PDF Solutions, Inc (NASDAQ:PDFS) Shows Bullish Momentum With Pullback Risk

PDF Solutions presents a constructive near-term technical profile while fundamentals show robust gross margins and cash generation alongside margin compression and a small net loss; valuation by WMDST rates the stock under-valued.

Recent News

01/13/2026 — Company commentary focused on “Semiconductor Manufacturing In The AI Era,” highlighting AI-driven collaboration across fabs. 02/04/2026 — Published “Manufacturing Is Strategy: Leadership Lessons,” emphasizing operational alignment and manufacturing-led differentiation. 02/17/2026 — Released “Why PDF Solutions Is Positioning Itself at the Center of the Semiconductor Ecosystem,” outlining platform positioning and cross-industry integration efforts.

Technical Analysis

ADX and Directional Indicators: ADX registers 15.8, signaling no strong trend in force; the directional indicators nevertheless bias price upward — DI+ recorded a dip-and-reversal (DI+ = 23.78), a bullish development, while DI- registered a peak-and-reversal (DI- = 21.12), also read as bullish. Taken together, these suggest bullish directional pressure but limited trend strength, implying potential range expansion rather than a sustained breakout.

MACD: MACD sits at 1.24 and the MACD line trades above the signal line (signal = 0.64) with an increasing MACD_trend, which constitutes a bullish momentum signal supporting near-term upside continuation toward the valuation target area.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO reads 32.69 and shows a peak-and-reversal, which indicates the price sits above the model target with the oscillator’s recent reversal pointing to mean-reversion risk; this raises the probability of a pullback toward valuation-aligned levels despite positive momentum elsewhere.

RSI and Momentum: RSI at 57.85 with an increasing trend shows constructive momentum that remains below overbought levels, supporting additional upside room while not yet signaling exhaustion.

Price Structure & Moving Averages: The last close at $40.66 sits above the 12-day and 26-day EMAs ($36.19 and $34.75), the 20-day average ($35.13), the 50-day average ($33.07) and the 200-day average ($27.58). That stacked structure indicates bullish price placement versus moving averages and a higher-probability path of retesting recent highs if momentum holds.

Bollinger Bands & Volatility: Price exceeded the 1× upper band ($38.04) and approaches the 2× upper band ($40.95), marking a stretched position relative to short-term volatility and increasing the chance of a consolidation or pullback toward the 20-day mean. Volume slightly exceeds short- and medium-term averages (10/50/200-day averages), lending conviction to the recent move.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue and Growth: Total revenue reached $62,403,000 with YoY revenue growth of 16.89% and a QoQ decline of 11.09%. Top-line expansion year-over-year remains a positive anchor for valuation, while the quarterly deceleration warrants monitoring for seasonality or timing effects.

Profitability: Gross margin stands at 72.85%, up 6.74% YoY and up 0.81% QoQ, signaling strong product-level economics. Operating margin equals 5.541% and EBIT margin equals 6.094%; EBIT margin contracted QoQ by 26.34% but expanded YoY by 496.28% relative to the prior-year period. Compared with the industry peer mean (EBIT margin mean ~34.87% and median ~35.31%), PDF Solutions’ EBIT margin remains well below the peer mean and median.

Earnings and Cash Flow: Reported EPS equaled $0.30 versus an estimate of $0.24, a $0.06 beat and a 25% surprise. Net income totaled negative $48,000 while operating cash flow generated $17,341,000 and free cash flow reached $7,550,000 (free cash flow yield ~0.64%). The company held $42,220,000 of cash and short-term investments at period end, and net debt measured $24,779,000, supporting liquidity through near-term operating cycles.

Balance Sheet and Leverage: Current ratio sits at 2.28, marginally above the industry peer mean (≈2.16) and peer median (≈2.26). Debt-to-assets equals 17.39%, slightly above the industry peer mean (≈16.45%). Interest coverage runs about 3.27x, indicating earnings cover interest but with less cushion than higher-coverage peers.

