Bill Holdings, Inc (NYSE:BILL) Pursues Margin Expansion While Executing $1.0B Buyback

Restructuring and product rollouts set a profitability-first path even as some operating metrics remain constrained; WMDST views the company as under‑valued today. Near-term price action should reflect execution on cost cuts and uptake of new Spend & Expense features.

Recent News

May 7, 2026 — the company filed a Form 8‑K announcing a workforce reduction of up to 30% and a board authorization to repurchase up to $1.0 billion of common stock. April 28, 2026 — BILL launched “BILL Travel,” integrating travel booking, budgets, card controls and expense reconciliation into its Spend & Expense suite. April 8, 2026 — the company expanded Supplier Payments Plus with automated payment processing, cash application, card STP and payment links to accelerate supplier connectivity. March 2, 2026 — BILL announced a partnership to power real‑time, AI‑native finance workflows with a technology partner. April 23, 2026 — the company published its January–March 2026 product and adoption highlights.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators: DI+ at 26.59 shows a dip & reversal (bullish), while DI‑ at 20.77 shows a peak & reversal (bullish); ADX at 13.39 signals no established trend, so directional strength remains weak despite the bullish directional readings.

MACD: MACD sits at 0.21 with a dip & reversal and the MACD line above the signal line (signal = -0.20), indicating a bullish momentum shift that supports a near‑term positive bias for price action.

MRO: The Momentum/Regression Oscillator reads 26.63 and has peaked and reversed; the positive value indicates price currently sits above BILL’s target and implies a higher probability of mean reversion that could limit upside from current levels.

RSI: RSI at 47.14 with a dip & reversal denotes a recovery from recent weakness but remains below neutral, so momentum has room to strengthen before an overbought condition emerges.

Price vs. averages and bands: the close at $39.96 trades above the 20‑day average ($38.86) and the 50‑day average ($39.27) but remains below the 200‑day average ($46.30), implying short‑term support underpinned by moving averages while longer‑term resistance sits near the 200‑day level. The close sits just under the 1× upper Bollinger band ($40.76), so near‑term upside faces the upper band boundary.

Ichimoku and levels: price sits below the cloud (Senkou A $40.20, Senkou B $44.59), which acts as resistance. SuperTrend lower support at $37.55 provides a defined short‑term downside reference. Volume of 2,541,812 trails the 10‑day average (≈2.92M) and the 200‑day average (≈2.85M), which suggests current moves show below‑average conviction.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: EBIT of $19,382,000 and EBITDA of $47,764,000 yield an EBIT margin of 4.77%. That margin sits well below the industry peer mean of 39.95% and the industry peer median of 48.40%, indicating materially lower operating profitability versus software peers. Operating margin measures 1.14% and provides limited operating leverage outside of planned cost actions.

Top‑line growth: total revenue of $406,563,000 shows year‑over‑year revenue growth of +63.46% and a quarter‑over‑quarter change of -1.41%. The strong YoY expansion contrasts with a modest sequential decline, implying growth cadence remains uneven even as annual comparables look favorable.

Earnings and cash flow: GAAP EPS came in at $0.68 versus an estimate of $0.55, a $0.13 beat representing a 23.64% surprise. Operating cash flow reached $102,674,000 with free cash flow of $84,732,000 and a free cash flow yield of 2.08%, which stands above the industry peer mean of 0.48% and supports balance‑sheet flexibility.

Liquidity and leverage: cash and short‑term investments total $2,173,345,000 and the current ratio equals 1.66, slightly above the industry peer mean of 1.39, reflecting adequate near‑term liquidity. Total debt reads $1,885,854,000 and debt to EBITDA equals 39.48, signaling high leverage relative to trailing EBITDA and implying restructuring charges or debt amortization could influence future coverage metrics.

