Minerals Technologies Inc. (NYSE:MTX) Signals Near-Term Upside As Momentum Strengthens

Momentum indicators and price action show immediate bullish direction while valuation metrics and cash flow dynamics present a mixed fundamental backdrop. The following review synthesizes recent headlines, technical posture, and fundamentals to frame the near-term bias.

Recent News

April 30, 2026: Minerals Technologies released first-quarter results and related disclosures following the quarter end. May 1, 2026: the company hosted its Q1 conference call and discussed segment-level sales strength, including growth in Engineered Solutions and Animal Health. March filings indicate board changes with named directors scheduled to retire at the May 20, 2026 annual meeting. The company announced participation in investor conferences in late February and scheduled its first-quarter conference call in early April.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 19.92 indicates no established trend; directional strength lacks conviction and suggests range-dependent moves near current levels.

DI+ appears in a peak-and-reversal pattern, a bearish directional signal that implies prior upside momentum has softened; conversely, DI- shows a decreasing pattern, which reduces downside pressure and supports limited near-term vulnerability.

MACD reads 2.24 and sits above its signal line at 1.54; the positive MACD and the cross above the signal line constitute a bullish momentum confirmation that favors continuation of the recent advance.

MRO stands at 36.02 and remains positive, indicating price sits above the model target and faces mean-reversion pressure that could cap further rapid gains; the magnitude implies meaningful mean-reversion potential if momentum stalls.

RSI at 59.89 and rising shows bullish internal momentum without overbought extremes, supporting further upside while leaving room before an overbought condition would typically constrain gains.

Price sits above major averages—200‑day average $64.76 and 50‑day average $71.57—with the 12‑ and 26‑day EMAs trending up; this alignment supplies structural support for continuation of the advance and places short-term support near the price 20‑day average of $75.79 and the super trend lower at $75.28.

Bollinger bands place current price close to the upper 1‑ and 2‑standard deviation bands ($80.08 and $84.38 respectively), consistent with momentum-led proximity to resistance while opening the possibility of a consolidation or pullback toward the mid-band if upside stalls.

Volume at 418,446 exceeds the 10‑day, 50‑day, and 200‑day averages, which indicates higher-than-normal participation during the recent move and lends credibility to the momentum signals.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Total revenue registered $546,900,000 with operating income $67,500,000 and EBIT $59,200,000; EBITDA measured $84,100,000. WMDST values the stock as under-valued based on the provided valuation framework.

Profitability: EBIT margin equals 10.83%. That margin sits below the industry peer mean of 23.67% and below the industry peer median of 28.39%, while QoQ margin change shows a decline of 5.48% and the reported year-over-year margin change equals -132.84%.

Earnings: EPS came in at $1.38 versus an estimate of $1.25, producing an EPS surprise of $0.13 or 10.4%. Forward EPS stands at $1.78375 with a forward P/E of 38.64x; the trailing P/E equals 50.45x.

Liquidity and leverage: current ratio equals 2.13 and quick ratio 1.47, both above the industry peer mean for current ratio; cash and short‑term investments total $321,300,000 with net debt of $650,300,000. Debt-to-assets equals 27.88% and debt-to-EBITDA reads 11.49x, while interest coverage sits at 4.45x—sufficient near-term coverage but elevated leverage relative to conservative benchmarks.

Cash flow: operating cash flow $32,100,000 and free cash flow $9,000,000 produce a free cash flow yield of 0.42%, modest but slightly above the industry peer mean of 0.36%. Free cash flow growth shows contraction year-over-year while QoQ improved, indicating short-term variability.

Efficiency and returns: asset turnover at 0.158 and return on equity near 2.10% remain low; these metrics reflect a capital‑intensive model with limited current return generation. Revenue growth reads 5.27% (reported growth) while the reported revenue growth YoY field shows -203.90% in the supplied inputs; operating margin and return-on-capital measures display QoQ and YoY declines in the provided figures.