Valuation Multiples: Trailing PE near 100.21 and forward PE near 79.62 sit below the industry peer mean for PE but remain elevated in absolute terms; price-to-book at 4.39 compares below the industry peer mean and median (peer mean ≈18.24, median ≈22.16). Price-to-sales at 19.05 registers below the industry peer mean (≈41.09) and median (≈45.35). WMDST values the stock as under-valued, noting the combination of premium earnings multiples, strong gross margins, positive cash flow, and a manageable net debt position as the basis for that assessment.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-12
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-14
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 35.9 M
 Operating Cash Flow 17.3 M
 Capital Expenditures -9.79 M
 Change In Working Capital 5.0 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 6.3 M
 End Period Cash Flow 42.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 62.4 M
 Forward Revenue -4.40 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 16.9 M
 Depreciation 1.4 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 3.5 M
 Research and Development 19.3 M
 Total Operating Expenses 58.9 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 45.5 M
 EBITDA 7.3 M
 EBIT 3.8 M
 Operating Income 3.5 M
 Interest Income 1.3 M
 Interest Expense 1.2 M
 Net Interest Income 145.0 K
 Income Before Tax 2.6 M
 Tax Provision 2.7 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -48.00 K
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -48.00 K
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.24
 EPS Actual 0.30
 EPS Difference 0.06
 EPS Surprise 25.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.34
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 418.7 M
 Intangible Assets 147.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 123.8 M
 Total Current Assets 163.9 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 42.2 M
 Cash 42.2 M
 Net Receivables 82.9 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 1.4 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 17.1 M
 Short-Term Debt 2.2 M
 Total Current Liabilities 71.9 M
 Net Debt 24.8 M
 Total Debt 72.8 M
 Total Liabilities 147.7 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 271.0 M
 Retained Earnings -94.63 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 6.85
 Shares Outstanding 39.541 M
 Revenue Per-Share 1.58
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.2 B
 Enterprise Value 1.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 166.642
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 29.913 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -66.521 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 244.045
PDFS: 166.642
median: 114.544
mean: 107.314
low: -216.655
 EV/R 19.539
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.545
 Asset To Liability 2.835
 Debt To Capital 0.212
 Debt To Assets 0.174
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.208 %
Debt To Assets YoY 958.551 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.455
median: 0.194
PDFS: 0.174
mean: 0.164
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 0.269
Debt To Equity QoQ -3.727 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1176.39 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 0.96
PDFS: 0.269
mean: 0.265
median: 0.138
low: -0.408
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 4.386
Price To Book QoQ 18.256 %
Price To Book YoY -2.797 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 22.471
median: 22.16
mean: 18.237
PDFS: 4.386
low: 1.081
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 100.21
Price To Earnings QoQ 156.144 %
Price To Earnings YoY -12.527 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 422.129
median: 146.908
mean: 139.514
PDFS: 100.21
low: -305.594
 PE/G Ratio -1.886
 Price To Sales (P/S) 19.049
Price To Sales QoQ 10.954 %
Price To Sales YoY -14.062 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 71.828
median: 45.349
mean: 41.085
PDFS: 19.049
low: 3.414
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 79.625
Forward PE/G -1.499
Forward P/S -0.27
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -2.108
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.151
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.606 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -5.98 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.471
mean: 0.207
median: 0.203
PDFS: 0.151
low: 0.002
 Receivables Turnover 0.79
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.203 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -5.053 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.887
mean: 1.79
median: 1.515
PDFS: 0.79
low: 0.498
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 115.437
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 596.302
median: 270.338
mean: 255.66
low: 62.399
PDFS: 0
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.678
 CapEx To Revenue -0.157
 CapEx To Depreciation -6.762
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 335.8 M
 Net Invested Capital 338.0 M
 Invested Capital 338.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 123.8 M
 Net Working Capital 92.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.587
 Current Ratio 2.28
Current Ratio QoQ 3.096 %
Current Ratio YoY -32.993 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 10.619
PDFS: 2.28
median: 2.256
mean: 2.161
low: 1.126
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 9.952
