Charter Communications, Inc (NASDAQ:CHTR) Braces For Volatility As Merger Progresses

Charter enters the short term under directional pressure tied to regulatory developments and consolidation headlines, while core cash generation and margins leave a mixed near-term setup.

Recent News

On February 27, 2026 the combination with Cox Communications received regulatory movement, and state-level evidentiary hearings continued through April, keeping a mid‑2026 close as the working timeline. LightReading reported industry complaints that Charter has resisted signing or renewing wholesale arrangements with some wireless ISPs, a regulatory friction point for the combination. Charter scheduled management appearances at investor conferences in April–May 2026, maintaining an active investor engagement cadence ahead of integration milestones.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators present a strong trending environment: ADX at 36.68 signals a very strong trend, while DI- (37.78, increasing) dominates DI+ (15.37) despite a DI+ dip-and-reverse that represents a recent bullish attempt. The net directional bias therefore favors downside pressure even as buyers showed a short-lived pickup.

MACD sits negative at -$17.92 and trends lower with the MACD below its signal line (-$15.14); that combination indicates prevailing bearish momentum and confirms selling pressure has remained in control.

MRO reads -46.97 with a dip-and-reversal pattern; the negative MRO implies price sits below the WMDST target and therefore carries rebound potential, and the recent dip-and-reverse in MRO strengthens the case for a tactical mean reversion trade if selling momentum eases.

RSI at 39.97 and falling shows weakening short-term buying conviction; the oscillator remains above a classic oversold boundary but signals that downside momentum currently outpaces recovery attempts.

Price sits below most short- and medium-term averages: the 12‑day EMA (price12dayEMA) and 20‑day average both trend down, the 26‑day EMA stays above the 12‑day, and the close ($140.33) trades well under the 50‑day ($202.57) and 200‑day ($226.11) averages—a configuration that biases near-term action lower unless a sustained shift occurs.

Bollinger context: the close trades below the 1‑sigma lower band ($145.09) and approaches the 2‑sigma lower band ($133.68), indicating a volatility‑driven breakdown from recent range support. Volume on the print (5,002,309) exceeded the 10‑day and 50‑day averages, consistent with distribution rather than light selling.

Price targets show wide dispersion (mean $88.31, high $239.40, low $80.22), underscoring divergent analyst views; given the strong ADX and DI‑ dominance, expect elevated two‑way volatility while the merger process and news flow resolve.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: operating margin stands at 23.704% and EBIT margin at 22.681%. Charter’s EBIT margin exceeds the industry peer mean of 12.109% and the industry peer median of 12.166%, placing Charter toward the upper half of the peer range but below the industry high of 31.042%. Quarter‑over‑quarter EBIT margin fell by 4.525%, while year‑over‑year EBIT margin rose by 0.652%, showing stable absolute margins despite near‑term compression.

Earnings per share and surprises: reported EPS totaled $9.17 versus an estimate of $10.08, a shortfall of $0.91 or a -9.03% surprise. Forward EPS sits at $11.05, and forward P/E equals 18.59x versus the trailing P/E of 24.42x, implying some easing of multiple on forward expectations.

Valuation multiples and cash returns: price‑to‑book runs 1.73x, above the industry peer mean book multiple of 1.1837; price‑to‑sales measures 2.09x versus an industry peer mean of 3.3234, indicating a lighter revenue multiple compared with peers. Free cash flow yield equals 4.84%, above the industry peer mean of 3.65%, supporting the view that operating cash conversion remains a relative strength. WMDST values the stock as under‑valued based on the combination of cash yield and normalized operating margins.

Leverage and coverage: total debt stands near $96.82 billion with net debt roughly $96.31 billion; debt‑to‑EBITDA measures 18.29x and debt‑to‑equity at 5.91x, both materially higher than typical peer medians and signaling elevated leverage. Interest coverage equals 2.46x, below the industry peer mean coverage of 3.42x, indicating tighter interest servicing flexibility. The high leverage level represents the primary fundamental risk to near‑term valuation despite strong cash flow generation.

