BJ’s Restaurants, Inc (NASDAQ:BJRI) Signals Cautious Upside As Shareholder Activity Increases

BJ's Restaurants presents a cautious but constructive near-term profile, with momentum measures nudging higher while fundamentals show margin compression versus industry peers and WMDST assigns a fair-valued standing.

Recent News

March filings show Act III Holdings and related parties increased open-market purchases in March 2026, raising reported beneficial ownership through multiple purchases during the month. Insider buying surfaced in early March with at least one director acquiring shares. Institutional adjustments appeared in early March filings showing incremental position changes among large holders.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 17.39 indicates no established trend, implying near-term moves may remain range-bound until trend strength improves.

DI+ sits at 23.64 and registers an increasing trend, which carries a bullish directional bias for short-term price orientation.

DI- reads 24.14 with a decreasing trend, which also contributes a bullish directional bias by reducing downside pressure.

MACD at 0.05 has moved above its signal line at -0.37, with an increasing MACD trend; that cross signals improving bullish momentum and favors near-term upside attempts.

MRO at 20.58 and rising places price above the internal target framework, implying a potential corrective pressure if momentum stalls despite current gains.

RSI at 48.63 and rising indicates neutral-to-improving internals; momentum lacks overbought stress and allows room for further appreciation without exhaustion.

Price sits at $38.07, above the 200-day average of $37.07 but slightly below the 50-day average of $38.10; short-term moving averages (12-day EMA $37.21, 20-day avg $36.75) trend higher, so the immediate price structure favors consolidation with upward attempts capped by the 50-day average.

Ichimoku components place price below the Senkou cloud (Senkou A $39.55, Senkou B $40.25), which creates a technical resistance band above the market and tempers breakout conviction despite bullish cross-signals.

Volume shows recent sessions under average: today’s volume 184,596 versus 10-day avg 312,594 and 50/200-day averages noticeably higher; low relative volume reduces conviction behind directional moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $355,399,000 with YoY revenue growth at 33.61%, reflecting meaningful top-line expansion year-over-year while quarter-to-quarter movement showed a modest contraction of 1.79% QoQ.

Net income reached $12,643,000 and EBIT measured $11,930,000; EBITDA equaled $32,849,000. Operating margin sat at 3.345% and EBIT margin at 3.357%, both well below the industry peer mean (operating margin mean 22.693%, EBIT margin mean 22.319%), indicating material margin gap versus peers.

EPS landed at $0.66 versus an estimate of $0.62, representing an EPS beat of $0.04 or roughly 6.45% versus expectations; forward EPS stands near $0.675. WMDST notes the EPS beat while margins continue to lag peer averages.

Balance-sheet and liquidity metrics show total debt of $490,758,000, net debt $61,219,000, and debt-to-assets of 48.33%. Interest coverage at 11.25x provides ample coverage for current interest obligations. Current ratio at 0.40 and quick ratio at 0.33 remain below the industry peer mean (current ratio mean 0.962), signalling constrained near-term liquidity versus peer norms.

Cash and short-term investments totaled $23,781,000 with operating cash flow at $18,554,000 and free cash flow $7,455,000, producing a free cash flow yield near 0.86%. Return on equity measured 3.45% and return on invested capital near 2.09%, indicating modest capital returns relative to the company’s cost of capital.

