Powell Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ:POWL) Builds Momentum From Record Backlog Into Near-Term Growth

Powell Industries shows operational strength backed by a large backlog and improving margins, while short-term technical indicators warn of a potential pullback before continuation.

Recent News

In late March 2026 the company highlighted a record backlog of approximately $1.6 billion and several large awards, including a greater-than-$100M LNG order and data-center bookings that exceeded $75M, driven by recent wins discussed at a Sidoti investor conference. Powell raised its quarterly dividend to $0.27 per share with a payment in March 2026 and a February 17, 2026 ex-dividend date.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators (ADX / DI+ / DI-): ADX at 17.98 indicates no established trend; both DI+ (21.42) exhibiting a peak-and-reversal and DI- (20.27) showing a dip-and-reversal produce a bearish directional posture despite the low trend strength, suggesting short-term selling pressure could intensify before any clear trend forms.

MACD: MACD shows a peak-and-reversal and currently sits below its signal line (MACD 7.65 vs signal 8.96), which translates to bearish momentum and raises the probability of a near-term correction in price momentum until MACD dips and then crosses above the signal line.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO reads 15.53 and has peaked-and-reversed; the positive reading indicates the market price sits above WMDST’s target level and implies a tendency toward downward pressure as the oscillator unwinds from its peak.

RSI: RSI at 57.54 with a peak-and-reversal indicates the stock left the near-neutral band on a short-term high and now shows fading upside momentum rather than overbought conditions; that pattern aligns with other momentum indicators pointing to a corrective phase.

Price vs moving averages and ichimoku: Price closed at $541.08, sitting above the 20-day average ($527.68), 50-day ($514.82), and 200-day ($349.07), which demonstrates broader bullish placement; however, short-term EMAs and the 12-day EMA show a peak-and-reversal, so short-term moving-average structure supports a potential pullback that would still leave longer-term averages intact as support.

Volatility & volume context: Recent volume (156,950) runs below 10-day and 50/200-day averages, indicating the latest price action occurred on lighter-than-normal participation; 42-day beta at 1.96 and 52-week beta 1.60 confirm above-market beta, so any directional move can amplify quickly once volume returns.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: Operating (EBIT) margin stands at 17.03%, above the industry peer mean of 14.97% and above the industry peer median of 13.24%, while below the peer high of 22.16%. Year-over-year operating margin expanded by 15.57%, though quarter-over-quarter margin declined by 19.77%, indicating improving annual profitability but recent quarterly compression during backlog deployment or mix shifts.

Revenue and growth: Total revenue reached $251.18 million. Year-over-year revenue growth equals 28.45%; the reported sequential revenue change shows a negative QoQ figure of -483.89% as provided, reflecting atypical sequential comparatives in quarterly reporting. The YoY expansion pairs with margin improvement to support the narrative of backlog-driven top-line momentum.

Earnings and cash flow: Reported EPS came in at $3.40 versus an estimate of $3.04, producing an EPS surprise of roughly 11.84%. Operating cash flow and free cash flow remain positive at $43.64 million and $41.61 million, respectively, with free cash flow yield about 0.93%. Cash on hand equals $490.63 million and cash plus short-term investments total $500.84 million, producing a cash ratio of 1.25 and a current ratio of 2.29—both signaling strong near-term liquidity.

Capital structure and leverage: Total debt measures $1.46 million and debt-to-equity reads 0.22%, markedly below the industry peer mean debt-to-equity of 59.38%, indicating an exceptionally low leverage profile that supports financial flexibility for backlog fulfillment and selective investment.

