Onto Innovation Inc. (NYSE:ONTO) Signals Momentum Build While Margins Contract

Order momentum and cash strength support near-term revenue upside even as operating profitability contracted sharply; the juxtaposition creates a cautious, asymmetric outlook.

Recent News

On December 22, 2025 Onto received a production-support honor from a major foundry; on January 6, 2026 the company announced management would present at the Needham Growth Conference; on February 19, 2026 the company released fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results and hosted an earnings call; on February 25, 2026 Onto confirmed participation in additional investor events; and on March 8, 2026 a new institutional investor disclosed a $7.79M stake in the company.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators present a bullish bias: DI+ shows a dip-and-reversal while DI- shows a peak-and-reversal, both consistent with buyers re-emerging; ADX at 18.69 remains below 20, signaling no strong trend currently and suggesting any move requires confirmation.

MACD sits negative at -1.70 but displays a dip-and-reversal pattern; the MACD line remains below its signal line (-1.30), indicating momentum improving yet lacking a confirming bullish crossover—momentum appears constructive but unconfirmed for a sustained rally.

MRO stands at -18.34 with a recent dip-and-reversal; the negative MRO implies the market price trades below the model target, which aligns with upside potential toward the valuation level assigned by WMDST.

RSI reads 54.49 with a dip-and-reversal, signaling mild bullish momentum without overbought conditions and room for further advance before momentum exhaustion.

Price behavior versus averages shows consolidation with positive lean: last close $200.17 trades above the 20-day average $196.30 and well above the 200-day average $143.66, but below the 50-day average $206.37; the 12-day EMA at $199.62 shows a dip-and-reversal, indicating short-term momentum turning higher while medium-term trend remains mixed.

Volatility and breadth support tactical moves: 42‑day and 52‑week volatility register near 4%, 42‑day beta 2.58 and 52‑week beta 2.35 indicate elevated sensitivity to market swings, and recent volume (1,101,455) sits above the 10‑day average (254,143) but near the 200‑day average, signalling episodic interest rather than steady accumulation.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue and growth: total revenue $266,866,000 with revenue growth reported at 22.31%; the provided year‑over‑year growth figure converts to 379.72% on the reported YoY metric. Quarter‑over‑quarter revenue growth shows a sharp contraction of -259.78% QoQ per the supplied QoQ figure.

Profitability: operating (EBIT) margin equals 7.82%, down -38.57% QoQ and down -51.41% YoY, reflecting compressed operating leverage over the period. That 7.82% margin sits well below the industry peer mean of 35.07% and the industry peer median of 35.31%.

Earnings: reported EPS $1.26 matched the estimate $1.26 with an EPS surprise ratio of -0.23%, indicating results in line with expectations. Reported net income $10,529,000 and non‑GAAP reconciliations accompanied the fourth‑quarter release.

Valuation multiples: trailing P/E reads 145.69 while forward P/E sits at 69.64; price/book stands at 4.34 (below the industry peer mean book multiple of 18.36 and below the industry peer median). PEG ratio at 3.94 signals elevated price-for-growth relative to the industry peer mean PEG of 0.81; forward metrics point to lower multiple compression versus trailing figures.

Cash, leverage, and cash generation: cash and short‑term investments total $639,622,000, free cash flow $89,867,000 and free cash flow yield 0.99% with a YoY expansion in free-cash-flow-yield reported at +79.42%; total debt only $17,475,000 and debt-to-assets 0.74% indicate a conservatively leveraged balance sheet that supports capital flexibility.

Operational efficiency and working capital: cash conversion cycle 258.86 days with days inventory outstanding 236.52 and days sales outstanding 90.46, signaling elongated working capital ties; current ratio 5.79 and quick ratio 4.43 reflect strong near‑term liquidity despite a QoQ decline in current ratio of -38.95%.

