Ellomay Capital Ltd. (NYSE:ELLO) Executes Asset Sales; Near-Term Balance Sheet Strengthening

Recent asset disposals and shareholder changes increase liquidity and narrow capital risk, while technical momentum favors short-term downside pressure. Valuation sits at fair-valued under WMDST, with leverage and operating cash flow dynamics driving the near-term outlook.

Recent News

On March 4, 2026 Ellomay’s controlling shareholders sold a 45.9% stake to Nofar, with related board composition updates reported the same day. On March 30–31 the company announced an agreement to sell its indirect holdings in Dorad Energy Ltd. based on a Dorad valuation of NIS 4.4 billion. On May 7 the company reported fulfillment of conditions to closing for the sale of its indirect holdings in Ellomay Luzon Energy; closing expected in the coming days. A May 11 press release confirmed consummation of the Dorad-related sale. The company also proposed amendments to certain debenture terms following the change in control, including an interest-rate adjustment for Series F debentures effective June 4, 2026.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators: ADX at 17.45 signals no established trend; DI- at 31.98 shows a dip & reversal while DI+ at 23.90 trends decreasing, a configuration that favors bearish directional pressure and suggests resistance to sustained upside.

MACD sits negative at -0.21 with a decreasing momentum trend and a signal line at -0.07; the negative, declining MACD indicates weakening momentum and aligns with short-term downside bias.

MRO registers 18.39 with a dip & reversal trend; a positive MRO implies price above WMDST’s target framework and therefore a tendency toward mean reversion downward.

RSI at 47.6 with a decreasing trend places momentum near neutral-to-weak territory and supports limited immediate buying momentum.

Price structure shows the close at $23.73 below the 20-day average ($25.04) and the 50-day average ($25.16) but above the 200-day average ($22.41); short-term moving averages trending above price create technical resistance while the 200-day position provides a longer-term support reference. Bollinger bands compress modestly (upper ~ $25.92; lower ~ $24.15), suggesting reduced short-term volatility but potential for a directional breakout if momentum shifts. Given the fair-valued WMDST assessment, these technical readings point toward a higher probability of near-term range-bound to modest downside movement rather than a sustained breakout higher.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue and margins: Total revenue registered at $1,026,000 with year-over-year revenue decline of 10.21%. Gross profit stood negative at $-7,654,000, yielding a gross margin of -7.46% versus an industry peer mean gross margin of 48.545%. Operating income measured $4,409,000 with an operating margin of 4.30%, below the industry peer mean operating margin of 19.484%; operating margin improved quarter-over-quarter by 58.45% but declined year-over-year by 4.75%.

Profitability and cash flow: Net income totaled $-12,571,000 and EBIT equaled $-9,768,000, with an EBIT margin of -9.52% that sits below the industry peer mean EBIT margin of 4.32%. EBITDA came in at $-6,137,000. Operating cash flow posted $-6,095,000 and free cash flow reached $-45,041,000; free cash flow fell year-over-year by 7.70% but improved quarter-over-quarter. Free cash to net income runs at 358.29%, reflecting timing differences and non-cash items driving divergence between accounting loss and cash metrics.

Leverage and liquidity: Total debt stands at $637,258,000 with net debt of $513,309,000. Debt-to-assets equals 75.55% and debt-to-equity equals 4.53x; both indicate elevated leverage relative to typical utility-capital structures. Interest coverage is negative at -1.67x, driven by $5,844,000 in interest expense and negative net interest income, signaling inability to cover interest from operating earnings. Cash and short-term investments total $87,614,000, supporting a cash ratio of 95.22% and a current ratio of 1.24, which provide near-term liquidity buffers while the company executes asset disposals noted above.

Efficiency: Asset turnover sits at 0.13% (0.00128) and declined QoQ by 92.52%; the asset-turnover gap versus the industry peer mean of 3.264% underscores low revenue generation per asset base at present. Return on equity registers -8.94% and return on assets at -1.57%, reflecting negative profitability amid heavy leverage. Capital expenditures totaled $-38,946,000 with capex-to-depreciation at -10.73, consistent with active project investment and episodic cash outlays.