Revenue and growth: reported total revenue equals $13.597 billion. Reported revenue growth shows conflicting short‑run signals by measure; QoQ metric indicates a meaningful sequential contraction while year‑over‑year changes show larger movement—readers should prioritize the operating cash flow profile and margins when assessing short‑term valuation given the company’s leverage. Earnings growth sits negative at -11.315% with QoQ deterioration; operating cash flow remains robust at $4.304 billion and free cash flow at $1.372 billion.

Valuation summary: WMDST’s valuation framework weighs the elevated leverage and compressed near‑term earnings against above‑peer EBIT margins and a free cash flow yield above the peer mean, producing an under‑valued designation. The balance between leverage risk and cash generation will determine whether the under‑valued tag tightens or loosens as merger integration and regulatory outcomes arrive.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-24
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-24
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 598.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 4.3 B
 Capital Expenditures -2.93 B
 Change In Working Capital 181.0 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 24.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 622.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 13.6 B
 Forward Revenue 4.0 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 5.9 B
 Depreciation 2.2 B
 Depreciation and Amortization 2.2 B
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 10.4 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 7.7 B
 EBITDA 5.3 B
 EBIT 3.1 B
 Operating Income 3.2 B
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 1.3 B
 Net Interest Income -1.26 B
 Income Before Tax 1.8 B
 Tax Provision 465.0 M
 Tax Rate 25.438 %
 Net Income 1.2 B
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 1.4 B
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 10.08
 EPS Actual 9.17
 EPS Difference -0.91
 EPS Surprise -9.028 %
 Forward EPS 11.05
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 154.6 B
 Intangible Assets 97.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets -81.12 B
 Total Current Assets 5.0 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 517.0 M
 Cash 517.0 M
 Net Receivables 3.5 B
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 5.0 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 1.0 B
 Short-Term Debt 812.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 12.4 B
 Net Debt 96.3 B
 Total Debt 96.8 B
 Total Liabilities 133.6 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 16.4 B
 Retained Earnings -4.23 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 129.39
 Shares Outstanding 122.985 M
 Revenue Per-Share 107.37
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 28.4 B
 Enterprise Value 124.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple 23.544
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 3.445 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -13.891 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 24.721
median: 24.721
CHTR: 23.544
mean: 22.33
low: -274.874
 EV/R 9.168
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 9.438
 Asset To Liability 1.158
 Debt To Capital 0.855
 Debt To Assets 0.626
Debt To Assets QoQ -0.584 %
Debt To Assets YoY -1.093 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA CHTR: 0.626
high: 0.563
median: 0.364
mean: 0.363
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 5.909
Debt To Equity QoQ -2.322 %
Debt To Equity YoY 0.47 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA CHTR: 5.909
high: 2.105
median: 1.072
mean: 1.072
low: -0.004
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.731
Price To Book QoQ 3.576 %
Price To Book YoY -43.186 %
Price To Book IPRWA CHTR: 1.731
high: 1.19
median: 1.19
mean: 1.184
low: -0.006
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 24.422
Price To Earnings QoQ 19.2 %
Price To Earnings YoY -41.684 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 128.489
median: 37.17
mean: 36.868
CHTR: 24.422
low: 12.902
 PE/G Ratio -2.158
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.086
Price To Sales QoQ 5.743 %
Price To Sales YoY -42.122 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 3.339
median: 3.339
mean: 3.323
CHTR: 2.086
low: 0.008
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 18.59
Forward PE/G -1.643
Forward P/S 6.46
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 154.7
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.088
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.61 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -3.528 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.178
mean: 0.118
median: 0.118
CHTR: 0.088
low: 0.063
 Receivables Turnover 3.782
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.194 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -11.772 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 7.651
CHTR: 3.782
mean: 2.272
median: 2.251
low: 1.198
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 24.126
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 7.886
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -40.119 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 134.4
median: 134.4
mean: 71.946
CHTR: 7.886
low: -17.812
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -1.834
 CapEx To Revenue -0.216
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.326
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 112.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 113.2 B
 Invested Capital 113.2 B
 Net Tangible Assets -81.12 B
 Net Working Capital -7.42 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.042
 Current Ratio 0.401
