strong trend environment; DI+ exhibits a peak‑and‑reversal pattern, a bearish directional signal, while DI‑ is decreasing, which acts as a counter‑bullish sign—on balance the DI+ reversal suggests near‑term downside pressure relative to recent momentum.

MACD sits at 0.64 with the MACD line above the 0.33 signal line, which indicates a recent bullish crossover; however, the MACD trend shows a peak‑and‑reversal, signaling weakening momentum and a risk that the bullish crossover may fade.

MRO reads 27.52 and trends higher, indicating price currently sits above the model target and that mean‑reversion pressure may develop if other momentum indicators soften.

RSI at 51.08 occupies neutral territory but shows a peak‑and‑reversal pattern; that pattern implies waning upside breadth rather than oversold or overbought extremes, which supports a cautious near‑term bias.

Price sits at $18.15, below the 200‑day average of $18.64 but above the 50‑day average of $16.89; the 12‑day EMA shows a peak‑and‑reversal as well, placing the recent price action inside the 1‑standard‑deviation Bollinger band range ($15.67–$19.65) and suggesting limited immediate directional room without renewed momentum.

Volume at 804,917 trails the 10‑day average of 1,458,802 and the 50‑day average of 1,085,916, indicating lower participation during the latest session and weakening conviction behind recent moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $101,944,000 with gross profit of $58,189,000, producing a gross margin of 57.08% and operating margin of 5.99%; EBIT reached $5,627,000 and EBITDA $17,188,000, reflecting positive core operating cash generation though net income recorded a loss of $240,000 for the period.

EPS actual showed a loss of $0.19 versus an estimate of a $0.11 loss, an EPS surprise of -72.73%. WMDST notes the operating margin contracted QoQ by -71.29% and YoY by -102.38%, while earnings growth registers large declines QoQ and YoY (earnings growth QoQ -153.737% and YoY -78.565%), indicating material sequential volatility in profitability.

Liquidity measures show cash of $10,070,000, a current ratio of 0.81 and a quick ratio of 0.23, signaling tight near‑term liquidity coverage relative to current obligations; free cash flow stood at -$16,782,000 with a free cash flow yield of -1.99% and a cash conversion ratio of -3.49, underscoring negative free cash generation this period.

Leverage and coverage: total debt $38,427,000 produces net debt of $19,608,000 and a debt‑to‑EBITDA of 2.24x; interest coverage registers 1.39, which indicates limited cushion against interest expense even as recent financing added $120 million in secured credit capacity to the balance sheet.

