Wintrust Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:WTFC) Raises Dividend And Extends Credit; Stabilizes Near-Term Outlook

Wintrust shows defensive balance-sheet moves and a higher payout while technical momentum points to near-term pressure; fundamentals present mixed growth with a fair-valued appraisal by WMDST.

Recent News

On December 4, 2025 Wintrust executed amendments to its Amended and Restated Credit Agreement that extended the revolving credit maturity and added customary outbound investment provisions. On December 15, 2025 an indirect subsidiary extended its receivables purchase facility, lowering the commitment cap to $580 million and pushing the maturity to December 15, 2026. On January 22, 2026 the Board approved a 10% increase to the quarterly common dividend to $0.55 per share, payable February 19, 2026 to holders of record as of February 5, 2026. An insider sale of 558 shares by the vice chair reported January 30, 2026 also appeared in filings.

Technical Analysis

The ADX registers 33.16, indicating a strong directional regime; DI+ at 14.75 declines while DI‑ at 33.58 increases, a directional combination that signals prevailing downside pressure and reinforces a bearish price bias versus valuation support.

MACD sits at -3.88 with the signal line at -1.83 and the MACD trend decreasing; negative and falling MACD below its signal line confirms bearish momentum and elevates the probability of further short-term selling pressure absent a momentum reversal.

MRO reads -27.31 with a dip-and-reversal pattern, meaning price sits below the model target and carries upward potential toward that target; this suggests technical overshoot on the downside and creates a countervailing force against the prevailing momentum indicators.

RSI at 47.18 and trending lower shows limited downside room without reaching deeply oversold levels; the indicator supports a near-term neutral-to-negative bias rather than a sharp capitulation or sustained breakout.

Price structure shows the close at $130.21 below the 26‑day EMA ($143.72), 20‑day average ($141.69) and 50‑day average ($147.48), while the 200‑day average sits at $134.47. Bollinger bands place the one‑sigma lower band near $133.89, so current pricing trades near the lower envelope and within a broader down‑sloping trading band—technical context consistent with consolidation under longer moving averages and potential range‑bound action unless momentum indicators reverse.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings: EPS came in at $3.15 versus an estimate of $2.93, producing an EPS surprise of +7.51%. Net income for the period equals $223,024,000. Despite the beat, reported earnings growth shows quarterly and annual contractions: earnings growth QoQ fell by 65.45% and YoY declined by 54.60%, reflecting period-to-period variability in profitability dynamics.

Profitability and cash flow: Return on equity equals 3.26% and return on assets equals 0.317%, with return on assets improving YoY by 10.07%. Operating cash flow stands at $251,659,000 and free cash flow equals $228,629,000, yielding a free cash flow yield of 2.47%. Cash on hand totals $3,648,427,000, and beginning-to-end period cash flow declined by $97,531,000.

Balance sheet and leverage: Total assets reached $71,142,046,000 with total equity at $6,833,715,000. Debt-to-assets equals 6.30% (debt-to-assets QoQ +2.406% and YoY -3.567%), and debt-to-equity equals 65.58% (down YoY by 8.211%). Asset growth clocked 2.17% while asset-to-equity measures at 10.41x, supporting credit capacity for ongoing lending and funding activities.

Valuation multiples and peer context: P/E equals 43.85, roughly in line with the industry peer mean of 44.29; P/B equals 1.35, slightly above the industry peer mean of 1.29; PEG stands at 14.91 versus an industry peer mean near 0.37, reflecting elevated forward growth expectations embedded in price. Free cash flow yield of 2.47% sits above the industry peer mean of 2.20%. WMDST values the stock as fair-valued, with enterprise value near $13.73 billion and market cap about $9.25 billion.

Growth metrics: Total revenue rose YoY by 8.15% while revenue growth QoQ registered flat; forward revenue guidance sits at $179,811,046. Asset turnover equals 0.01015, aligned with the industry peer mean of 0.01025. Dividend metrics show a payout ratio of 18.77% and dividend yield approximately 0.45% after the quarterly increase, supported by a dividend coverage ratio of 5.33.

