Comstock Resources, Inc. (NYSE:CRK) Leverages Haynesville Strength; Near-Term Momentum Favors Modest Upside

Comstock enters the current window with operational momentum from Haynesville execution and a stretched capital structure that keeps market valuation elevated. Technicals show a short-term bullish tilt while fundamentals reveal strong margins counterbalanced by heavy capex and net leverage.

Recent News

In February 2026 Comstock announced a strategic focus on Western Haynesville activity and an expanded 2026 drilling program, citing reserve additions and a recent Shelby Trough divestiture that provided material proceeds; the company reported plans to increase operated rigs and to turn a larger set of wells to sales in 2026. Market commentary in February highlighted investor concern around capital spending plans and natural gas price volatility.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show DI+ at 25.0 and rising while DI- sits at 22.97 and falling; that configuration reads as a bullish directional shift, but ADX at 15.18 indicates no established trend, implying the bullish signal remains tentative and price may consolidate without broader trend confirmation.

MACD stands at -0.32 with the MACD line above the signal line (-0.62), and the MACD trend increasing; the crossover above the signal line constitutes a bullish momentum signal that supports near-term upside pressure on price momentum.

MRO equals -25.73 with a peak-and-reversal signature; the negative MRO implies price sits below intrinsic target levels and therefore carries technical potential to move higher as that gap narrows, signaling mean-reversion pressure in the near term.

RSI at 48.85 and increasing places momentum near neutral with a mild upward tilt; the reading supports a scenario of measured buying interest without overbought stress, consistent with the MACD bullish crossover but incompatible with a strong runaway trend.

Price sits at $21.38 above the 12-day EMA ($20.29, increasing) and above the 20-day average ($19.65), yet below the 50-day average ($21.59) and roughly in line with the 200-day average ($21.27). Bollinger band width near a 1x upper band of $20.90 and lower band $18.40 suggests limited intraday volatility; short-term technicals point to controlled upside toward nearby resistance near the 50-day average while support aligns with the SuperTrend lower at $19.04.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability metrics show strong headline margins: EBIT equals $414,528,000 and EBIT margin stands at 83.68%, which sits above the industry peer range high (78.86%). Gross profit reached $129,787,000 and operating margin equals 23.15%. QoQ movement for EBIT margin shows a 94.59% rise; YoY comparison shows a -4.80% change. These margin dynamics support the operational case tied to higher realized natural gas pricing and reserve additions, but margin volatility appears significant between periods.

Earnings per share printed $0.97 versus an estimate of $0.10, an EPS surprise of 870% (EPS difference $0.87). Net income totaled $305,511,000 and operating cash flow reached $224,204,000; those cash and earnings figures underpin improved reported profitability despite material investing activity.

Cash flow and capital deployment reveal tension: capital expenditures totaled -$365,452,000 with capex-to-revenue of -73.77%, producing free cash flow of -$141,248,000 and a free cash flow yield of -2.16%. Operating cash flow remained positive, indicating core operations generate cash, but heavy capex and asset transactions drove free cash negative in the period.

Leverage and liquidity metrics show total debt of $2,907,439,000, net debt $2,785,136,000, and debt-to-EBITDA at 5.08x; interest coverage sits at 7.39. The current ratio equals 0.49, signaling working-capital tightness. Debt-to-assets equals 41.49% while debt-to-equity stands at 1.10. Together these data point to meaningful leverage that the company services but which constrains balance-sheet optionality.

Key growth and efficiency items: revenue growth reads 10.12% (period), revenue growth QoQ shows -333.20% and revenue growth YoY registers -50.32%; asset turnover sits low at 7.16% (asset turnover QoQ +7.64%, YoY +23.92%). Return on equity equals 11.54% with return-on-equity QoQ up 145.18% but return-on-equity YoY down 647.58%. Those mixed percentage movements reflect large base effects, recent asset sales, and a capital program that alters period-to-period comparatives.

