Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:UVE) Accelerates Capital Returns While Price Consolidates Near Short-Term Peak

Universal Insurance enters a near-term consolidation phase after recent capital-return announcements; balance-sheet strength and outperformance on core margins support a constructive valuation backdrop.

Recent News

On April 10, 2026 the company’s board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share, payable May 15, 2026 to holders of record May 8, 2026. On February 4, 2026 the board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share, payable March 13, 2026 to holders of record March 6, 2026. Coverage of early March noted a completed $19.8 million repurchase under the 2025 program and management commentary about a new buyback authorization and dividend policy updates.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show DI+ at 27.44 and increasing, supplying a bullish directional bias; DI- shows a dip & reversal pattern, which signals renewed bearish pressure and an active counterforce. ADX at 17.94 indicates no established trend, so the directional readings imply a short-term tug between buyers and sellers that favors range containment rather than a sustained breakout.

MACD sits at 0.32 below its 0.33 signal line with a peak & reversal pattern; that configuration signals waning bullish momentum and raises the probability of short-term downward drift in momentum-based price moves.

MRO reads 23.48 and shows a peak & reversal; the positive oscillator suggests price sits above a modeled target and therefore contains potential for mean reversion over the coming weeks unless other indicators regain strength.

RSI at 54.31 has formed a peak & reversal, pointing to a removal of immediate upside conviction; price sits close to the upper Bollinger range (upper 1x SD $35.29) and the 12-day EMA shows a peak & reversal while the 20-day average remains at $34.63—altogether indicating short-term upside has narrowed and support aligns near $33.5 (super trend lower).

Price structure shows the close at $35.18 above the 20-day ($34.63), 50-day ($33.81) and 200-day ($29.77) averages, which sustains a longer-term bullish bias even as short-term momentum indicators soften; current volume around 197k compares to a 10-day average of 157k and a 200-day average near 194k, signaling above-average activity without extreme divergence from recent norms.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings and margins: Diluted EPS registered at $2.17 versus an estimate of $1.30, producing an EPS surprise of 66.92%. EBIT totaled $89,872,000 with an EBIT margin of 22.03%; that margin sits above the industry peer mean of 20.92% and above the industry peer median of 16.50%. The company reported first-quarter operational results and related reconciliations in its Form 8-K and accompanying press release.

Profitability and capital returns: Return on equity stands at 12.08%, exceeding the industry peer mean of 6.90% and the industry peer median of 7.59%; interest coverage registers at 63.20x, comfortably above the industry peer mean of 38.63x, supporting continued dividend and buyback flexibility. The dividend payout ratio shows 12.55% with a trailing dividend yield near 0.96% and dividend coverage about 7.97x, consistent with conservative cash distribution capacity.

Cash flow and liquidity: Free cash flow reached $25,003,000 with a free cash flow yield of 2.88%, marginally below the industry peer mean of 3.49%; cash and short-term investments total $571,786,000 against total debt of $100,481,000, yielding a low debt-to-assets ratio of 3.54% and debt-to-equity of 18.24%, which preserves capital flexibility for reinsurance purchases and repurchase programs.

Growth and operating metrics: Total revenue for the period stood at $407,926,000 with revenue-per-share of $14.56. Reported revenue growth reads 1.73% (provided metric) with quarter-over-quarter revenue acceleration noted; asset growth shows contraction of -8.09% and a cash conversion cycle near 79.08 days. Operating leverage remains elevated at 37.99, amplifying operating margin moves.

