Dorian LPG Ltd. (NYSE:LPG) Tops Cash Returns And Readies Near-Term Momentum

Dorian LPG’s operating cash conversion and dividend flow position the company for a near-term constructive stance, while technical momentum suggests measurable upside potential. Fundamentals show strong margins and cash generation that support the current WMDST valuation.

Recent News

On February 5, 2026 the company reported results for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, including revenues of $120.0 million, net income of $47.2 million ($1.11 EPS), and an irregular cash dividend of $0.70 per share declared payable in late February 2026. In mid-January 2026 independent market commentary noted upgrades to Dorian LPG’s relative-strength metrics and highlighted improving technical formation and momentum.

Technical Analysis

Directional strength: ADX at 43.11 signals a very strong trend in place; DI+ at 36.36 is increasing and DI- at 11.39 is decreasing, a combination that reads as bullish momentum driving the near-term price bias.

MACD momentum: MACD sits at 1.84 and trends higher while the signal line rests at 1.46; the MACD sits above its signal line, indicating bullish momentum that supports continued upside in the weeks ahead.

MRO signal: The MRO reads 18.72 and is increasing, which implies the current price sits above the computed target and introduces potential mean-reversion pressure; this tempers the immediate upside implied by momentum indicators and the WMDST undervaluation.

Price structure and breadth: Price closed at $35.52, trading above the 12‑ and 26‑day EMAs and above the 20/50/200-day averages, and sits close to the 52‑week high—this alignment favors continuation of the current move. RSI at 62.55 and rising confirms bullish momentum without an extreme reading. Volume on the day (376,383) sits below the 10‑day average, reducing conviction until volume expands.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings and cashflow: Reported EPS of $1.11 missed the $1.17 estimate by $0.06, a -5.13% surprise. Net income totaled $47.19 million and adjusted operating cash flow and free cash flow remain strong: operating cash flow $80.8 million and free cash flow $67.4 million, with a free cash flow yield of 5.79%—above the industry peer mean of 2.36%—supporting the company’s capacity for shareholder returns.

Profitability: EBIT stands at $54.3 million and the EBIT margin equals 45.23%, comfortably above the industry peer mean of 11.57% and even above the industry peer high of 39.42%. QoQ the EBIT margin contracted by 10.91%, while YoY it expanded by 20.62%, indicating strong absolute profitability but short-term margin compression versus the prior quarter.

Liquidity and capital allocation: Cash and short‑term investments total $294.5 million and the cash ratio equals 181.27%; the current ratio sits at 2.41, reflecting ample short‑term liquidity. Dividends paid totaled $27.7 million in the period and dividend coverage sits at 1.70x, consistent with the company’s recent irregular cash returns program.

Leverage and coverage: Total debt stands at $673.6 million with net debt of $218.7 million. Debt/EBITDA reads roughly 9.31x while interest coverage equals 7.68x, below the industry peer mean interest coverage of 12.28x; leverage appears meaningful relative to operating cashflow, though interest expense remains covered multiple times by operating earnings.

Returns and growth: Return on equity measures 4.35%, above the industry peer mean of 3.65% but slightly below the industry peer median of 4.65%. Revenue expanded YoY by 54.22% while QoQ revenue shows a sharp contraction per the provided quarter-over-quarter metric; earnings growth registers negative on recent periods but year-over-year performance shows improvement in margins and profitability.

