Noble Corporation Plc (NYSE:NE) Builds Backlog While Technicals Signal Near-Term Pullback

Strong contract coverage and asset sales improve revenue visibility, yet valuation and momentum indicators point to constrained upside in the immediate term.

Recent News

On February 11, 2026, Noble announced backlog rose to $7.5 billion after roughly $1.3 billion of new contract awards since October and completed the divestiture of five jackups for $360 million; the Board declared a $0.50 quarterly dividend payable March 19, 2026 (record date March 4, 2026). A February 14, 2026 commentary highlighted the company’s shift toward high-spec deepwater and harsh-environment rigs and noted continued portfolio pruning of non-core jackups.

Technical Analysis

ADX 54.39 (very strong): A reading of 54.39 denotes a very strong directional environment; such strength increases the likelihood that recent moves persist short-term but also raises the risk of an overextended advance given valuation above WMDST’s mark.

DI+ Peak-and-Reversal: DI+ shows a peak-and-reversal pattern, a bearish signal that indicates positive directional pressure has started to wane and reduces the probability of a sustained breakout absent fresh buying catalysts.

DI- Decreasing: DI- trends lower, a bullish sign that suggests downward pressure eased; the combination with a DI+ peak implies a transition phase rather than a clean directional breakout.

MACD 2.91, MACD signal 2.93 — Peak-and-Reversal: MACD sits just below its signal line while exhibiting a peak-and-reversal, indicating bearish momentum and weakening trend-following support for higher prices in the near term.

MRO 28.21 (positive): MRO stands positive at 28.21, which implies price sits above the model target and faces potential downward mean reversion pressure; this aligns with valuation indicating limited upside.

RSI 65.14 (increasing): RSI rising toward overbought territory signals strengthening short-term momentum but increases susceptibility to a corrective move if selling intensifies.

Price vs. Moving Averages and Bands: Last close $45.98 sits above the 20‑day average $44.74 and well above the 200‑day average $30.05, with price12‑day EMA rising; the stock trades near its 52‑week high $47.44, which supports a constructive intermediate stance but amplifies risk of a pullback given MACD weakness and MRO over-target pressure.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability & Margins: EBIT $55,238,000 and EBITDA $203,226,000 translate to an EBIT margin of 7.23%. Quarter-over-quarter EBIT margin expanded by 12.78%, while year-over-year EBIT margin fell by 60.81%. The EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean of 11.93% and below the industry peer median of 11.39%, but remains above the industry peer low of -5.72%.

Revenue and Growth: Total revenue $764,412,000. Quarterly revenue change shows a -29.43% QoQ move, while the reported year-over-year revenue change equates to -126.59% (both figures provided). Recent backlog additions materially extend forward revenue visibility despite sequential pressures in reported periods.

Earnings & Valuation Multiples: Reported EPS $0.09 versus an estimate $0.15 yielded an EPS surprise of -40%. Trailing PE stands at 361.69, driven by low trailing EPS; forward PE equals 46.79. Book value per share $28.64 produces a price‑to‑book ratio of 1.14, above the industry peer mean of 0.97 and just above the industry peer median of 1.08. Price‑to‑sales at 6.76 exceeds the industry peer mean of 4.94. WMDST’s current judgment: the stock registers as over‑valued, reflecting elevated multiples against modest profitability.

Cash Flow, Liquidity & Leverage: Operating cash flow $187,125,000 and free cash flow $35,378,000 imply a free cash flow yield of 0.68%, well below the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 3.98%. Cash and short‑term investments total $471,399,000 with net debt $1,504,392,000 and debt/EBITDA of 9.72, indicating elevated leverage versus operating cash generation. Interest coverage sits at 1.33x, which offers limited buffer against rate or demand shocks.

Key QoQ / YoY Movements: Asset growth modestly negative at -1.43% QoQ; return on equity near 1.91% with QoQ declines; capex outflow $151,747,000 and capex-to-revenue elevated. These dynamics—improving backlog and active fleet reallocation versus compressed margins and thin cash yield—explain WMDST’s valuation stance.

