Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (NYSE:MSGE) Poised For Near-Term Upside As Live-Event Demand Bolsters Momentum

Strong attendance and recent corporate announcements coincide with technical momentum, creating a near-term bias toward higher nominal valuations even as balance-sheet leverage remains a constraint.

Recent News

Feb 3, 2026 — Company reported fiscal second-quarter results and highlighted the Christmas Spectacular’s record attendance. Jan 7, 2026 — Company announced the 2025 Christmas Spectacular closed with its highest attendance in 25 years. Jan 28, 2026 — MSG Entertainment expanded a multi-year digital partnership with a technology provider. Additional company releases in January and February described event lineups, venue partnerships, and the rollout of immersive-sound technology at Radio City Music Hall.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show a strong trend environment: ADX at 32.37 signals a robust trend. DI+ presents a dip & reversal (DI+ = 26.29), which reads as bullish for near-term directional bias; DI- shows a peak & reversal (DI- = 15.66), which also reads as bullish because DI- has declined.

MACD shows a dip & reversal (MACD = 1.55, MACD signal = 1.53) and has crossed above its signal line, a bullish momentum confirmation that supports continuation of the current move.

MRO sits positive at 33.34 with a dip & reversal; because MRO is positive, price currently trades above the model target and the indicator signals potential for mean reversion downward despite the recent bullish momentum.

RSI at 63.37 with a peak & reversal indicates the market has reached a relatively high momentum state and faces an elevated probability of short-term consolidation.

Price sits above near-term averages: the 12-day EMA and 20-day average (price close $63.15 vs 12-day EMA $61.69 and 20-day average $61.26), and well above the 200-day average ($45.51), which aligns with the valuation view that the market currently prices a premium for recovery in live events. Bollinger bands show price near the upper 1x band ($63.02), signaling limited immediate upside without a new volatility expansion. Volume today (213,399) runs below the 10-day average (343,828), so momentum lacks intraday volume confirmation relative to the recent average.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue and top-line: total revenue equals $158,262,000. Revenue growth (period) registers 2.68%; reported revenue growth year-over-year shows -110.51% as provided. Receivables turnover improved by 33.23% year-over-year (receivables turnover YoY = 0.3323), while asset turnover remains low at 0.09449, though slightly higher than the industry peer low of 0.05162 and well below the industry peer mean of 0.22176.

Profitability: EBIT equals -$29,391,000, producing an EBIT margin of -18.57% compared with an industry peer range where the low sits at -24.85%, the industry peer mean at 25.01%, and the industry peer median at 21.77%. Quarter-over-quarter, EBIT margin declined by 6.03%, while year-over-year the EBIT margin improved by 36.45% relative to the prior-year period.

Earnings and analyst context: Reported EPS actual = $1.97 versus an estimate of $2.51, yielding an EPS surprise of -21.51%. Forward EPS equals $0.64375 with a forward P/E of 68.09. Trailing P/E shows a negative value as provided (PE = -148.33), while price-to-sales sits at 12.84.

Cash flow and leverage: Operating cash flow totaled $19,808,000 with free cash flow $13,855,000 and free cash flow yield about 0.68%. Cash and short-term investments equal $29,950,000; cash conversion cycle days measure 34.60 days. Liquidity metrics remain constrained: current ratio = 0.48 and quick ratio = 0.47, both below the industry peer mean current-ratio benchmark of 1.43 and quick-ratio mean of 1.81. Total debt stands at $1,215,230,000 with net debt $582,201,000; debt-to-assets equals 72.34% and debt-to-capital 105.72%, highlighting meaningful leverage on the balance sheet.

Returns: Return on equity registers 32.91% as provided, while return on assets sits negative at -1.29%. Interest coverage remains negative at -2.67, reflecting the current operating losses relative to interest expense.