Valuation context: Price-to-book stands at 6.67, above the industry peer mean of 5.89 and slightly below the industry peer median of 6.81. Trailing PE approximates 108.01 while forward PE equals 69.64, reflecting expected earnings expansion embedded in forward estimates. WMDST values the stock as fair-valued given current earnings, cash, and backlog conversion prospects.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-03
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-05
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 450.7 M
 Operating Cash Flow 43.6 M
 Capital Expenditures -2.03 M
 Change In Working Capital -5.18 M
 Dividends Paid -3.23 M
 Cash Flow Delta 39.9 M
 End Period Cash Flow 490.6 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 251.2 M
 Forward Revenue 86.1 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 179.8 M
 Depreciation 1.9 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 2.1 M
 Research and Development 3.3 M
 Total Operating Expenses 208.4 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 71.4 M
 EBITDA 44.9 M
 EBIT 42.8 M
 Operating Income 42.8 M
 Interest Income 4.3 M
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 4.3 M
 Income Before Tax 47.0 M
 Tax Provision 5.6 M
 Tax Rate 12.0 %
 Net Income 41.4 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 41.4 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 3.04
 EPS Actual 3.40
 EPS Difference 0.36
 EPS Surprise 11.842 %
 Forward EPS 4.68
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.1 B
 Intangible Assets 12.1 M
 Net Tangible Assets 656.8 M
 Total Current Assets 920.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 500.8 M
 Cash 490.6 M
 Net Receivables 189.6 M
 Inventory 85.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 19.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 48.2 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 401.6 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 1.5 M
 Total Liabilities 425.5 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 668.9 M
 Retained Earnings 667.9 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 55.10
 Shares Outstanding 12.140 M
 Revenue Per-Share 20.69
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 4.5 B
 Enterprise Value 4.0 B
 Enterprise Multiple 88.134
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 70.224 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 24.226 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 292.919
mean: 88.256
POWL: 88.134
median: 87.672
low: -68.969
 EV/R 15.761
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.636
 Asset To Liability 2.572
 Debt To Capital 0.002
 Debt To Assets 0.001
Debt To Assets QoQ -11.333 %
Debt To Assets YoY -11.333 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.452
median: 0.254
mean: 0.25
low: 0.016
POWL: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.002
Debt To Equity QoQ -16.154 %
Debt To Equity YoY -20.727 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.049
mean: 0.594
median: 0.48
low: 0.019
POWL: 0.002
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 6.665
Price To Book QoQ 10.804 %
Price To Book YoY 9.535 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 14.021
median: 6.811
POWL: 6.665
mean: 5.887
low: 0.523
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 108.009
Price To Earnings QoQ 42.73 %
Price To Earnings YoY 23.396 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 265.806
mean: 117.132
POWL: 108.009
median: 99.348
low: -66.062
 PE/G Ratio -5.559
 Price To Sales (P/S) 17.749
Price To Sales QoQ 37.215 %
Price To Sales YoY 41.884 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 60.313
mean: 21.613
median: 18.753
POWL: 17.749
low: -26.375
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 69.639
Forward PE/G -3.584
Forward P/S 51.761
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 2.061
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.228
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -17.701 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -13.077 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.501
POWL: 0.228
mean: 0.186
median: 0.172
low: -0.036
 Receivables Turnover 1.235
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -11.134 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 4.304 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.985
mean: 1.356
median: 1.289
POWL: 1.235
low: 0.153
 Inventory Turnover 2.119
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -10.224 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 1.329 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.323
POWL: 2.119
mean: 0.968
median: 0.908
low: 0.332
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 73.861
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 85.997
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 14.923 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 0.788 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 282.34
mean: 104.039
POWL: 85.997
median: 84.944
low: -87.947
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.484
 CapEx To Revenue -0.008
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.053
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 668.9 M
 Net Invested Capital 668.9 M
 Invested Capital 668.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets 656.8 M
 Net Working Capital 518.5 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.247
 Current Ratio 2.291
Current Ratio QoQ 9.757 %
Current Ratio YoY 19.266 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 7.076
POWL: 2.291
mean: 2.086
median: 1.547
low: 1.038
 Quick Ratio 2.079
Quick Ratio QoQ 9.587 %
Quick Ratio YoY 22.407 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 6.699
