Credicorp Ltd. (NYSE:BAP) Strengthens Momentum While Fundamentals Signal Caution

Credicorp shows near-term technical momentum while core fundamentals reflect recent contraction; valuation sits at fair value by WMDST with mixed forward signals.

Recent News

March 31, 2026: Credicorp held its Annual General Meeting virtually, with documentation published in advance. Late February 2026: the company announced director nominees for the 2026 AGM. February 13, 2026: the company set a shareholder record date for certain corporate actions. Mid-March 2026: a Solactive index adjustment listed Credicorp effective March 16, 2026. The company published its 2026 schedule for quarterly results and conference calls in December 2025 (schedule reiterated into 2026).

Technical Analysis

ADX at 10.89 indicates no established trend; this lack of directional strength reduces conviction that short-term momentum will extend into a strong directional move and tempers the immediate impact of price-based signals on valuation.

Directional indicators diverge: DI+ shows a dip-and-reversal, which signals bullish pressure, while DI- increases, signaling rising downside pressure; this split suggests a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers that could leave price action range-bound until one side decisively wins.

MACD sits at -0.16 with a recent dip-and-reversal and now trades above its signal line (-1.29); the MACD crossing above its signal line constitutes a bullish momentum signal even though the MACD value remains slightly negative, implying momentum improvement rather than dominant bullish strength.

MRO at 2.85 remains positive, indicating price currently sits above the model target and therefore carries mild downward pressure toward mean reversion; the recent dip-and-reversal in MRO reduces the immediacy of that pressure but does not remove it.

RSI at 54.42 with a dip-and-reversal places momentum in neutral-to-mildly bullish territory; RSI neither confirms overbought conditions nor signals a clear breakout, supporting a view of controlled upside rather than runaway strength.

Price sits above the 200-day average ($280.62) and above the 20-day average ($331.43) while trading just below the 50-day average ($342.22); the 12- and 26-day EMAs (≈$334.48 and $334.46) lie beneath the close ($337.44) and show a dip-and-reversal, reinforcing short-term upward bias but with resistance near the 50-day average and the super trend upper band at $346.17.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings: EPS came in at $5.93 versus an estimate of $6.45, a miss of $0.52 and an EPS surprise of -8.06%. Reported earnings growth stands at -8.35% overall; quarter-over-quarter earnings growth shows -9.92% and year-over-year earnings growth reads -68.49%, indicating material recent pressure on profitability that factors into valuation.

Revenue: reported revenue growth stands near 0.59% on the headline metric, with revenue year-over-year at -38.49%. Quarter-over-quarter revenue change shows 0.0%, signaling flat short-term top-line performance while annual comparisons reveal significant contraction.

Valuation multiples: trailing PE equals 52.10, which sits below the industry peer mean of 61.57 and below the industry peer median of 61.87 yet within the industry peer range (low 37.24–high 87.92). Forward PE stands at 33.21, below the industry peer mean for forward PE (≈45.38), implying forward earnings expectations reduce multiple pressure versus the trailing metric. PEG sits at -6.24 versus the industry peer mean of -3.60 (industry peer range low -8.69 to high 16.01), reflecting negative near-term earnings growth dynamics embedded in the ratio.

Cash and capital: invested capital shows $-60,612,382,000 (negative on the ledger), cash-flow-to-earnings conversion equals 0%, and cost of debt sits at 3.95%, indicating funding costs remain modest even as cash conversion shows no cushion to profits.

