Aeva Technologies, Inc (NYSE:AEVA) Accelerates Production Push After Defense And Product Wins

Aeva enters a period of tangible commercialization momentum, with new product launches and defense program awards sharpening near-term demand prospects. Operational metrics and valuation, however, continue to signal material execution and profitability challenges.

Recent News

On January 20, 2026 Aeva announced selection by Forterra to supply 4D LiDAR sensors for Forterra’s autonomous defense vehicle program, marking the company’s first announced defense contract. On January 6, 2026 Aeva introduced Omni, a compact wide-view short-range 4D LiDAR sensor aimed at physical-AI and robotics applications showcased at CES 2026.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 18.11 indicates no strong trend currently; momentum remains choppy rather than directionally decisive, which aligns with price consolidating around short-term averages.

Directional indicators present mixed impulses: DI+ at 24.95 shows a peak-and-reversal, which reads as waning bullish pressure; DI- at 16.23 trending lower signals reducing negative pressure. Together, the pattern suggests prior upside momentum lost strength while downside force has eased, leaving a range-bound bias for now.

MACD stands at -0.07 with an increasing trend and the MACD line above its signal line (-0.36), a bullish momentum shift that often precedes short-term upside. Given the lack of a strong ADX trend, the MACD cross implies a limited, tactical momentum lift rather than a durable breakout.

MRO at 15.02, increasing, places price above model target levels and therefore implies a propensity for mean reversion. The positive MRO combined with its rising profile indicates potential pressure on gains absent fresh supportive fundamentals.

RSI at 49.72 and rising places momentum near neutral territory; readings near 50 alongside an increasing RSI imply building buying interest but no overbought condition.

Price trades at $15.08 above the 12-day and 26-day EMAs (both ~ $13.93–$13.92) and above the 20-day average ($13.53) and 50-day average ($14.72), consistent with short-term bullish bias. Price sits below the 200-day average ($17.11), which limits the scope for trend-following strength until longer-term resistance clears. Price crossed above the upper 1x Bollinger band ($14.48) but remains below the 2x band ($15.43), suggesting recent strength without extreme short-term extension. SuperTrend upper at $15.29 currently sits above price, providing nearby upside resistance. Volume at 2.22M exceeds the 10-day average of 1.82M, supporting recent momentum but remaining below longer-term averages, which constrains conviction.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue and margin profile shows continuing top-line pressure: total revenue equals $3,579,000 while revenue growth stands negative at -35.06%. Quarter-over-quarter revenue growth registers -155.10% and year-over-year growth reads -396.37% per the provided labels; those figures indicate acute near-term variability in sales recognition and warrant monitoring of subsequent reporting for reconciliation.

Operating results show operating income (EBIT) at -$33,161,000 and an operating/EBIT margin of -9.27%. Quarter-over-quarter the EBIT margin improved by 46.21%, yet the margin declined 44.96% year-over-year. Against the industry peer mean operating margin of 16.76% and industry peer median of 17.43%, Aeva’s margin sits well below peers, reflecting continued investment and scaling costs.

EPS registered at -$0.40 versus an estimate of -$0.44, producing an EPS surprise of +9.09%. Forward EPS appears negative at -$0.3806, and the forward PE remains negative, underlining expectations for ongoing losses in near-term earnings measures.

Liquidity and cash-flow metrics show cash of $45,688,000 and cash and short-term investments of $48,888,000 with a current ratio of 3.18 and quick ratio of 2.95, indicating ample near-term liquidity relative to current liabilities of $20,870,000. Operating cash flow stands negative at -$32,312,000 and free cash flow at -$33,586,000, with free cash flow yield negative at -3.34%, which confirms operational cash burn despite strong stated cash balances.

Balance-sheet leverage remains light: total debt equals $6,124,000 and debt-to-assets registers 6.60%, with debt-to-equity at 0.18. Asset-turnover at 0.0389 sits below the industry peer mean of 19.75% and peer median of 19.02% (presented as decimals in the dataset), reflecting low revenue per dollar of assets during the build phase.