Valuation and multiples: price‑to‑book at 5.27 sits above the industry peer mean and median (industry peer mean ~1.90; median ~1.89) but below the industry peer high; enterprise multiple measures at 50.67 and EV/ revenue (EVR) at 8.54. WMDST values the stock as under‑valued based on the firm’s forward sales backlog, contract wins and the firm’s near‑term cash flow profile.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-06
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-05
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 35.5 M
 Operating Cash Flow 8.2 M
 Capital Expenditures -24.94 M
 Change In Working Capital 6.7 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -20.11 M
 End Period Cash Flow 15.4 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 101.9 M
 Forward Revenue -1.39 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 43.8 M
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 95.8 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 58.2 M
 EBITDA 17.2 M
 EBIT 5.6 M
 Operating Income 6.1 M
 Interest Income 209.0 K
 Interest Expense 4.0 M
 Net Interest Income -3.83 M
 Income Before Tax 1.6 M
 Tax Provision 1.8 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -240.00 K
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -240.00 K
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.11
 EPS Actual -0.19
 EPS Difference -0.08
 EPS Surprise -72.727 %
 Forward EPS 0.30
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 408.1 M
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 159.8 M
 Total Current Assets 123.4 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 10.1 M
 Cash 10.1 M
 Net Receivables 14.0 M
 Inventory 88.4 M
 Long-Term Investments 7.0 K
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 12.6 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 152.6 M
 Net Debt 19.6 M
 Total Debt 38.4 M
 Total Liabilities 248.2 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 159.8 M
 Retained Earnings -43.57 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 3.65
 Shares Outstanding 43.817 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.33
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 842.6 M
 Enterprise Value 871.0 M
 Enterprise Multiple 50.674
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 119.445 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -2074.942 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 120.838
HNRG: 50.674
median: 33.757
mean: 31.276
low: -32.323
 EV/R 8.544
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.553
 Asset To Liability 1.644
 Debt To Capital 0.194
 Debt To Assets 0.094
Debt To Assets QoQ -27.567 %
Debt To Assets YoY -39.178 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.83
median: 0.482
mean: 0.391
HNRG: 0.094
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 0.24
Debt To Equity QoQ -33.976 %
Debt To Equity YoY -56.129 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.57
median: 1.459
mean: 1.233
HNRG: 0.24
low: -1.244
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 5.272
Price To Book QoQ -6.295 %
Price To Book YoY 21.285 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 7.242
HNRG: 5.272
mean: 1.902
median: 1.895
low: -0.398
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -1923.055
Price To Earnings QoQ -5626.921 %
Price To Earnings YoY 2610.748 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 139.381
median: 54.782
mean: 54.159
low: -98.062
HNRG: -1923.055
 PE/G Ratio 18.887
 Price To Sales (P/S) 8.266
Price To Sales QoQ 47.577 %
Price To Sales YoY 71.802 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 65.219
mean: 8.658
HNRG: 8.266
median: 8.165
low: 0.04
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 84.55
Forward PE/G -0.83
Forward P/S -0.773
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 2.619
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.249
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -30.454 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 25.579 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.406
HNRG: 0.249
mean: 0.1
median: 0.083
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 5.261
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -22.063 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -23.648 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 7.418
HNRG: 5.261
mean: 2.542
median: 2.393
low: 0.153
 Inventory Turnover 0.546
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -41.321 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 22.942 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 22.495
mean: 6.571
median: 6.528
HNRG: 0.546
low: 0.238
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 17.343
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 94.532
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -18.415 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -9.141 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA HNRG: 94.532
high: 91.409
median: -14.3
mean: -15.533
low: -98.67
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -3.489
 CapEx To Revenue -0.245
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 189.5 M
 Net Invested Capital 189.5 M
 Invested Capital 189.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 159.8 M
 Net Working Capital -29.21 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.066
 Current Ratio 0.809
Current Ratio QoQ 22.779 %
Current Ratio YoY 17.902 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 12.339
mean: 1.239
HNRG: 0.809
median: 0.763
low: 0.06
 Quick Ratio 0.229
Quick Ratio QoQ -26.316 %
Quick Ratio YoY 20.641 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 9.206
mean: 1.082
median: 0.678
HNRG: 0.229
low: 0.041
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 2.236
 Cost Of Debt 6.954 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 1.395
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -78.517 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -101.906 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 29.944
mean: 6.184
median: 3.764
HNRG: 1.395
low: -26.844
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.053
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 22.231
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.344 %
 Revenue Growth -30.578 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -171.573 %
Revenue Growth YoY 196.73 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 64.987 %
median: 13.596 %
mean: 13.426 %
HNRG: -30.578 %
low: -46.866 %
 Earnings Growth -101.818 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -153.737 %
Earnings Growth YoY -78.565 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 319.231 %
mean: 59.279 %
median: 27.273 %
HNRG: -101.818 %
low: -130.556 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 57.079 %
Gross Margin QoQ 14.446 %
Gross Margin YoY -12.846 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 79.215 %
HNRG: 57.079 %
mean: 39.836 %
median: 37.417 %
low: -22.31 %
 EBIT Margin 5.52 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -71.289 %
EBIT Margin YoY -102.377 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 119.389 %
mean: 27.731 %
median: 21.372 %
HNRG: 5.52 %
low: -130.344 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 5.993 %
Return On Sales QoQ -67.07 %
Return On Sales YoY -102.58 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 95.267 %
mean: 26.155 %
median: 25.237 %
HNRG: 5.993 %
low: -81.621 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -16.78 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -1.992 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -548.649 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -135.847 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 8.36 %
median: 1.194 %
mean: 1.056 %
HNRG: -1.992 %
low: -10.288 %
 Free Cash Growth -559.152 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 76.078 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 175.522 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 164.816 %
median: -33.909 %
mean: -37.09 %
low: -301.227 %
HNRG: -559.152 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 69.925
 Cash Flow Margin -16.209 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -33.983
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.059 %
Return On Assets QoQ -101.011 %
Return On Assets YoY -99.87 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 7.511 %
mean: 1.643 %
median: 1.348 %
HNRG: -0.059 %
low: -7.017 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.203 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.002
Return On Equity QoQ -100.918 %
Return On Equity YoY -99.928 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.19
median: 0.037
mean: 0.033
HNRG: -0.002
low: -0.151
 DuPont ROE -0.157 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.346 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY -100.55 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 14.536 %
mean: 2.484 %
HNRG: 2.346 %
median: 2.059 %
low: -14.634 %

Six-Week Outlook

The immediate six‑week window should favor momentum‑aware trading: contractual news and added credit capacity underpin commercial resilience, yet technical momentum shows conflicting signals—MACD and DI+ patterns warn of fading upside while MRO suggests the price sits above the model target and could retrace. Expect range‑bound action with episodic directional moves tied to news flow or renewed volume; manage exposure to the possibility of mean reversion given limited liquidity and negative free cash flow.

About Hallador Energy Company

Hallador Energy Company (NASDAQ:HNRG) develops and produces steam coal, primarily for electric power generation. Based in Terre Haute, Indiana, Hallador operates key mining facilities including Oaktown Mines 1 and 2, Freelandville Center Pit, and Prosperity Surface mine. These strategically located sites enable efficient service to the Midwest’s energy needs. Beyond coal production, Hallador diversifies its energy offerings through gas exploration activities. The company also manages a logistics transport facility to ensure reliable delivery of energy resources. Established in 1949, Hallador Energy Company has a longstanding presence in the energy sector, adapting to market changes while emphasizing responsible resource management. As the energy industry evolves, Hallador pursues innovative solutions to meet the demand for sustainable energy, maintaining its role as a dependable partner for electric power generation.



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