Lear Corporation (NYSE:LEA) Signals Near-Term Upside Backed By Margin Momentum

Recent margin expansion and a positive surprise in reported EPS position Lear for further upside, while mixed cash-flow metrics temper near-term conviction.

Recent News

On February 12, 2026 Lear’s board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.77 per share, payable March 25 to shareholders of record March 5. On March 4, 2026 Lear announced participation in a March 17 Bank of America Global Automotive Summit fireside chat to discuss strategy and market dynamics.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 18.0 indicates no established trend strength; momentum remains in a regime where directional moves can reverse quickly, implying price action will react to short-term catalysts rather than a dominant trend.

Directional indicators show bullish setup: DI+ at 29.79 recovered via a dip-and-reverse, while DI– at 21.07 completed a peak-and-reverse, signaling bullish directional pressure for the near term and aligning with the margin-driven positive outlook.

MACD reads 1.85 with the MACD line above the signal line at 1.24; the MACD dip-and-reverse produced a bullish momentum signal as the MACD crossed above its signal line, supporting continued upside momentum over the coming weeks.

MRO sits at 31.09 and rising, which indicates the current price trades above the model target and therefore carries mean-reversion risk; that tension suggests upside biased moves may meet corrective pullbacks into equilibrium before any sustained leg higher.

RSI at 53.63 completed a dip-and-reverse and occupies a neutral-to-firm band, consistent with renewed buying without extended overbought extremes.

Price structure favors buyers: the close at $131.65 trades above the 20-day average ($127.33) and well above the 200-day average ($113.50), while the 12-day EMA recently reversed higher. The close sits marginally above the 1x Bollinger upper band ($131.23), signaling short-term stretch that could invite consolidation down toward near support around the super trend lower at $121.25.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Lear reported first-quarter 2026 results and reaffirmed full-year guidance; earnings per share came in at $3.87 versus an estimate of $3.51, producing a positive EPS surprise of 10.26%. The company described the quarter as its highest EPS since 2021 and the highest adjusted EPS since 2019.

Profitability improved: operating margin measures 4.38% and EBIT margin registers 4.16%. EBIT margin rose 80.83% quarter-over-quarter and 43.53% year-over-year, reflecting stronger cost absorption and pricing leverage. Despite that improvement, the EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean of 7.232% and below the industry peer median of 8.282%.

Top-line dynamics show mixed timing: revenue reads $5.8228B with year-over-year revenue growth of 2.56% but a reported quarter-over-quarter change of -150.93%, indicating lumpy quarterly patterns; interpret quarterly swings with caution when projecting short-term cash flow. Gross margin at 7.733% improved materially year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter, but remains below the industry peer mean gross margin of 18.002% and the industry peer median of 19.106%.

Cash flow and leverage present contrasting signals. Operating cash flow reached $98.1M while free cash flow finished negative at -$26.5M; free cash flow yield stands at -0.43% and free cash growth shows decline on a year basis. The company holds $881.9M in cash and short-term investments and net debt of $1.8618B, with debt-to-EBITDA around 6.99 and interest coverage near 9.46x, indicating sufficient coverage but elevated leverage relative to historical norms.

