Centene Corporation (NYSE:CNC) Reaccelerates Into Bullish Momentum Backed By Cash Flow

Robust liquidity and improving operational performance support a near-term positive bias for the shares, with momentum indicators aligning with a continuation of strength.

Recent News

March 10, 2026 — Company management presented at the Barclays Global Healthcare Conference outlining strategic adjustments and updated guidance assumptions. April 2, 2026 — Regulatory approval cleared a merger of Carolina Complete Health and WellCare of North Carolina to consolidate the company’s North Carolina footprint. April 9, 2026 — Centene elevated Medicare leadership roles in a reorganization aimed at addressing cost pressures and policy complexity in government programs.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show a bullish setup: DI+ at 39.7 and increasing while DI– at 16.12 and decreasing, with ADX 29.89 indicating a strong trend; this suggests directional conviction favors higher prices and supports valuation strength.

MACD stands at 2.30, rising and above its signal line at 0.75; the MACD cross above the signal line signals bullish momentum that reinforces near-term price bias.

MRO reads –4.15 with an increasing trend; the negative reading indicates price sits below the model target and therefore carries upward pressure while the rising MRO reduces that gap.

RSI at 58.0 and increasing implies continued buying momentum without an immediate overbought extreme, aligning with the momentum signals from MACD and DI+.

Price sits well above key moving averages (price close $53.98 versus 20-day average $40.94, 50-day average $38.89, and 200-day average $36.51), reflecting trend-following strength; the 12-day EMA (price12dayEMA $43.05, rising) confirms short-term acceleration.

Bollinger bands show the stock trading above the 2× upper band (upper 2× std dev $52.18), indicating elevated short-term volatility and increasing probability of intermittent profit-taking even as trend remains constructive.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Total revenue stands at $49,944,000,000 with EBIT $2,263,000,000, producing an EBIT margin of 4.53%. That EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean of 5.414% and the industry peer median of 5.303%, but above the industry peer low of 0.769%, reflecting room for margin improvement versus peers.

Reported EPS landed at $3.37 versus an estimate of $2.13, an EPS surprise of +58.22%; the surprise tightens near-term earnings visibility and supports the valuation re-rating observed in technical momentum.

Free cash flow totaled $4,166,000,000, yielding 21.95% on a free cash flow yield basis; that yield materially exceeds the industry peer mean of 6.39%, signaling significant cash-generation strength relative to peers and a driver of intrinsic valuation support.

Liquidity remains strong with $21,264,000,000 in cash and $23,741,000,000 in cash and short-term investments alongside operating cash flow $4,366,000,000; the cash conversion characteristics and end-period cash flows bolster balance-sheet flexibility.

Leverage and coverage present mixed signals: debt to EBITDA sits at 6.39, indicating elevated leverage relative to typical investment-grade comparators, while interest coverage at 13.80 provides ample ability to service interest costs but falls short of the industry peer mean interest coverage of 17.86.