 Cost Of Debt 1.323 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.267
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -14.396 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 864.197 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 99.429
mean: 34.406
median: 32.93
PDFS: 3.267
low: -143.241
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.029
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 91.391
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 3.026 %
 Revenue Growth 9.259 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -11.091 %
Revenue Growth YoY 16.892 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 40.838 %
mean: 12.78 %
PDFS: 9.259 %
median: 2.725 %
low: -9.892 %
 Earnings Growth -53.125 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -122.431 %
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 266.667 %
mean: 17.454 %
median: 0.794 %
PDFS: -53.125 %
low: -85.714 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 72.851 %
Gross Margin QoQ 0.81 %
Gross Margin YoY 6.738 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 90.758 %
PDFS: 72.851 %
mean: 52.43 %
median: 52.156 %
low: 9.383 %
 EBIT Margin 6.094 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -26.339 %
EBIT Margin YoY 496.282 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 46.775 %
median: 35.306 %
mean: 34.872 %
PDFS: 6.094 %
low: -49.18 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 5.541 %
Return On Sales QoQ -34.434 %
Return On Sales YoY 442.172 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 69.122 %
median: 35.306 %
mean: 34.225 %
PDFS: 5.541 %
low: -49.18 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 7.5 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.635 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -304.839 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -266.23 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 2.925 %
mean: 1.466 %
median: 1.229 %
PDFS: 0.635 %
low: -1.389 %
 Free Cash Growth -348.519 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 347.445 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 82.834 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 182.087 %
median: -0.341 %
mean: -8.314 %
PDFS: -348.519 %
low: -360.935 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -157.292
 Cash Flow Margin -3.365 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 43.75
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.012 %
Return On Assets QoQ -103.692 %
Return On Assets YoY -106.936 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 12.607 %
mean: 6.046 %
median: 5.937 %
PDFS: -0.012 %
low: -7.635 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.097 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.0
Return On Equity QoQ -103.681 %
Return On Equity YoY -108.219 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.21
median: 0.145
mean: 0.141
PDFS: -0.0
low: -0.241
 DuPont ROE -0.018 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.889 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -20.978 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -340.921 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.139 %
median: 10.618 %
mean: 9.014 %
PDFS: 0.889 %
low: -2.702 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price bias skews modestly bullish: momentum indicators (MACD above its signal and rising, DI+ dip-and-reversal) plus price staying above short- and long-term averages support continued upside toward the consensus target mean near $42.69. Offsetting that, the ADX below 20 points to limited trend strength, the MRO’s positive reading with a peak-and-reversal warns of mean reversion toward valuation targets, and price sits stretched relative to the Bollinger bands. Elevated short- and medium-term betas imply outsized volatility relative to the market; expect episodic pullbacks and two-way swings while the stock consolidates its recent gain.

About PDF Solutions, Inc.

PDF Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDFS) develops proprietary software and intellectual property products tailored for integrated circuit design and electrical measurement. The company delivers a suite of tools and methodologies, including Exensio software products, which enhance manufacturing analytics by storing data in a unified environment. This facilitates engineers in identifying and analyzing production yield, performance, and reliability issues. PDF Solutions also provides systems for process control, test operations, and assembly operations, enabling device manufacturers to manage data throughout the product lifecycle. In addition, the company offers Design-For-Inspection (DFI) systems, including on-chip instruments and non-contact e-beam tools, as well as the Characterization Vehicle (CV) system, which comprises test chips and electrical testers. Their Cimetrix software products empower equipment manufacturers with industry-standard interfaces. PDF Solutions extends its offerings through software-as-a-service, software-related services, and characterization services. The company markets its technologies and services through direct sales, service teams, and strategic partnerships to a diverse clientele, including integrated device manufacturers, fabless semiconductor companies, and electronics manufacturing suppliers. Founded in 1991, PDF Solutions is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.



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