First Merchants Corporation (NASDAQ:FRME) Poised For Near-Term Revaluation Post-Acquisition

Balance-sheet expansion from the recent acquisition contrasts with one-time charges that compressed reported profits; adjusted operating metrics and WMDST’s undervalued valuation suggest revaluation potential as integration completes.

Recent News

On April 22, First Merchants published first-quarter 2026 results showing adjusted EPS of $1.03 and headline charges tied to integration and a mortgage mark‑to‑market loss; the company highlighted $151.3M of net interest income and $21.1B in total assets at quarter‑end. On April 23, the earnings call transcript detailed acquisition-related items, tangible‑book dilution and an estimated 2.4‑year earn‑back for the First Savings deal. In mid‑February, commentary noted a $0.36 per‑share cash dividend and an expanded board following the acquisition integration steps.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 12.16 indicates no established trend strength; that lack of trend lowers conviction for strong directional moves until momentum or directional indicators strengthen.

DI+ equals 25.15 and shows a decreasing trend, a bearish directional signal; DI‑ equals 21.60 and shows a peak‑and‑reversal (declining DI‑), which generates a bullish directional signal. The coexistence of a weakening DI+ and a peak‑and‑reversal in DI‑ produces a mixed directional profile that favors range trading while integration-related headlines resolve.

MACD displays a dip‑and‑reversal, which signals bullish momentum development; however, MACD (0.27) sits just below its signal line (0.31), so a bullish crossover has not yet occurred and momentum requires confirmation via a line crossover to strengthen the near‑term upside case.

MRO reads 24.12 (positive), indicating price currently sits above the model target and therefore carries measurable mean‑reversion pressure; this technical suggests the current price may face downside reversion against fundamental valuation unless momentum confirms further gains.

RSI at 53.65 provides a neutral momentum backdrop; the recent dip‑and‑reversal in RSI implies a mild upward tilt but not overbought conditions, aligning with a cautious, short‑term constructive bias.

Price sits near short‑term averages: close $40.51 versus 12‑day EMA $40.36 (increasing), 20‑day average $40.32, 50‑day average $39.17 and 200‑day average $38.67. Bollinger bands remain tight (upper band ~$40.80, lower band ~$39.84), so expect compressed volatility to expand when a decisive technical trigger—MACD crossover or directional indicator alignment—arrives. Volume on the day (255,095) trails 10‑day and 50‑/200‑day averages, supporting the view that current moves carry lower conviction until participation rises.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Reported EPS equaled $1.03 against an estimate of $0.97, producing an EPS surprise of about 6.2%, and adjusted EPS also landed at $1.03 after excluding non‑core charges; that adjusted result signals operating resilience despite integration costs. Net interest income registered $151.3M for the quarter, supporting margin expansion narratives cited by management. Net income for the quarter totaled $28.2M.

Valuation multiples show a mixed picture: trailing PE stands at 38.15 while forward PE equals 34.02, indicating some near‑term improvement priced into forward estimates. Price‑to‑book reads 0.93, below the industry peer mean of 1.29441 and below the industry peer median of 1.27776, placing the stock beneath peer book valuations while remaining inside the industry peer range. Price‑to‑sales measures at 15.63 sit slightly above the industry peer mean of 14.51319. WMDST values the stock as under‑valued based on the firm’s model and current price relative to book and forward earnings.

Profitability and capital metrics reflect modest returns and continued loan growth from the acquisition: return on assets equals 0.14% and return on equity equals 1.06%, metrics that remained below the industry peer mean and median levels. Revenue growth shows large year‑over‑year expansion at 78.72% and quarter‑over‑quarter change at 226.55% (both figures reflect acquisition contributions and base‑effects). Loan and deposit balances expanded meaningfully during the trailing twelve months, and allowance for credit losses rose to reflect acquired loan mix and prudent reserve adjustments. Dividend yield equals 0.95% with a payout ratio of 82.71% and dividend coverage near 1.21x, reflecting ongoing capital return while maintaining coverage.

Balance‑sheet strength appears intact: total assets equal $21.07B as of 2026‑03‑31, cash sits at $273.4M, tangible equity near $1.85B, and debt metrics remain moderate (debt‑to‑equity ~0.52; debt‑to‑assets ~6.58%). Integration produced recorded goodwill and intangible assets consistent with a sizable acquisition; management reported acquisition‑related costs that depressed GAAP net income for the quarter but also noted adjusted operating earnings above prior year levels.

