Comstock Resources, Inc (NYSE:CRK) Accelerates Value Reset After Asset Sale And Reserve Revaluation

Comstock enters the near term with operational momentum driven by asset monetization and reserve expansion, while balance-sheet leverage and capex weigh on free cash flow. Technical indicators show mixed signals that favor short-lived mean reversion rather than a sustained trend.

Recent News

On February 11, 2026 the company announced the sale of Shelby Trough assets for approximately $417 million net proceeds and disclosed proved reserves of roughly 7.0 Tcfe with a PV-10 near $4.5 billion; management outlined $1.4–$1.5 billion 2026 development spending and $100–$150 million Western Haynesville midstream investment.

Market intelligence noted a rebound in revenue prospects tied to higher natural gas prices and materially stronger gas-services revenue expectations heading into 2026.

Technical publications reported an upgrade in Comstock’s Relative Strength rating in mid-December 2025, highlighting improved relative performance and possible chart setups to monitor.

Technical Analysis

ADX/DI+: ADX reads 15.11, indicating no trend. DI+ stands at 20.77 and shows an increasing trend, while DI- at 28.28 registered a peak & reversal; both directional behaviors imply bullish directional pressure but ADX under 20 limits conviction. The net implication: directional signals favor upside but lack trend strength to sustain a breakout.

MACD: MACD equals -0.90 and its trend shows a peak & reversal; MACD sits below the signal line (-0.83), signaling bearish momentum. That declining momentum warns that short-term upside faces resistance until MACD stabilizes or crosses above its signal.

MRO: MRO equals -31.42 and the MRO trend decreases; the negative reading indicates price sits below its target and suggests potential for upward reversion. The magnitude signals material mean-reversion potential unless offset by worsening momentum.

Price Vs. Moving Averages & Structure: Last close $19.61 places the share above the 20-day average ($19.33) but below the 50-day ($21.65) and 200-day ($21.35) averages. The 12-day EMA shows a dip & reversal, which supports a near-term bounce against multi-week resistance lines—the Ichimoku cloud and the super trend upper band sit near $22–21 and act as overhead caps. Bollinger bands place the price comfortably inside the 1x band range, suggesting limited immediate volatility expansion.

RSI & Volume: RSI stands at 46.43 with a peak & reversal trend; the reading implies neutral momentum with recent distribution pressure. Current volume (~2.35M) slightly exceeds the 10-day average (~2.12M) but remains below longer-term averages, so moves have not yet attracted broad participation.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins show pronounced operating leverage: EBIT of $414,528,000 produces an EBIT margin of 83.68%, a figure above the industry peer high of 78.864% and reflecting an unusually large margin profile. QoQ, EBIT margin rose roughly 94.59%; YoY, EBIT margin declined about 4.80%. The elevated margin aligns with large, one-time asset-sale gains reflected in recent results and supports elevated headline profitability while masking recurring margin variability.

Earnings and per-share metrics: Reported EPS equals $0.97 versus an estimate of $0.10, a beat of $0.87 that represents an approximately 870% surprise. Forward EPS sits near $0.3246 and forward P/E reads ~70.02, while trailing P/E runs ~139.38—both ratios signal a valuation premium relative to normal cyclical E&P multiples and reflect earnings volatility.

Cash flow, capex and free cash dynamics present a working-capital and investment trade-off. Operating cash flow reached $282,325,000, yet free cash flow totaled negative $141,248,000. Capital expenditures of $365,452,000 (capEx-to-revenue about 73.77%) drive negative FCF; the Shelby Trough proceeds materially improved liquidity but core investing needs keep free cash flow negative absent asset monetizations.

Balance sheet and leverage: Total debt $2,907,439,000 with net debt $2,785,136,000 yields debt-to-EBITDA about 5.08x and debt-to-equity roughly 109.85%. Interest coverage near 7.39x provides serviceability headroom, but leverage metrics sit meaningfully above conservative thresholds and remain a watch item given planned 2026 spending.

