Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE:HWM) Accelerates After Acquisition With Bullish 2026 Guidance

Howmet entered 2026 with momentum from strategic M&A and management guidance, positioning revenue and cash metrics to support continued operational strength. Near-term technicals show constructive momentum, while valuation metrics remain rich relative to fundamentals.

Recent News

On December 29, 2025 Howmet announced an all-cash agreement to acquire Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing for $1.8 billion. On December 22, 2025 Jefferies publicly backed the acquisition, estimating a modest EPS lift in 2026 and citing management projections that CAM could contribute roughly $485–$495 million in revenue for FY26.

Technical Analysis

Directional Strength: ADX sits at 25.36, signaling a strong trend strength that supports continuation of the current directional move.

DI+/DI-: DI+ at 30.46 shows an increasing trend (bullish); DI- at 17.60 shows a decreasing trend (bullish), reinforcing the current positive directional bias and supporting near-term upside pressure.

MACD: MACD equals 7.35 and trends increasing, trading above its signal line at 3.94; the MACD crossing above the signal line constitutes a bullish momentum signal that aligns with the ADX/DI directional picture.

MRO: MRO reads 27.15 with a peak-and-reversal pattern, which indicates the price currently sits above a modeled target and introduces downside pressure risk despite other bullish signals.

RSI: RSI at 60.97 and increasing indicates bullish momentum without reaching overbought extremes, compatible with continued trend-following price behavior.

Price vs. Moving Averages & Bands: Last close at $252.55 trades well above the 200-day average ($190.35) and above short-term averages (20-day $222.71, 50-day $212.44), reinforcing the bullish short- and long-term bias; the share price sits above the 1x upper Bollinger band ($240.95) but below the 2x upper band ($259.19), suggesting stretched but not extreme intraday dispersion.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings and Guidance: Reported EPS of $1.05 beat the estimate of $0.97 by $0.08, an EPS surprise of +8.25%. Management issued 2026 revenue and EPS guidance that implies sequential growth and improved cash generation; management commentary and guidance underpin the acquisition rationale and near-term revenue trajectory.

Profitability: EBIT equals $467.0 million and EBIT margin equals 21.54%, above the industry peer mean of 16.71% and the industry peer median of 11.00%, indicating relative operating efficiency. QoQ EBIT margin fell roughly 15.42%, and YoY EBIT margin declined about 5.71%, reflecting recent margin compression on a short- and medium-term basis despite a higher absolute margin versus peers.

Revenue & Cash Flow: Total revenue equals $2,168.0 million with YoY revenue growth of 23.92% and a very large QoQ growth read of 115.62%, reflecting seasonal and period comparisons; free cash flow equals $530.0 million, but free cash flow yield stands at 0.63%, below the industry peer mean of 1.51%, which reduces valuation support from cash-generation metrics.

Balance Sheet & Leverage: Cash and short-term investments equal $742.0 million; net debt approximates $2.308 billion. Debt-to-EBITDA equals 5.95x, indicating elevated leverage relative to conservative targets; debt-to-assets at 28.74% tracks slightly above the industry peer mean of 27.10% but within the peer range. Current ratio equals 2.13, above the industry peer mean of 1.45, showing ample near-term liquidity.

Returns & Efficiency: Return on equity equals 6.95% and return on assets equals 3.33%, both above the industry peer mean for ROA (2.28%) and near the peer mean for ROE (2.85%), reflecting constructive returns on invested capital despite operating leverage headwinds. Asset turnover equals 0.194, roughly in line with the industry peer mean of 0.186.