Market multiples and capital ratios: trailing P/E equals 31.74 while forward P/E estimates near 28.09; price-to-book registers 1.22, below the industry peer mean price-to-book of 2.7145 and below the peer median of 3.1979. WMDST values the stock as under-valued given current fundamentals, margin momentum, and the risk/reward implied by present multiples.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-01
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-31
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.0 B
 Operating Cash Flow 98.1 M
 Capital Expenditures -124.60 M
 Change In Working Capital -228.50 M
 Dividends Paid -42.50 M
 Cash Flow Delta -150.80 M
 End Period Cash Flow 884.5 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 5.8 B
 Forward Revenue 1.8 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 5.4 B
 Depreciation 144.9 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 149.9 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 5.6 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 450.3 M
 EBITDA 392.2 M
 EBIT 242.3 M
 Operating Income 255.0 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 25.6 M
 Net Interest Income -25.60 M
 Income Before Tax 216.7 M
 Tax Provision 38.4 M
 Tax Rate 17.72 %
 Net Income 172.3 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 192.7 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 3.51
 EPS Actual 3.87
 EPS Difference 0.36
 EPS Surprise 10.256 %
 Forward EPS 4.32
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 15.5 B
 Intangible Assets 1.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets 3.3 B
 Total Current Assets 8.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 881.9 M
 Cash 881.9 M
 Net Receivables 4.2 B
 Inventory 1.8 B
 Long-Term Investments 2.6 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 3.8 B
 Short-Term Debt 32.1 M
 Total Current Liabilities 6.2 B
 Net Debt 1.9 B
 Total Debt 2.7 B
 Total Liabilities 10.2 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 5.1 B
 Retained Earnings 6.3 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 100.47
 Shares Outstanding 50.627 M
 Revenue Per-Share 115.01
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 6.2 B
 Enterprise Value 8.1 B
 Enterprise Multiple 20.602
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -23.366 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -5.138 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 42.248
mean: 31.187
median: 30.846
low: 28.221
LEA: 20.602
 EV/R 1.388
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.038
 Asset To Liability 1.518
 Debt To Capital 0.35
 Debt To Assets 0.178
Debt To Assets QoQ -9.52 %
Debt To Assets YoY -6.004 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.266
median: 0.266
mean: 0.231
LEA: 0.178
low: 0.127
 Debt To Equity 0.539
Debt To Equity QoQ -6.749 %
Debt To Equity YoY -9.025 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 0.855
median: 0.855
mean: 0.695
LEA: 0.539
low: 0.28
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.222
Price To Book QoQ 2.313 %
Price To Book YoY 20.486 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 3.198
median: 3.198
mean: 2.715
low: 1.309
LEA: 1.222
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 31.738
Price To Earnings QoQ -5.968 %
Price To Earnings YoY 12.006 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 101.986
mean: 53.97
median: 36.4
LEA: 31.738
low: 18.383
 PE/G Ratio 2.353
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.068
Price To Sales QoQ 6.303 %
Price To Sales YoY 25.632 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 3.06
median: 3.06
mean: 2.919
low: 2.382
LEA: 1.068
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 28.094
Forward PE/G 2.083
Forward P/S 3.367
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -27.391
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.384
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -3.717 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -0.966 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA LEA: 0.384
high: 0.322
median: 0.322
mean: 0.31
low: 0.279
 Receivables Turnover 1.442
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.191 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 1.303 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.481
LEA: 1.442
mean: 1.258
low: 1.182
median: 1.182
 Inventory Turnover 3.12
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.513 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -1.542 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA LEA: 3.12
high: 2.875
mean: 2.331
median: 2.297
low: 1.163
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 63.29
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 32.964
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 5.718 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -0.97 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 63.807
mean: 38.362
median: 37.973
LEA: 32.964
low: 30.224
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.857
 CapEx To Revenue -0.021
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.86
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 7.8 B
 Net Invested Capital 7.8 B
 Invested Capital 7.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets 3.3 B
 Net Working Capital 2.0 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.142
 Current Ratio 1.328
Current Ratio QoQ -1.796 %
Current Ratio YoY 0.634 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 1.975
LEA: 1.328
mean: 1.285
low: 1.075
median: 1.075
 Quick Ratio 1.046
Quick Ratio QoQ -0.68 %
Quick Ratio YoY 1.383 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.429
LEA: 1.046
mean: 0.992
low: 0.82
median: 0.82
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 6.996
 Cost Of Debt 0.745 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 9.465
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 71.713 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 51.484 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 17.333
mean: 10.207
LEA: 9.465
median: 8.769
low: 3.892
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.057
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 58.154
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 4.054
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.247
 Dividend Rate 0.84
 Dividend Yield 0.007
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 4.113 %
 Revenue Growth -2.769 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -150.929 %
Revenue Growth YoY 2.556 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 2.852 %
mean: -1.25 %
low: -2.272 %
median: -2.272 %
LEA: -2.769 %
 Earnings Growth 13.49 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -39.294 %
Earnings Growth YoY 120.353 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 71.429 %
LEA: 13.49 %
mean: -29.099 %
median: -35.737 %
low: -44.257 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 7.733 %
Gross Margin QoQ 35.24 %
Gross Margin YoY 19.706 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 24.695 %
median: 19.106 %
mean: 18.002 %
low: 11.845 %
LEA: 7.733 %
 EBIT Margin 4.161 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 80.834 %
EBIT Margin YoY 43.532 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 8.282 %
median: 8.282 %
mean: 7.232 %
LEA: 4.161 %
low: 2.603 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 4.379 %
Return On Sales QoQ 69.073 %
Return On Sales YoY 51.052 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 8.572 %
median: 8.572 %
mean: 7.748 %
low: 4.566 %
LEA: 4.379 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -26.50 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.426 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -109.118 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -91.31 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA LEA: -0.426 %
high: -1.14 %
mean: -1.696 %
low: -1.911 %
median: -1.911 %
 Free Cash Growth -109.427 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 1197.143 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -25.767 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA LEA: -109.427 %
high: -137.793 %
median: -137.793 %
mean: -148.794 %
low: -268.383 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.154
 Cash Flow Margin 6.128 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.071
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.137 %
Return On Assets QoQ 106.352 %
Return On Assets YoY 101.954 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 1.648 %
median: 1.648 %
mean: 1.385 %
LEA: 1.137 %
low: 0.298 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.623 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.034
Return On Equity QoQ 106.273 %
Return On Equity YoY 95.554 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.054
median: 0.054
mean: 0.043
LEA: 0.034
low: 0.006
 DuPont ROE 3.405 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.546 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 71.217 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 75.95 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 3.382 %
median: 3.382 %
mean: 2.85 %
LEA: 2.546 %
low: 0.657 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a bullish bias with potential short-term pullbacks. Technical indicators—DI+/DI– configuration, MACD crossing above its signal line, and price above short- and long-term averages—favor upward drift, while a positive MRO and a close near the upper Bollinger band warn of intermittent mean reversion. Traders should watch for consolidation toward the $121 area of structural support if short-term profit-taking appears, and monitor any guidance updates or macro news that could re-rate margins or cash-flow expectations.

About Lear Corporation

Lear Corporation (NYSE:LEA) designs and manufactures automotive seating and electrical distribution systems for original equipment manufacturers globally. With a focus on North America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and South America, Lear delivers comprehensive solutions for the automotive industry. The company’s Seating segment develops seat systems and components, including trim covers, mechanisms, foams, and headrests. These products cater to a range of vehicles, from light trucks and compact cars to sport utility vehicles. Lear also provides surface materials such as leather and fabric, enhancing both functionality and aesthetics. In its E-Systems segment, Lear produces electrical distribution and connection systems that facilitate signal routing and power management within vehicles. This includes wire harnesses, terminals, connectors, and junction boxes. The segment also offers electronic system products like control modules and power control systems, along with software and connected services for in-vehicle commerce and cloud integration. Headquartered in Southfield, Michigan, Lear Corporation continues to supply innovative automotive solutions under various brands, meeting the evolving needs of the global automotive market.



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