Impinj, Inc. (NASDAQ:PI) Signals Technical Rebound Despite Overvalued Fundamentals

Momentum indicators and short-term oscillators point to a potential price bounce even as valuation metrics remain stretched and profitability stays negative. Near-term movement will likely hinge on momentum confirmation versus entrenched valuation multiples.

Recent News

Jan 11, 2026 — Impinj announced a licensing agreement to integrate its Gen2X technology with EM Microelectronic endpoint ICs. Feb 25, 2026 — Avery Dennison launched AD IdentiFresh™, citing RAIN RFID-enabled solutions in food retail that reference partner technologies. Impinj promoted presence at major retail events in January, including participation at the Needham conference and NRF 2026 engagements.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators (ADX/DI+/DI-): ADX at 31.42 signals a strong directional regime. DI+ shows a dip & reversal and DI- a peak & reversal; both labeled reversals imply bullish directional setup per indicator rules, indicating renewed upside momentum in the short run despite DI- current value exceeding DI+.

MACD: MACD reads -$11.98 with a dip & reversal trend, which indicates improving momentum; MACD remains slightly below the signal line (-$11.55), so bullish momentum appears nascent but not yet confirmed by a cross above the signal line.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at -14.98 places price below the model target and therefore shows potential to rise toward target levels; the MRO trend shows a peak & reversal, indicating recent weakening in this metric even as upside potential persists.

RSI and short-term momentum: RSI at 40.48 with a dip & reversal indicates room for a bounce off oversold-to-neutral territory; combined with the MACD and MRO signals, the oscillator set favors an initial recovery attempt.

Price vs moving averages and bands: Close at $98.50 sits below the 20-day average ($106.23), 50-day average ($140.27), and 200-day average ($154.75); the 12-day EMA is decreasing. Bollinger 1‑σ lower band rests at $91.52 and 1‑σ upper at $120.93, placing current price nearer the lower band and within reach of a mean-reversion move toward the 20-day average if momentum confirms.

Volume and volatility: Daily volume (~467,971) runs below recent averages (10‑day average ~862,494), suggesting the most recent move lacks broad participation; 42‑day volatility at 6% versus 52‑week volatility at 5% and a 42‑day beta of 0.62 imply subdued short-term volatility even though longer-term beta (2.18) shows historically higher sensitivity.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: Total revenue $92.85M. Gross margin at 51.76% remains strong. Operating margin stands at -2.91% and EBIT margin at -0.25%, both negative. EBIT margin compares unfavorably with the industry peer mean of 19.50% and median of 21.23%, and sits well above the industry low of -28.58%; the company therefore sits below the industry peer mean/median on operating profitability.

Growth: YoY revenue declined by 12.43%, while sequential revenue improved sharply QoQ by 77.65%, reflecting seasonal or inventory-clearing dynamics. Earnings growth shows a YoY decline of 3.45% and a QoQ contraction of 49.84% on the earnings metric provided.

Liquidity and capital structure: Cash and short-term investments total $175.34M, current ratio 2.68, quick ratio 2.01 and cash ratio 1.39—liquidity metrics indicate a comfortable near-term coverage profile. Total debt $304.20M with net debt $232.68M produces a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.45x; interest coverage is negative at -0.30x, reflecting operating losses versus interest expense. Net working capital and cash balances provide runway but leverage remains material.

Cash flow and returns: Free cash flow $13.62M and free cash flow yield ~0.27%; free cash growth shows contraction YoY. Return on equity -0.54% and return on assets -0.22% remain negative, underscoring continued loss-generation at the margin despite positive gross profitability.