Valuation: WMDST values the stock as over-valued. Trailing P/E equals 199.20x and forward P/E about 147.45x, both above the industry peer mean P/E of 98.93; price-to-book equals 15.71x, above the industry peer mean book multiple of 5.11x. Enterprise value ratios also sit materially above peer averages. The combination of strong operating margins and elevated leverage supports a premium multiple, but current multiples exceed levels justified by free cash flow yield and leverage metrics.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-12
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-14
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 660.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 564.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -124.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 169.0 M
 Dividends Paid -50.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta 83.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 743.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 2.2 B
 Forward Revenue 785.5 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.4 B
 Depreciation 73.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 73.0 M
 Research and Development 10.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 1.6 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 756.0 M
 EBITDA 540.0 M
 EBIT 467.0 M
 Operating Income 562.0 M
 Interest Income 7.0 M
 Interest Expense 37.0 M
 Net Interest Income -30.00 M
 Income Before Tax 430.0 M
 Tax Provision 58.0 M
 Tax Rate 13.488 %
 Net Income 372.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 372.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.97
 EPS Actual 1.05
 EPS Difference 0.08
 EPS Surprise 8.247 %
 Forward EPS 1.34
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 11.2 B
 Intangible Assets 4.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 874.0 M
 Total Current Assets 3.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 742.0 M
 Cash 742.0 M
 Net Receivables 779.0 M
 Inventory 1.8 B
 Long-Term Investments 126.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 845.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 191.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.8 B
 Net Debt 2.3 B
 Total Debt 3.2 B
 Total Liabilities 5.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 5.4 B
 Retained Earnings 4.1 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 13.32
 Shares Outstanding 402.000 M
 Revenue Per-Share 5.39
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 84.1 B
 Enterprise Value 86.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 160.281
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 23.97 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 71.511 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA HWM: 160.281
high: 137.577
mean: 62.022
median: 59.052
low: 14.966
 EV/R 39.922
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.088
 Asset To Liability 1.919
 Debt To Capital 0.375
 Debt To Assets 0.287
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.165 %
Debt To Assets YoY 50322.807 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.367
HWM: 0.287
mean: 0.271
median: 0.258
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 0.6
Debt To Equity QoQ -8.893 %
Debt To Equity YoY 45029.323 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.021
median: 0.606
HWM: 0.6
mean: 0.593
low: 0.003
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 15.707
Price To Book QoQ 5.995 %
Price To Book YoY 47.989 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 17.452
HWM: 15.707
mean: 5.111
median: 3.738
low: -8.298
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 199.196
Price To Earnings QoQ 1.146 %
Price To Earnings YoY 25.154 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 235.389
HWM: 199.196
mean: 98.935
median: 84.204
low: 22.275
 PE/G Ratio 18.924
 Price To Sales (P/S) 38.783
Price To Sales QoQ 7.452 %
Price To Sales YoY 53.583 %
Price To Sales IPRWA HWM: 38.783
high: 36.07
mean: 12.035
median: 7.253
low: 1.653
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 147.454
Forward PE/G 14.009
Forward P/S 107.039
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -3.231
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.194
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.165 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 8.086 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.432
HWM: 0.194
mean: 0.186
median: 0.15
low: 0.049
 Receivables Turnover 2.607
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 10.584 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -0.312 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 9.75
mean: 4.246
median: 3.897
HWM: 2.607
low: 1.399
 Inventory Turnover 0.738
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.214 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 7.192 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 6.44
mean: 2.031
median: 1.437
HWM: 0.738
low: 0.265
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 34.997
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 102.583
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 1.697 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -0.632 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 264.697
HWM: 102.583
mean: 100.222
median: 43.483
low: -6.466
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.08
 CapEx To Revenue -0.057
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.699
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 8.2 B
 Net Invested Capital 8.4 B
 Invested Capital 8.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets 874.0 M
 Net Working Capital 2.0 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.419
 Current Ratio 2.134
Current Ratio QoQ -9.324 %
Current Ratio YoY -1.687 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 5.865
HWM: 2.134
mean: 1.448
median: 1.188
low: 0.914
 Quick Ratio 1.09
Quick Ratio QoQ -4.225 %
Quick Ratio YoY 10.911 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.424
HWM: 1.09
mean: 0.912
median: 0.894
low: 0.405
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 5.95
 Cost Of Debt 0.975 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 12.622
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -12.218 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 16.867 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 20.526
HWM: 12.622
mean: 9.483
median: 7.208
low: -1.736
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.318
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 60.232
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 7.44
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.134
 Dividend Rate 0.12
 Dividend Yield 0.001
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.018 %
 Revenue Growth 3.782 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 115.621 %
Revenue Growth YoY 23.919 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 25.079 %
median: 7.83 %
mean: 6.105 %
HWM: 3.782 %
low: -6.237 %
 Earnings Growth 10.526 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 139.445 %
Earnings Growth YoY 149.136 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 47.826 %
HWM: 10.526 %
mean: -0.672 %
median: -8.156 %
low: -16.547 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 34.871 %
Gross Margin QoQ 11.727 %
Gross Margin YoY 9.537 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 59.751 %
HWM: 34.871 %
mean: 20.967 %
median: 19.461 %
low: 7.566 %
 EBIT Margin 21.541 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -15.416 %
EBIT Margin YoY -5.708 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 37.49 %
HWM: 21.541 %
mean: 16.707 %
median: 11.003 %
low: -6.397 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 25.923 %
Return On Sales QoQ -0.085 %
Return On Sales YoY 13.473 %
Return On Sales IPRWA HWM: 25.923 %
high: 23.071 %
median: 10.71 %
mean: 8.328 %
low: -6.397 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 530.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.63 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 12.299 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -20.455 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 3.808 %
mean: 1.51 %
median: 1.251 %
HWM: 0.63 %
low: -0.544 %
 Free Cash Growth 25.296 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 10.15 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -81.028 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 322.482 %
mean: 39.593 %
HWM: 25.296 %
median: -17.658 %
low: -285.652 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.425
 Cash Flow Margin 26.015 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.516
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.328 %
Return On Assets QoQ -3.954 %
Return On Assets YoY 11.678 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.166 %
HWM: 3.328 %
mean: 2.282 %
median: 1.99 %
low: -0.304 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.964 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.069
Return On Equity QoQ -8.167 %
Return On Equity YoY -0.43 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.086
HWM: 0.069
mean: 0.029
median: 0.025
low: -0.048
 DuPont ROE 7.126 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.808 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -3.859 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -107.753 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 5.625 %
HWM: 4.808 %
median: 3.889 %
mean: 3.3 %
low: -0.522 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term momentum favors continuation: directional indicators (DI+, ADX) and MACD signal bullish pressure while the price trades above both short- and long-term averages. However, MRO’s positive peak-and-reversal and elevated valuation metrics increase the risk of a corrective leg or consolidation, particularly if cash-yield and leverage remain focal points for investors. Expect a price environment biased higher with periodic pullbacks; heightened dispersion near the upper Bollinger band suggests intraperiod volatility may present brief retracements before trend resumption.

About Howmet Aerospace Inc.

Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE:HWM) develops advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries. Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, the company operates globally, with a presence in the United States, Europe, Asia, and other regions. Howmet Aerospace structures its business into four main segments: Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. In the Engine Products segment, Howmet Aerospace creates airfoils and seamless rolled rings that are crucial for aircraft engines and industrial gas turbines. The Fastening Systems division manufactures durable fasteners for aerospace applications, as well as tools and components for commercial and industrial uses. The Engineered Structures segment focuses on producing titanium ingots, aluminum and nickel forgings, and precision-machined components for aerospace and defense sectors. The Forged Wheels segment delivers high-quality forged aluminum wheels designed for heavy-duty trucks and commercial transportation. Founded in 1888, Howmet Aerospace leverages its long-standing expertise and cutting-edge technology to meet the dynamic needs of its global clients, emphasizing excellence, innovation, and sustainability in its operations.



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