Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:UVE) Accelerates Cash Returns While Valuation Remains Undervalued

Universal Insurance positions for near-term defensive strength driven by capital returns and a low absolute valuation; technical momentum shows cooling after a short-term peak.

Recent News

On April 10, 2026 the board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share, payable May 15, 2026 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on May 8, 2026.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 14.74 indicates no established trend, which limits conviction for directional breakouts and places emphasis on mean-reversion setups for the near term.

DI+ sits at 23.76 with a peak-and-reversal, which reads as a bearish shift in directional strength; DI- at 18.55 also shows a peak-and-reversal, which reads as a bullish shift. Those opposing DI signals while ADX remains below 20 point to short-term tug-of-war, not a sustained directional move.

MACD registers 0.29 while the signal line sits at 0.30 and the MACD trend shows a peak-and-reversal; the MACD sitting below its signal line confirms waning bullish momentum and supports a near-term cooling of upward pressure.

MRO stands at 21.81 with a peak-and-reversal; the positive MRO indicates the market price sits above the model target and implies a higher probability of downward adjustment given the recent peak behavior.

RSI at 53.78 with a peak-and-reversal registers neutral-to-slightly-cooling momentum; neither overbought nor oversold conditions dominate, reinforcing a range-bound near-term price environment.

Price context: the close at $34.42 trades above the 12-day EMA (price12dayEMA increasing), above the 20-day average ($34.10) and 50-day average ($33.36), and well above the 200-day average ($29.50). The price near the upper Bollinger band (upper ~ $34.86) shows short-term strength but limited upside room without renewed momentum.

Ichimoku components (Tenkan/Kijun ~ $33.84, Senkou A $32.89, Senkou B $32.35) place price above the cloud, which aligns with the view that longer-term structure stays constructive even as short-term momentum cools.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Business profile: Universal underwrites personal residential property insurance and operates direct-to-consumer and agent distribution channels; total revenue $407,926,000 and net income $66,589,000 for the period ending 2025-12-31.

Profitability: EBIT $89,872,000 implies an EBIT margin of 22.03%, which sits above the industry peer mean of 20.92% and slightly above the industry peer median of 16.497%; the margin improved year-over-year and shows positive QoQ movement. Interest coverage stands at ~63.2x, reflecting minimal interest burden relative to operating profit.

Top-line and growth: reported revenue growth reads 1.73% while reported revenue growth year-over-year shows -3.45%; operating leverage appears elevated (operating leverage 37.99) and earnings growth shows mixed signals with an overall earningsGrowth figure that the company reports positively versus peers on a multi-period basis.

Capital and liquidity: cash $408,868,000 and cash and short-term investments $571,786,000 provide substantial liquidity against total debt of $100,481,000 (debt to assets ~3.54%). Free cash flow $25,003,000 and a free cash flow yield ~2.88% with free cash conversion below last-year levels, indicating cash generation but with recent contraction in free-cash growth.

Valuation multiples versus industry peer values: trailing PE ~14.30 compares materially below the industry peer mean of ~40.89 and the peer median ~40.50, indicating a meaningful relative discount on reported earnings. Price-to-book ~1.58 sits below the industry peer mean of ~2.58 and near the peer median range. Forward PE (~31.50) implies higher near-term expectations versus trailing metrics but still sits below many peer forward multiples.

Shareholder returns and payout: dividend yield ~0.96% with a dividend payout ratio ~12.55% and dividend coverage near 7.97x signals a conservatively covered distribution; the April dividend declaration signals active capital-allocation to shareholders alongside prior repurchase activity disclosed in recent filings.

Balance-sheet efficiency: asset turnover ~0.14 and receivables turnover ~1.15 indicate relatively low revenue per asset but stable receivables management; retained earnings of $757,449,000 and net tangible assets $551,035,000 provide reserve depth for underwriting volatility.