Valuation summary: The current valuation as determined by WMDST: under-valued. That view reflects a combination of strong event-driven revenue momentum, modest positive free cash flow, and elevated leverage that compresses credit and solvency metrics. Comparisons to the industry peer range show margins and liquidity lag the peer mean and median, while attendance and venue partnerships supply measurable operational upside.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-03
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-05
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 43.5 M
 Operating Cash Flow 19.8 M
 Capital Expenditures -5.95 M
 Change In Working Capital 24.8 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -13.07 M
 End Period Cash Flow 30.5 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 158.3 M
 Forward Revenue -55.55 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 102.4 M
 Depreciation 14.1 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 14.1 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 173.0 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 55.9 M
 EBITDA -15.32 M
 EBIT -29.39 M
 Operating Income -14.77 M
 Interest Income 520.0 K
 Interest Expense 11.0 M
 Net Interest Income -10.51 M
 Income Before Tax -40.42 M
 Tax Provision -18.77 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -21.65 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -21.65 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.51
 EPS Actual 1.97
 EPS Difference -0.54
 EPS Surprise -21.514 %
 Forward EPS 0.64
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.7 B
 Intangible Assets 132.8 M
 Net Tangible Assets -198.64 M
 Total Current Assets 264.2 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 29.9 M
 Cash 29.9 M
 Net Receivables 81.2 M
 Inventory 4.6 M
 Long-Term Investments 1.9 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 14.3 M
 Short-Term Debt 30.5 M
 Total Current Liabilities 547.7 M
 Net Debt 582.2 M
 Total Debt 1.2 B
 Total Liabilities 1.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity -65.80 M
 Retained Earnings 131.4 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share -1.39
 Shares Outstanding 47.229 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.35
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.0 B
 Enterprise Value 3.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple -210.014
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 6.035 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -45.828 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 155.939
mean: 78.722
median: 69.962
low: -118.636
MSGE: -210.014
 EV/R 20.326
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity -25.53
 Asset To Liability 0.962
 Debt To Capital 1.057
 Debt To Assets 0.723
Debt To Assets QoQ 0.598 %
Debt To Assets YoY 5636.955 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.022
MSGE: 0.723
median: 0.263
mean: 0.236
low: 0.013
 Debt To Equity -18.469
Debt To Equity QoQ -79.544 %
Debt To Equity YoY 4327.767 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 8.494
mean: 0.623
median: 0.557
low: -4.611
MSGE: -18.469
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) -30.875
Price To Book QoQ -77.428 %
Price To Book YoY -24.573 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 25.535
median: 19.682
mean: 17.09
low: -2.514
MSGE: -30.875
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -148.325
Price To Earnings QoQ 121.824 %
Price To Earnings YoY 44.234 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 593.049
mean: 196.121
median: 188.737
low: -138.317
MSGE: -148.325
 PE/G Ratio 3.019
 Price To Sales (P/S) 12.836
Price To Sales QoQ 8.757 %
Price To Sales YoY -10.675 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 32.951
mean: 19.715
median: 13.217
MSGE: 12.836
low: 0.154
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 68.091
Forward PE/G -1.386
Forward P/S -39.154
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -1.315
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.094
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.501 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 7.73 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.675
mean: 0.222
median: 0.191
MSGE: 0.094
low: 0.052
 Receivables Turnover 2.139
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.981 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 33.23 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 8.376
mean: 6.355
median: 5.21
MSGE: 2.139
low: 1.288
 Inventory Turnover 24.482
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -6.156 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -0.303 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA MSGE: 24.482
high: 18.73
median: 9.984
mean: 9.609
low: 1.444
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 42.657
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 34.601
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -5.326 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -17.709 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 68.402
MSGE: 34.601
median: -0.636
mean: -8.617
low: -91.156
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -0.558
 CapEx To Revenue -0.038
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.423
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 515.9 M
 Net Invested Capital 546.4 M
 Invested Capital 546.4 M
 Net Tangible Assets -198.64 M
 Net Working Capital -283.44 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.055
 Current Ratio 0.482
Current Ratio QoQ 2.214 %
Current Ratio YoY -3.433 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.739
mean: 1.434