Market multiples trade below industry peers: trailing P/E 11.45 and P/B 0.89 compare with industry peer means of 31.86 (P/E) and 1.91 (P/B), reflecting a discounted market valuation. Forward P/E at 38.69 sits below the industry peer mean forward P/E of 47.57. WMDST values the stock as under‑valued based on these fundamentals and cash-flow metrics.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-28
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-28
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 18.0 B
 Operating Cash Flow 4.4 B
 Capital Expenditures -200.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 2.5 B
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 3.4 B
 End Period Cash Flow 21.4 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 49.9 B
 Forward Revenue 4.3 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 44.4 B
 Depreciation 134.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 300.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 48.1 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 5.6 B
 EBITDA 2.6 B
 EBIT 2.3 B
 Operating Income 1.9 B
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 164.0 M
 Net Interest Income -164.00 M
 Income Before Tax 2.1 B
 Tax Provision 560.0 M
 Tax Rate 26.679 %
 Net Income 1.5 B
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 1.5 B
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.13
 EPS Actual 3.37
 EPS Difference 1.24
 EPS Surprise 58.216 %
 Forward EPS 1.08
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 81.2 B
 Intangible Assets 15.2 B
 Net Tangible Assets 6.2 B
 Total Current Assets 45.0 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 23.7 B
 Cash 21.3 B
 Net Receivables 19.4 B
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 2.3 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 16.8 B
 Short-Term Debt 63.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 40.0 B
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 16.4 B
 Total Liabilities 59.6 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 21.4 B
 Retained Earnings 10.2 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 43.57
 Shares Outstanding 491.757 M
 Revenue Per-Share 101.56
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 19.0 B
 Enterprise Value 11.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 4.529
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -126.166 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -67.7 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 0.232
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.788
 Asset To Liability 1.361
 Debt To Capital 0.433
 Debt To Assets 0.202
Debt To Assets QoQ -14.777 %
Debt To Assets YoY -4.176 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.253
median: 0.253
mean: 0.245
CNC: 0.202
low: 0.154
 Debt To Equity 0.764
Debt To Equity QoQ -16.062 %
Debt To Equity YoY 16.425 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 0.967
CNC: 0.764
median: 0.725
mean: 0.719
low: 0.279
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.886
Price To Book QoQ -12.786 %
Price To Book YoY -18.264 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 6.333
mean: 1.91
low: 1.563
median: 1.563
CNC: 0.886
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 11.452
Price To Earnings QoQ -133.072 %
Price To Earnings YoY -45.381 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 71.607
mean: 31.855
low: 25.087
median: 25.087
CNC: 11.452
 PE/G Ratio -0.03
 Price To Sales (P/S) 0.38
Price To Sales QoQ -6.753 %
Price To Sales YoY -41.438 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 8.168
mean: 1.752
median: 1.367
low: 0.724
CNC: 0.38
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 38.694
Forward PE/G -0.101
Forward P/S 4.737
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -600.746
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.633
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.019 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 14.977 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.676
CNC: 0.633
mean: 0.433
low: 0.406
median: 0.406
 Receivables Turnover 2.661
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 10.297 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 20.312 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.647
median: 4.647
mean: 4.411
low: 3.105
CNC: 2.661
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 34.285
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 4.878
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 10.102
 CapEx To Revenue -0.004
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.493
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 37.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 37.8 B
 Invested Capital 37.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets 6.2 B
 Net Working Capital 4.9 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.593
 Current Ratio 1.123
Current Ratio QoQ 2.122 %
Current Ratio YoY 1.067 %
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 6.387
 Cost Of Debt 0.696 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 13.799
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -268.596 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 22.432 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 174.516
mean: 17.859
CNC: 13.799
median: 7.454
low: 1.537
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.093
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 29.407
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 5.77 %
 Revenue Growth 0.44 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 528.571 %
Revenue Growth YoY -96.912 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 2.843 %
median: 0.872 %
CNC: 0.44 %
mean: 0.432 %
low: -5.09 %
 Earnings Growth -383.193 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 13.371 %
Earnings Growth YoY -245.978 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 277.778 %
mean: 214.486 %
median: -10.737 %
low: -185.455 %
CNC: -383.193 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 11.128 %
Gross Margin QoQ 124.31 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.269 %
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin 4.531 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -263.87 %
EBIT Margin YoY 10.243 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 13.589 %
mean: 5.414 %
median: 5.303 %
CNC: 4.531 %
low: 0.769 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 3.726 %
Return On Sales QoQ -250.363 %
Return On Sales YoY -9.343 %
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 4.2 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield 21.951 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 1886.516 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 382.97 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA CNC: 21.951 %
high: 13.5 %
mean: 6.386 %
median: 5.972 %
low: 1.324 %
 Free Cash Growth 1759.821 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -2287.825 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -716.27 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA CNC: 1759.821 %
high: -39.324 %
mean: -1774.208 %
low: -2060.287 %
median: -2060.287 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.703
 Cash Flow Margin 7.456 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.417
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.952 %
Return On Assets QoQ -240.837 %
Return On Assets YoY 26.18 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.314 %
CNC: 1.952 %
mean: 1.488 %
median: 1.426 %
low: 0.088 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 5.502 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.072
Return On Equity QoQ -230.337 %
Return On Equity YoY 53.152 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.078
CNC: 0.072
median: 0.04
mean: 0.039
low: 0.003
 DuPont ROE 7.447 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.39 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -267.302 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 40.705 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 7.1 %
CNC: 4.39 %
mean: 2.778 %
median: 2.684 %
low: 0.635 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum and liquidity favor a continuation of the upward run over the next six weeks, with MACD, DI+, rising EMAs, and above‑average volume indicating trend-following strength. Elevated positioning above the 2× upper Bollinger band and recent volatility warn that short-term pullbacks may punctuate rallies; any pullbacks likely find support near the rising 12-day EMA and the super-trend lower level at $47.79. Consolidation around these technical supports would preserve the constructive bias, while persistent strength in cash flow and margin improvement would reinforce continuation. Risk-management discipline matters given the elevated short-term volatility.

About Centene Corporation

Centene Corporation (NYSE:CNC) delivers comprehensive healthcare services, primarily targeting under-insured and uninsured populations across the United States. Established in 1984 and based in St. Louis, Missouri, Centene develops a wide array of health plans through its Medicaid, Medicare, and Commercial segments. The Medicaid segment offers expanded health plans, children’s health insurance programs, and long-term services. In the Medicare segment, Centene addresses the needs of seniors with special needs plans, Medicare supplements, and prescription drug plans. The Commercial segment provides marketplace insurance products for individuals and businesses, ensuring extensive access to healthcare services. Centene actively participates in government healthcare contracts, including the TRICARE program for military families, highlighting its dedication to diverse communities. The company also manages clinical healthcare services, pharmacies, and provides dental and speech therapy, promoting a holistic healthcare approach. By collaborating with primary and specialty care physicians, hospitals, and ancillary providers, Centene aims to deliver personalized, high-quality care to millions of Americans, emphasizing innovation and community well-being.



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