Comstock Resources, Inc (NYSE:CRK) Poised For Near-Term Pressure Despite Midstream Catalysts

Comstock pairs a clear operational catalyst in the Western Haynesville with stretched valuation and technical weakness, producing a cautious near-term outlook while longer-run supply contracts and midstream developments provide upside optionality.

Recent News

March 23, 2026 — Comstock announced that its Western Haynesville acreage in Anderson County, Texas, will host the recently announced Texas Natural Gas-Fired Power Generation Hub; Comstock will provide natural gas supply and collaborate with NextEra Energy on the project. March investor materials reiterated the company’s Western Haynesville focus and budget plans for 2026 emphasizing increased rig count and midstream investment tied to the hub.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators: ADX sits at 19.98, below 20, indicating no established trend; DI− at 31.08 is increasing while DI+ at 18.98 is decreasing, so directional indicators favor sellers even though trend strength remains muted. This alignment limits near-term upside despite headline catalysts.

MACD: MACD equals −0.92 and the MACD trend shows decreasing momentum; MACD sits below its signal line (−0.45), confirming bearish momentum and the absence of a bullish MACD crossover to support a sustained rally.

Price vs moving averages and bands: The closing price of $16.27 trades below the 12-day EMA ($18.34, decreasing), the 20-day average ($19.29) and the 50/200-day averages ($20.05 and $20.51). Price currently sits beneath the 1× lower Bollinger band ($16.81), signaling price weakness versus recent volatility while leaving room for mean reversion if momentum shifts.

MRO and RSI: The MRO reads −13.69 with a peak-and-reversal pattern, implying the price sits below the oscillator’s target and a reversion higher remains possible; RSI at 43.35 with a decreasing trend confirms momentum has softened and leaves limited immediate buying impetus until RSI stabilizes above the mid-40s.

Volume and volatility context: Daily volume near 2.09 million approximates the 10-day average and remains below 50- and 200-day averages, suggesting recent moves lack conviction. Short-term beta is negative (42-day beta −1.34) while 52-week beta equals 0.10, indicating unusually low systematic volatility over the year but elevated short-run idiosyncratic swings tied to company-specific news.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and operating performance: EBIT came in at $414,528,000 and EBITDA at $572,026,000. EBIT margin equals 83.68%, well above the industry peer mean of 21.62% and the industry peer median of 17.27%, and approaching the industry peer high of 91.58%. EBIT margin improved quarter-over-quarter by 94.59% but shows a year-over-year change of −480.13% as reported, reflecting large comparability effects across the period.

Revenue and cash flow: Total revenue equals $495,383,000 with reported revenue growth at 10.12% (year-over-year) and quarter-over-quarter revenue change of −3.33%. Operating cash flow reached $224,204,000, while free cash flow totaled −$141,248,000, a free cash flow yield of −2.16% and free cash flow decline of 25.03% year-over-year. The cash position stands at $23,930,000 and beginning/ending cash flow movements show a modest cashFlowDelta of $4,715,000.

Leverage and coverage: Total debt equals $2,907,439,000 with net debt of $2,785,136,000; debt-to-EBITDA reads 5.08x and debt-to-equity 109.85%, while interest coverage equals 7.39x. Debt-to-assets sits at 41.49% and shows improvement quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year. These metrics indicate meaningful leverage alongside adequate coverage from current earnings.

Efficiency and capital allocation: Asset turnover equals 7.16%, below the industry peer mean of 10.45% and peer median of 10.87%, signaling lower revenue generation per dollar of assets. Capital expenditures totaled −$365,452,000 with planned 2026 development and midstream spending guided materially higher to support Western Haynesville growth plans.

Earnings and valuation inputs: Diluted EPS registered $0.97 versus an estimate of $0.10, an EPS beat of 870%. Reported PE equals 139.38x with forward PE near 70.02x. Enterprise multiple reads 16.47 and EV stands at $9,418,915,437 versus market capitalization of $6,535,406,437. The business delivered substantial reserve additions and asset sales that drove reported gains in the period; however, negative free cash flow and elevated capital plans will pressure near-term cash generation.

