Frontdoor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FTDR) Extends Margin Strength; Technical Momentum Suggests Near-Term Pullback

Record margin expansion and strong free cash generation underpin the company’s fundamental strength, while recent directional indicators and moving-average alignment favor near-term consolidation in price. The balance of cash and leverage defines the immediate valuation tension.

Recent News

On April 1, 2026, brokerage coverage aggregated to an average 12‑month price target near $68.60; several firms updated targets after the company’s year‑end disclosures. On January 26, 2026, Truist reiterated a coverage view and published a $71 target for the shares.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show an ADX at 24.68, indicating an emerging trend strength while the negative directional index remains dominant; DI‑ sits at 32.31 and is increasing (bearish), while DI+ registered a recent dip‑and‑reversal at 19.66 (bullish by reversal mechanics). The net effect points to emerging downward pressure despite a transient DI+ recovery, which aligns with heightened caution for near‑term price action.

MACD reads -1.70 with a declining trend and sits below the signal line (-0.65), producing bearish momentum. That negative and falling MACD aligns with the immediate technical bias toward consolidation or pullback unless MACD reverses and crosses above its signal.

MRO stands at 4.9 with a peak‑and‑reversal pattern; the oscillator’s positive value implies the price presently sits above short‑term target estimates and therefore contains a tendency to ease. The MRO magnitude signals only modest potential for mean reversion rather than an extreme imbalance.

RSI at 47.42 and trending down indicates neutral-to-slightly‑bearish momentum rather than oversold conditions; the index offers no immediate bullish divergence to offset other bearish cues.

Price sits below the 12/26/50/200‑day averages and EMAs (price close $54.52 versus 12‑day EMA $56.60, 26‑day EMA $58.69, 50‑day $59.62 and 200‑day $59.69), reinforcing short‑term downside pressure. Ichimoku baselines (Tenkan/Kijun near $57–61) lie above the current price, and the super trend upper level at $58.23 acts as a proximate resistance reference for any recovery attempt. Bollinger band spacing reflects moderate volatility around the mid‑$50s band.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings and margins: EPS came in at $0.23 versus an estimate of $0.13, a beat of $0.10 representing a 76.92% surprise. Operating income sits at $20,000,000 with EBIT of $22,000,000 and an EBIT margin of 5.08%, which measures above the industry peer mean but below the industry peer median. QoQ change in EBIT margin equals -80.65%, while YoY EBIT margin improved by 14.46%—a sharp sequential swing that reflects recent cost and mix effects rather than a steady trend.

Profitability and cash flow: Gross margin registers 49.19% and operating margin 4.62%; net income totaled $2,000,000. Free cash flow reached $95,000,000 with a free cash flow yield of 2.32% and operating cash flow of $101,000,000, demonstrating meaningful cash conversion relative to reported earnings. Cash and short‑term investments stand at $566,000,000, providing substantial liquidity versus $1,191,000,000 total debt and net debt of $607,000,000.

Leverage and returns: Debt to EBITDA sits near 26.5x and debt to equity near 4.92x, while asset‑to‑equity at 8.85 signals material financial leverage. Return on equity equals approximately 0.83% and return on assets about 0.09%, both low on an absolute basis and reflecting heavy leverage with modest earnings. Interest coverage near 1.1x constrains margin for higher rates or operating stress.

Growth and efficiency: Reported total revenue reached $433,000,000 with YoY revenue growth near 2.11% while trailing revenue growth measures negative on the latest quarterly cadence. Asset turnover sits at 0.198, above the industry peer mean, which supports revenue generation from invested assets even as QoQ activity slowed.