Valuation view: the current valuation as determined by WMDST shows the stock as under-valued relative to its earnings and book metrics, supported by strong margins, low leverage, and substantial liquidity, though growth and free-cash growth show pressure versus prior periods.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-24
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-26
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 474.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow 26.1 M
 Capital Expenditures -1.08 M
 Change In Working Capital -40.51 M
 Dividends Paid -8.35 M
 Cash Flow Delta 3.6 M
 End Period Cash Flow 477.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 407.9 M
 Forward Revenue 42.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 319.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT 89.9 M
 Operating Income
 Interest Income -177.00 K
 Interest Expense 1.4 M
 Net Interest Income -1.60 M
 Income Before Tax 88.5 M
 Tax Provision 21.9 M
 Tax Rate 24.716 %
 Net Income 66.6 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 66.6 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.30
 EPS Actual 2.17
 EPS Difference 0.87
 EPS Surprise 66.923 %
 Forward EPS 1.00
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.8 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 551.0 M
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 571.8 M
 Cash 408.9 M
 Net Receivables 308.6 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 257.2 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 100.5 M
 Total Liabilities 2.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 551.0 M
 Retained Earnings 757.4 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 19.67
 Shares Outstanding 28.008 M
 Revenue Per-Share 14.56
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 868.9 M
 Enterprise Value 397.6 M
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 0.975
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 5.153
 Asset To Liability 1.241
 Debt To Capital 0.154
 Debt To Assets 0.035
Debt To Assets QoQ 8.594 %
Debt To Assets YoY -0.702 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.14
median: 0.056
mean: 0.054
UVE: 0.035
low: 0.005
 Debt To Equity 0.182
Debt To Equity QoQ -10.331 %
Debt To Equity YoY -32.774 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 0.705
mean: 0.228
median: 0.227
UVE: 0.182
low: 0.012
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.577
Price To Book QoQ 5.309 %
Price To Book YoY 4.501 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 6.563
mean: 2.581
median: 1.861
UVE: 1.577
low: 0.322
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 14.297
Price To Earnings QoQ -26.43 %
Price To Earnings YoY -82.17 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 103.837
mean: 40.889
median: 40.504
UVE: 14.297
low: 12.348
 PE/G Ratio 0.24
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.13
Price To Sales QoQ 15.224 %
Price To Sales YoY 45.533 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 19.182
mean: 5.878
median: 5.676
UVE: 2.13
low: 1.58
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 31.499
Forward PE/G 0.529
Forward P/S 20.257
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 37.994
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.138
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 9.215 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -1.798 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.259
UVE: 0.138
mean: 0.112
median: 0.087
low: 0.008
 Receivables Turnover 1.154
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 24.314 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 39.155 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.703
UVE: 1.154
mean: 0.717
median: 0.604
low: 0.073
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 79.075
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 79.075
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -19.559 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 438.402
mean: 120.442
median: 80.405
UVE: 79.075
low: 33.334
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue -0.003
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 651.5 M
 Net Invested Capital 651.5 M
 Invested Capital 651.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 551.0 M
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 1.064 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 63.201
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 66.273 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 932.956 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 143.716
UVE: 63.201
mean: 38.626
median: 37.5
low: -0.995
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 7.971
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.125
 Dividend Rate 0.30
 Dividend Yield 0.01
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -8.09 %
 Revenue Growth 1.732 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 724.762 %
Revenue Growth YoY -344.633 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 21.706 %
mean: 3.728 %
median: 2.421 %
UVE: 1.732 %
low: -20.344 %
 Earnings Growth 59.559 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 463.525 %
Earnings Growth YoY -144.365 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA UVE: 59.559 %
high: 47.959 %
median: 5.18 %
mean: 4.741 %
low: -43.137 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin 22.031 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 62.975 %
EBIT Margin YoY 865.425 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 62.969 %
UVE: 22.031 %
mean: 20.92 %
median: 16.497 %
low: -17.243 %
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 25.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.877 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -65.191 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -115.85 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 13.218 %
mean: 3.493 %
median: 3.288 %
UVE: 2.877 %
low: -1.478 %
 Free Cash Growth -59.188 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 41.632 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -73.842 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 101.01 %
mean: -31.9 %
median: -36.48 %
UVE: -59.188 %
low: -205.847 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.375
 Cash Flow Margin -21.635 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.392
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.246 %
Return On Assets QoQ 79.536 %
Return On Assets YoY 925.571 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.006 %
UVE: 2.246 %
mean: 1.756 %
median: 1.737 %
low: -1.129 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.121
Return On Equity QoQ 50.186 %
Return On Equity YoY 649.628 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.134
UVE: 0.121
median: 0.076
mean: 0.069
low: -0.041
 DuPont ROE 12.732 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 10.385 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 51.164 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -559.31 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.649 %
UVE: 10.385 %
median: 6.141 %
mean: 5.973 %
low: -2.346 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect range-bound price behavior with bias toward consolidation: short-term momentum indicators (MACD below its signal, MRO positive above target, RSI cooling) signal probability of sideways-to-slightly-lower price action unless directional strength reappears. Key near-term drivers include follow-through on capital-return announcements and any new underwriting or reinsurance updates; low ADX suggests breakouts will require fresh catalyst. Volatility appears muted (42-day beta 0.29, 52-week beta 0.45 and low volatility readings), so price moves may remain measured absent sector-wide shifts.

About Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:UVE) develops and markets a range of personal residential insurance products across the United States. The company underwrites policies for homeowners, renters, condo unit owners, and provides coverage for dwelling/fire risks. It also offers allied lines, covering additional structures, personal property, liability, and personal articles. Universal Insurance Holdings manages the entire insurance process, from policy administration and underwriting to claims payments and actuarial consulting. It advises on reinsurance negotiations and manages reinsurance programs for its insurance entities. Through Clovered.com, a digital agency, the company facilitates direct-to-consumer online solutions, utilizing digital applications for claims adjustments and partnering with various carriers. Universal Insurance Holdings distributes its products via a network of independent agents, enhancing its reach and accessibility. Originally incorporated in 1990 and headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, the company rebranded from Universal Heights, Inc. to its current name in January 2001.



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