Valuation summary: WMDST’s current valuation labels the stock under‑valued, supported by a sub‑book multiple (P/B < industry peer mean/median) and a forward PE below the industry peer mean; near‑term profit metrics remain affected by acquisition accounting and mortgage mark‑to‑market items that should unwind as integration progresses and loan mix normalizes.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-22
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-22
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 84.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow 34.2 M
 Capital Expenditures
 Change In Working Capital -17.39 M
 Dividends Paid -23.29 M
 Cash Flow Delta 13.9 M
 End Period Cash Flow 98.1 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 157.1 M
 Forward Revenue 99.3 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation 6.7 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 9.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT
 Operating Income
 Interest Income 248.6 M
 Interest Expense 97.3 M
 Net Interest Income 151.3 M
 Income Before Tax 27.1 M
 Tax Provision -1.07 M
 Tax Rate 40.0 %
 Net Income 28.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 28.2 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.97
 EPS Actual 1.03
 EPS Difference 0.06
 EPS Surprise 6.186 %
 Forward EPS 1.14
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 21.1 B
 Intangible Assets 824.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 1.8 B
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments
 Cash 273.4 M
 Net Receivables 97.0 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 18.9 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt 1.1 B
 Total Debt 1.4 B
 Total Liabilities 18.4 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.6 B
 Retained Earnings 1.4 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 42.35
 Shares Outstanding 62.508 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.51
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.5 B
 Enterprise Value 3.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 24.449
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 7.96
 Asset To Liability 1.145
 Debt To Capital 0.344
 Debt To Assets 0.066
Debt To Assets QoQ 46.111 %
Debt To Assets YoY 17.139 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.102
median: 0.082
mean: 0.066
FRME: 0.066
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.523
Debt To Equity QoQ 49.243 %
Debt To Equity YoY 16.647 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.386
median: 0.743
mean: 0.622
FRME: 0.523
low: 0.011
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.928
Price To Book QoQ 5.055 %
Price To Book YoY -5.407 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 2.268
mean: 1.294
median: 1.278
FRME: 0.928
low: 0.287
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 38.148
Price To Earnings QoQ -1.25 %
Price To Earnings YoY -8.382 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 85.229
mean: 50.411
median: 38.233
FRME: 38.148
low: 28.296
 PE/G Ratio 7.477
 Price To Sales (P/S) 15.631
Price To Sales QoQ 24.816 %
Price To Sales YoY 10.749 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 21.108
FRME: 15.631
mean: 14.513
median: 14.264
low: 2.931
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 34.021
Forward PE/G 6.668
Forward P/S 24.732
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.008
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -13.846 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -10.092 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.015
mean: 0.01
median: 0.01
FRME: 0.008
low: 0.007
 Receivables Turnover 1.651
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -12.532 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -7.247 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.508
mean: 2.632
median: 2.467
low: 1.678
FRME: 1.651
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 55.285
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 4.1 B
 Net Invested Capital 4.0 B
 Invested Capital 4.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.8 B
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 10.011 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 1.209
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.827
 Dividend Rate 0.37
 Dividend Yield 0.009
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 10.762 %
 Revenue Growth 3.628 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 226.553 %
Revenue Growth YoY 78.719 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 23.196 %
mean: 5.621 %
FRME: 3.628 %
median: -2.054 %
low: -18.912 %
 Earnings Growth 5.102 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -605.149 %
Earnings Growth YoY -78.458 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 41.86 %
FRME: 5.102 %
mean: -3.306 %
median: -12.502 %
low: -43.519 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 58.6 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.386 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -36.254 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -12.505 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 6.259 %
FRME: 2.386 %
median: 1.193 %
mean: 1.098 %
low: -2.878 %
 Free Cash Growth -27.407 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 250.473 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 218.76 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 274.28 %
FRME: -27.407 %
median: -50.617 %
mean: -63.881 %
low: -309.536 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.081
 Cash Flow Margin 21.736 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.213
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.05
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.14 %
Return On Assets QoQ -53.642 %
Return On Assets YoY -53.488 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 0.513 %
mean: 0.225 %
median: 0.205 %
FRME: 0.14 %
low: 0.065 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.011
Return On Equity QoQ -54.472 %
Return On Equity YoY -55.648 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.041
mean: 0.02
median: 0.018
FRME: 0.011
low: 0.005
 DuPont ROE 1.107 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a period of rangebound trading with a mild positive tilt: momentum indicators show early bullish signs but lack a confirming MACD crossover, while MRO flags mean‑reversion risk. Primary technical triggers to watch for directional confirmation include a MACD crossing above its signal line and DI+ stabilization or re‑acceleration. Fundamental catalysts that could shift bias include clearer integration updates, reductions in acquisition‑related charges, or visible improvement in core net interest income. Volume expansion accompanying a confirmed momentum signal would increase conviction for a directional move; absent confirmation, the short‑term profile favors consolidation around $39–$41 while the medium valuation thesis remains supportive.

About First Merchants Corporation

First Merchants Corporation (NASDAQ:FRME) develops a comprehensive range of financial services through its subsidiary, First Merchants Bank. Established in 1893 and headquartered in Muncie, Indiana, the company maintains a strong presence across the Midwest with numerous locations in Indiana, Illinois, Ohio, and Michigan. First Merchants delivers community banking services tailored to both individual and business clients, offering a variety of deposit accounts such as time, savings, and demand deposits. The company provides an extensive selection of loan products, including consumer, commercial, agri-business, and real estate mortgage loans. In addition to traditional banking services, First Merchants extends its offerings to encompass personal and corporate trust services, brokerage, and private wealth management, ensuring a comprehensive approach to financial health. To meet the evolving demands of its customers, First Merchants integrates modern banking conveniences, including electronic and mobile delivery channels. By prioritizing financial stability and personalized service, First Merchants Corporation continues to drive growth and support community development throughout the regions it serves.



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