Valuation conclusion: The current valuation as determined by WMDST classifies the stock as over-valued, reflecting high multiples, negative free cash flow yield, and meaningful leverage despite strong reported margins and reserve additions.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-11
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-13
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 19.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow 224.2 M
 Capital Expenditures -365.45 M
 Change In Working Capital 1.9 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 4.7 M
 End Period Cash Flow 23.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 495.4 M
 Forward Revenue 41.3 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 365.6 M
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 380.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 129.8 M
 EBITDA 572.0 M
 EBIT 414.5 M
 Operating Income 114.7 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 56.1 M
 Net Interest Income -56.06 M
 Income Before Tax 358.5 M
 Tax Provision 71.7 M
 Tax Rate 20.002 %
 Net Income 305.5 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 286.8 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.10
 EPS Actual 0.97
 EPS Difference 0.87
 EPS Surprise 870.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.35
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 7.0 B
 Intangible Assets 335.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets 2.3 B
 Total Current Assets 360.9 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 23.9 M
 Cash 23.9 M
 Net Receivables 242.5 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 501.7 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 729.5 M
 Net Debt 2.8 B
 Total Debt 2.9 B
 Total Liabilities 4.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.6 B
 Retained Earnings 1.1 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 9.03
 Shares Outstanding 293.055 M
 Revenue Per-Share 1.69
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 6.5 B
 Enterprise Value 9.4 B
 Enterprise Multiple 16.466
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -33.207 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -75.226 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 68.211
median: 29.526
mean: 28.107
CRK: 16.466
low: -16.072
 EV/R 19.013
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.647
 Asset To Liability 1.733
 Debt To Capital 0.523
 Debt To Assets 0.415
Debt To Assets QoQ -11.466 %
Debt To Assets YoY -12.556 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.766
CRK: 0.415
mean: 0.186
median: 0.162
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 1.098
Debt To Equity QoQ -19.136 %
Debt To Equity YoY -18.713 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.344
CRK: 1.098
mean: 0.333
median: 0.282
low: -0.685
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.469
Price To Book QoQ 6.7 %
Price To Book YoY 9.582 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 10.642
CRK: 2.469
median: 2.011
mean: 1.842
low: -0.398
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 139.381
Price To Earnings QoQ -32.695 %
Price To Earnings YoY 29.074 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA CRK: 139.381
high: 129.503
mean: 52.991
median: 49.163
low: -25.889
 PE/G Ratio -2.323
 Price To Sales (P/S) 13.193
Price To Sales QoQ 8.656 %
Price To Sales YoY -4.246 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 65.219
CRK: 13.193
median: 10.615
mean: 10.536
low: 2.995
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 70.02
Forward PE/G -1.167
Forward P/S 169.507
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 11.292
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.072
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 7.643 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 23.918 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.406
median: 0.109
mean: 0.105
CRK: 0.072
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 2.385
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -8.171 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 7.581 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.935
CRK: 2.385
median: 2.109
mean: 2.033
low: 0.153
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 38.267
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 64.739
CRK: 0
median: -2.729
mean: -5.495
low: -12463.195
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -1.344
 CapEx To Revenue -0.738
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 5.5 B
 Net Invested Capital 5.5 B
 Invested Capital 5.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 2.3 B
 Net Working Capital -368.58 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.033
 Current Ratio 0.495
Current Ratio QoQ 19.582 %
Current Ratio YoY 6.754 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 12.339
median: 1.632
mean: 1.456
CRK: 0.495
low: 0.06
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 5.083
 Cost Of Debt 1.552 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 7.394
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 116.819 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -600.569 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 281.257
mean: 15.439
median: 14.788
CRK: 7.394
low: -26.844
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.387
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 115.191
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.428 %
 Revenue Growth 10.121 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -333.203 %
Revenue Growth YoY -50.324 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 64.987 %
CRK: 10.121 %
mean: -0.048 %
median: -1.378 %
low: -20.225 %
 Earnings Growth -60.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -24.571 %
Earnings Growth YoY -69.091 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 168.75 %
mean: 5.494 %
median: -16.236 %
low: -37.021 %
CRK: -60.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 26.199 %
Gross Margin QoQ 66.438 %
Gross Margin YoY 1062.85 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 79.215 %
median: 58.871 %
mean: 52.524 %
CRK: 26.199 %
low: -71.273 %
 EBIT Margin 83.678 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 94.591 %
EBIT Margin YoY -480.13 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 91.583 %
CRK: 83.678 %
mean: 21.62 %
median: 17.265 %
low: -105.14 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 23.147 %
Return On Sales QoQ 97.567 %
Return On Sales YoY -205.152 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 91.583 %
median: 29.489 %
mean: 27.167 %
CRK: 23.147 %
low: -7.535 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -141.25 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -2.161 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -37.344 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 747.451 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 3.535 %
median: 1.595 %
mean: 1.5 %
CRK: -2.161 %
low: -5.705 %
 Free Cash Growth -25.031 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -99.544 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -72.239 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 0.184 %
CRK: -25.031 %
median: -33.909 %
mean: -49.928 %
low: -208.358 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.462
 Cash Flow Margin 56.991 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.924
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 4.412 %
Return On Assets QoQ 168.697 %
Return On Assets YoY -693.011 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 19.923 %
CRK: 4.412 %
mean: 1.593 %
median: 1.348 %
low: -20.698 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 6.603 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.115
Return On Equity QoQ 145.178 %
Return On Equity YoY -647.581 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.19
CRK: 0.115
mean: 0.026
median: 0.024
low: -0.1
 DuPont ROE 12.204 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 6.078 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 99.54 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -388.193 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA CRK: 6.078 %
high: 5.424 %
mean: 2.209 %
median: 1.997 %
low: -14.634 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a near-term price environment skewed to consolidation with downward bias while market participants digest capital spending guidance for Western Haynesville and the NextEra-linked power hub. Technical momentum and directional indicators favor sellers and keep upside capped until MACD starts rising and DI+ stabilizes; the negative MRO signals potential for a mean-reversion bounce if momentum indicators show improvement. Volume profile suggests any sustained move requires a pickup in trading activity. Monitor operational news and midstream progress as the primary catalyst set that can shift the short-term balance of risk and reward.

About Comstock Resources, Inc.

Comstock Resources, Inc. (NYSE:CRK) develops and produces natural gas and oil, with a primary focus on the Haynesville and Bossier shales located in North Louisiana and East Texas. Headquartered in Frisco, Texas, Comstock Resources leverages advanced technology and industry expertise to enhance the efficiency of resource extraction. The company, founded in 1919, brings over a century of experience to its operations, underscoring its resilience and adaptability in the energy sector. As a subsidiary of Arkoma Drilling, L.P., Comstock Resources prioritizes sustainable practices and responsible resource management to minimize environmental impact while addressing the increasing energy needs. The company maintains a strong portfolio and strategically manages its operations to deliver value to shareholders and support the energy security of the United States. Through continuous innovation and strategic partnerships, Comstock Resources positions itself as a key player in the natural gas and oil production industry, driving growth and setting industry standards.



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