Valuation summary: WMDST values the stock as under‑valued. The fundamentals show durable revenue scale, strong cash holdings and low leverage, while margins contracted materially; forward multiples compress relative to trailing P/E but remain elevated versus cash yields, supporting the WMDST under‑valued determination when balancing growth expectations against near‑term margin pressure.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-19
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-21
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 603.1 M
 Operating Cash Flow 95.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -5.13 M
 Change In Working Capital 20.1 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -256.97 M
 End Period Cash Flow 346.1 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 266.9 M
 Forward Revenue 644.3 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 143.1 M
 Depreciation 5.9 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 19.9 M
 Research and Development 36.2 M
 Total Operating Expenses 246.0 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 123.8 M
 EBITDA 40.8 M
 EBIT 20.9 M
 Operating Income 20.9 M
 Interest Income 7.8 M
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 7.8 M
 Income Before Tax 19.5 M
 Tax Provision 9.0 M
 Tax Rate 40.0 %
 Net Income 10.5 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 10.5 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.26
 EPS Actual 1.26
 EPS Difference 0.00
 EPS Surprise -0.23 %
 Forward EPS 2.05
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.4 B
 Intangible Assets 942.1 M
 Net Tangible Assets 1.2 B
 Total Current Assets 1.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 639.6 M
 Cash 346.1 M
 Net Receivables 268.9 M
 Inventory 298.3 M
 Long-Term Investments 10.3 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 107.7 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 218.9 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 17.5 M
 Total Liabilities 267.1 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.1 B
 Retained Earnings 743.8 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 42.26
 Shares Outstanding 49.702 M
 Revenue Per-Share 5.37
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 9.1 B
 Enterprise Value 8.5 B
 Enterprise Multiple 208.423
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 67.748 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 33.595 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 244.045
ONTO: 208.423
median: 114.544
mean: 106.547
low: -216.655
 EV/R 31.857
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.127
 Asset To Liability 8.865
 Debt To Capital 0.008
 Debt To Assets 0.007
Debt To Assets QoQ 14.774 %
Debt To Assets YoY 3.073 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.455
median: 0.194
mean: 0.166
ONTO: 0.007
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 0.008
Debt To Equity QoQ 18.35 %
Debt To Equity YoY 5.718 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 0.96
mean: 0.267
median: 0.138
ONTO: 0.008
low: -0.408
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 4.343
Price To Book QoQ 42.974 %
Price To Book YoY -10.611 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 22.471
median: 22.16
mean: 18.359
ONTO: 4.343
low: 1.081
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 145.689
Price To Earnings QoQ 7.847 %
Price To Earnings YoY 15.755 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 422.129
ONTO: 145.689
median: 144.216
mean: 139.455
low: -305.594
 PE/G Ratio 3.942
 Price To Sales (P/S) 34.188
Price To Sales QoQ 22.653 %
Price To Sales YoY -3.568 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 71.828
median: 45.349
mean: 41.125
ONTO: 34.188
low: 3.414
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 69.636
Forward PE/G 1.884
Forward P/S 14.161
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -1.114
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.117
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 16.202 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -6.97 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.471
mean: 0.207
median: 0.203
ONTO: 0.117
low: 0.002
 Receivables Turnover 1.009
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 26.097 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 7.363 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.317
mean: 1.794
median: 1.515
ONTO: 1.009
low: 0.498
 Inventory Turnover 0.513
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 26.317 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 16.121 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.239
mean: 0.518
ONTO: 0.513
median: 0.401
low: 0.174
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 90.463
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 258.858
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -2.812 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -10.904 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 596.302
median: 270.338
ONTO: 258.858
mean: 251.482
low: -64.288
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.254
 CapEx To Revenue -0.019
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.876
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.1 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.1 B
 Invested Capital 2.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.2 B
 Net Working Capital 1.0 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.921
 Current Ratio 5.792
Current Ratio QoQ -38.945 %
Current Ratio YoY -33.329 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 10.619