Valuation: Trailing P/E ~338.4x, P/S ~55.08x, P/B ~24.44x, and an enterprise multiple of ~1,406x reflect highly elevated market multiples relative to fundamentals. Forward P/E ~245.4x and forward metrics remain stretched. The current valuation as determined by WMDST classifies the stock as over‑valued given the combination of negative operating margins, elevated leverage, and high multiples relative to cash flow generation and profitability measures.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-07
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 51.7 M
 Operating Cash Flow -1.66 M
 Capital Expenditures -1.52 M
 Change In Working Capital -2.79 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -3.52 M
 End Period Cash Flow 48.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 92.8 M
 Forward Revenue -468.22 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 44.8 M
 Depreciation 3.4 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 4.0 M
 Research and Development 26.9 M
 Total Operating Expenses 95.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 48.1 M
 EBITDA 3.7 M
 EBIT -230.00 K
 Operating Income -2.70 M
 Interest Income -41.00 K
 Interest Expense 757.0 K
 Net Interest Income -798.00 K
 Income Before Tax -987.00 K
 Tax Provision 152.0 K
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -1.14 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -1.14 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.51
 EPS Actual 0.50
 EPS Difference -0.01
 EPS Surprise -1.961 %
 Forward EPS 0.76
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 545.2 M
 Intangible Assets 30.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 179.0 M
 Total Current Assets 339.2 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 175.3 M
 Cash 48.2 M
 Net Receivables 70.8 M
 Inventory 85.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 795.0 K
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 13.6 M
 Short-Term Debt 96.7 M
 Total Current Liabilities 126.5 M
 Net Debt 232.7 M
 Total Debt 304.2 M
 Total Liabilities 336.0 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 209.2 M
 Retained Earnings -400.16 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 6.92
 Shares Outstanding 30.222 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.07
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 5.1 B
 Enterprise Value 5.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 1406.368
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -308.6 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -53.242 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA PI: 1406.368
high: 264.455
median: 78.533
mean: 77.347
low: -70.939
 EV/R 56.467
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.606
 Asset To Liability 1.623
 Debt To Capital 0.592
 Debt To Assets 0.558
Debt To Assets QoQ 0.221 %
Debt To Assets YoY -3.74 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA PI: 0.558
high: 0.48
mean: 0.273
median: 0.268
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 1.454
Debt To Equity QoQ -1.418 %
Debt To Equity YoY -23.143 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.592
PI: 1.454
mean: 0.668
median: 0.604
low: -0.744
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 24.442
Price To Book QoQ -14.059 %
Price To Book YoY -17.407 %
Price To Book IPRWA PI: 24.442
high: 10.035
median: 5.196
mean: 4.876
low: -0.559
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 338.434
Price To Earnings QoQ 6.588 %
Price To Earnings YoY 4.407 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA PI: 338.434
high: 319.297
mean: 108.934
median: 106.869
low: -239.759
 PE/G Ratio -24.537
 Price To Sales (P/S) 55.08
Price To Sales QoQ -4.585 %
Price To Sales YoY 13.722 %
Price To Sales IPRWA PI: 55.08
high: 33.138
mean: 18.498
median: 17.83
low: 0.32
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 245.391
Forward PE/G -17.791
Forward P/S -10.922
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 29.397
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.175
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -6.645 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -7.782 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.529
mean: 0.194
median: 0.184
PI: 0.175
low: 0.002
 Receivables Turnover 1.407
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -14.803 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -6.898 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.671
mean: 1.497
median: 1.44
PI: 1.407
low: 0.381
 Inventory Turnover 0.504
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.2 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 4.4 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.498
median: 1.116
mean: 1.055
PI: 0.504
low: 0.172
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 64.853
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 206.155
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -11.464 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 1.049 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 299.512
PI: 206.155
mean: 99.578
median: 84.663
low: 20.876
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.437
 CapEx To Revenue -0.016
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.443
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 393.4 M
 Net Invested Capital 490.1 M
 Invested Capital 490.1 M
 Net Tangible Assets 179.0 M
 Net Working Capital 212.7 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.386
 Current Ratio 2.681
Current Ratio QoQ 0.444 %
Current Ratio YoY 172.026 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 6.082