POWL: 2.079
mean: 1.441
median: 1.001
low: 0.539
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 0.032
 Cost Of Debt 21.196 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 113.753
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -32.373 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 20.238 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA POWL: 113.753
high: 42.37
mean: 15.509
median: 13.319
low: -57.382
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.129
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 25.728
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 12.794
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.078
 Dividend Rate 0.27
 Dividend Yield 0.001
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.318 %
 Revenue Growth -15.705 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -483.891 %
Revenue Growth YoY 28.445 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 49.829 %
mean: 4.575 %
median: 0.959 %
POWL: -15.705 %
low: -78.064 %
 Earnings Growth -19.431 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -395.934 %
Earnings Growth YoY -19.5 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
mean: 22.563 %
median: 6.897 %
POWL: -19.431 %
low: -128.571 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 28.433 %
Gross Margin QoQ -9.409 %
Gross Margin YoY 15.323 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 44.281 %
median: 36.288 %
mean: 35.506 %
POWL: 28.433 %
low: -12.055 %
 EBIT Margin 17.028 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -19.77 %
EBIT Margin YoY 15.569 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 22.162 %
POWL: 17.028 %
mean: 14.968 %
median: 13.242 %
low: -114.823 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 17.028 %
Return On Sales QoQ -19.77 %
Return On Sales YoY 15.569 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 22.855 %
mean: 17.204 %
POWL: 17.028 %
median: 14.156 %
low: -96.362 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 41.6 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.933 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -39.376 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -19.221 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 3.815 %
median: 1.189 %
mean: 1.033 %
POWL: 0.933 %
low: -14.429 %
 Free Cash Growth -29.84 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -174.01 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -91.261 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 198.504 %
mean: 36.503 %
median: 31.71 %
POWL: -29.84 %
low: -225.457 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.005
 Cash Flow Margin 20.672 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.255
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.757 %
Return On Assets QoQ -21.418 %
Return On Assets YoY -0.53 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.87 %
POWL: 3.757 %
median: 2.226 %
mean: 1.791 %
low: -15.567 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 6.174 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.062
Return On Equity QoQ -22.891 %
Return On Equity YoY -11.65 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.219
POWL: 0.062
median: 0.058
mean: 0.047
low: -0.235
 DuPont ROE 6.321 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 5.627 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -25.123 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -166.766 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.694 %
POWL: 5.627 %
median: 3.936 %
mean: 3.447 %
low: -7.193 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near term likely exhibits a two-phase pattern: an initial corrective phase driven by converging momentum indicators—MACD below its signal line, peak-and-reverse readings on the MRO and RSI, and DI+ weakening—followed by a stabilization phase supported by a large backlog and robust liquidity. Watch for a MACD dip-and-reverse or a DI- peak-and-reverse as technical confirmations that momentum has re-centered; should those occur while price holds above the 50-day average, the backlog and cash position support a resumption of upward bias over the subsequent weeks.

About Powell Industries, Inc.

Powell Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ:POWL) designs and manufactures custom-engineered equipment and systems for a variety of industries. The company develops integrated power control room substations, custom-engineered modules, electrical houses, and medium-voltage circuit breakers. Powell Industries also produces monitoring and control communication systems, motor control centers, switches, and bus duct systems. Their product offerings include both traditional and arc-resistant distribution switchgears and control gears, suitable for voltages from 480 volts to 38,000 volts. In addition to manufacturing, Powell Industries provides comprehensive field services such as inspection, installation, commissioning, modification, and repair. They supply spare parts, retrofit and retrofill components for existing systems, and replacement circuit breakers for switchgear. The company serves a diverse range of sectors, including onshore and offshore production, liquefied natural gas facilities, pipelines, refineries, petrochemical plants, electric utilities, light rail traction power, mining, metals, pulp and paper, data centers, and other municipal, commercial, and industrial markets. Powell Industries operates across the United States, Canada, the Middle East, Africa, Europe, Mexico, and Central and South America. Founded in 1947, the company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.



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