Valuation context: price-to-book around 1.25x places book-value multiple well below the industry peer mean of 6.79x and median of 5.85x, while enterprise multiple equals 33.35. The combination of below‑peer P/B, elevated trailing P/E, modest free cash flow yield, and leverage argues for a nuanced valuation: cheaper on book basis, richer on earnings multiples.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-30
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-30
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 329.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 32.1 M
 Capital Expenditures -23.10 M
 Change In Working Capital -38.60 M
 Dividends Paid -3.70 M
 Cash Flow Delta -13.10 M
 End Period Cash Flow 315.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 546.9 M
 Forward Revenue 209.0 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 415.8 M
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development 6.1 M
 Total Operating Expenses 479.4 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 131.1 M
 EBITDA 84.1 M
 EBIT 59.2 M
 Operating Income 67.5 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 13.3 M
 Net Interest Income -13.30 M
 Income Before Tax 45.9 M
 Tax Provision 9.9 M
 Tax Rate 21.569 %
 Net Income 36.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 37.3 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.25
 EPS Actual 1.38
 EPS Difference 0.13
 EPS Surprise 10.4 %
 Forward EPS 1.78
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 3.5 B
 Intangible Assets 1.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets 607.0 M
 Total Current Assets 1.2 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 321.3 M
 Cash 315.9 M
 Net Receivables 412.7 M
 Inventory 357.9 M
 Long-Term Investments 146.4 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 199.7 M
 Short-Term Debt 12.2 M
 Total Current Liabilities 543.4 M
 Net Debt 650.3 M
 Total Debt 966.2 M
 Total Liabilities 1.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.7 B
 Retained Earnings 2.5 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 55.70
 Shares Outstanding 31.028 M
 Revenue Per-Share 17.63
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.2 B
 Enterprise Value 2.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 33.353
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 7.309 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -268.05 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 71.983
median: 71.983
mean: 66.394
MTX: 33.353
low: -174.02
 EV/R 5.129
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.005
 Asset To Liability 2.034
 Debt To Capital 0.359
 Debt To Assets 0.279
Debt To Assets QoQ 0.574 %
Debt To Assets YoY -3.862 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.489
mean: 0.34
median: 0.305
MTX: 0.279
low: 0.143
 Debt To Equity 0.559
Debt To Equity QoQ -0.387 %
Debt To Equity YoY -9.41 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 58.344
mean: 1.307
median: 0.682
MTX: 0.559
low: 0.203
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.25
Price To Book QoQ 10.146 %
Price To Book YoY -3.798 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 180.919
mean: 6.79
median: 5.848
low: 1.58
MTX: 1.25
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 50.447
Price To Earnings QoQ 2.258 %
Price To Earnings YoY -11.875 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 181.363
mean: 107.322
median: 89.517
MTX: 50.447
low: -44.124
 PE/G Ratio 5.825
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.95
Price To Sales QoQ 5.525 %
Price To Sales YoY -6.46 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 325.431
mean: 26.07
median: 25.686
low: 4.234
MTX: 3.95
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 38.639
Forward PE/G 4.461
Forward P/S 10.333
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -0.096
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.158
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.174 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 8.974 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.306
MTX: 0.158
median: 0.101
mean: 0.098
low: 0.005
 Receivables Turnover 1.346
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.365 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 8.235 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.12
median: 1.707
mean: 1.687
MTX: 1.346
low: 1.257
 Inventory Turnover 1.174
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.128 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 9.584 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.893
mean: 2.278
median: 2.188
MTX: 1.174
low: 1.093
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 67.808
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 104.827
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -4.197 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -5.713 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA MTX: 104.827
high: 104.045
median: 40.054
mean: 26.14
low: -38.744
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.893
 CapEx To Revenue -0.042
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.7 B
 Invested Capital 2.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 607.0 M
 Net Working Capital 612.1 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.591
 Current Ratio 2.126
Current Ratio QoQ 2.2 %
Current Ratio YoY 12.273 %
Current Ratio IPRWA MTX: 2.126
high: 2.097
mean: 1.014
low: 0.828
median: 0.828
 Quick Ratio 1.468
Quick Ratio QoQ 1.219 %
Quick Ratio YoY 12.356 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.567
MTX: 1.468
mean: 0.838
low: 0.693
median: 0.693