PI: 2.681
median: 2.252
mean: 2.217
low: 0.51
 Quick Ratio 2.01
Quick Ratio QoQ 2.2 %
Quick Ratio YoY 193.108 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 4.743
PI: 2.01
mean: 1.693
median: 1.478
low: 0.423
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 81.598
 Cost Of Debt 0.232 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -0.304
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -98.314 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -87.207 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 48.5
median: 13.712
mean: 13.515
PI: -0.304
low: -31.892
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.013
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 28.475
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 5.562 %
 Revenue Growth -3.338 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 77.648 %
Revenue Growth YoY -12.434 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 24.001 %
mean: 4.625 %
median: 3.949 %
PI: -3.338 %
low: -8.868 %
 Earnings Growth -13.793 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -49.844 %
Earnings Growth YoY -3.451 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 157.143 %
median: 5.584 %
mean: 2.864 %
PI: -13.793 %
low: -153.846 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 51.756 %
Gross Margin QoQ 2.868 %
Gross Margin YoY 2.532 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 87.538 %
PI: 51.756 %
mean: 38.665 %
median: 37.246 %
low: -3.321 %
 EBIT Margin -0.248 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -98.051 %
EBIT Margin YoY -88.168 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 41.05 %
median: 21.225 %
mean: 19.504 %
PI: -0.248 %
low: -28.584 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -2.906 %
Return On Sales QoQ -525.476 %
Return On Sales YoY 38.645 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 41.836 %
mean: 18.738 %
median: 16.215 %
PI: -2.906 %
low: -29.815 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 13.6 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.266 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -17.901 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 39.267 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.766 %
median: 0.861 %
mean: 0.848 %
PI: 0.266 %
low: -4.141 %
 Free Cash Growth -24.146 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -29.575 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -129.337 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 99.057 %
median: 21.004 %
mean: -6.005 %
PI: -24.146 %
low: -395.065 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -11.956
 Cash Flow Margin -1.782 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.453
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.215 %
Return On Assets QoQ -91.397 %
Return On Assets YoY -61.4 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.221 %
median: 2.962 %
mean: 2.493 %
PI: -0.215 %
low: -5.986 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -0.055 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.005
Return On Equity QoQ -91.72 %
Return On Equity YoY -69.694 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.151
mean: 0.058
median: 0.058
PI: -0.005
low: -0.121
 DuPont ROE -0.564 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -0.037 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -98.551 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -97.679 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 9.312 %
mean: 3.448 %
median: 3.298 %
PI: -0.037 %
low: -4.754 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical indicators favor an initial rebound scenario: RSI and MACD trends indicate improving momentum while MRO suggests upside potential from below-target pricing. Watch for MACD to cross above its signal line and for price to reclaim the 20‑day average ($106.23) as confirmation that momentum sustains. Failure to hold above the lower Bollinger band (~$91.52) would expose the stock to renewed downside toward the 52‑week low vicinity. Given stretched valuation and negative operating margins, expect any technically driven rallies to encounter resistance from the 20–50 day averages and from sentiment tied to guidance and capital-events.

About Impinj, Inc.

Impinj, Inc. (NASDAQ:PI) develops a comprehensive cloud connectivity platform that enhances the interaction between physical items and digital systems across various industries. The company’s platform wirelessly connects items and provides valuable data to business and consumer applications. Impinj’s technology includes endpoint integrated circuits (ICs), which are tiny radios-on-a-chip that attach to items, allowing them to be identified and tracked. The platform also features system products such as reader ICs, readers, and gateways, which supply power and enable bidirectional communication with the endpoint ICs. Additionally, Impinj offers software and algorithms that assist partners in addressing enterprise challenges, such as retail self-checkout and loss prevention. Serving a diverse range of sectors, including retail, supply chain, automotive, aviation, banking, healthcare, and more, Impinj collaborates with original equipment manufacturers, device manufacturers, tag service bureaus, systems integrators, value-added resellers, and independent software vendors. Established in 2000, Impinj is headquartered in Seattle, Washington, and operates globally, providing innovative solutions that enhance operational efficiency and data-driven decision-making.



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