Delta Air Lines, Inc (NYSE:DAL) Extends Momentum Ahead Of Near‑Term Consolidation

Delta enters the near term with operational momentum and solid cash generation, while leverage and seasonal revenue swings set the stage for a likely consolidation phase.

Recent News

Jan. 6, 2026 — Delta announced restored Caribbean capacity after FAA airspace restrictions lifted. Feb. 13, 2026 — Delta will distribute roughly $1.3 billion in profit sharing to employees on Profit Sharing Day. Feb. 26, 2026 — Company unveiled plans to add 31 Airbus widebodies to its long‑term fleet plan, with deliveries focused from 2029. Mar. 9, 2026 — Delta opened an expanded 13,000‑ft. lounge at Denver International Airport. Mar. 24, 2026 — Delta suspended a VIP perk for members of Congress amid a federal shutdown dispute.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show an emerging trend: ADX sits at 23.91, indicating an emerging trend environment while DI+ increases and DI- decreases, which favors directional strength to the upside relative to recent price action.

MACD reads -0.59 and trends higher with the MACD above its signal line (-1.37), which signals a bullish momentum crossover that supports further near‑term upside pressure.

MRO registers +9.19 and is rising; that positive value indicates price currently trades above the WMDST target and therefore introduces mean‑reversion pressure that increases the probability of a pullback from current levels.

RSI stands at 50.22 and is increasing, implying neutral momentum that has room to run but lacks overbought conviction—this aligns with a consolidation-biased immediate outlook.

Price sits above short‑ and long‑term averages: close $67.99 exceeds the 12‑ and 26‑day EMAs ($64.38 / $64.77), the 20‑day average $62.32 and the 200‑day average $61.05, signaling price leadership versus longer averages while the 50‑day average $66.93 lies just below the close.

Volatility and structure: price trades near the upper Bollinger band (upper 1× at $66.03, upper 2× at $69.74), above the Ichimoku Tenkan/Kijun levels but beneath Senkou A ($70.43), a configuration that permits continuation but raises the chance of short retracements; 42‑day beta 2.16 underscores above‑average short‑term volatility.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT = $1.671B and EBIT margin 10.44%, roughly in line with the industry peer median (≈10.37%) but below the industry peer mean (≈13.22%). EBIT margin contracted QoQ by 10.63% but expanded YoY by 17.56%, reflecting seasonality and margin recovery versus the prior year.

Top line and earnings: Total revenue $16.003B, revenue growth YoY +4.34% but revenue fell QoQ by 27.79%, consistent with quarter seasonality. Reported EPS $1.55 matched the estimate (EPS surprise ~0.27%), signaling an essentially neutral beat versus consensus.

Cash flow and capital deployment: Operating cash flow $2.260B and free cash flow $1.353B yield 3.16%. Free cash flow growth shows recent strength QoQ, and cash on hand totals $4.31B. Delta also plans meaningful capex (~$5.5B guidance reported elsewhere) and will distribute sizable profit sharing to employees.

Leverage and liquidity: Total debt $20.27B with net debt ~$9.80B and debt/EBITDA ~12.13x, a material leverage gauge that contrasts with an interest coverage ratio near 10.58x. Current ratio ~0.40 and quick ratio ~0.34 reflect compressed near‑term liquidity; net working capital remains negative (≈-$16.66B), emphasizing working capital intensity in the business.

Efficiency and returns: Asset turnover ~0.1989 sits essentially at the industry peer median (~0.1982). Return on equity ~5.85% and ROA ~1.52% show modest returns on capital given asset scale; return metrics contracted QoQ but improved YoY in several measures.