Valuation context: Price-to-earnings sits at 14.30x with a forward P/E of 31.50x and a price-to-book of 1.58x; WMDST values the stock as under-valued based on the firm’s balance-sheet strength, above-peer margins, high interest coverage and ongoing capital returns, while forward multiples reflect market expectations for normalization. Where industry peer reference exists, the current P/E sits above the industry peer low but below the industry peer mean and median, and book multiple sits below the industry peer mean.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-24
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-26
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 474.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow 26.1 M
 Capital Expenditures -1.08 M
 Change In Working Capital -40.51 M
 Dividends Paid -8.35 M
 Cash Flow Delta 3.6 M
 End Period Cash Flow 477.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 407.9 M
 Forward Revenue 42.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 319.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT 89.9 M
 Operating Income
 Interest Income -177.00 K
 Interest Expense 1.4 M
 Net Interest Income -1.60 M
 Income Before Tax 88.5 M
 Tax Provision 21.9 M
 Tax Rate 24.716 %
 Net Income 66.6 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 66.6 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.30
 EPS Actual 2.17
 EPS Difference 0.87
 EPS Surprise 66.923 %
 Forward EPS 1.00
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.8 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 551.0 M
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 571.8 M
 Cash 408.9 M
 Net Receivables 308.6 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 257.2 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 100.5 M
 Total Liabilities 2.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 551.0 M
 Retained Earnings 757.4 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 19.67
 Shares Outstanding 28.008 M
 Revenue Per-Share 14.56
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 868.9 M
 Enterprise Value 397.6 M
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 0.975
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 5.153
 Asset To Liability 1.241
 Debt To Capital 0.154
 Debt To Assets 0.035
Debt To Assets QoQ 8.594 %
Debt To Assets YoY -0.702 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.14
median: 0.056
mean: 0.054
UVE: 0.035
low: 0.005
 Debt To Equity 0.182
Debt To Equity QoQ -10.331 %
Debt To Equity YoY -32.774 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 0.705
mean: 0.228
median: 0.227
UVE: 0.182
low: 0.012
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.577
Price To Book QoQ 5.309 %
Price To Book YoY 4.501 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 6.563
mean: 2.581
median: 1.861
UVE: 1.577
low: 0.322
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 14.297
Price To Earnings QoQ -26.43 %
Price To Earnings YoY -82.17 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 103.837
mean: 40.889
median: 40.504
UVE: 14.297
low: 12.348
 PE/G Ratio 0.24
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.13
Price To Sales QoQ 15.224 %
Price To Sales YoY 45.533 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 19.182
mean: 5.878
median: 5.676
UVE: 2.13
low: 1.58
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 31.499
Forward PE/G 0.529
Forward P/S 20.257
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 37.994
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.138
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 9.215 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -1.798 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.259
UVE: 0.138
mean: 0.112
median: 0.087
low: 0.008
 Receivables Turnover 1.154
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 24.314 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 39.155 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.703
UVE: 1.154
mean: 0.717
median: 0.604
low: 0.073
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 79.075
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 79.075
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -19.559 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 438.402
mean: 120.442
median: 80.405
UVE: 79.075
low: 33.334
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue -0.003
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 651.5 M
 Net Invested Capital 651.5 M
 Invested Capital 651.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 551.0 M
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 1.064 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 63.201
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 66.273 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 932.956 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 143.716
UVE: 63.201
mean: 38.626
median: 37.5
low: -0.995
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 7.971
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.125
 Dividend Rate 0.30
 Dividend Yield 0.01
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -8.09 %
 Revenue Growth 1.732 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 724.762 %
Revenue Growth YoY -344.633 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 21.706 %
mean: 3.728 %
median: 2.421 %
UVE: 1.732 %
low: -20.344 %
 Earnings Growth 59.559 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 463.525 %
Earnings Growth YoY -144.365 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA UVE: 59.559 %
high: 47.959 %
median: 5.18 %
mean: 4.741 %
low: -43.137 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin 22.031 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 62.975 %
EBIT Margin YoY 865.425 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 62.969 %
UVE: 22.031 %
mean: 20.92 %
median: 16.497 %
low: -17.243 %
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 25.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.877 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -65.191 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -115.85 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 13.218 %
mean: 3.493 %
median: 3.288 %
UVE: 2.877 %
low: -1.478 %
 Free Cash Growth -59.188 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 41.632 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -73.842 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 101.01 %
mean: -31.9 %
median: -36.48 %
UVE: -59.188 %
low: -205.847 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.375
 Cash Flow Margin -21.635 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.392
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.246 %
Return On Assets QoQ 79.536 %
Return On Assets YoY 925.571 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.006 %
UVE: 2.246 %
mean: 1.756 %
median: 1.737 %
low: -1.129 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.121
Return On Equity QoQ 50.186 %
Return On Equity YoY 649.628 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.134
UVE: 0.121
median: 0.076
mean: 0.069
low: -0.041
 DuPont ROE 12.732 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 10.385 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 51.164 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -559.31 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.649 %
UVE: 10.385 %
median: 6.141 %
mean: 5.973 %
low: -2.346 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical cohesion plus active capital returns suggest a near-term environment of consolidation with asymmetric upside potential conditioned on momentum re-acceleration. Expect price to trade with support near the super trend lower (~$33.5) and a nearby resistance band around the upper Bollinger level (~$35.3); momentum indicators currently favor mean reversion pressure, while longer-term moving averages continue to support above-average valuation. Given elevated interest coverage, low leverage and an active buyback/dividend cadence, the framework favors a scenario where volatility contracts into a directional trigger; monitor short-term momentum indicators for confirmation before extrapolating a sustained move.

About Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:UVE) develops and markets a range of personal residential insurance products across the United States. The company underwrites policies for homeowners, renters, condo unit owners, and provides coverage for dwelling/fire risks. It also offers allied lines, covering additional structures, personal property, liability, and personal articles. Universal Insurance Holdings manages the entire insurance process, from policy administration and underwriting to claims payments and actuarial consulting. It advises on reinsurance negotiations and manages reinsurance programs for its insurance entities. Through Clovered.com, a digital agency, the company facilitates direct-to-consumer online solutions, utilizing digital applications for claims adjustments and partnering with various carriers. Universal Insurance Holdings distributes its products via a network of independent agents, enhancing its reach and accessibility. Originally incorporated in 1990 and headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, the company rebranded from Universal Heights, Inc. to its current name in January 2001.



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