Valuation view: Price multiples show a trailing P/E of roughly 250.6x and a forward P/E near 46.4x, while price‑to‑sales stands about 9.45x. The current WMDST valuation assessment classifies the equity as over‑valued given stretched trailing multiples, elevated leverage metrics, and modest reported returns despite strong cash generation.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-26
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-28
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 563.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 101.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -6.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 70.0 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 3.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 566.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 433.0 M
 Forward Revenue 4.8 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 220.0 M
 Depreciation 23.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 23.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 413.0 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 213.0 M
 EBITDA 45.0 M
 EBIT 22.0 M
 Operating Income 20.0 M
 Interest Income 6.0 M
 Interest Expense 20.0 M
 Net Interest Income -14.00 M
 Income Before Tax 2.0 M
 Tax Provision 1.0 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income 2.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 2.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.13
 EPS Actual 0.23
 EPS Difference 0.10
 EPS Surprise 76.923 %
 Forward EPS 1.24
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.1 B
 Intangible Assets 1.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.12 B
 Total Current Assets 624.0 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 566.0 M
 Cash 566.0 M
 Net Receivables 10.0 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 17.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 89.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 29.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 402.0 M
 Net Debt 607.0 M
 Total Debt 1.2 B
 Total Liabilities 1.9 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 242.0 M
 Retained Earnings 785.0 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 3.41
 Shares Outstanding 70.958 M
 Revenue Per-Share 6.10
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 4.1 B
 Enterprise Value 4.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple 104.774
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 263.874 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -24.601 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA FTDR: 104.774
high: 99.527
median: 44.301
mean: 39.06
low: -30.533
 EV/R 10.889
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 8.851
 Asset To Liability 1.127
 Debt To Capital 0.831
 Debt To Assets 0.556
Debt To Assets QoQ 3.361 %
Debt To Assets YoY 3940.843 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.002
FTDR: 0.556
mean: 0.499
median: 0.411
low: 0.28
 Debt To Equity 4.921
Debt To Equity QoQ 29.816 %
Debt To Equity YoY 3955.95 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA FTDR: 4.921
high: 3.184
median: 2.169
mean: 1.079
low: -3.566
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 16.9
Price To Book QoQ 14.526 %
Price To Book YoY -6.02 %
Price To Book IPRWA FTDR: 16.9
high: 6.864
median: 4.022
mean: 2.78
low: -6.72
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 250.596
Price To Earnings QoQ 515.028 %
Price To Earnings YoY 18.567 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA FTDR: 250.596
high: 84.205
median: 70.619
mean: 50.602
low: -23.715
 PE/G Ratio -2.933
 Price To Sales (P/S) 9.445
Price To Sales QoQ 24.977 %
Price To Sales YoY -15.829 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 27.813
mean: 13.638
median: 10.117
FTDR: 9.445
low: 6.481
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 46.372
Forward PE/G -0.543
Forward P/S 0.859
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 2.898
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.198
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -29.342 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -13.99 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA FTDR: 0.198
high: 0.189
mean: 0.094
median: 0.072
low: 0.06
 Receivables Turnover 43.3
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -29.822 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -9.556 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA FTDR: 43.3
high: 11.449
median: 11.449
mean: 8.39
low: 2.714
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 2.107
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -31.247
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -11.307 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 113.64
mean: 8.851
median: 2.72
FTDR: -31.247
low: -80.186
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.95
 CapEx To Revenue -0.014
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.261
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.4 B
 Invested Capital 1.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.12 B
 Net Working Capital 222.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.408
 Current Ratio 1.552
Current Ratio QoQ -10.439 %
Current Ratio YoY 17.373 %
Current Ratio IPRWA FTDR: 1.552
high: 1.285
mean: 0.735
median: 0.552
low: 0.522
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 26.467
 Cost Of Debt 1.323 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 1.1
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -86.42 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -28.823 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 4.294
median: 3.909
FTDR: 1.1
mean: 0.075
low: -12.655
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.025
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 33.355
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -3.817 %
 Revenue Growth -29.822 %
Revenue Growth QoQ
Revenue Growth YoY 2.113 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 5.05 %
median: 2.667 %
mean: -0.022 %
low: -8.609 %
FTDR: -29.822 %
 Earnings Growth -85.443 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 2685.882 %
Earnings Growth YoY 6.226 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 53.333 %
median: 31.034 %
mean: 22.555 %
low: -26.752 %
FTDR: -85.443 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 49.192 %
Gross Margin QoQ -14.018 %
Gross Margin YoY 1.84 %
Gross Margin IPRWA FTDR: 49.192 %
high: 34.751 %
median: 28.04 %
mean: 2.227 %
low: -70.93 %
 EBIT Margin 5.081 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -80.648 %
EBIT Margin YoY 14.463 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 24.777 %
median: 23.255 %
FTDR: 5.081 %
mean: -21.664 %
low: -148.767 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 4.619 %
Return On Sales QoQ -81.848 %
Return On Sales YoY 4.055 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 25.012 %
median: 22.915 %
FTDR: 4.619 %
mean: -21.928 %
low: -150.292 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 95.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.323 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 86.736 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 99.742 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA FTDR: 2.323 %
high: 2.129 %
median: 1.175 %
mean: -1.747 %
low: -11.743 %
 Free Cash Growth 63.793 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -223.47 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -69.98 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 75.527 %
FTDR: 63.793 %
median: -0.253 %
mean: -72.383 %
low: -370.141 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 47.5
 Cash Flow Margin 2.309 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 5.0
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.092 %
Return On Assets QoQ -98.091 %
Return On Assets YoY -83.026 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 0.913 %
median: 0.861 %
FTDR: 0.092 %
mean: -1.529 %
low: -8.725 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.264 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.008
Return On Equity QoQ -97.538 %
Return On Equity YoY -78.067 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.294
mean: 0.124
median: 0.097
low: 0.016
FTDR: 0.008
 DuPont ROE 0.717 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.228 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -84.717 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -137.212 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 3.055 %
median: 2.202 %
FTDR: 1.228 %
mean: -1.491 %
low: -13.885 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near‑term bias favors consolidation with downside risk: technical momentum remains bearish (negative MACD, rising DI‑, price below major moving averages) and MRO suggests only modest mean‑reversion potential. Fundamental drivers to monitor include cash‑flow trends, any shifts in leverage or interest coverage, and the cadence of non‑warranty revenue expansion—each could change both valuation and technical behavior. A sustained DI+ recovery or a rising MACD crossing above its signal would signal a meaningful shift in short‑term bias; absent that, expect range‑bound trading with episodic pullbacks while liquidity and analyst commentary influence investor positioning.

About Frontdoor, Inc.

Frontdoor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FTDR) delivers comprehensive home service plans across the United States, safeguarding homeowners from unexpected repair costs. Established in 1971, Frontdoor crafts customizable home warranties that encompass a broad spectrum of essential home systems and appliances, such as electrical, plumbing, HVAC, and major kitchen devices. These service plans provide repair and replacement solutions for over 20 critical home components, ensuring peace of mind for homeowners. In addition to traditional warranties, Frontdoor enhances the homeowner experience with innovative services, including an intuitive app that simplifies home repair and maintenance tasks. Their advanced Streem technology enables homeowners to engage with experts via video chat, facilitating real-time problem-solving and diagnostics. Frontdoor operates under well-known brands like American Home Shield, HSA, OneGuard, Landmark Home Warranty, and Streem. The company remains committed to delivering exceptional service and support, empowering homeowners to maintain and protect their most valuable asset—their home. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, Frontdoor continually evolves its offerings, adapting to the needs of homeowners nationwide.



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