Valuation: PE ~42.25 with forward PE ~30.59 and enterprise multiple ~35.15. Mean price target reported in the data is $78.55 versus the recent close $67.99. WMDST values the stock as under‑valued based on the current blend of cash generation, fleet investment plans, and the present multiple.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-01-13
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-04-14
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 4.0 B
 Operating Cash Flow 2.3 B
 Capital Expenditures -907.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 1.0 B
 Dividends Paid -122.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta 530.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 4.5 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 16.0 B
 Forward Revenue 4.4 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 12.2 B
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 14.5 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 3.8 B
 EBITDA 1.7 B
 EBIT 1.7 B
 Operating Income 1.5 B
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 158.0 M
 Net Interest Income -158.00 M
 Income Before Tax 1.5 B
 Tax Provision 294.0 M
 Tax Rate 19.432 %
 Net Income 1.2 B
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 1.2 B
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.55
 EPS Actual 1.55
 EPS Difference 0.00
 EPS Surprise 0.27 %
 Forward EPS 2.05
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 81.3 B
 Intangible Assets 15.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 5.1 B
 Total Current Assets 11.0 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 4.3 B
 Cash 4.3 B
 Net Receivables 2.9 B
 Inventory 1.6 B
 Long-Term Investments 4.4 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 5.2 B
 Short-Term Debt 1.6 B
 Total Current Liabilities 27.6 B
 Net Debt 9.8 B
 Total Debt 20.3 B
 Total Liabilities 60.5 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 20.9 B
 Retained Earnings 13.3 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 31.93
 Shares Outstanding 653.171 M
 Revenue Per-Share 24.50
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 42.8 B
 Enterprise Value 58.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple 35.151
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 25.971 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 90.83 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 163.385
median: 106.628
mean: 97.0
DAL: 35.151
low: -7.826
 EV/R 3.67
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.9
 Asset To Liability 1.345
 Debt To Capital 0.493
 Debt To Assets 0.249
Debt To Assets QoQ -5.371 %
Debt To Assets YoY 763.895 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.789
median: 0.406
mean: 0.386
DAL: 0.249
low: 0.091
 Debt To Equity 0.972
Debt To Equity QoQ -12.769 %
Debt To Equity YoY 583.61 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 10.323
median: 2.031
mean: 1.932
DAL: 0.972
low: -9.896
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.051
Price To Book QoQ 3.867 %
Price To Book YoY 19.044 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 8.27
mean: 4.316
median: 2.262
DAL: 2.051
low: -3.044
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 42.248
Price To Earnings QoQ 26.913 %
Price To Earnings YoY 91.754 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 260.531
median: 222.603
mean: 148.998
DAL: 42.248
low: -9.844
 PE/G Ratio -4.515
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.673
Price To Sales QoQ 19.893 %
Price To Sales YoY 57.82 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 10.116
mean: 4.897
DAL: 2.673
median: 2.295
low: 0.685
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 30.589
Forward PE/G -3.269
Forward P/S 9.578
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 3.539
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.199
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.762 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -3.662 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.226
DAL: 0.199
median: 0.198
mean: 0.162
low: 0.025
 Receivables Turnover 4.953
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 9.424 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 7.82 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 11.484
median: 6.383
mean: 5.141
DAL: 4.953
low: 1.674
 Inventory Turnover 7.774
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.313 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 1.243 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 16.502
DAL: 7.774
median: 6.927
mean: 6.193
low: 0.26
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 18.423
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -7.3
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -1.557 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 44.12 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 410.541
mean: 20.641
DAL: -7.3
median: -11.772
low: -56.989
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -0.961
 CapEx To Revenue -0.057
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 33.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 35.0 B
 Invested Capital 35.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets 5.1 B
 Net Working Capital -16.66 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.156
 Current Ratio 0.397
Current Ratio QoQ -0.123 %
Current Ratio YoY 7.572 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 5.669
mean: 1.711
median: 0.666
DAL: 0.397
low: 0.231
 Quick Ratio 0.339
Quick Ratio QoQ -1.114 %
Quick Ratio YoY 7.457 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 3.382
mean: 1.246
median: 0.665
DAL: 0.339
low: 0.262
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 12.133
 Cost Of Debt 0.645 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 10.576
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -7.162 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 37.747 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 13.403
DAL: 10.576
mean: 7.48
median: 5.889
low: -0.459
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.077
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 37.108
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 9.992
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.1
 Dividend Rate 0.19
 Dividend Yield 0.003
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.128 %
 Revenue Growth -4.018 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -2778.667 %
Revenue Growth YoY 433.599 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 27.737 %
median: 1.123 %
mean: 1.104 %
DAL: -4.018 %
low: -9.338 %
 Earnings Growth -9.357 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -49.615 %
Earnings Growth YoY -140.102 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 74.0 %
DAL: -9.357 %
median: -20.523 %
mean: -47.074 %
low: -236.364 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 23.633 %
Gross Margin QoQ -11.751 %
Gross Margin YoY -17.257 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 67.725 %
median: 29.274 %
DAL: 23.633 %
mean: 22.811 %
low: -5.724 %
 EBIT Margin 10.442 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -10.63 %
EBIT Margin YoY 17.564 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 29.467 %
mean: 13.218 %
DAL: 10.442 %
median: 10.366 %
low: -2.986 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 9.167 %
Return On Sales QoQ -9.238 %
Return On Sales YoY 3.209 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 29.155 %
mean: 12.66 %
DAL: 9.167 %
median: 8.937 %
low: -22.951 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1.4 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield 3.163 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 70.881 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 42.735 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 6.004 %
DAL: 3.163 %
median: -1.453 %
mean: -3.393 %
low: -31.405 %
 Free Cash Growth 96.657 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 1465.803 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -108.181 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 350.956 %
median: 133.903 %
mean: 100.93 %
DAL: 96.657 %
low: -277.714 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.11
 Cash Flow Margin 13.291 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.745
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.515 %
Return On Assets QoQ -15.505 %
Return On Assets YoY 35.51 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 2.684 %
DAL: 1.515 %
mean: 0.934 %
median: 0.804 %
low: -2.974 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.112 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.058
Return On Equity QoQ -22.343 %
Return On Equity YoY 6.06 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.346
mean: 0.07
DAL: 0.058
median: 0.033
low: -0.083
 DuPont ROE 6.145 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.85 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -18.224 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -103.551 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 4.443 %
DAL: 3.85 %
mean: 1.96 %
median: 0.892 %
low: -0.524 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum signals and the MACD crossover support the possibility of additional near‑term upside attempts, but positive MRO and proximity to the upper Bollinger band increase the chance of a short corrective leg or sideways consolidation as investors digest leverage and seasonal revenue dynamics.