Valuation context: trailing PE stands at ~61.9 and forward PE near 54.7 while price-to-book sits at ~2.35 and enterprise multiple at ~40.47. The current valuation as determined by WMDST registers as fair-valued given modest growth, stretched profitability versus peers, and the mix of strong coverage metrics with elevated leverage ratios.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-25
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-27
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 25.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 18.6 M
 Capital Expenditures -11.10 M
 Change In Working Capital -24.63 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -1.65 M
 End Period Cash Flow 23.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 355.4 M
 Forward Revenue 100.2 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 298.2 M
 Depreciation 20.9 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 20.9 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 343.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 57.2 M
 EBITDA 32.8 M
 EBIT 11.9 M
 Operating Income 11.9 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 1.1 M
 Net Interest Income -1.06 M
 Income Before Tax 10.9 M
 Tax Provision -1.77 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income 12.6 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 12.6 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.62
 EPS Actual 0.66
 EPS Difference 0.04
 EPS Surprise 6.452 %
 Forward EPS 0.68
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.0 B
 Intangible Assets 4.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets 361.5 M
 Total Current Assets 74.9 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 23.8 M
 Cash 23.8 M
 Net Receivables 12.3 M
 Inventory 13.1 M
 Long-Term Investments 48.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 38.4 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 187.8 M
 Net Debt 61.2 M
 Total Debt 490.8 M
 Total Liabilities 649.3 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 366.2 M
 Retained Earnings 291.2 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 17.34
 Shares Outstanding 21.114 M
 Revenue Per-Share 16.83
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 862.4 M
 Enterprise Value 1.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple 40.468
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -32.9 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -71.035 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 130.17
mean: 83.543
median: 73.484
BJRI: 40.468
low: -2.827
 EV/R 3.74
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.773
 Asset To Liability 1.564
 Debt To Capital 0.573
 Debt To Assets 0.483
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.379 %
Debt To Assets YoY 0.505 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.609
median: 0.79
mean: 0.724
BJRI: 0.483
low: 0.019
 Debt To Equity 1.34
Debt To Equity QoQ -4.69 %
Debt To Equity YoY -0.945 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 12.912
BJRI: 1.34
mean: -0.774
median: -1.801
low: -8.585
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.355
Price To Book QoQ 19.776 %
Price To Book YoY 8.153 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 26.123
BJRI: 2.355
mean: -2.846
median: -5.751
low: -26.316
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 61.883
Price To Earnings QoQ -92.495 %
Price To Earnings YoY -18.063 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 247.068
mean: 128.336
median: 100.951
BJRI: 61.883
low: -244.749
 PE/G Ratio 0.04
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.426
Price To Sales QoQ 14.391 %
Price To Sales YoY 3.705 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 31.537
mean: 19.294
median: 16.751
BJRI: 2.426
low: 0.273
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 54.733
Forward PE/G 0.035
Forward P/S 8.608
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 834.966
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.349
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.164 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 5.511 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.603
BJRI: 0.349
mean: 0.201
median: 0.185
low: 0.063
 Receivables Turnover 25.038
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 28.891 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 9.116 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 47.268
BJRI: 25.038
mean: 7.715
median: 2.778
low: 0.996
 Inventory Turnover 23.285
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.66 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 2.688 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 56.869
median: 47.627
mean: 31.711
BJRI: 23.285
low: 0.802
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 3.644
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -5.48
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -5.996 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -27.832 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 84.283
mean: 7.518
median: 2.075
BJRI: -5.48
low: -80.186
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -3.149
 CapEx To Revenue -0.031
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.531
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 451.2 M
 Net Invested Capital 451.2 M
 Invested Capital 451.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 361.5 M
 Net Working Capital -112.85 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.127
 Current Ratio 0.399
Current Ratio QoQ 9.447 %
Current Ratio YoY -1.552 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.73
mean: 0.962
median: 0.955
BJRI: 0.399
low: 0.36
 Quick Ratio 0.329
Quick Ratio QoQ 9.733 %
Quick Ratio YoY -3.245 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.688
median: 0.941
mean: 0.925
BJRI: 0.329
low: 0.162
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 14.94
 Cost Of Debt 0.169 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 11.255
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 7135.901 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -277.13 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 16.489
BJRI: 11.255
mean: 5.893
median: 5.827
low: -8.807
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.16
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 13.17
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.645 %
 Revenue Growth 7.645 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -178.863 %
Revenue Growth YoY 33.607 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 27.02 %
BJRI: 7.645 %
mean: -0.905 %
median: -1.058 %
low: -32.161 %
 Earnings Growth 1550.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -1716.672 %
Earnings Growth YoY -435.834 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA BJRI: 1550.0 %
high: 256.238 %
median: -9.357 %
mean: -13.163 %
low: -219.355 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 16.096 %
Gross Margin QoQ 28.603 %
Gross Margin YoY 4.798 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 82.469 %
mean: 39.964 %
median: 33.698 %
BJRI: 16.096 %
low: -4.539 %
 EBIT Margin 3.357 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 5894.643 %
EBIT Margin YoY -223.601 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 45.191 %
mean: 22.319 %
median: 12.099 %
BJRI: 3.357 %
low: -8.383 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 3.345 %
Return On Sales QoQ -2713.281 %
Return On Sales YoY -223.159 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 45.049 %
mean: 22.693 %
median: 14.729 %
BJRI: 3.345 %
low: -7.947 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 7.5 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.864 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 68.093 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -55.828 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 7.195 %
mean: 0.884 %
BJRI: 0.864 %
median: 0.741 %
low: -4.042 %
 Free Cash Growth 106.911 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -216.968 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 0.386 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 149.518 %
BJRI: 106.911 %
mean: -32.784 %
median: -39.842 %
low: -365.169 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.59
 Cash Flow Margin 8.453 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.376
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.241 %
Return On Assets QoQ 2657.778 %
Return On Assets YoY -345.257 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.953 %
mean: 2.392 %
median: 1.778 %
BJRI: 1.241 %
low: -1.777 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.441 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.035
Return On Equity QoQ 2535.878 %
Return On Equity YoY -342.656 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.351
BJRI: 0.035
mean: -0.012
median: -0.035
low: -0.363
 DuPont ROE 3.5 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.089 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 6230.303 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -234.168 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 18.398 %
mean: 6.468 %
median: 6.096 %
BJRI: 2.089 %
low: -5.359 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a consolidation phase with a mild upside bias: technical momentum measures (MACD cross, rising DI+) support attempts to re-test short-term resistance near the 50-day average and the Ichimoku cloud overhead, but MRO’s positive reading and below-average volume warn of corrective risk if buyers fail to sustain participation. Fundamental beat and activist/institutional buying increase attention and could tilt volatility higher around company announcements; traders should monitor trend-strength expansion above ADX 20 for a cleaner directional signal over the next six weeks.

About BJ’s Restaurants, Inc.

BJ’s Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI) delivers a distinctive dining experience in the American casual dining sector. Established in 1978 and based in Huntington Beach, California, BJ’s Restaurants have built a reputation for their inviting atmosphere and diverse culinary offerings. The company crafts a menu that includes its signature deep-dish pizzas, a variety of entrees, and their renowned Pizookie dessert. BJ’s places a strong emphasis on quality ingredients and innovative dishes to cater to a wide range of palates. Beyond food, BJ’s Restaurants also brew a selection of handcrafted beers in-house, enhancing the dining experience with unique beverage options. This dedication to craft beer complements their culinary offerings and attracts beer enthusiasts. BJ’s Restaurants consistently expand their presence across the United States, adapting to changing consumer preferences while maintaining a commitment to exceptional service. The company creates family-friendly environments that appeal to a broad audience, including families, friends, and food lovers. Through their focus on quality, innovation, and customer satisfaction, BJ’s Restaurants continue to thrive in the competitive casual dining landscape.



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