median: 1.168
MSGE: 0.482
low: 0.309
 Quick Ratio 0.474
Quick Ratio QoQ 2.045 %
Quick Ratio YoY -3.603 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.623
median: 2.081
mean: 1.805
MSGE: 0.474
low: 0.287
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -79.339
 Cost Of Debt 0.721 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -2.665
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 2.43 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 98.244 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 104.375
mean: 39.246
median: 10.09
MSGE: -2.665
low: -9.125
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.038
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 11.797
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.598 %
 Revenue Growth 2.676 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -107.346 %
Revenue Growth YoY -110.514 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 22.255 %
median: 3.854 %
mean: 3.804 %
MSGE: 2.676 %
low: -14.52 %
 Earnings Growth -49.123 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -81.646 %
Earnings Growth YoY -61.733 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 128.571 %
mean: -7.376 %
median: -18.359 %
MSGE: -49.123 %
low: -125.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 35.316 %
Gross Margin QoQ 4.386 %
Gross Margin YoY 19.468 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 86.351 %
median: 45.155 %
mean: 42.767 %
MSGE: 35.316 %
low: 2.658 %
 EBIT Margin -18.571 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -6.031 %
EBIT Margin YoY 36.451 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 32.152 %
mean: 25.014 %
median: 21.774 %
MSGE: -18.571 %
low: -24.848 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -9.331 %
Return On Sales QoQ -38.037 %
Return On Sales YoY -31.44 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 28.22 %
median: 28.016 %
mean: 23.418 %
MSGE: -9.331 %
low: -24.352 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 13.9 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.682 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -139.93 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -140.863 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 7.053 %
mean: 0.899 %
MSGE: 0.682 %
median: 0.521 %
low: -14.855 %
 Free Cash Growth -144.581 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -8.328 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -121.596 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 2001.807 %
mean: 46.281 %
median: 17.337 %
MSGE: -144.581 %
low: -740.0 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.64
 Cash Flow Margin -13.066 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.955
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) -1.293 %
Return On Assets QoQ -18.883 %
Return On Assets YoY 5.81 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.386 %
mean: 4.35 %
median: 2.024 %
MSGE: -1.293 %
low: -10.786 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -2.596 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.329
Return On Equity QoQ -83.894 %
Return On Equity YoY -17.051 %
Return On Equity IPRWA MSGE: 0.329
high: 0.229
mean: 0.092
median: 0.026
low: -0.066
 DuPont ROE 54.748 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -4.25 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 26.866 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -104.843 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.929 %
mean: 6.005 %
median: 2.594 %
MSGE: -4.25 %
low: -5.58 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price action will likely hinge on momentum persistence versus mean-reversion pressures. Technical momentum indicators (ADX, DI+, MACD crossing) favor continuation of the recent advance, while MRO positive and RSI peak suggest increased odds of a consolidation flush or a sideways pause. Low relative intraday volume compared with the 10-day average reduces the conviction of any immediate breakout.

Operational catalysts over the period include follow-through from reported quarter results, venue programming, and any incremental partnership announcements; countervailing pressure will come from the company’s high leverage and below-peer liquidity ratios. Expect elevated intraday volatility around event announcements and analyst re-pricings; prepare for scenarios where momentum sends price toward consensus analyst targets, and alternate scenarios where technical mean reversion first tests the near-term support band identified by short-term trend indicators.

About Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (NYSE:MSGE) delivers live entertainment experiences through its extensive network of iconic venues and productions. The company produces and hosts a diverse array of events, including concerts, sporting events, family shows, and performing arts. Key venues under its management include Madison Square Garden, The Theater at Madison Square Garden, Radio City Music Hall, the Beacon Theatre, and The Chicago Theatre. MSGE also owns and produces the renowned Christmas Spectacular Starring the Radio City Rockettes, showcasing its commitment to high-quality entertainment. Additionally, the company engages in entertainment and sports bookings, offering a wide range of concerts, family shows, special events, and sporting events to audiences. Established in 2022 and headquartered in New York, New York, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. continues to play a significant role in the live entertainment industry, leveraging its historical venues and popular productions to attract diverse audiences.



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