Given price trading above multiple moving averages and inside the upper portion of the Ichimoku profile, expect volatility‑driven intraday swings with a bias toward consolidation punctuated by short rallies that may stall as cash‑flow and leverage metrics remain the primary fundamental constraints.

Volume above recent averages and elevated 42‑day beta point to outsized short‑term moves; six‑week price action will likely reflect a tug of war between bullish momentum indicators and mean‑reversion pressure tied to the MRO and upper‑band proximity.

About Delta Air Lines, Inc.

Delta Air Lines, Inc. (NYSE:DAL) delivers comprehensive air transportation services for passengers and cargo across the globe. Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, Delta manages a vast network that connects major domestic and international destinations. The airline operates through its two main segments: Airline and Refinery, ensuring efficient travel and operational excellence. Domestically, Delta’s operations revolve around key hubs such as Atlanta, Minneapolis-St. Paul, Detroit, and Salt Lake City, with significant coastal operations in Boston, Los Angeles, New York-LaGuardia, New York-JFK, and Seattle. Internationally, Delta maintains strong hubs in cities like Amsterdam, London-Heathrow, Paris-Charles de Gaulle, and Tokyo, among others. Delta’s fleet, comprising approximately 1,273 aircraft, emphasizes safety, comfort, and sustainability. The company utilizes advanced technology via delta.com and the Fly Delta app to streamline customer interactions, offering seamless ticketing and reservations. Beyond transportation, Delta provides aircraft maintenance and engineering services and offers curated vacation packages, catering to a wide array of travel needs. Delta Air Lines remains committed to enhancing the air travel experience through innovation and a focus on customer satisfaction.



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