Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA) Accelerates Project De‑Risking Ahead Of 2026 Partnership Push

Strong liquidity and intensified field programs set the company into a clear preparatory phase for partnership and spin‑out milestones in early 2026.

Recent News

December 18, 2025: Seabridge issued a year‑end update outlining KSM field progress, ongoing partner diligence, an expected partnership announcement in 2026, and a planned spin‑out of the Courageous Lake asset (to be renamed Valor Gold). The release also flagged a Snip North resource estimate planned for early 2026 and an M‑245 amendment expected in Q1 2026. January 20, 2026: market coverage noted a new 52‑week high and a mix of analyst views, with one major firm raising its target substantially. February 11, 2026: an industry outlet graded Seabridge’s 2025 scorecard down for missing the KSM partner target, highlighting partner timing as the primary overhang.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators present a short‑term bearish bias: DI+ shows a peak‑and‑reversal while DI‑ shows a dip‑and‑reversal, and ADX at 17.2 indicates no established trend; these dynamics point to waning directional conviction ahead of any news catalyst.

MACD sits at 1.16 with a peak‑and‑reversal pattern and trades below its 1.26 signal line, signalling bearish momentum that undermines near‑term upside until momentum re‑accelerates.

MRO reads 27.64 and carries a peak‑and‑reversal behavior; the positive MRO implies price currently sits above the model target and therefore carries potential pressure to correct toward that target over the coming weeks.

RSI at 55.75 with a peak‑and‑reversal suggests recent buying momentum lost steam; RSI remains near neutral but leans toward diminishing upside momentum.

Price sits at $33.23, below the 20‑day average ($35.89) and 12‑day EMA ($35.67) but above the 50‑day ($32.79) and well above the 200‑day average ($23.06). This placement indicates medium‑term support around the 50‑day while short‑term data show a pullback from the 12/20‑day bands.

Bollinger parameters place the 1σ lower band at $33.34 and the 1σ upper band at $38.45; the close at $33.23 trades just below the lower 1σ band, reflecting a small short‑term overshoot on the downside that often precedes mean reversion unless broken by a news catalyst or widening volatility.

Volume at ~861k matches the 10‑day average and remains below the 50/200‑day averages, indicating limited conviction behind the recent move; watch for above‑average volume on any partnership or permitting headlines to validate directional change.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Liquidity and balance‑sheet composition support ongoing development activity. Cash totals $103,104,000 and cash plus short‑term investments reach $111,285,000, while net debt equals $480,032,000. The current ratio stands at 2.99, above the industry peer mean of 2.36 and the industry peer median of 2.46, reflecting sufficient short‑term coverage relative to peers.

Profitability metrics remain negative: net income of -$32,270,000 and operating cash flow of -$29,510,000 produced EPS of -$0.32 versus an estimate of -$0.04, an EPS miss of -$0.28, equivalent to an EPS surprise of -700% (actual vs. estimate). Return on assets equals -1.93% and return on equity equals -3.05%, each reflecting current pre‑development operating losses.

Capital deployment accelerated in 2025: capital expenditures total -$52,864,000 and free cash flow registered -$54,970,000, producing a free cash flow yield of -2.44%. Free cash flow growth trends show sequential improvement (free cash growth QoQ +119.55%; free cash growth YoY +306.27%), indicating recent operational investment stepped up versus prior periods.

Leverage metrics sit above typical peer medians: debt‑to‑assets at 34.24% exceeds the industry peer mean of 12.60% and industry peer median of 10.33%, while debt‑to‑equity at 55.30% sits above the industry peer mean of 23.51% but well inside the reported industry peer high. Interest coverage remains deeply negative, reflecting operating losses relative to financing costs despite modest net interest income.

