Dillard’s, Inc. (NYSE:DDS) Projects Valuation Repricing Amid Weak Near-Term Momentum

Dillard's shows a valuation gap versus its share price while short-term technical momentum favors downside pressure; fundamentals present mixed signals across earnings, revenue, and capital metrics.

Recent News

January 14, 2026: Analysts highlighted fashion-category strength at Dillard’s as a material contributor to recent sales mix improvements. February 4, 2026: Commentary noted Dillard’s outpacing many retail-wholesale peers year-to-date on total return metrics. March 9, 2026: Coverage described company actions including share buybacks and a new capsule collection, along with corporate commentary on capital returns.

Technical Analysis

ADX and Directional Indicators: ADX at 16.05 indicates no established trend; both directional signals now favor sellers—DI+ peaked then reversed while DI- showed a dip-and-reverse, a configuration that increases near-term downside bias and pressures valuation relative to recent levels.

MACD Momentum: MACD sits at -10.91, below its signal line at -8.14, and the MACD trend shows a peak-and-reversal, signaling bearish momentum that weakens upside conviction until MACD reverts above its signal line.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO reads 7.22 and peaked then reversed; the positive MRO indicates price currently above the model target, implying a greater likelihood of mean reversion toward valuation benchmarks in the near term.

RSI Behavior: RSI at 47.89 peaked then reversed, landing in neutral territory but with a bearish tilt; that reading corroborates reduced buying pressure and supports the view of limited near-term upside.

Price Relative to Moving Averages & Bands: The close at $602.59 trades below the 20-day average ($612.73) and the 50-day average ($637.18) while remaining above the 200-day average ($567.56), a structure that denotes short-term weakness layered over intact longer-term support. Price sits inside the 1x Bollinger band range ($587.20–$638.26), signaling contained volatility but room for further downward drift before hitting the lower band.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings and Surprise: Reported EPS of $12.16 exceeded the estimate of $9.14 by $3.02, reflecting an EPS surprise of 33.04%. The company reported those results for the period ending 2026-01-31 with the report dated 2026-02-24 and the next scheduled report dated 2026-05-26.

Earnings Growth Metrics: Aggregate earnings growth reads 46.68%, while sequential earnings growth (QoQ) shows -46.42% and earnings growth YoY shows -37.24%, indicating large intra-period swings that complicate trend interpretation and suggest volatility in underlying profitability drivers.

Revenue Trends: Reported revenue growth stands at 0.00%; QoQ revenue change equals -100.00% and YoY revenue change equals -100.00% per the supplied values, which indicate materially weaker top-line comparisons on a period basis and warrant scrutiny of comp-store performance and inventory cadence when assessing sustainability.

Margins, Cash Flow, Capital: Cash-flow margin and cash-flow-to-earnings both show 0.00% in the provided metrics. Invested capital registers negative $785,878,000, and cost of debt remains low at 0.629%, a combination that highlights an unusual capital structure profile requiring further context from balance-sheet disclosures.

Valuation Multiples: Trailing PE stands at 52.74 with a QoQ change of -24.16% and a YoY change of 57.08%. Forward PE reads 77.94 (forward PE QoQ -10.16%, forward PE YoY +18.55%). PEG sits at 1.13 with PEG QoQ +41.56% and PEG YoY +150.30%; forward PEG equals 1.67. Those multiples place present earnings and forward expectations into a premium framework relative to the company’s recent revenue dynamics.

WMDST Valuation Summary: The current valuation as determined by WMDST places price-target mean at $670.21 versus a close of $602.59, representing an implied valuation gap of roughly 11.2% relative to the mean target; WMDST’s valuation aligns with elevated trailing and forward multiples, while underlying revenue and QoQ earnings swings reduce margin visibility.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-01-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-24
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-26
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow
 Operating Cash Flow
 Capital Expenditures
 Change In Working Capital
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta
 End Period Cash Flow
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue
 Forward Revenue
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT
 Operating Income
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income
 Income Before Tax
 Tax Provision
 Tax Rate
 Net Income
 Net Income From Continuing Operations
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 9.14
 EPS Actual 12.16
 EPS Difference 3.02
 EPS Surprise 33.042 %
 Forward EPS 8.15
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments
 Cash
 Net Receivables
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt
 Total Debt
 Total Liabilities
EQUITY
 Total Equity
 Retained Earnings
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share
 Shares Outstanding
 Revenue Per-Share
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization
 Enterprise Value
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity
 Asset To Liability
 Debt To Capital
 Debt To Assets
Debt To Assets QoQ
Debt To Assets YoY
Debt To Assets IPRWA
 Debt To Equity
Debt To Equity QoQ
Debt To Equity YoY
Debt To Equity IPRWA
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B)
Price To Book QoQ
Price To Book YoY
Price To Book IPRWA
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 52.739
Price To Earnings QoQ -24.157 %
Price To Earnings YoY 57.078 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio 1.13
 Price To Sales (P/S)
Price To Sales QoQ
Price To Sales YoY
Price To Sales IPRWA
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 77.945
Forward PE/G 1.67
Forward P/S
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital
 Net Invested Capital
 Invested Capital -785.88 M
 Net Tangible Assets
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 0.629 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate
 Revenue Growth 0.0 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -100.0 %
Revenue Growth YoY -100.0 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA
 Earnings Growth 46.683 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -46.423 %
Earnings Growth YoY -37.242 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF)
 Free Cash Flow Yield
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA
 Free Cash Growth
Free Cash Growth QoQ
Free Cash Growth YoY
Free Cash Growth IPRWA
 Free Cash To Net Income
 Cash Flow Margin 0.0 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.0
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA)
Return On Assets QoQ
Return On Assets YoY
Return On Assets IPRWA
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE)
Return On Equity QoQ
Return On Equity YoY
Return On Equity IPRWA
 DuPont ROE
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price bias favors mild downside pressure. Technical convergence—MACD below its signal, DI+ declining, DI- increasing, and RSI reversing from a recent peak—signals limited upside momentum until directional indicators realign. The MRO and position below short-term moving averages point toward mean reversion risk. Over the next six weeks, expect compressed trading with downside skew unless MACD climbs above its signal line and DI+ re-establishes an upward trajectory; traders should monitor changes in short-term momentum and any fresh company-level news that affects capital-return plans or merchandise traction.

About Dillard’s, Inc.

Dillard’s, Inc. (NYSE:DDS) designs and delivers a comprehensive shopping experience through its network of department stores across the southeastern, southwestern, and midwestern United States. Established in 1938 and headquartered in Little Rock, Arkansas, Dillard’s offers a wide range of high-quality products for the entire family. Customers can find fashion-forward apparel for women, men, and children, along with a curated selection of accessories, cosmetics, and home furnishings. In addition to its retail operations, Dillard’s engages in general contracting construction activities, reflecting its adaptability and growth-oriented mindset. The company emphasizes customer satisfaction by blending the latest fashion trends with timeless styles, ensuring a personalized shopping experience. Dillard’s commitment to quality merchandise and exceptional service has made it a trusted name in American retail. Whether updating a wardrobe or enhancing a living space, Dillard’s serves as a reliable destination for those seeking style and sophistication.



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