Valuation context: P/E equals 24.55, below the industry peer mean of 54.22; price-to-book equals 1.07, which sits below the industry peer low of 1.42; free cash flow yield at 5.79% compares favorably to the industry peer mean of 2.36%. The current valuation as determined by WMDST classifies the stock as under‑valued given strong cash generation, high operating margins, and below‑peer multiples, though higher leverage and the recent EPS miss moderate the near-term fundamental outlook.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-07
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 268.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 80.8 M
 Capital Expenditures -13.35 M
 Change In Working Capital 4.5 M
 Dividends Paid -27.69 M
 Cash Flow Delta 26.2 M
 End Period Cash Flow 294.6 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 120.0 M
 Forward Revenue 20.2 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 57.9 M
 Depreciation 18.1 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 18.1 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 68.0 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 62.1 M
 EBITDA 72.4 M
 EBIT 54.3 M
 Operating Income 52.0 M
 Interest Income 2.7 M
 Interest Expense 7.1 M
 Net Interest Income -4.33 M
 Income Before Tax 47.2 M
 Tax Provision
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income 47.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 47.2 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.17
 EPS Actual 1.11
 EPS Difference -0.06
 EPS Surprise -5.128 %
 Forward EPS 0.74
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.8 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 1.1 B
 Total Current Assets 392.3 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 294.5 M
 Cash 294.5 M
 Net Receivables 1.6 M
 Inventory 2.3 M
 Long-Term Investments 3.1 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 6.7 M
 Short-Term Debt 97.7 M
 Total Current Liabilities 162.5 M
 Net Debt 218.7 M
 Total Debt 673.6 M
 Total Liabilities 692.1 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.1 B
 Retained Earnings 348.9 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 25.40
 Shares Outstanding 42.744 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.81
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.2 B
 Enterprise Value 1.5 B
 Enterprise Multiple 21.332
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 4.099 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 25.09 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 114.216
median: 54.64
mean: 49.427
LPG: 21.332
low: -28.845
 EV/R 12.871
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.638
 Asset To Liability 2.569
 Debt To Capital 0.383
 Debt To Assets 0.379
Debt To Assets QoQ -3.425 %
Debt To Assets YoY 1180.135 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.6
LPG: 0.379
mean: 0.252
median: 0.149
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.62
Debt To Equity QoQ -5.254 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1130.399 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.634
LPG: 0.62
mean: 0.584
median: 0.323
low: 0.001
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.073
Price To Book QoQ -6.778 %
Price To Book YoY 5.692 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 4.609
mean: 2.744
median: 2.531
low: 1.423
LPG: 1.073
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 24.553
Price To Earnings QoQ 12.235 %
Price To Earnings YoY -58.341 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 406.342
mean: 54.216
median: 40.933
LPG: 24.553
low: -287.212
 PE/G Ratio -1.608
 Price To Sales (P/S) 9.711
Price To Sales QoQ -1.866 %
Price To Sales YoY -27.791 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 27.509
LPG: 9.711
mean: 7.921
median: 6.455
low: 2.847
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 35.703
Forward PE/G -2.339
Forward P/S 58.794
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 4.192
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.067
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.082 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 53.867 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.294
mean: 0.185
median: 0.184
LPG: 0.067
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 59.099
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.294 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -25.815 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA LPG: 59.099
high: 2.898
mean: 1.504
median: 1.342
low: 0.9
 Inventory Turnover 24.964
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 12.26 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 18.186 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA LPG: 24.964
high: 6.351
mean: 1.65
median: 1.128
low: 0.0
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 1.544
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -5.889
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -52.524 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -53.679 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 241.381
median: 78.422
mean: 69.072
LPG: -5.889
low: -7.923
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.522
 CapEx To Revenue -0.111
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.737
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.5 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.6 B
 Invested Capital 1.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.1 B
 Net Working Capital 229.8 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.813
 Current Ratio 2.415
Current Ratio QoQ -27.283 %
Current Ratio YoY -39.148 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 6.277
LPG: 2.415
mean: 1.814
median: 1.357
low: 0.701
 Quick Ratio 2.401
Quick Ratio QoQ -27.246 %
Quick Ratio YoY -39.153 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 23.548
mean: 2.645
LPG: 2.401
median: 1.0
low: 0.324
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 9.306
 Cost Of Debt 0.814 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 7.678
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -7.359 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 125.534 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 32.75
mean: 12.277
median: 9.656
LPG: 7.678
low: -113.959
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.408
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 11.4
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 1.704
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.587
 Dividend Rate 0.65
 Dividend Yield 0.024
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.136 %
 Revenue Growth -3.305 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -106.984 %
Revenue Growth YoY 54.223 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 16.86 %
median: 5.364 %
mean: 4.322 %
LPG: -3.305 %
low: -16.696 %
 Earnings Growth -15.267 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -103.964 %
Earnings Growth YoY -166.794 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 100.0 %
mean: 11.185 %
LPG: -15.267 %
median: -37.143 %
low: -180.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 51.736 %
Gross Margin QoQ -9.229 %
Gross Margin YoY 38.224 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 79.99 %
LPG: 51.736 %
mean: 25.603 %
median: 23.734 %
low: 9.037 %
 EBIT Margin 45.226 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -10.911 %
EBIT Margin YoY 20.619 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA LPG: 45.226 %
high: 39.415 %
mean: 11.565 %
median: 7.975 %
low: -37.704 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 43.321 %
Return On Sales QoQ -9.435 %
Return On Sales YoY 15.538 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 48.4 %
LPG: 43.321 %
mean: 15.607 %
median: 13.133 %
low: -118.628 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 67.4 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 5.788 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 114.37 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 193.212 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA LPG: 5.788 %
high: 3.75 %
median: 2.695 %
mean: 2.363 %
low: -8.205 %
 Free Cash Growth 103.385 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -106.55 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -267.863 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 264.758 %
LPG: 103.385 %
mean: 102.737 %
median: 102.681 %
low: -242.069 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.429
 Cash Flow Margin 55.264 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.405
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.653 %
Return On Assets QoQ -15.456 %
Return On Assets YoY 128.51 %
Return On Assets IPRWA LPG: 2.653 %
high: 2.636 %
median: 2.187 %
mean: 1.694 %
low: -6.561 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.359 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.043
Return On Equity QoQ -16.291 %
Return On Equity YoY 117.459 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.081
median: 0.047
LPG: 0.043
mean: 0.036
low: -0.107
 DuPont ROE 4.386 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.681 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -14.153 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -130.369 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 4.034 %
LPG: 2.681 %
mean: 2.035 %
median: 1.867 %
low: -6.633 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term bias tilts modestly bullish: multiple momentum indicators (DI+, MACD, rising EMAs, and RSI below overbought) align with a continuation scenario, and irregular dividend activity supports sentiment. Countervailing signals include a positive MRO that implies potential mean-reversion toward the WMDST target and daily volume below short‑term averages, which reduces conviction until volume confirms the move. Monitor momentum expansion and interest‑coverage trends for confirmation of sustained upside; absent strong follow‑through in volume and operating cadence, expect greater short-term oscillation around current levels.

About Dorian LPG Ltd.

Dorian LPG Ltd. (NYSE:LPG) transports liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) globally through its fleet of very large gas carriers (VLGCs). The company owns and operates a fleet of twenty-five VLGCs, which facilitate the efficient and safe movement of LPG across international waters. Established in 2013, Dorian LPG Ltd. maintains its headquarters in Stamford, Connecticut. The company leverages its modern fleet to provide reliable shipping solutions, catering to the growing demand for LPG transportation. Through strategic fleet management and operational expertise, Dorian LPG Ltd. supports the energy sector by ensuring the timely delivery of LPG to various global markets.



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