Valuation: WMDST values the stock as over-valued. Key valuation ratios highlight stretched multiples versus current revenue and earnings: price-to-sales at 280.68 and price-to-book at 30.24. Those multiples, combined with negative operating margins and negative free cash flow, create a valuation profile reliant on successful conversion of recent commercial wins into scalable, recurring revenue.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-26
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-28
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 21.7 M
 Operating Cash Flow -32.31 M
 Capital Expenditures -1.27 M
 Change In Working Capital -9.54 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 23.9 M
 End Period Cash Flow 45.7 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 3.6 M
 Forward Revenue -190.12 K
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 3.1 M
 Depreciation 1.4 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 2.1 M
 Research and Development 22.2 M
 Total Operating Expenses 36.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 430.0 K
 EBITDA -31.05 M
 EBIT -33.16 M
 Operating Income -33.16 M
 Interest Income 385.0 K
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 385.0 K
 Income Before Tax 107.6 M
 Tax Provision 66.0 K
 Tax Rate 0.061 %
 Net Income 107.5 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 107.5 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.44
 EPS Actual -0.40
 EPS Difference 0.04
 EPS Surprise 9.091 %
 Forward EPS -0.38
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 92.8 M
 Intangible Assets 1.1 M
 Net Tangible Assets 32.2 M
 Total Current Assets 66.4 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 48.9 M
 Cash 45.7 M
 Net Receivables 1.9 M
 Inventory 4.9 M
 Long-Term Investments 13.0 K
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 4.4 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 20.9 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 6.1 M
 Total Liabilities 59.6 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 33.2 M
 Retained Earnings -731.98 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 0.55
 Shares Outstanding 60.008 M
 Revenue Per-Share 0.06
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.0 B
 Enterprise Value 961.8 M
 Enterprise Multiple -30.973
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 6.583 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 1908.806 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 230.414
median: 74.716
mean: 63.245
AEVA: -30.973
low: -236.709
 EV/R 268.732
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.794
 Asset To Liability 1.558
 Debt To Capital 0.156
 Debt To Assets 0.066
Debt To Assets QoQ 229.291 %
Debt To Assets YoY 229.785 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.788
median: 0.28
mean: 0.251
AEVA: 0.066
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.184
Debt To Equity QoQ -1292.497 %
Debt To Equity YoY 603.933 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.012
median: 0.644
mean: 0.6
AEVA: 0.184
low: -1.286
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 30.241
Price To Book QoQ -458.359 %
Price To Book YoY 1997.219 %
Price To Book IPRWA AEVA: 30.241
high: 14.439
mean: 6.769
median: 5.079
low: -7.378
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -36.392
Price To Earnings QoQ -26.999 %
Price To Earnings YoY 635.742 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 359.865
median: 99.818
mean: 99.452
AEVA: -36.392
low: -251.079
 PE/G Ratio -8.007
 Price To Sales (P/S) 280.68
Price To Sales QoQ 55.1 %
Price To Sales YoY 238.824 %
Price To Sales IPRWA AEVA: 280.68
high: 57.726
mean: 16.293
median: 15.795
low: 0.0
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -30.828
Forward PE/G -6.783
Forward P/S -3640.156
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 0.144
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.039
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -27.38 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 217.633 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.503
mean: 0.197
median: 0.19
AEVA: 0.039
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 1.225
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -48.075 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -61.363 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.347
mean: 1.504
median: 1.405
AEVA: 1.225
low: 0.271
 Inventory Turnover 0.732
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -66.485 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -36.908 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.365
median: 1.117
mean: 1.032
AEVA: 0.732
low: 0.134
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 74.474
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 71.159
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 246.893 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 4660.176 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 384.751
mean: 106.431
median: 85.242
AEVA: 71.159
low: -90.357
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.079
 CapEx To Revenue -0.356
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.905
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 33.2 M
 Net Invested Capital 33.2 M
 Invested Capital 33.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 32.2 M
 Net Working Capital 45.6 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.342
 Current Ratio 3.183
Current Ratio QoQ 392.578 %
Current Ratio YoY -26.345 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 8.726
AEVA: 3.183
mean: 2.292
median: 2.07
low: 0.373
 Quick Ratio 2.946
Quick Ratio QoQ 381.679 %