Forward outlook: forward EPS equals $8.08 and forward PE equals 33.21, implying analysts (or consensus inputs) expect earnings improvement; WMDST currently values the stock as fair-valued, reflecting the balance between elevated trailing multiples, depressed recent growth metrics, and improved forward-earnings expectations.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-11
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-13
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow
 Operating Cash Flow
 Capital Expenditures
 Change In Working Capital
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta
 End Period Cash Flow
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue
 Forward Revenue
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT
 Operating Income
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income
 Income Before Tax
 Tax Provision
 Tax Rate
 Net Income
 Net Income From Continuing Operations
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 6.45
 EPS Actual 5.93
 EPS Difference -0.52
 EPS Surprise -8.062 %
 Forward EPS 8.08
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments
 Cash
 Net Receivables
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt
 Total Debt
 Total Liabilities
EQUITY
 Total Equity
 Retained Earnings
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share
 Shares Outstanding
 Revenue Per-Share
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization
 Enterprise Value
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity
 Asset To Liability
 Debt To Capital
 Debt To Assets
Debt To Assets QoQ
Debt To Assets YoY
Debt To Assets IPRWA
 Debt To Equity
Debt To Equity QoQ
Debt To Equity YoY
Debt To Equity IPRWA
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B)
Price To Book QoQ
Price To Book YoY
Price To Book IPRWA
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 52.097
Price To Earnings QoQ 32.241 %
Price To Earnings YoY 297.183 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 87.915
median: 61.871
mean: 61.572
BAP: 52.097
low: 37.244
 PE/G Ratio -6.242
 Price To Sales (P/S)
Price To Sales QoQ
Price To Sales YoY
Price To Sales IPRWA
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 33.214
Forward PE/G -3.98
Forward P/S
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 83.413
mean: 13.496
low: 10.154
median: 10.154
BAP: 0
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital
 Net Invested Capital
 Invested Capital -60.61 B
 Net Tangible Assets
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 3.948 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate
 Revenue Growth 0.585 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 0.0 %
Revenue Growth YoY -38.486 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 6.191 %
median: 3.449 %
mean: 2.827 %
BAP: 0.585 %
low: -1.639 %
 Earnings Growth -8.346 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -991.667 %
Earnings Growth YoY -68.489 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 12.184 %
BAP: -8.346 %
median: -8.679 %
mean: -16.218 %
low: -45.133 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF)
 Free Cash Flow Yield
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA
 Free Cash Growth
Free Cash Growth QoQ
Free Cash Growth YoY
Free Cash Growth IPRWA
 Free Cash To Net Income
 Cash Flow Margin
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.0
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA)
Return On Assets QoQ
Return On Assets YoY
Return On Assets IPRWA
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE)
Return On Equity QoQ
Return On Equity YoY
Return On Equity IPRWA
 DuPont ROE
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Near term, price tilts toward controlled upside driven by EMA/RSI and a MACD cross — but ADX indicates no strong trend, and the positive MRO warns of mean reversion risk. Expect consolidation between the 20-day/50-day average band and the super trend upper line; momentum breakout above the 50-day average would increase the probability of extending gains, while renewed DI- strength or a declining MACD would reassert downside pressure. Swing traders should favor setups that reference confirmation from MACD and DI+/DI- alignment rather than relying on single-indicator signals.

About Credicorp Ltd.

Credicorp Ltd. (NYSE:BAP) represents a prominent financial services group headquartered in Lima, Peru, with roots tracing back to 1889. The company delivers a comprehensive suite of financial services through its four primary segments: Universal Banking, Insurance and Pensions, Microfinance, and Investment Banking and Equity Management. Within the Universal Banking segment, Credicorp provides a range of services including loans, credit facilities, and deposit accounts for both individual and corporate clients. The Insurance and Pensions division offers extensive insurance coverage, addressing needs in commercial property, transport, life, and health, while also managing private pension funds. The Microfinance segment supports small and microenterprises by providing customized loan solutions and financial management services to foster growth and sustainability. In the Investment Banking and Equity Management sector, Credicorp offers brokerage and investment management services, facilitating capital market transactions and managing mutual funds for a diverse clientele, including corporations and institutional investors. Credicorp’s strategic approach and dedication to service excellence have positioned it as a reliable financial partner, promoting economic growth and financial inclusion both in Peru and internationally.



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