M/I Homes, Inc. (NYSE:MHO) Projects Near-Term Strength But Valuation Stands Above Fair Value

M/I Homes shows improving technical momentum across short-term indicators while fundamentals reveal compressed margins and strong liquidity; WMDST values the stock as over-valued.

Recent News

On March 4, 2026, a long-serving Board member notified the company of his intent to retire at the 2026 Annual Meeting. On March 2, 2026, the company launched a “Spring Into Savings” buyer incentive offering select 30‑year fixed-rate financing and rate buydown programs for quick move-in homes closing by May 29, 2026.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show an emerging trend: ADX stands at 22.95, consistent with an emerging trend in momentum, while DI+ at 25.52 is increasing and DI‑ at 23.26 is decreasing, a bullish directional configuration that supports near-term upside pressure on price.

MACD reads 0.45 with the MACD line above the signal line (-1.30) and the MACD trend increasing; that cross-above the signal line signals bullish momentum continuation for short-term price action.

MRO equals 13.99 and is increasing; because MRO is positive, the price sits above the oscillator’s target, implying greater risk of a reversion toward the target level despite current upside momentum.

RSI at 48.3 and rising places momentum in neutral territory with room to run before overbought signals; the 12‑day and 26‑day EMAs (128.22 and 127.20) remain below price, reinforcing the short-term bullish bias.

Price sits above the 20‑day average ($125.96) and the 50‑day average ($130.82), and slightly below the 200‑day average ($133.84), reflecting a near-term bullish posture but proximity to the longer-term average that can act as resistance. Price also trades just above the 1x upper Bollinger band ($131.87), indicating stronger-than-average intraday momentum but not an extreme volatility event.

Bullish technical signals should be viewed against the current valuation assessment: technical momentum supports additional upside over days to weeks, yet MRO and proximity to the 200‑day average suggest increased probability of intermittent pullbacks before sustained follow‑through.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $1,147,305,000 with YoY revenue growth of 1.37% and QoQ revenue growth reported as -151.76%; gross margin stands at 21.60%, slightly below the industry peer mean of 23.29%. Gross margin declined YoY by 12.30% and QoQ by 11.967%.

Operating income (EBIT) equals $114,727,000, producing an EBIT margin of 10.00%. That margin sits above the industry peer mean (4.85%) and industry peer median (6.72%). EBIT margin contracted QoQ by 20.77% and YoY by 26.50%.

EPS for the reported period reached $2.55 versus an estimate of $2.51, an earnings surprise of +1.59%.

Liquidity metrics remain robust: current ratio equals 1,888.65% (18.886), quick ratio 462.37% (4.624), and cash ratio 297.03% (2.970). The current ratio exceeds the industry peer mean (4.31) and the peer high (14.19); the company maintains sizable cash and short‑term investments ($689,189,000) and end‑period cash flow of $689,189,000.

Leverage and coverage show moderate risk: total debt equals $1,029,831,000 with debt to assets at 21.56%, slightly below the industry peer mean of 24.84%; debt to EBITDA measures 8.65x and interest coverage stands at 17.17x, marginally below the industry peer mean of 17.80x but still indicative of healthy coverage.

Cash flow dynamics weaken: free cash flow totaled -$12,964,000 (free cash flow yield -0.37%), with free cash flow contracting QoQ and YoY; operating cash flow reads -$8,707,000 and cash flow to earnings equals 21.06%.

Profitability returns remain low: return on equity equals 2.02% and return on assets 1.34%, with both metrics showing notable QoQ and YoY declines. Inventory remains elevated at $3,309,396,000 and days inventory outstanding registers 354.73 days, consistent with heavy work‑in‑process and land holdings typical of homebuilders.