Growth and efficiency: Reported total revenue $495,383,000 with revenue growth metrics mixed; the dataset shows revenue growth values that include a 10.12% figure and a year-over-year revenue growth of -50.32%. Receivables and asset-turnover metrics indicate low asset turnover (asset turnover ~7.155%), consistent with capital-intense production operations. Return on equity and invested capital remain positive (ROE ~11.54%, ROIC ~6.08%) and exceed many peer means, reflecting recent profitable realizations concentrated in natural gas.

Valuation posture: Enterprise-value multiples (EVR ~19.01, enterprise multiple ~16.47) and elevated trailing P/E place the company in an over-valued bucket under the current WMDST framework. WMDST values the stock as over-valued based on the combination of elevated multiples, negative free cash flow, and elevated leverage despite one-time asset-sale proceeds.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-11
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-13
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 19.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow 282.3 M
 Capital Expenditures -365.45 M
 Change In Working Capital 1.9 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 4.7 M
 End Period Cash Flow 23.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 495.4 M
 Forward Revenue 38.6 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 365.6 M
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 380.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 129.8 M
 EBITDA 572.0 M
 EBIT 414.5 M
 Operating Income 114.7 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 56.1 M
 Net Interest Income -56.06 M
 Income Before Tax 358.5 M
 Tax Provision 71.7 M
 Tax Rate 20.002 %
 Net Income 305.5 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 286.8 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.10
 EPS Actual 0.97
 EPS Difference 0.87
 EPS Surprise 870.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.32
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 7.0 B
 Intangible Assets 335.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets 2.3 B
 Total Current Assets 360.9 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 23.9 M
 Cash 23.9 M
 Net Receivables 242.5 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 501.7 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 729.5 M
 Net Debt 2.8 B
 Total Debt 2.9 B
 Total Liabilities 4.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.6 B
 Retained Earnings 1.1 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 9.03
 Shares Outstanding 293.055 M
 Revenue Per-Share 1.69
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 6.5 B
 Enterprise Value 9.4 B
 Enterprise Multiple 16.466
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -33.207 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -75.226 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 56.701
mean: 30.176
median: 29.526
CRK: 16.466
low: -3.719
 EV/R 19.013
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.647
 Asset To Liability 1.733
 Debt To Capital 0.523
 Debt To Assets 0.415
Debt To Assets QoQ -11.466 %
Debt To Assets YoY -12.556 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA CRK: 0.415
high: 0.328
mean: 0.178
median: 0.162
low: 0.004
 Debt To Equity 1.098
Debt To Equity QoQ -19.136 %
Debt To Equity YoY -18.713 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.344
CRK: 1.098
mean: 0.319
median: 0.282
low: -0.685
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.469
Price To Book QoQ 6.7 %
Price To Book YoY 9.582 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 2.856
CRK: 2.469
median: 2.011
mean: 1.963
low: -0.398
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 139.381
Price To Earnings QoQ -32.695 %
Price To Earnings YoY 29.074 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA CRK: 139.381
high: 129.503
mean: 54.039
median: 49.163
low: 43.213
 PE/G Ratio -2.323
 Price To Sales (P/S) 13.193
Price To Sales QoQ 8.656 %
Price To Sales YoY -4.246 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 58.693
CRK: 13.193
mean: 11.02
median: 10.615
low: 3.244
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 70.02
Forward PE/G -1.167
Forward P/S 169.507
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 11.292
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.072
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 7.643 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 23.918 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.274
median: 0.109
mean: 0.107
CRK: 0.072
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 2.385
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -8.171 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 7.581 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 36.195
mean: 7.742
CRK: 2.385
median: 2.109
low: 0.153
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 38.267
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 64.739
CRK: 0
median: -2.729
mean: -5.495
low: -12463.195
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -1.344
 CapEx To Revenue -0.738
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 5.5 B
 Net Invested Capital 5.5 B
 Invested Capital 5.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 2.3 B
 Net Working Capital -368.58 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.033
 Current Ratio 0.495
