BJ’s Restaurants, Inc (NASDAQ:BJRI) Repositions With Activist Support And Moderate Upside

Shareholder activism and fresh analyst coverage coincide with steady operational metrics, creating a cautiously constructive near-term backdrop for the company.

Recent News

March 6, 2026 — DA Davidson initiated coverage of BJ’s Restaurants with a Neutral note, marking renewed analyst attention. March 2026 — Act III Holdings (Ronald Shaich) updated its Schedule 13D/13D/A filings, reporting an increased beneficial stake and amendments to its cooperation agreement with the company; related SEC filings recorded updates to ownership thresholds and agreement expiration dates. February–March 2026 — an amended Schedule 13G/A reported a ~3% passive stake by another institutional holder.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 24.14 signals an emerging directional move rather than a fully developed trend; that emergent strength aligns with the fair-valued assessment but implies limited conviction until ADX climbs above 25.

DI+ shows an increasing trajectory while DI- displays a peak-and-reversal; both patterns read as a bullish directional shift despite DI- currently exceeding DI+ in absolute terms, suggesting an early-stage improvement in buying pressure that still competes with residual downside momentum.

MACD sits negative at -0.95 but has turned higher and crossed above its -1.19 signal line, producing a bullish momentum signal; the negative absolute value indicates momentum remains below zero, so upside may prove measured until MACD clears zero.

MRO equals 3.49 and is positive, which implies price currently sits above the WMDST target and therefore faces pressure to pull back toward intrinsic levels; the rising MRO trend reduces the immediate magnitude of any correction but flags limited near-term upside.

RSI registers 44.98 with a peak-and-reversal pattern, indicating stalled short-term momentum and a tendency for price to consolidate rather than accelerate higher from current levels.

Price sits at $35.64, above the 20-day average ($35.23) but below the 50-day ($39.03) and 200-day ($37.41) averages; this configuration supports a short-term bias but shows medium-term resistance clustered near the 50- and 200-day averages and the Ichimoku cloud (Senkou A $42.80 / Senkou B $41.24).

Bollinger bands remain relatively narrow (upper ~ $36.35 / lower ~ $34.11 at 1σ), consistent with the expectation for compressed price action and potential for a directional expansion only if momentum indicators confirm strength.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Total revenue reached $355,399,000 while net income equaled $12,643,000 and EBITDA totaled $32,849,000, demonstrating positive operating scale but modest profitability in absolute dollars.

Adjusted EPS came in at $0.66 versus an estimate of $0.62, an EPS surprise of 6.45%; forward EPS sits near $0.675 and forward P/E at 54.73, while reported trailing P/E equals 61.88 — valuations that reflect growth expectations relative to current earnings power.

EBIT ($11,930,000) produces an EBIT margin of 3.36%, which sits below the industry peer mean of 13.48% (industry peer range: low -8.38% to high 34.81%), indicating lower operating profitability versus peers by that metric.

Gross margin equals 16.10% with a YoY improvement of ~4.80% and QoQ expansion of ~28.60%, pointing to recent operational improvement at the restaurant level that helped deliver positive free cash flow of $7,455,000 and a free cash flow yield of 0.86% (WMDST reference).

Liquidity metrics show total cash and short-term investments of $23,781,000 against total current liabilities of $187,775,000; the current ratio equals 0.40 and quick ratio 0.33, both below the industry peer mean current ratio of 0.97, highlighting constrained near-term liquidity relative to peers even as interest coverage (~11.25x) remains healthy.

Leverage remains material: total debt $490,758,000 and debt-to-equity ~1.34 (134.02%), with net debt about $61,219,000; debt-to-EBITDA near 14.94x signals earnings leverage that compresses flexibility despite positive operating cash flow of $18,554,000.

Revenue growth rates show trailing revenue growth of ~7.65% and revenue growth YoY of ~33.61%, while earnings growth prints 15.5% (QoQ and YoY datapoints vary), indicating top-line momentum that outpaced some margin gains but has yet to translate to peer-level operating margins.

