Motorola Solutions, Inc (NYSE:MSI) Momentum Intact But Valuation Signals Near-Term Correction

Operational momentum and deal activity support continued upside, yet stretched valuation tightens the margin for additional gains. Near-term technical strength coexists with model-derived downside risk, suggesting a cautious short-term backdrop.

Recent News

On Nov. 19, 2025 the company announced the acquisition of Blue Eye, an AI-powered remote video monitoring provider; the deal expands on-premise and managed video capabilities for enterprise customers. On Jan. 12, 2026 Motorola Solutions showcased new on-premise AI detection and Visual Alerts capabilities at Intersec Dubai, highlighting expanded AI analytics and long-range camera solutions for critical industries.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 52.26 indicates a very strong trending environment; a trend this strong increases the probability that near-term moves will follow current direction rather than immediately revert to the mean. That strength amplifies the short-term impact of valuation-driven re-pricing.

Directional indicators show DI+ in a dip-and-reversal and DI- decreasing, a bullish configuration that supports continued upside momentum from a trend-following perspective. This setup aligns with the strong ADX reading and underpins momentum-sensitive positioning.

MACD sits at 14.15 with the signal line at 9.60 and the MACD trend increasing; the MACD currently trading above its signal line confirms bullish momentum and suggests continuation of recent gains unless momentum rolls over.

MRO reads 6.48 and is rising, which implies the market price sits modestly above the model target and therefore carries measurable downside pressure toward reversion. The magnitude indicates limited but tangible mean-reversion potential rather than an extreme overextension.

RSI at 61.22 and rising points to positive momentum without an immediate overbought extreme; combined with price above the 20-, 50- and 200-day averages (price close $457.76 vs. 20-day $422.57, 50-day $392.89, 200-day $420.23) the price structure favors continuation while leaving room for a pullback if selling intensifies.

Price sits above the 1x Bollinger upper band ($445.42) but below the 2x upper ($468.28), signalling strength inside a stretched volatility envelope; that condition supports both further upside extension and a higher conditional risk of a corrective leg back toward the mid-band or moving averages.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth came in strong year-over-year at 43.17%, while quarter-over-quarter revenue dipped by 5.87%. YoY top-line expansion provides a substantive growth base, but the QoQ decline signals near-term timing variability in orders or deliveries.

Non-GAAP EPS of $4.59 beat the $4.35 estimate by $0.24, an upside surprise of 5.52%, showing the company converted revenue into above-consensus per-share results this period. Free cash flow of $732 million and a free cash flow yield of 0.97% remain modest relative to the company’s market value.

Operating margin stands at 25.46% and EBIT margin at 27.52%; EBIT margin sits slightly above the industry peer mean of 27.10%, while operating margin sits marginally below the industry peer mean of 26.25%, indicating broadly competitive profitability given peer benchmarks. Gross margin at 51.65% indicates healthy product/service profitability.

Balance-sheet leverage appears elevated: debt-to-equity runs at 4.27x and debt-to-assets at 52.85%, with net debt of $8.445 billion against a market capitalization of $75.225 billion. Interest coverage near 8.04x provides breathing room on servicing cost, but capital structure remains levered relative to typical peer medians.

Liquidity metrics show a current ratio of 1.03 and a quick ratio of 0.86, both below the industry peer mean current ratio of 1.84 and median quick ratio of 0.91, indicating tighter short-term coverage versus peer averages. Asset turnover at 0.171 sits slightly above the industry peer mean of 0.157, reflecting reasonable revenue generation from asset base.