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 11.489
 Cost Of Debt 1.056 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 4.451
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -3.496 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -138.992 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 40.21
median: 40.21
mean: 33.683
MTX: 4.451
low: -1.174
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.051
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 44.77
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 9.784
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.102
 Dividend Rate 0.12
 Dividend Yield 0.002
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.107 %
 Revenue Growth 5.274 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -317.664 %
Revenue Growth YoY -203.901 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 108.664 %
MTX: 5.274 %
mean: 0.906 %
median: 0.194 %
low: -13.852 %
 Earnings Growth 8.661 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -147.944 %
Earnings Growth YoY -136.088 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
MTX: 8.661 %
median: 3.095 %
mean: -1.792 %
low: -314.286 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 23.971 %
Gross Margin QoQ 0.025 %
Gross Margin YoY -1.431 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 48.491 %
median: 48.491 %
mean: 37.82 %
MTX: 23.971 %
low: -660.698 %
 EBIT Margin 10.825 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -5.483 %
EBIT Margin YoY -132.842 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 29.415 %
median: 28.391 %
mean: 23.673 %
MTX: 10.825 %
low: -437.582 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 12.342 %
Return On Sales QoQ -3.586 %
Return On Sales YoY -137.444 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 27.058 %
median: 27.058 %
mean: 16.572 %
MTX: 12.342 %
low: -1012.721 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 9.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.417 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -74.589 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -138.152 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 2.605 %
MTX: 0.417 %
median: 0.398 %
mean: 0.364 %
low: -3.541 %
 Free Cash Growth -71.787 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 167.513 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -53.283 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 9.648 %
median: -42.875 %
mean: -56.996 %
MTX: -71.787 %
low: -204.437 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.249
 Cash Flow Margin 5.065 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.765
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.044 %
Return On Assets QoQ -2.793 %
Return On Assets YoY -124.634 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.27 %
median: 2.145 %
mean: 1.938 %
MTX: 1.044 %
low: -3.698 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.026 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.021
Return On Equity QoQ -3.501 %
Return On Equity YoY -123.252 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.048
median: 0.048
MTX: 0.021
mean: 0.007
low: -4.504
 DuPont ROE 2.104 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.723 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -2.435 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -133.587 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 4.166 %
median: 2.94 %
mean: 2.741 %
MTX: 1.723 %
low: 0.723 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum and moving-average structure support continued near-term appreciation, with MACD above its signal line and rising RSI that does not yet signal overbought. MRO’s positive reading warns of mean-reversion risk if upside momentum weakens, and directional indicators show conflicting short-term signals (DI+ peak‑and‑reversal versus DI- decreasing). Expect price action to favor continuation while remaining vulnerable to a consolidation that could test the $75–$76 support band (20‑day average and super trend). Traders should monitor MACD persistence, a sustained ADX rise above 20 for trend confirmation, and any material change in volume or MRO that would shift the balance toward mean reversion.

About Minerals Technologies Inc.

Minerals Technologies Inc. (NYSE:MTX) develops, produces, and markets a diverse range of mineral and mineral-based products and services. The company operates through two primary segments: Consumer & Specialties and Engineered Solutions. Within the Consumer & Specialties segment, Minerals Technologies creates products for household and personal care, including pet litter and fabric care, as well as specialty additives like precipitated and ground calcium carbonate for industries such as paper, automotive, and construction. This segment also produces limestone and dolomitic limestone for various packaging applications. The Engineered Solutions segment delivers high-temperature technology products, including custom-blended mineral and non-mineral solutions for casting auto parts and equipment used in oil and gas production, power generation, and rail car components. Additionally, this segment provides environmental and infrastructure products, such as geosynthetic clay lining systems and wastewater remediation technologies. Minerals Technologies markets its products through a direct sales force and regional distributors, serving customers across the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, Africa, and Asia. Founded in 1968, the company maintains its headquarters in New York, New York.



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