Current Ratio QoQ 3.678 %
Current Ratio YoY 10.304 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 5.858
mean: 0.873
low: 0.865
median: 0.865
CHTR: 0.401
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 18.286
 Cost Of Debt 0.966 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 2.455
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -3.486 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -1.546 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 3.62
median: 3.498
mean: 3.423
CHTR: 2.455
low: -6.114
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.288
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 16.24
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.279 %
 Revenue Growth -0.029 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -94.412 %
Revenue Growth YoY -97.886 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA CHTR: -0.029 %
high: -2.64 %
median: -2.64 %
mean: -2.938 %
low: -40.283 %
 Earnings Growth -11.315 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -147.183 %
Earnings Growth YoY -31.977 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 17.512 %
mean: -5.96 %
CHTR: -11.315 %
median: -31.461 %
low: -41.21 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 56.777 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.346 %
Gross Margin YoY 16.184 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 73.4 %
median: 65.4 %
mean: 65.357 %
CHTR: 56.777 %
low: 54.33 %
 EBIT Margin 22.681 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -4.525 %
EBIT Margin YoY 0.652 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 31.042 %
CHTR: 22.681 %
median: 12.166 %
mean: 12.109 %
low: -8.174 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 23.704 %
Return On Sales QoQ -3.877 %
Return On Sales YoY 5.192 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 25.326 %
CHTR: 23.704 %
median: 13.145 %
mean: 13.044 %
low: -16.296 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1.4 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield 4.838 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 204.66 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 53.101 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 8.652 %
CHTR: 4.838 %
median: 3.714 %
mean: 3.648 %
low: -1855.379 %
 Free Cash Growth 222.066 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -416.383 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -24.201 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA CHTR: 222.066 %
high: 30.868 %
median: -10.691 %
mean: -12.031 %
low: -169.462 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.18
 Cash Flow Margin 26.175 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 3.06
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.02
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.753 %
Return On Assets QoQ -13.249 %
Return On Assets YoY -6.922 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.311 %
mean: 0.835 %
median: 0.816 %
CHTR: 0.753 %
low: -1.828 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.168 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.071
Return On Equity QoQ -14.451 %
Return On Equity YoY -5.246 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.081
CHTR: 0.071
mean: 0.025
median: 0.025
low: 0.024
 DuPont ROE 7.17 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.031 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -9.773 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -3.47 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA CHTR: 2.031 %
high: 1.804 %
median: 1.552 %
mean: 1.525 %
low: -2.087 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect two‑way volatility driven by merger news and regulatory milestones. Technicals currently favor downside: ADX indicates a strong trend with DI‑ dominance, negative MACD momentum, and price below short‑ and long‑term averages. Countervailing elements include a deeply negative MRO (implying upside potential toward WMDST targets) and elevated volume that could mark capitulative flow. Traders should anticipate choppy price action with episodic rebounds; any clear, sustained technical pivot would require MACD stabilization above its signal and price re‑entry above the 20‑day average to shift bias.

About Charter Communications, Inc.

Charter Communications, Inc. (NASDAQ:CHTR) delivers broadband connectivity and cable services across the United States, reaching approximately 32 million customers in 41 states. Headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, Charter provides a comprehensive range of services under the Spectrum brand, including internet, video, mobile, and voice solutions. The company designs these offerings to enhance connectivity and communication for both residential and commercial clients. Charter’s advanced broadband solutions encompass fixed internet, WiFi, and mobile services, featuring innovative options like Spectrum Security Shield and Advanced WiFi to boost security and performance. The company ensures seamless connectivity with in-home and out-of-home WiFi solutions, catering to customers’ needs wherever they may be. For businesses, Charter delivers robust broadband communications solutions, including internet access, data networking, fiber connectivity, and business telephone services. Their voice communications utilize voice over internet protocol technology, ensuring reliable and efficient communication. In the media sector, Charter offers video programming and sells local advertising across prominent networks. Their Audience App enables local advertisers to create targeted, data-driven TV campaigns. Charter Communications remains a significant player in the telecommunications industry, focusing on innovation and customer satisfaction.



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