Valuation context: WMDST values the stock as fair-valued. Trailing and forward multiples (P/E ~61.9, forward P/E ~54.7) sit above simple earnings yields implied by free cash flow, while the analyst price-target mean near $44.64 implies upside versus the current mid-$30s price; that gap coexists with constrained liquidity and meaningful leverage.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-25
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-27
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 25.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 18.6 M
 Capital Expenditures -11.10 M
 Change In Working Capital -24.63 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -1.65 M
 End Period Cash Flow 23.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 355.4 M
 Forward Revenue 100.2 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 298.2 M
 Depreciation 20.9 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 20.9 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 343.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 57.2 M
 EBITDA 32.8 M
 EBIT 11.9 M
 Operating Income 11.9 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 1.1 M
 Net Interest Income -1.06 M
 Income Before Tax 10.9 M
 Tax Provision -1.77 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income 12.6 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 12.6 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.62
 EPS Actual 0.66
 EPS Difference 0.04
 EPS Surprise 6.452 %
 Forward EPS 0.68
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.0 B
 Intangible Assets 4.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets 361.5 M
 Total Current Assets 74.9 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 23.8 M
 Cash 23.8 M
 Net Receivables 12.3 M
 Inventory 13.1 M
 Long-Term Investments 48.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 38.4 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 187.8 M
 Net Debt 61.2 M
 Total Debt 490.8 M
 Total Liabilities 649.3 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 366.2 M
 Retained Earnings 291.2 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 17.34
 Shares Outstanding 21.114 M
 Revenue Per-Share 16.83
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 862.4 M
 Enterprise Value 1.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple 40.468
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -32.9 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -71.035 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 130.17
median: 91.512
mean: 88.123
BJRI: 40.468
low: 5.064
 EV/R 3.74
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.773
 Asset To Liability 1.564
 Debt To Capital 0.573
 Debt To Assets 0.483
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.379 %
Debt To Assets YoY 0.505 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.609
mean: 0.65
median: 0.62
BJRI: 0.483
low: 0.019
 Debt To Equity 1.34
Debt To Equity QoQ -4.69 %
Debt To Equity YoY -0.945 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 12.912
BJRI: 1.34
mean: -0.774
median: -1.801
low: -8.585
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.355
Price To Book QoQ 19.776 %
Price To Book YoY 8.153 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 26.123
BJRI: 2.355
mean: -2.847
median: -5.751
low: -26.316
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 61.883
Price To Earnings QoQ -92.495 %
Price To Earnings YoY -18.063 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 247.068
mean: 139.507
median: 109.671
BJRI: 61.883
low: -244.749
 PE/G Ratio 0.04
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.426
Price To Sales QoQ 14.391 %
Price To Sales YoY 3.705 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 27.836
mean: 14.569
median: 12.243
BJRI: 2.426
low: 0.273
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 54.733
Forward PE/G 0.035
Forward P/S 8.608
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 834.966
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.349
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.164 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 5.511 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.603
BJRI: 0.349
median: 0.242
mean: 0.234
low: 0.078
 Receivables Turnover 25.038
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 28.891 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 9.116 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 47.268
BJRI: 25.038
mean: 9.625
median: 7.943
low: 0.996
 Inventory Turnover 23.285
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.66 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 2.688 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 56.869
BJRI: 23.285
mean: 15.987
median: 7.445
low: 0.892
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 3.644
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -5.48
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -5.996 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -27.832 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 84.283
median: 16.201
mean: 9.787
BJRI: -5.48
low: -80.186
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -3.149
 CapEx To Revenue -0.031
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.531
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 451.2 M
 Net Invested Capital 451.2 M
 Invested Capital 451.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 361.5 M
 Net Working Capital -112.85 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.127
 Current Ratio 0.399
Current Ratio QoQ 9.447 %
Current Ratio YoY -1.552 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.73