Valuation and WMDST view: trailing PE equals 55.67 and forward PE equals 32.46; enterprise multiple stands at 32.07. Given these multiples, cash flow weakness, and compressed margins, the current valuation as determined by WMDST classifies the stock as over‑valued.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-22
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-22
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 734.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow -8.71 M
 Capital Expenditures -4.26 M
 Change In Working Capital -59.22 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -44.98 M
 End Period Cash Flow 689.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.1 B
 Forward Revenue 460.0 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 899.5 M
 Depreciation 4.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 4.4 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.0 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 247.8 M
 EBITDA 119.1 M
 EBIT 114.7 M
 Operating Income 114.7 M
 Interest Income 5.9 M
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 5.9 M
 Income Before Tax 80.6 M
 Tax Provision 16.6 M
 Tax Rate 20.586 %
 Net Income 64.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 64.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.51
 EPS Actual 2.55
 EPS Difference 0.04
 EPS Surprise 1.594 %
 Forward EPS 3.98
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 4.8 B
 Intangible Assets 26.8 M
 Net Tangible Assets 3.1 B
 Total Current Assets 4.4 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 689.2 M
 Cash 689.2 M
 Net Receivables
 Inventory 3.3 B
 Long-Term Investments 68.8 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 181.2 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 232.0 M
 Net Debt 284.0 M
 Total Debt 1.0 B
 Total Liabilities 1.6 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 3.2 B
 Retained Earnings 3.3 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 121.08
 Shares Outstanding 25.763 M
 Revenue Per-Share 43.88
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 3.5 B
 Enterprise Value 3.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 32.067
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 22.571 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 30.293 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 129.523
mean: 41.228
median: 36.744
MHO: 32.067
low: -63.283
 EV/R 3.329
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.509
 Asset To Liability 2.965
 Debt To Capital 0.245
 Debt To Assets 0.216
Debt To Assets QoQ 4.926 %
Debt To Assets YoY -5.373 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.293
mean: 0.248
median: 0.24
MHO: 0.216
low: 0.018
 Debt To Equity 0.325
Debt To Equity QoQ 4.538 %
Debt To Equity YoY -7.756 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.637
mean: 0.688
median: 0.439
MHO: 0.325
low: -1.159
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.099
Price To Book QoQ -3.97 %
Price To Book YoY -17.588 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 4.487
mean: 1.683
MHO: 1.099
median: 1.007
low: -0.944
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 55.665
Price To Earnings QoQ 58.343 %
Price To Earnings YoY 81.042 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 95.881
mean: 59.855
median: 59.723
MHO: 55.665
low: -91.544
 PE/G Ratio -1.426
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.032
Price To Sales QoQ -4.765 %
Price To Sales YoY -6.753 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 19.648
mean: 3.217
MHO: 3.032
median: 2.721
low: 0.018
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 32.457
Forward PE/G -0.832
Forward P/S 7.337
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -14.364
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.24
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.979 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -10.163 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.616
mean: 0.256
median: 0.248
MHO: 0.24
low: 0.015
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover 0.271
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.737 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -9.176 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.972
mean: 0.787
median: 0.776
MHO: 0.271
low: 0.156
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 372.306
median: 372.306
mean: 270.294
low: 67.681
MHO: 0
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.276
 CapEx To Revenue -0.004
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.064
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 4.1 B
 Net Invested Capital 4.1 B
 Invested Capital 4.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets 3.1 B
 Net Working Capital 4.2 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.97
 Current Ratio 18.886
Current Ratio QoQ 37.597 %
Current Ratio YoY 20.558 %
Current Ratio IPRWA MHO: 18.886
high: 14.19
mean: 4.309
median: 2.192
low: 0.367
 Quick Ratio 4.624
Quick Ratio QoQ 40.025 %
Quick Ratio YoY 5.459 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA MHO: 4.624
high: 3.978
mean: 1.269
median: 1.214
low: 0.129
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 8.646
 Cost Of Debt 0.507 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 17.175
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -19.689 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -30.041 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 56.0
mean: 17.799
MHO: 17.175
median: 8.314
low: -186.651
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.058
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 23.459
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.159 %
 Revenue Growth 1.371 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -151.755 %
Revenue Growth YoY -74.876 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 55.638 %
MHO: 1.371 %
median: -1.106 %
mean: -1.202 %
low: -54.099 %
 Earnings Growth -39.031 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 245.041 %
Earnings Growth YoY 410.409 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 112.5 %
median: -13.669 %
MHO: -39.031 %
mean: -44.249 %
low: -400.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 21.598 %
Gross Margin QoQ -11.967 %
Gross Margin YoY -12.3 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 100.0 %
mean: 23.291 %
median: 23.029 %
MHO: 21.598 %
low: 8.474 %
 EBIT Margin 10.0 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -20.773 %
EBIT Margin YoY -26.503 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 18.727 %
MHO: 10.0 %
median: 6.715 %
mean: 4.848 %
low: -113.088 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 10.0 %
Return On Sales QoQ -20.773 %
Return On Sales YoY -26.503 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 18.403 %
MHO: 10.0 %
median: 6.087 %
mean: 5.297 %
low: -43.681 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -12.96 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.373 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -131.99 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -114.286 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 22.267 %
mean: 6.069 %
median: 3.61 %
MHO: -0.373 %
low: -25.709 %
 Free Cash Growth -130.859 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -770.041 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -47.517 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 258.256 %
median: -14.534 %
mean: -52.579 %
MHO: -130.859 %
low: -328.289 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.203
 Cash Flow Margin 1.174 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.211
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.34 %
Return On Assets QoQ -40.179 %
Return On Assets YoY -54.776 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 10.592 %
MHO: 1.34 %
median: 0.966 %
mean: 0.941 %
low: -51.797 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.524 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.02
Return On Equity QoQ -40.254 %
Return On Equity YoY -55.507 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.212
mean: 0.025
median: 0.021
MHO: 0.02
low: -0.522
 DuPont ROE 2.026 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.201 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -17.566 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -96.313 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 21.182 %
mean: 2.275 %
MHO: 2.201 %
median: 1.727 %
low: -39.014 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near‑term momentum favors longs: DI+ rising, MACD above its signal line, rising EMAs, and volume above recent averages support further short‑term appreciation over the coming weeks. RSI remains below overbought, leaving room for additional upside.

Offsetting factors include a positive MRO (price above target), compressed margins, negative free cash flow, and WMDST’s over‑valued assessment; these increase the probability of pullbacks or sideways consolidation rather than a clean breakout. Traders should expect volatile intraday moves around the 200‑day average and $123.50 super trend support, with technical momentum determining intraday direction while fundamentals limit sustained expansion until cash flow and margin trends stabilize.

About M/I Homes, Inc.

M/I Homes, Inc. (NYSE:MHO) constructs and sells single-family residential homes across several U.S. states, including Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Minnesota, Michigan, Florida, Texas, North Carolina, and Tennessee. The company operates through its Northern Homebuilding, Southern Homebuilding, and Financial Services segments. M/I Homes designs and markets single-family homes and attached townhomes under its brand, catering to a diverse range of buyers such as first-time purchasers, millennials, move-up buyers, empty-nesters, multi-generational families, and those seeking luxury homes. In addition to home construction, M/I Homes acquires undeveloped land to develop into residential lots, both for its own projects and for sale to other developers. The company also provides financial services, including mortgage origination and sales, and acts as a title insurance agent, offering title insurance policies, examination, and closing services to its homebuyers. Founded in 1976, M/I Homes maintains its headquarters in Columbus, Ohio.



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