Valuation metrics: price‑to‑book stands at 1.07, considerably below the industry peer mean of 8.61 and median of 7.36; price‑to‑sales near 10.02 and trailing PE ~59.93 (forward PE ~56.94) place a premium on expected future earnings growth, while PEG metrics (trailing PEG ~9.59, forward PEG ~9.11) indicate the market prices modest near‑term growth relative to earnings. Gross margin at 81.62% sits above the industry peer mean of 71.68 and the industry peer median of 67.63, reflecting strong product‑level economics despite compressed operating margins. The current valuation, as determined by WMDST, classifies the stock as under‑valued.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-07
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-06
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 3.7 B
 Operating Cash Flow 102.7 M
 Capital Expenditures -17.94 M
 Change In Working Capital -2.71 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -307.81 M
 End Period Cash Flow 3.4 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 406.6 M
 Forward Revenue 630.4 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 74.7 M
 Depreciation 5.3 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 28.4 M
 Research and Development 74.4 M
 Total Operating Expenses 401.9 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 331.9 M
 EBITDA 47.8 M
 EBIT 19.4 M
 Operating Income 4.6 M
 Interest Income 21.9 M
 Interest Expense 4.6 M
 Net Interest Income 15.7 M
 Income Before Tax 14.8 M
 Tax Provision 2.0 M
 Tax Rate 13.462 %
 Net Income 12.8 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 12.8 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.55
 EPS Actual 0.68
 EPS Difference 0.13
 EPS Surprise 23.636 %
 Forward EPS 0.79
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 10.1 B
 Intangible Assets 2.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.2 B
 Total Current Assets 7.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.2 B
 Cash 994.7 M
 Net Receivables 32.1 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 32.7 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 7.1 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 4.4 B
 Net Debt 840.2 M
 Total Debt 1.9 B
 Total Liabilities 6.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 3.8 B
 Retained Earnings -1.77 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 38.04
 Shares Outstanding 99.967 M
 Revenue Per-Share 4.07
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 4.1 B
 Enterprise Value 3.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 79.269
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -33.467 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -74.053 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 748.446
mean: 110.701
BILL: 79.269
median: 60.198
low: -285.406
 EV/R 9.313
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.65
 Asset To Liability 1.606
 Debt To Capital 0.332
 Debt To Assets 0.187
Debt To Assets QoQ 0.408 %
Debt To Assets YoY 1.607 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.624
BILL: 0.187
mean: 0.158
median: 0.082
low: 0.005
 Debt To Equity 0.496
Debt To Equity QoQ 0.042 %
Debt To Equity YoY 8.206 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.758
BILL: 0.496
mean: 0.234
median: 0.137
low: -1.764
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.071
Price To Book QoQ -17.263 %
Price To Book YoY -21.39 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 25.147
mean: 8.609
median: 7.357
BILL: 1.071
low: -15.249
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 59.927
Price To Earnings QoQ -22.213 %
Price To Earnings YoY -41.651 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 424.635
mean: 107.154
median: 67.874
BILL: 59.927
low: -137.555
 PE/G Ratio 9.588
 Price To Sales (P/S) 10.02
Price To Sales QoQ -15.703 %
Price To Sales YoY -31.95 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 85.311
mean: 37.032
median: 36.777
BILL: 10.02
low: 0.499
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 56.941
Forward PE/G 9.111
Forward P/S 6.607
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -278.727
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.04
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.614 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 8.434 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.364
mean: 0.129
median: 0.122
BILL: 0.04
low: 0.015
 Receivables Turnover 11.093
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.991 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -13.954 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA BILL: 11.093
high: 3.439
mean: 1.479
median: 1.422
low: 0.41
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 8.226
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 1.571
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 69.557 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -148.899 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 137.562
BILL: 1.571
mean: -35.628
median: -63.272
low: -113.017
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.14
 CapEx To Revenue -0.044
 CapEx To Depreciation -3.387
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 5.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 5.6 B
 Invested Capital 5.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.2 B
 Net Working Capital 2.9 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.496
 Current Ratio 1.661
Current Ratio QoQ 0.44 %
Current Ratio YoY -1.933 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.653
BILL: 1.661
mean: 1.386
median: 1.283
low: 0.47
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 39.483
 Cost Of Debt 0.211 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 4.207
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 609.948 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -468.006 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 100.833
median: 51.566
mean: 36.603
BILL: 4.207
low: -90.524
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.012
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 6.655
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.47 %
 Revenue Growth -1.955 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -140.874 %
Revenue Growth YoY 63.462 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 17.025 %
mean: 4.264 %
median: 1.985 %
BILL: -1.955 %
low: -14.742 %
 Earnings Growth 6.25 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 27.084 %
Earnings Growth YoY -158.335 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 111.111 %
BILL: 6.25 %
mean: 5.143 %
median: -2.083 %
low: -160.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 81.624 %
Gross Margin QoQ 2.232 %
Gross Margin YoY 0.476 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 91.518 %
BILL: 81.624 %
mean: 71.684 %
median: 67.633 %
low: 30.813 %
 EBIT Margin 4.767 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 557.517 %
EBIT Margin YoY -410.959 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 80.467 %
median: 48.401 %
mean: 39.945 %
BILL: 4.767 %
low: -25.693 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 1.143 %
Return On Sales QoQ -126.831 %
Return On Sales YoY -174.56 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 78.153 %
median: 46.326 %
mean: 38.259 %
BILL: 1.143 %
low: -25.693 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 84.7 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.08 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 12.493 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 21.212 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 6.823 %
BILL: 2.08 %
median: 0.518 %
mean: 0.475 %
low: -3.007 %
 Free Cash Growth -7.024 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -165.134 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -122.694 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 233.063 %
median: 168.667 %
mean: 110.778 %
BILL: -7.024 %
low: -236.573 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 6.627
 Cash Flow Margin 12.863 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 4.09
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.127 %
Return On Assets QoQ -588.462 %
Return On Assets YoY -205.833 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 9.116 %
median: 4.675 %
mean: 3.925 %
BILL: 0.127 %
low: -5.204 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.34 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.003
Return On Equity QoQ -594.118 %
Return On Equity YoY -212.375 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.192
median: 0.077
mean: 0.068
BILL: 0.003
low: -0.273
 DuPont ROE 0.336 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.298 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 609.524 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -482.051 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 19.355 %
median: 7.128 %
mean: 5.848 %
BILL: 0.298 %
low: -11.709 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near term: the combination of a bullish MACD crossover, DI+ and DI‑ reversal signals, and price trading above 20‑ and 50‑day averages favors a constructive short‑term tilt, but ADX under 20 and a positive MRO argue for limited follow‑through and heightened reversion risk. The May 7 workforce reduction and $1.0 billion buyback authorization provide event‑driven catalysts that could swing sentiment depending on execution and actual restructuring costs.