Valuation context: price‑to‑book equals 2.13, below the industry peer mean of 3.47 and below the industry peer median of 3.28, though above the industry peer low of 0.70. The enterprise multiple reads negative, consistent with development‑stage peers that lack revenue. The current valuation as determined by WMDST registers as under‑valued, driven by asset scale, cash runway, and a P/B below the industry peer mean despite near‑term execution and legal overhangs.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-12
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-11
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 121.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow -29.51 M
 Capital Expenditures -52.86 M
 Change In Working Capital 861.0 K
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -18.28 M
 End Period Cash Flow 103.1 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue
 Forward Revenue
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation 19.0 K
 Depreciation and Amortization 19.0 K
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 4.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA -27.60 M
 EBIT -27.62 M
 Operating Income -4.67 M
 Interest Income 1.5 M
 Interest Expense 143.0 K
 Net Interest Income 1.4 M
 Income Before Tax -27.76 M
 Tax Provision 4.5 M
 Tax Rate 15.0 %
 Net Income -32.27 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -32.27 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.04
 EPS Actual -0.32
 EPS Difference -0.28
 EPS Surprise -700.0 %
 Forward EPS -0.03
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.7 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 1.1 B
 Total Current Assets 124.9 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 111.3 M
 Cash 103.1 M
 Net Receivables
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 22.1 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 7.7 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 41.8 M
 Net Debt 480.0 M
 Total Debt 584.4 M
 Total Liabilities 650.2 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.1 B
 Retained Earnings -227.28 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 10.18
 Shares Outstanding 103.842 M
 Revenue Per-Share
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.2 B
 Enterprise Value 2.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple -98.669
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -150.819 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 137.033 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 157.603
mean: 52.627
median: 27.604
SA: -98.669
low: -180.008
 EV/R
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.615
 Asset To Liability 2.625
 Debt To Capital 0.356
 Debt To Assets 0.342
Debt To Assets QoQ -2.464 %
Debt To Assets YoY 142562.5 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.574
SA: 0.342
mean: 0.126
median: 0.103
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.553
Debt To Equity QoQ -2.364 %
Debt To Equity YoY 138160.0 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.001
SA: 0.553
mean: 0.235
median: 0.189
low: 0.001
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.129
Price To Book QoQ 36.808 %
Price To Book YoY 18.855 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 8.202
mean: 3.473
median: 3.278
SA: 2.129
low: 0.704
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -67.706
Price To Earnings QoQ -0.0 %
Price To Earnings YoY 22.75 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 163.615
mean: 67.81
median: 48.994
SA: -67.706
low: -173.761
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S)
Price To Sales QoQ
Price To Sales YoY
Price To Sales IPRWA
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -369.39
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation -2782.316
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.6 B
 Invested Capital 1.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.1 B
 Net Working Capital 83.2 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.665
 Current Ratio 2.992
Current Ratio QoQ -29.412 %
Current Ratio YoY 31.036 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 12.496
SA: 2.992
median: 2.458
mean: 2.357
low: 0.005
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -21.178
 Cost Of Debt 0.021 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -193.119
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -393.471 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 73.058 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 49.212
mean: 25.336
median: 21.14
low: -56.853
SA: -193.119
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.707
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 3.8 %
 Revenue Growth
Revenue Growth QoQ
Revenue Growth YoY
Revenue Growth IPRWA
 Earnings Growth 0.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY -100.0 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 300.0 %
median: 5.6 %
mean: 0.117 %
SA: 0.0 %
low: -150.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -54.97 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -2.443 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 56.603 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 28.241 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 11.174 %
median: 1.829 %
mean: 1.479 %
SA: -2.443 %
low: -7.163 %
 Free Cash Growth 122.209 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 119.552 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 306.266 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 537.296 %
SA: 122.209 %
median: -14.298 %
mean: -59.239 %
low: -339.64 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.703
 Cash Flow Margin
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.914
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) -1.926 %
Return On Assets QoQ -353.088 %
Return On Assets YoY -0.824 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.16 %
median: 3.335 %
mean: 2.374 %
SA: -1.926 %
low: -14.746 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -1.658 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.031
Return On Equity QoQ -352.397 %
Return On Equity YoY -4.353 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.115
median: 0.055
mean: 0.037
SA: -0.031
low: -0.432
 DuPont ROE
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -1.431 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -356.452 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -102.929 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 9.171 %
median: 4.597 %
mean: 4.036 %
SA: -1.431 %
low: -12.191 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near‑term price bias will respond primarily to three catalysts: any partnership announcement for KSM, the Q1 legal decision on tunnel rights, and formal steps toward the Courageous Lake spin‑out. Technical indicators currently favor a neutral‑to‑bearish environment: momentum measures and DI signals suggest limited upside without a confirming headline, while price sits near short‑term support at the 50‑day average. A partnership announcement or favorable court ruling would likely re‑establish directional strength and lift the bias; absence of such news should keep volatility contained and favor mean reversion toward the 50‑day average.

About Seabridge Gold Inc.

Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA) acquires and explores mineral properties in North America, with a primary emphasis on gold. The company actively investigates potential deposits of gold, copper, silver, and molybdenum. Seabridge Gold’s portfolio includes several significant projects, such as the KSM Project in British Columbia, which ranks among the world’s largest undeveloped gold projects. Established in 1979 and headquartered in Toronto, Canada, Seabridge Gold focuses on increasing its resource base through exploration and strategic acquisitions. By advancing its projects through various stages of development, the company aims to enhance shareholder value. Seabridge Gold’s commitment to responsible mining practices underscores its operations, ensuring environmental stewardship and community engagement. The company continues to evaluate opportunities to expand its asset base and strengthen its position in the precious metals sector.



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