ONTO: 5.792
median: 2.256
mean: 2.13
low: 1.126
 Quick Ratio 4.429
Quick Ratio QoQ -43.885 %
Quick Ratio YoY -36.72 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 7.834
ONTO: 4.429
median: 1.606
mean: 1.49
low: 0.791
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 0.428
 Cost Of Debt 12.049 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 6.587
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -24.858 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -50.87 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 99.429
mean: 34.751
median: 32.93
ONTO: 6.587
low: -143.241
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.172
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 68.122
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 8.284 %
 Revenue Growth 22.307 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -259.781 %
Revenue Growth YoY 379.72 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 40.838 %
ONTO: 22.307 %
mean: 12.699 %
median: 2.725 %
low: -9.892 %
 Earnings Growth 36.957 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -239.989 %
Earnings Growth YoY 191.298 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 266.667 %
ONTO: 36.957 %
mean: 17.211 %
median: 0.794 %
low: -85.714 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 46.387 %
Gross Margin QoQ -8.507 %
Gross Margin YoY -7.533 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 90.758 %
mean: 52.504 %
median: 52.156 %
ONTO: 46.387 %
low: 9.383 %
 EBIT Margin 7.817 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -38.565 %
EBIT Margin YoY -51.408 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 42.46 %
median: 35.306 %
mean: 35.066 %
ONTO: 7.817 %
low: -49.18 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 7.817 %
Return On Sales QoQ -38.565 %
Return On Sales YoY -51.408 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 69.122 %
median: 35.306 %
mean: 34.42 %
ONTO: 7.817 %
low: -49.18 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 89.9 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.985 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -26.983 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 79.417 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 2.925 %
mean: 1.468 %
median: 1.229 %
ONTO: 0.985 %
low: -3.047 %
 Free Cash Growth 9.571 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -88.829 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -172.409 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 500.136 %
ONTO: 9.571 %
median: -0.341 %
mean: -9.135 %
low: -360.935 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 8.535
 Cash Flow Margin 14.085 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 3.57
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.462 %
Return On Assets QoQ -64.598 %
Return On Assets YoY -80.172 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 7.364 %
mean: 6.085 %
median: 5.937 %
ONTO: 0.462 %
low: -7.635 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.971 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.005
Return On Equity QoQ -64.468 %
Return On Equity YoY -80.237 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.21
median: 0.145
mean: 0.142
ONTO: 0.005
low: -0.029
 DuPont ROE 0.513 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.596 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -51.148 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -112.342 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.139 %
median: 10.618 %
mean: 9.118 %
ONTO: 0.596 %
low: -2.702 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect consolidation with an upside bias: short‑term momentum indicators point toward renewed buying pressure but ADX below 20 warns against a sustained trend until momentum confirms. Technical configuration suggests price may retest the 50‑day average near $206 if momentum crossover occurs; alternatively, the 20‑day average around $196 offers nearby support. Elevated beta and episodic volume imply rapid moves on catalyst news, while the strong cash position and low leverage reduce downside risk from liquidity shocks.

About Onto Innovation Inc.

Onto Innovation Inc. (NYSE:ONTO) designs, develops, and manufactures advanced process control tools essential for the semiconductor industry. The company provides optical metrology solutions, lithography systems, and process control analytical software that enable precise measurement and inspection. Onto Innovation’s offerings include standalone systems for optical metrology, macro-defect inspection, and packaging lithography, as well as tools for measuring transparent and opaque thin films. In addition to hardware, Onto Innovation delivers a comprehensive process control software portfolio. This includes solutions tailored for individual tools, tool groups, and extensive enterprise or factory-wide applications. The company also supports its products with systems software, spare parts, and other services, alongside software licensing options. Onto Innovation serves a diverse range of sectors, including semiconductor and advanced packaging device manufacturers, silicon wafer production, LED, and vertical-cavity surface-emitting laser industries. Its technology also finds applications in micro-electromechanical systems, CMOS image sensors, power devices, analog devices, RF filters, data storage, and various industrial and scientific fields. Headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts, Onto Innovation continues to play a critical role in advancing technology across multiple industries.



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