Key items to monitor: progress and expense timing for the announced restructuring (estimated one‑time charges noted in the filing), early adoption metrics for BILL Travel and Supplier Payments Plus, changes in cash generation versus restructuring cash outflows, and whether volume begins to climb above the 10‑day average on directional moves. A failure to lift operating margin in coming quarters would keep price capped under the 200‑day average; successful margin improvement and sustained product adoption would likely support a stronger technical base.

About Bill Holdings, Inc.

BILL Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BILL) designs comprehensive financial technology solutions tailored for small and midsize businesses worldwide. Based in San Jose, California, the company develops a robust platform that streamlines accounts payable and receivable processes, enhancing business transactions and connectivity with suppliers and customers. BILL Holdings leverages automation to eliminate traditional expense reports and optimize cash flow management, thereby increasing operational efficiency. Their cloud-based payments and spend management tools deliver a seamless user experience, supported by extensive onboarding, implementation, and ongoing support services. By integrating advanced artificial intelligence, BILL Holdings’ platform strengthens relationships between suppliers and clients, making it an essential tool for accounting firms, financial institutions, and software companies. Since its founding in 2006, the company has consistently advanced its offerings, rebranding from Bill.com Holdings, Inc. to BILL Holdings, Inc. in February 2023, to better reflect its innovative approach and growth in the dynamic fintech industry.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.