Quick Ratio YoY -30.82 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 6.406
AEVA: 2.946
mean: 1.532
median: 1.388
low: 0.295
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -0.197
 Cost Of Debt 0.251 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -3316.1
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -5.045 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -12.449 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 93.794
mean: 15.922
median: 15.13
low: -89.6
AEVA: -3316.1
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 5.265
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 51.029
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.806 %
 Revenue Growth -35.057 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -155.097 %
Revenue Growth YoY -396.365 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 56.746 %
median: 6.163 %
mean: 6.106 %
AEVA: -35.057 %
low: -44.732 %
 Earnings Growth 4.545 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -304.545 %
Earnings Growth YoY -80.072 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
median: 14.085 %
mean: 9.444 %
AEVA: 4.545 %
low: -200.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 12.015 %
Gross Margin QoQ -124.344 %
Gross Margin YoY -137.495 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 97.907 %
mean: 38.738 %
median: 38.088 %
AEVA: 12.015 %
low: -43.101 %
 EBIT Margin -926.544 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 46.213 %
EBIT Margin YoY -44.959 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 44.499 %
median: 17.428 %
mean: 16.761 %
low: -228.471 %
AEVA: -926.544 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -926.544 %
Return On Sales QoQ 46.213 %
Return On Sales YoY -44.959 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 44.617 %
median: 17.308 %
mean: 16.447 %
low: -181.737 %
AEVA: -926.544 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -33.59 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -3.343 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 6.908 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -76.425 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 2.804 %
median: 0.858 %
mean: 0.667 %
AEVA: -3.343 %
low: -13.716 %
 Free Cash Growth 7.682 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -4039.487 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -165.462 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 288.449 %
median: 8.386 %
AEVA: 7.682 %
mean: -14.735 %
low: -351.784 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.312
 Cash Flow Margin 3070.215 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.022
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 116.878 %
Return On Assets QoQ -162.367 %
Return On Assets YoY -673.888 %
Return On Assets IPRWA AEVA: 116.878 %
high: 6.668 %
mean: 2.324 %
median: 1.803 %
low: -24.617 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -46.105 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 3.236
Return On Equity QoQ 98.42 %
Return On Equity YoY -1218.541 %
Return On Equity IPRWA AEVA: 3.236
high: 0.191
mean: 0.053
median: 0.046
low: -0.264
 DuPont ROE -253.013 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -99.767 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -527.359 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -538.228 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 9.897 %
mean: 3.362 %
median: 2.735 %
low: -12.328 %
AEVA: -99.767 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price action likely remains range-bound with episodic upside tied to commercial milestones and shipment confirmations. Short-term bullish signals from MACD crossing and rising EMAs suggest potential tactical rallies, but MRO’s positive reading and the stock’s WMDST over-valued designation imply limited follow-through without further fundamental confirmation. Watch for consolidation above the $15.29 super-trend threshold and sustained volume above the 10–20 day averages to validate momentum. Conversely, failure to hold the 50-day average (~$14.72) would reopen downside risk into the lower Bollinger band area.

About Aeva Technologies, Inc.

Aeva Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:AEVA) is at the forefront of revolutionizing sensing systems with its advanced LiDAR technology. Established in 2017 and headquartered in Mountain View, California, Aeva is dedicated to transforming how machines perceive the world, offering groundbreaking solutions that enhance autonomy and perception across a multitude of sectors globally. Aeva’s proprietary technology leverages frequency modulated continuous wave (FMCW) to create state-of-the-art 4D LiDAR systems. Their flagship product, Aeries II, is engineered for automotive-grade production, providing unparalleled perception capabilities for passenger vehicles, trucking, and broader mobility applications. This sophisticated system integrates seamlessly with embedded software, delivering precise and reliable data crucial for autonomous driving and advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS). In addition to Aeries II, Aeva offers Atlas, another 4D LiDAR system that excels in simultaneous velocity and range detection. While primarily designed for the automotive industry, Aeva’s versatile technology is also making significant inroads in industrial automation, consumer electronics, and security sectors. Aeva Technologies is committed to pushing the boundaries of LiDAR innovation, driving forward the capabilities of autonomous systems and reshaping the future of technology across diverse industries.



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