Valuation metrics remain elevated: price-to-earnings at 139.38, forward P/E about 70.02, price-to-book 2.47 (slightly above the industry peer mean of 1.93 and near the peer median of 2.01), enterprise value-to-EBITDA roughly 16.47, and EV-to-revenue implied. The dataset flags the current valuation as over-valued per WMDST; strong margin and reserve headlines support operational upside, while heavy capex and elevated leverage justify the WMDST over-valued assessment.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-11
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-13
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 19.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow 224.2 M
 Capital Expenditures -365.45 M
 Change In Working Capital 1.9 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 4.7 M
 End Period Cash Flow 23.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 495.4 M
 Forward Revenue 38.7 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 365.6 M
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 380.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 129.8 M
 EBITDA 572.0 M
 EBIT 414.5 M
 Operating Income 114.7 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 56.1 M
 Net Interest Income -56.06 M
 Income Before Tax 358.5 M
 Tax Provision 71.7 M
 Tax Rate 20.002 %
 Net Income 305.5 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 286.8 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.10
 EPS Actual 0.97
 EPS Difference 0.87
 EPS Surprise 870.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.33
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 7.0 B
 Intangible Assets 335.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets 2.3 B
 Total Current Assets 360.9 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 23.9 M
 Cash 23.9 M
 Net Receivables 242.5 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 501.7 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 729.5 M
 Net Debt 2.8 B
 Total Debt 2.9 B
 Total Liabilities 4.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.6 B
 Retained Earnings 1.1 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 9.03
 Shares Outstanding 293.055 M
 Revenue Per-Share 1.69
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 6.5 B
 Enterprise Value 9.4 B
 Enterprise Multiple 16.466
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -33.207 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -75.226 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 68.211
median: 29.526
mean: 29.231
CRK: 16.466
low: -3.719
 EV/R 19.013
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.647
 Asset To Liability 1.733
 Debt To Capital 0.523
 Debt To Assets 0.415
Debt To Assets QoQ -11.466 %
Debt To Assets YoY -12.556 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA CRK: 0.415
high: 0.328
mean: 0.187
median: 0.162
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 1.098
Debt To Equity QoQ -19.136 %
Debt To Equity YoY -18.713 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.344
CRK: 1.098
mean: 0.339
median: 0.282
low: -0.685
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.469
Price To Book QoQ 6.7 %
Price To Book YoY 9.582 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 3.753
CRK: 2.469
median: 2.011
mean: 1.926
low: -0.398
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 139.381
Price To Earnings QoQ -32.695 %
Price To Earnings YoY 29.074 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA CRK: 139.381
high: 129.503
mean: 52.767
median: 49.163
low: 28.96
 PE/G Ratio -2.323
 Price To Sales (P/S) 13.193
Price To Sales QoQ 8.656 %
Price To Sales YoY -4.246 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 58.693
CRK: 13.193
mean: 10.945
median: 10.615
low: 3.244
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 70.02
Forward PE/G -1.167
Forward P/S 169.507
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 11.292
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.072
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 7.643 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 23.918 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.274
median: 0.109
mean: 0.106
CRK: 0.072
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 2.385
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -8.171 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 7.581 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 23.674
mean: 2.948
CRK: 2.385
median: 2.109
low: 0.153
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 38.267
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 64.739
CRK: 0
median: -2.729
mean: -5.495
low: -12463.195
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -1.344
 CapEx To Revenue -0.738
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 5.5 B
 Net Invested Capital 5.5 B
 Invested Capital 5.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 2.3 B
 Net Working Capital -368.58 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.033
 Current Ratio 0.495
Current Ratio QoQ 19.582 %
Current Ratio YoY 6.754 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 15.536
mean: 1.68
median: 1.632
CRK: 0.495
low: 0.12
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 5.083
 Cost Of Debt 1.552 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 7.394
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 116.819 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -600.569 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 281.257
mean: 16.382
median: 14.788
CRK: 7.394
low: -23.818
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.387
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 115.191
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.428 %
 Revenue Growth 10.121 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -333.203 %
Revenue Growth YoY -50.324 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 20.522 %
CRK: 10.121 %
mean: 0.414 %
median: -1.378 %
low: -20.225 %
 Earnings Growth -60.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -24.571 %
Earnings Growth YoY -69.091 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 38.54 %
mean: -14.936 %
median: -16.236 %
low: -36.029 %
CRK: -60.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 26.199 %
Gross Margin QoQ 66.438 %
Gross Margin YoY 1062.85 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 79.215 %
median: 58.871 %
mean: 55.649 %
CRK: 26.199 %
low: 15.716 %
 EBIT Margin 83.678 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 94.591 %
EBIT Margin YoY -480.13 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA CRK: 83.678 %
high: 78.864 %
mean: 22.517 %
median: 17.265 %
low: 2.305 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 23.147 %
Return On Sales QoQ 97.567 %
Return On Sales YoY -205.152 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 71.016 %
median: 29.489 %
mean: 28.606 %
CRK: 23.147 %
low: 3.182 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -141.25 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -2.161 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -37.344 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 747.451 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 3.535 %
median: 1.595 %
mean: 1.5 %
CRK: -2.161 %
low: -5.705 %
 Free Cash Growth -25.031 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -99.544 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -72.239 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 389.876 %
CRK: -25.031 %
median: -33.909 %
mean: -48.301 %
low: -171.657 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.462
 Cash Flow Margin 56.991 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.924
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 4.412 %
Return On Assets QoQ 168.697 %
Return On Assets YoY -693.011 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.543 %
CRK: 4.412 %
mean: 1.702 %
median: 1.348 %
low: -5.037 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 6.603 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.115
Return On Equity QoQ 145.178 %
Return On Equity YoY -647.581 %
Return On Equity IPRWA CRK: 0.115
high: 0.072
mean: 0.028
median: 0.024
low: 0.003
 DuPont ROE 12.204 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 6.078 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 99.54 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -388.193 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA CRK: 6.078 %
high: 5.424 %
mean: 2.317 %
median: 1.997 %
low: 0.474 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price action should reflect the balance between improving technical momentum and stretched fundamental valuation. Short-term indicators (MACD crossover, rising DI+, increasing RSI) favor measured upside and mean-reversion toward nearby resistance, while ADX below 20 warns that any advance may consolidate without broader trend follow-through. The negative MRO implies room for a technical rebound toward target levels. On fundamentals, positive operating cash flow and reserve builds provide narrative support, but negative free cash flow, sizeable capex, and ~5x debt-to-EBITDA keep downside risk elevated if natural gas prices retrace. Expect price oscillation in a range aligned with the 50-day average as upside encounters valuation resistance, and watch liquidity/leverage metrics for signals that could alter that balance within six weeks.

About Comstock Resources, Inc.

Comstock Resources, Inc. (NYSE:CRK) develops and produces natural gas and oil, with a primary focus on the Haynesville and Bossier shales located in North Louisiana and East Texas. Headquartered in Frisco, Texas, Comstock Resources leverages advanced technology and industry expertise to enhance the efficiency of resource extraction. The company, founded in 1919, brings over a century of experience to its operations, underscoring its resilience and adaptability in the energy sector. As a subsidiary of Arkoma Drilling, L.P., Comstock Resources prioritizes sustainable practices and responsible resource management to minimize environmental impact while addressing the increasing energy needs. The company maintains a strong portfolio and strategically manages its operations to deliver value to shareholders and support the energy security of the United States. Through continuous innovation and strategic partnerships, Comstock Resources positions itself as a key player in the natural gas and oil production industry, driving growth and setting industry standards.



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