In aggregate, fundamentals display solid cash generation and an improving deposit footprint, but earnings-growth volatility and stretched multiples versus some peer benchmarks warrant caution; the dividend increase and credit amendments strengthen liquidity and capital flexibility while leaving WMDST’s fair-valued assessment intact.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-01-20
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-04-21
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 565.5 M
 Operating Cash Flow 251.7 M
 Capital Expenditures -23.03 M
 Change In Working Capital -50.01 M
 Dividends Paid -41.85 M
 Cash Flow Delta -97.53 M
 End Period Cash Flow 467.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 714.3 M
 Forward Revenue 179.8 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation 24.9 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 29.9 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT
 Operating Income
 Interest Income 956.3 M
 Interest Expense 372.5 M
 Net Interest Income 583.9 M
 Income Before Tax 302.2 M
 Tax Provision 79.2 M
 Tax Rate 26.205 %
 Net Income 223.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 223.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.93
 EPS Actual 3.15
 EPS Difference 0.22
 EPS Surprise 7.509 %
 Forward EPS 3.35
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 71.1 B
 Intangible Assets 896.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 6.4 B
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments
 Cash 3.6 B
 Net Receivables
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt 833.0 M
 Total Debt 4.5 B
 Total Liabilities 63.9 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 6.8 B
 Retained Earnings 4.5 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 102.03
 Shares Outstanding 66.975 M
 Revenue Per-Share 10.67
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 9.3 B
 Enterprise Value 13.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 19.225
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 10.41
 Asset To Liability 1.114
 Debt To Capital 0.396
 Debt To Assets 0.063
Debt To Assets QoQ 2.406 %
Debt To Assets YoY -3.567 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.094
WTFC: 0.063
median: 0.052
mean: 0.048
low: -0.0
 Debt To Equity 0.656
Debt To Equity QoQ 1.379 %
Debt To Equity YoY -8.211 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.415
WTFC: 0.656
median: 0.466
mean: 0.465
low: -0.002
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.354
Price To Book QoQ 2.832 %
Price To Book YoY -3.39 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 2.361
WTFC: 1.354
mean: 1.292
median: 1.218
low: 0.013
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 43.853
Price To Earnings QoQ 3.087 %
Price To Earnings YoY -7.738 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 73.773
mean: 44.286
WTFC: 43.853
median: 38.631
low: 30.108
 PE/G Ratio 14.911
 Price To Sales (P/S) 12.952
Price To Sales QoQ 3.69 %
Price To Sales YoY -0.484 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 28.081
mean: 13.816
WTFC: 12.952
median: 12.895
low: 0.123
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 40.975
Forward PE/G 13.932
Forward P/S 51.452
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.01
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.794 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 2.216 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.015
mean: 0.01
median: 0.01
WTFC: 0.01
low: 0.006
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue -0.032
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.926
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 11.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 11.3 B
 Invested Capital 11.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets 6.4 B
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 6.728 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 5.329
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.188
 Dividend Rate 0.62
 Dividend Yield 0.005
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.172 %
 Revenue Growth 4.033 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 0.0 %
Revenue Growth YoY 8.152 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 23.369 %
WTFC: 4.033 %
mean: 3.417 %
median: 1.779 %
low: -10.947 %
 Earnings Growth 2.941 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -65.445 %
Earnings Growth YoY -54.6 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 44.444 %
mean: 3.231 %
WTFC: 2.941 %
median: -2.198 %
low: -25.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 228.6 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.471 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 11.861 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -56.412 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 6.244 %
WTFC: 2.471 %
median: 2.306 %
mean: 2.198 %
low: -1.861 %
 Free Cash Growth 18.726 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -147.147 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -102.669 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 176.765 %
WTFC: 18.726 %
mean: -0.284 %
median: -9.484 %
low: -221.241 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.025
 Cash Flow Margin 35.404 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.134
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.317 %
Return On Assets QoQ 1.603 %
Return On Assets YoY 10.069 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 0.645 %
WTFC: 0.317 %
median: 0.311 %
mean: 0.31 %
low: 0.027 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.033
Return On Equity QoQ -0.061 %
Return On Equity YoY 4.448 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.047
WTFC: 0.033
mean: 0.028
median: 0.028
low: 0.003
 DuPont ROE 3.316 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Expect price action to remain sensitive to momentum indicators: bearish ADX/DI and declining MACD favor continuation of downside pressure or lateral consolidation, while a strongly negative MRO suggests mean-reversion potential toward the model target. With price below key short- and intermediate-term averages but near the lower Bollinger band, most likely behavior over the next six weeks involves choppy, range‑bound movement with episodic tests of support and occasional mean‑reversion attempts. Volume running modestly above shorter-term averages supports active intra‑range trading. Monitor for a clear MACD uptick or DI+ re‑acceleration to signal a shift away from the present downside bias; absent that, expect consolidation beneath the 20–50 day averages while fundamentals digest the recent dividend and credit‑related developments.

About Wintrust Financial Corporation

Wintrust Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:WTFC) develops a comprehensive range of financial services through its three primary segments: Community Banking, Specialty Finance, and Wealth Management. The Community Banking segment delivers an array of services including non-interest bearing deposits, interest-bearing transaction accounts, and various loan products such as home equity, consumer, and real estate loans. It facilitates retail mortgage origination and acquisition, and offers treasury management services to associations and middle-market companies. Additionally, this segment provides services to mortgage brokerage firms, restaurant franchisees, and small businesses, alongside commercial mortgages and construction loans. The Specialty Finance segment caters to businesses and individuals with commercial and life insurance premium financing, equipment financing, and accounts receivable financing. It also offers administrative services and cash management solutions, particularly to the temporary staffing industry. The Wealth Management segment offers services including trust and investment management, asset management, tax-deferred exchanges, and securities brokerage. It also provides retirement plan services, catering to the financial planning needs of individuals and institutions. Founded in 1991, Wintrust Financial Corporation maintains its headquarters in Rosemont, Illinois.



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