median: 1.047
mean: 0.965
BJRI: 0.399
low: 0.36
 Quick Ratio 0.329
Quick Ratio QoQ 9.733 %
Quick Ratio YoY -3.245 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.688
mean: 0.914
median: 0.863
BJRI: 0.329
low: 0.162
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 14.94
 Cost Of Debt 0.169 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 11.255
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 7135.901 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -277.13 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 16.489
BJRI: 11.255
mean: 4.946
median: 4.277
low: -8.807
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.16
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 13.17
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.645 %
 Revenue Growth 7.645 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -178.863 %
Revenue Growth YoY 33.607 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 27.02 %
BJRI: 7.645 %
median: 1.758 %
mean: -0.878 %
low: -32.161 %
 Earnings Growth 1550.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -1716.672 %
Earnings Growth YoY -435.834 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA BJRI: 1550.0 %
high: 206.034 %
median: -3.106 %
mean: -18.186 %
low: -219.355 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 16.096 %
Gross Margin QoQ 28.603 %
Gross Margin YoY 4.798 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 82.469 %
mean: 33.119 %
median: 23.421 %
BJRI: 16.096 %
low: -4.539 %
 EBIT Margin 3.357 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 5894.643 %
EBIT Margin YoY -223.601 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 34.806 %
mean: 13.483 %
median: 11.624 %
BJRI: 3.357 %
low: -8.383 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 3.345 %
Return On Sales QoQ -2713.281 %
Return On Sales YoY -223.159 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 40.032 %
mean: 14.056 %
median: 11.631 %
BJRI: 3.345 %
low: -7.947 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 7.5 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.864 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 68.093 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -55.828 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 6.594 %
mean: 0.941 %
BJRI: 0.864 %
median: 0.802 %
low: -1.958 %
 Free Cash Growth 106.911 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -216.968 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 0.386 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 149.518 %
BJRI: 106.911 %
median: -31.246 %
mean: -33.003 %
low: -365.169 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.59
 Cash Flow Margin 8.453 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.376
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.241 %
Return On Assets QoQ 2657.778 %
Return On Assets YoY -345.257 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.953 %
mean: 1.925 %
median: 1.607 %
BJRI: 1.241 %
low: -1.777 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.441 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.035
Return On Equity QoQ 2535.878 %
Return On Equity YoY -342.656 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.351
BJRI: 0.035
mean: -0.004
median: -0.035
low: -0.202
 DuPont ROE 3.5 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.089 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 6230.303 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -234.168 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 18.398 %
mean: 6.454 %
median: 5.862 %
BJRI: 2.089 %
low: -5.359 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect range-bound action with a slight bullish tilt pending confirmation: early directional evidence from DI+ expansion and a MACD crossover supports modest upside, but the positive MRO and RSI peak-and-reversal argue for contained advances. Key technical levels to monitor include the lower Bollinger band near $34 and the 200-day average around $37.4 as near-term resistance; a sustained move above the 50-day average (~$39) would materially change the short swing bias. Given leverage and compressed liquidity, price moves may amplify on changes to operating cadence or newsflow rather than on steady-state fundamentals.

About BJ’s Restaurants, Inc.

BJ’s Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI) delivers a distinctive dining experience in the American casual dining sector. Established in 1978 and based in Huntington Beach, California, BJ’s Restaurants have built a reputation for their inviting atmosphere and diverse culinary offerings. The company crafts a menu that includes its signature deep-dish pizzas, a variety of entrees, and their renowned Pizookie dessert. BJ’s places a strong emphasis on quality ingredients and innovative dishes to cater to a wide range of palates. Beyond food, BJ’s Restaurants also brew a selection of handcrafted beers in-house, enhancing the dining experience with unique beverage options. This dedication to craft beer complements their culinary offerings and attracts beer enthusiasts. BJ’s Restaurants consistently expand their presence across the United States, adapting to changing consumer preferences while maintaining a commitment to exceptional service. The company creates family-friendly environments that appeal to a broad audience, including families, friends, and food lovers. Through their focus on quality, innovation, and customer satisfaction, BJ’s Restaurants continue to thrive in the competitive casual dining landscape.



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