Valuation Summary: WMDST values the stock as over‑valued. The valuation reflects high multiples (trailing and forward PE), low free cash yield, and leverage measured by debt/EBITDA; backlog growth and recurring dividends support revenue visibility but do not offset the stretched multiple profile given current earnings and cash flow metrics.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-11
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-13
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 484.5 M
 Operating Cash Flow 187.1 M
 Capital Expenditures -151.75 M
 Change In Working Capital -195.73 M
 Dividends Paid -79.93 M
 Cash Flow Delta -4.56 M
 End Period Cash Flow 480.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 764.4 M
 Forward Revenue 210.1 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 664.8 M
 Depreciation 148.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 148.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 694.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 99.6 M
 EBITDA 203.2 M
 EBIT 55.2 M
 Operating Income 69.9 M
 Interest Income 12.7 M
 Interest Expense 41.4 M
 Net Interest Income -28.77 M
 Income Before Tax 13.8 M
 Tax Provision -72.85 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income 86.6 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 86.6 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.15
 EPS Actual 0.09
 EPS Difference -0.06
 EPS Surprise -40.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.60
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 7.5 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 4.5 B
 Total Current Assets 1.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 471.4 M
 Cash 471.4 M
 Net Receivables 589.6 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 854.7 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 298.8 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 759.7 M
 Net Debt 1.5 B
 Total Debt 2.0 B
 Total Liabilities 3.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 4.5 B
 Retained Earnings 286.6 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 28.64
 Shares Outstanding 158.854 M
 Revenue Per-Share 4.81
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 5.2 B
 Enterprise Value 6.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple 32.848
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 8.742 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 44.955 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 47.271
NE: 32.848
mean: 32.416
median: 29.271
low: 14.939
 EV/R 8.733
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.655
 Asset To Liability 2.526
 Debt To Capital 0.303
 Debt To Assets 0.262
Debt To Assets QoQ 1.399 %
Debt To Assets YoY 5.543 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.593
mean: 0.321
median: 0.315
NE: 0.262
low: 0.218
 Debt To Equity 0.434
Debt To Equity QoQ -0.381 %
Debt To Equity YoY 2.027 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.759
median: 0.736
mean: 0.679
NE: 0.434
low: 0.366
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.137
Price To Book QoQ 14.703 %
Price To Book YoY 4.944 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 1.342
NE: 1.137
median: 1.082
mean: 0.969
low: 0.635
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 361.694
Price To Earnings QoQ 142.926 %
Price To Earnings YoY 538.962 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA NE: 361.694
high: 233.755
median: 5.99
mean: -10.797
low: -326.495
 PE/G Ratio -2.137
 Price To Sales (P/S) 6.765
Price To Sales QoQ 20.135 %
Price To Sales YoY 24.505 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 7.913
NE: 6.765
median: 4.937
mean: 4.935
low: 2.152
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 46.786
Forward PE/G -0.276
Forward P/S 23.481
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -1.91
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.101
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -3.337 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -13.052 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.207
mean: 0.115
median: 0.108
NE: 0.101
low: 0.066
 Receivables Turnover 1.206
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.793 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 0.723 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.873
mean: 1.508
median: 1.375
low: 1.237
NE: 1.206
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 75.675
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 33.794
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -12.966 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 129.779
median: 78.922
mean: 59.121
NE: 33.794
low: -38.745
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.491
 CapEx To Revenue -0.199
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.025
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 6.5 B
 Net Invested Capital 6.5 B
 Invested Capital 6.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 4.5 B
 Net Working Capital 512.6 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.62
 Current Ratio 1.675
Current Ratio QoQ -4.357 %
Current Ratio YoY 13.386 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.191
median: 1.772
mean: 1.764
NE: 1.675
low: 1.558
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 9.722
 Cost Of Debt 1.657 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 1.333
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 5.543 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -63.735 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 2.468
median: 1.474
NE: 1.333
mean: 0.826
low: -2.27
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.417
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 41.881
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 1.084
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.923
 Dividend Rate 0.50
 Dividend Yield 0.015
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.434 %
 Revenue Growth -4.211 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -29.429 %
Revenue Growth YoY -126.588 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 1.459 %
median: 0.522 %
mean: -2.868 %
NE: -4.211 %
low: -9.787 %
 Earnings Growth -169.231 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -466.666 %
Earnings Growth YoY 4808.092 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 287.17 %
mean: 31.099 %
median: -66.667 %
low: -80.0 %
NE: -169.231 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 13.029 %
Gross Margin QoQ -25.9 %
Gross Margin YoY -45.703 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 85.906 %
mean: 41.983 %
median: 15.519 %
NE: 13.029 %
low: 5.038 %
 EBIT Margin 7.226 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 12.783 %
EBIT Margin YoY -60.811 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 26.176 %
mean: 11.929 %
median: 11.388 %
NE: 7.226 %
low: -5.715 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 9.149 %
Return On Sales QoQ -31.775 %
Return On Sales YoY -50.382 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 25.944 %
mean: 13.042 %
median: 10.495 %
NE: 9.149 %
low: -0.02 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 35.4 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.684 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -77.964 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -877.273 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 10.458 %
mean: 3.984 %
median: 3.895 %
NE: 0.684 %
low: -1.307 %
 Free Cash Growth -74.635 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -287.572 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -27.424 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 263.15 %
mean: 3.217 %
median: -19.568 %
NE: -74.635 %
low: -145.288 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.408
 Cash Flow Margin 41.481 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 3.66
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.142 %
Return On Assets QoQ -513.768 %
Return On Assets YoY -5.464 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 14.433 %
mean: 3.555 %
NE: 1.142 %
median: 0.157 %
low: -1.469 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.816 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.019
Return On Equity QoQ -509.677 %
Return On Equity YoY -8.325 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.226
mean: 0.053
NE: 0.019
median: 0.003
low: -0.037
 DuPont ROE 1.908 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.669 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 7.903 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -91.269 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 1.57 %
median: 0.949 %
mean: 0.67 %
NE: 0.669 %
low: -0.99 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price action likely follows technical consolidation with a bias toward corrective pressure. Indicators most influential for swing horizons: MACD peak-and-reversal and positive MRO favor pullback, while ADX at 54.39 implies moves may remain directional and volatile. Price positioned above short-term averages and close to a 52‑week high suggests any correction could be shallow absent renewed contract announcements or improved cash flow conversion.

Event flow that could alter this outlook within six weeks includes dividend record and payment timing (record date March 4, 2026; payment March 19, 2026) and any incremental contract awards or further divestitures. Low intraday liquidity compared with multi‑day averages increases the potential for outsized intraday moves around news. Given the company’s backlog expansion and continued capital returns, technical consolidation rather than trend reversal represents the most probable near‑term path.

About Noble Corporation Plc

Noble Corporation Plc (NYSE:NE) delivers offshore drilling services to the global oil and gas industry. With a comprehensive fleet of mobile offshore drilling units, Noble Corporation provides contract drilling services that cater to the complex needs of its clients. The company operates a diverse range of drilling rigs, including floaters and jackups, which are engineered to perform in various water depths and environmental conditions. Established in 1921, Noble Corporation has built a longstanding reputation for reliability and technical expertise within the energy sector. Headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas, the company continues to support the exploration and production efforts of its clients by offering efficient and safe drilling operations. Through its advanced fleet and experienced workforce, Noble Corporation remains a key player in facilitating the extraction of vital energy resources from beneath the ocean floor.



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