Current Ratio QoQ 19.582 %
Current Ratio YoY 6.754 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.884
median: 1.632
mean: 1.581
CRK: 0.495
low: 0.12
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 5.083
 Cost Of Debt 1.552 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 7.394
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 116.819 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -600.569 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 281.257
mean: 17.368
median: 14.788
CRK: 7.394
low: -23.818
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.387
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 115.191
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.428 %
 Revenue Growth 10.121 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -333.203 %
Revenue Growth YoY -50.324 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 20.522 %
CRK: 10.121 %
mean: 0.377 %
median: -1.378 %
low: -20.225 %
 Earnings Growth -60.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -24.571 %
Earnings Growth YoY -69.091 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 13.953 %
mean: -16.204 %
median: -26.667 %
low: -36.029 %
CRK: -60.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 26.199 %
Gross Margin QoQ 66.438 %
Gross Margin YoY 1062.85 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 79.215 %
median: 58.871 %
mean: 53.86 %
CRK: 26.199 %
low: 15.716 %
 EBIT Margin 83.678 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 94.591 %
EBIT Margin YoY -480.13 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA CRK: 83.678 %
high: 78.864 %
mean: 19.933 %
median: 17.265 %
low: -1848.273 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 23.147 %
Return On Sales QoQ 97.567 %
Return On Sales YoY -205.152 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 71.016 %
median: 29.489 %
mean: 28.022 %
CRK: 23.147 %
low: -1458.145 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -141.25 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -2.161 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -37.344 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 747.451 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 3.535 %
mean: 1.761 %
median: 1.595 %
CRK: -2.161 %
low: -5.705 %
 Free Cash Growth -25.031 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -99.544 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -72.239 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 856.867 %
mean: 86.996 %
CRK: -25.031 %
median: -33.909 %
low: -162.91 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.462
 Cash Flow Margin 56.991 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.924
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 4.412 %
Return On Assets QoQ 168.697 %
Return On Assets YoY -693.011 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.543 %
CRK: 4.412 %
mean: 1.519 %
median: 1.348 %
low: -5.037 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 6.603 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.115
Return On Equity QoQ 145.178 %
Return On Equity YoY -647.581 %
Return On Equity IPRWA CRK: 0.115
high: 0.064
mean: 0.025
median: 0.024
low: 0.003
 DuPont ROE 12.204 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 6.078 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 99.54 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -388.193 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA CRK: 6.078 %
high: 4.624 %
mean: 2.147 %
median: 1.997 %
low: 0.474 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term action likely remains chop with a bias toward short-lived rallies. Mixed technicals—bullish DI+ and MRO-driven mean-reversion potential but bearish MACD and low ADX—suggest price will test the $20–22 area on intermittent strength while failing to establish a sustained uptrend unless momentum indicators and ADX confirm. Fundamental drivers to monitor: realized natural gas prices, execution of 2026 capex, and any further asset monetizations that materially alter net debt. For swing traders, expect high-probability mean reversion setups and tight risk control around failed momentum confirmations; the balance-sheet and cash-flow dynamics represent the primary catalyst risk for multi-week moves.

About Comstock Resources, Inc.

Comstock Resources, Inc. (NYSE:CRK) develops and produces natural gas and oil, with a primary focus on the Haynesville and Bossier shales located in North Louisiana and East Texas. Headquartered in Frisco, Texas, Comstock Resources leverages advanced technology and industry expertise to enhance the efficiency of resource extraction. The company, founded in 1919, brings over a century of experience to its operations, underscoring its resilience and adaptability in the energy sector. As a subsidiary of Arkoma Drilling, L.P., Comstock Resources prioritizes sustainable practices and responsible resource management to minimize environmental impact while addressing the increasing energy needs. The company maintains a strong portfolio and strategically manages its operations to deliver value to shareholders and support the energy security of the United States. Through continuous innovation and strategic partnerships, Comstock Resources positions itself as a key player in the natural gas and oil production industry, driving growth and setting industry standards.



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