Valuation: WMDST values the stock as fair-valued. Key fundamental constraints for valuation include elevated leverage, negative net income, negative EBITDA, and material free cash outflows offset partially by $87.6 million in cash and the proceeds expected from recent asset sales.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-03-30
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-06-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 49.3 M
 Operating Cash Flow -6.09 M
 Capital Expenditures -38.95 M
 Change In Working Capital -4.54 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 38.3 M
 End Period Cash Flow 87.6 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.0 M
 Forward Revenue
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 8.7 M
 Depreciation 3.6 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 3.6 M
 Research and Development -732.00 K
 Total Operating Expenses -3.38 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit -7.65 M
 EBITDA -6.14 M
 EBIT -9.77 M
 Operating Income 4.4 M
 Interest Income -7.28 M
 Interest Expense 5.8 M
 Net Interest Income -7.57 M
 Income Before Tax -15.61 M
 Tax Provision -738.00 K
 Tax Rate 4.727 %
 Net Income -12.57 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -14.87 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate
 EPS Actual
 EPS Difference
 EPS Surprise
 Forward EPS
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 843.5 M
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 140.6 M
 Total Current Assets 114.2 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 87.6 M
 Cash 87.6 M
 Net Receivables 958.0 K
 Inventory 583.0 K
 Long-Term Investments 16.1 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 6.7 M
 Short-Term Debt 60.7 M
 Total Current Liabilities 92.0 M
 Net Debt 513.3 M
 Total Debt 637.3 M
 Total Liabilities 678.4 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 140.6 M
 Retained Earnings -13.69 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share
 Shares Outstanding
 Revenue Per-Share
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization
 Enterprise Value
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 6.0
 Asset To Liability 1.243
 Debt To Capital 0.819
 Debt To Assets 0.755
Debt To Assets QoQ 4.904 %
Debt To Assets YoY -1.805 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.774
ELLO: 0.755
median: 0.457
mean: 0.444
low: 0.331
 Debt To Equity 4.533
Debt To Equity QoQ 18.706 %
Debt To Equity YoY 3.191 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA ELLO: 4.533
high: 3.034
median: 1.123
mean: -9.851
low: -38.335
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B)
Price To Book QoQ
Price To Book YoY
Price To Book IPRWA
 Price To Earnings (P/E)
Price To Earnings QoQ
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S)
Price To Sales QoQ
Price To Sales YoY
Price To Sales IPRWA
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.882
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.001
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -92.515 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -90.288 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.045
mean: 0.033
median: 0.027
low: 0.02
ELLO: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 0.32
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -91.48 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -65.416 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.397
mean: 1.936
median: 1.787
low: 1.727
ELLO: 0.32
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 285.445
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 74.12
mean: 15.6
ELLO: 0
median: -23.927
low: -24.64
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.046
 CapEx To Revenue -37.959
 CapEx To Depreciation -10.726
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 680.8 M
 Net Invested Capital 741.5 M
 Invested Capital 741.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 140.6 M
 Net Working Capital 22.2 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.952
 Current Ratio 1.241
Current Ratio QoQ 5.024 %
Current Ratio YoY 71.156 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.937
ELLO: 1.241
mean: 1.183
median: 0.673
low: 0.255
 Quick Ratio 1.235
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY 72.781 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.58
ELLO: 1.235
mean: 1.094
median: 1.02
low: 0.253
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -103.839
 Cost Of Debt 0.464 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -1.671
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -141.533 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -37.005 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 1.749
median: -0.55
ELLO: -1.671
mean: -3.652
low: -25.093
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.106
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 89.716
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 11.07 %
 Revenue Growth -91.94 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -813.488 %
Revenue Growth YoY -1020.505 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 57.254 %
mean: 16.9 %
median: 10.535 %
low: -13.989 %
ELLO: -91.94 %
 Earnings Growth
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin -746.004 %
Gross Margin QoQ -3056.345 %
Gross Margin YoY 39142.714 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 82.308 %
median: 56.93 %
mean: 48.545 %
low: 9.146 %
ELLO: -746.004 %
 EBIT Margin -952.047 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -1006.202 %
EBIT Margin YoY 730.336 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 22.182 %
median: 8.77 %
mean: 4.32 %
low: -25.586 %
ELLO: -952.047 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 429.727 %
Return On Sales QoQ 5845.31 %
Return On Sales YoY -474.79 %
Return On Sales IPRWA ELLO: 429.727 %
high: 23.525 %
median: 21.109 %
mean: 19.484 %
low: -19.477 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -45.04 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA
 Free Cash Growth 117.6 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 177.627 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -770.009 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 545.938 %
ELLO: 117.6 %
median: -60.786 %
mean: -581.737 %
low: -1963.158 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 3.583
 Cash Flow Margin -946.686 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.773
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA) -1.568 %
Return On Assets QoQ -215.209 %
Return On Assets YoY -7.765 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 0.508 %
median: 0.174 %
mean: -0.348 %
ELLO: -1.568 %
low: -24.295 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -1.3 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.089
Return On Equity QoQ -226.46 %
Return On Equity YoY -5.245 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 1.739
mean: 0.519
median: 0.012
low: 0.008
ELLO: -0.089
 DuPont ROE -8.858 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -1.255 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -179.936 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -14.1 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 1.382 %
median: 0.205 %
mean: -0.204 %
ELLO: -1.255 %
low: -35.133 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical and fundamental interplay points to a guarded, range-bound near-term profile with downside bias. Directional indicators and declining MACD favor short-term selling pressure while a positive MRO implies mean reversion risk from current price levels. The company’s completed and pending asset disposals should improve liquidity and reduce capital risk over the coming weeks, but high leverage and negative interest coverage sustain vulnerability to downside moves on adverse news. Expect choppy trading around the $23–$26 band with episodic volume spikes tied to closing-sale announcements and debenture-term updates; volatility may compress absent new catalysts. Swing traders should monitor confirmation of closing proceeds and short-term momentum reversal before adjusting directional exposure.

About Ellomay Capital Ltd.

Ellomay Capital Ltd. (NYSE:ELLO) advances the renewable energy sector with a focus on sustainable power solutions globally. Headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel, the company diversifies its portfolio across solar, hydroelectric, and biogas projects. In Spain, Ellomay Capital manages photovoltaic (PV) plants, including a notable 300 MW facility in Talaván, enhancing the country’s renewable energy contributions. In Israel, the company operates a dual-fuel power plant near Ashkelon and develops a 156 MW pumped storage hydro power plant at Manara Cliff. In the Netherlands, Ellomay Capital bolsters green energy production through anaerobic digestion plants, generating significant volumes of green gas. The company’s expansion into Italy and the United States includes numerous PV projects in Lazio and the Dallas metropolitan area, reflecting its dedication to global clean energy development. Established in 1987, Ellomay Capital has transitioned from its origins as NUR Macroprinters Ltd. into a key player in the renewable energy sector, supporting the shift towards a sustainable future.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.