Valuation context: price-to-earnings at ~111.1, price-to-book ~32.33 and an enterprise-value-to-revenue multiple of ~28.0 place the stock in a premium bracket on multiple fronts. WMDST values the stock as over-valued, a conclusion consistent with high multiples and modest free cash flow yield despite robust margins and strong YoY revenue growth.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-11
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-13
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 3.2 B
 Operating Cash Flow 798.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -66.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 46.0 M
 Dividends Paid -182.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -2.31 B
 End Period Cash Flow 894.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 3.0 B
 Forward Revenue 1.0 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.5 B
 Depreciation 49.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 115.0 M
 Research and Development 237.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 2.2 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.6 B
 EBITDA 943.0 M
 EBIT 828.0 M
 Operating Income 766.0 M
 Interest Income 17.0 M
 Interest Expense 103.0 M
 Net Interest Income -86.00 M
 Income Before Tax 725.0 M
 Tax Provision 161.0 M
 Tax Rate 22.0 %
 Net Income 562.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 563.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 4.35
 EPS Actual 4.59
 EPS Difference 0.24
 EPS Surprise 5.517 %
 Forward EPS 4.53
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 18.8 B
 Intangible Assets 9.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets -7.58 B
 Total Current Assets 5.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 894.0 M
 Cash 894.0 M
 Net Receivables 2.0 B
 Inventory 943.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 96.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 1.1 B
 Short-Term Debt 928.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 5.7 B
 Net Debt 8.4 B
 Total Debt 9.9 B
 Total Liabilities 16.5 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.3 B
 Retained Earnings 2.6 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 13.96
 Shares Outstanding 166.700 M
 Revenue Per-Share 18.05
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 75.2 B
 Enterprise Value 84.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple 89.36
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -4.84 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 4.747 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 162.207
MSI: 89.36
median: 68.592
mean: 67.038
low: -11.362
 EV/R 28.005
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 8.079
 Asset To Liability 1.142
 Debt To Capital 0.81
 Debt To Assets 0.529
Debt To Assets QoQ 4.109 %
Debt To Assets YoY 2180.155 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.533
MSI: 0.529
median: 0.228
mean: 0.22
low: 0.024
 Debt To Equity 4.27
Debt To Equity QoQ 0.854 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1658.31 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA MSI: 4.27
high: 2.401
median: 0.569
mean: 0.566
low: 0.034
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 32.327
Price To Book QoQ -13.411 %
Price To Book YoY -41.89 %
Price To Book IPRWA MSI: 32.327
high: 21.237
mean: 7.576
median: 5.604
low: -1.369
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 111.147
Price To Earnings QoQ -6.321 %
Price To Earnings YoY -5.948 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 350.333
mean: 111.755
MSI: 111.147
median: 55.548
low: -73.826
 PE/G Ratio 8.098
 Price To Sales (P/S) 25.0
Price To Sales QoQ -5.918 %
Price To Sales YoY -5.445 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 43.745
MSI: 25.0
median: 17.892
mean: 13.25
low: 0.045
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 111.533
Forward PE/G 8.126
Forward P/S 82.634
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.162
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.171
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.669 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -16.585 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.496
MSI: 0.171
mean: 0.157
median: 0.126
low: 0.057
 Receivables Turnover 1.555
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.851 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 0.604 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.142
median: 2.071
mean: 2.002
MSI: 1.555
low: 0.595
 Inventory Turnover 1.613
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.056 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -3.774 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.69
MSI: 1.613
mean: 1.177
median: 1.079
low: 0.006
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 58.68
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 45.047
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -0.261 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 3.989 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 366.812
mean: 116.112
median: 52.2
MSI: 45.047
low: -92.54
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 19.796
 CapEx To Revenue -0.022
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.347
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 10.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 11.7 B
 Invested Capital 11.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets -7.58 B
 Net Working Capital 152.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.158
 Current Ratio 1.027
Current Ratio QoQ -40.577 %
Current Ratio YoY -17.523 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 5.423
mean: 1.844
median: 1.171
MSI: 1.027
low: 0.722
 Quick Ratio 0.86
Quick Ratio QoQ -43.966 %
Quick Ratio YoY -19.613 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 4.274
mean: 1.516
median: 0.908
MSI: 0.86
low: 0.497
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 10.537
 Cost Of Debt 0.88 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 8.039
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -24.0 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -23.589 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 35.667
mean: 11.005
median: 8.583
MSI: 8.039
low: -29.448
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.084
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 74.512
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 3.088
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.324
 Dividend Rate 1.09
 Dividend Yield 0.002
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 14.544 %
 Revenue Growth 8.825 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -5.867 %
Revenue Growth YoY 43.17 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 44.897 %
MSI: 8.825 %
mean: 4.22 %
median: 3.703 %
low: -31.668 %
 Earnings Growth 13.725 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 11.913 %
Earnings Growth YoY -11.061 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 125.0 %
MSI: 13.725 %
mean: 10.403 %
median: 2.857 %
low: -78.571 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 51.645 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.061 %
Gross Margin YoY 0.551 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 88.028 %
median: 60.607 %
mean: 57.35 %
MSI: 51.645 %
low: 6.723 %
 EBIT Margin 27.517 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 1.311 %
EBIT Margin YoY -0.036 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 52.219 %
MSI: 27.517 %
mean: 27.099 %
median: 18.66 %
low: -25.54 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 25.457 %
Return On Sales QoQ 1.572 %
Return On Sales YoY -7.52 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 46.033 %
mean: 26.248 %
MSI: 25.457 %
median: 18.046 %
low: -26.82 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 732.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.973 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 217.974 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 2.206 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 7.425 %
median: 1.53 %
mean: 1.329 %
MSI: 0.973 %
low: -8.162 %
 Free Cash Growth 225.333 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -529.771 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -57.225 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 387.5 %
MSI: 225.333 %
mean: 27.823 %
median: 5.822 %
low: -667.257 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.302
 Cash Flow Margin 15.786 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.845
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.192 %
Return On Assets QoQ -4.029 %
Return On Assets YoY -22.656 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.933 %
MSI: 3.192 %
mean: 2.778 %
median: 1.696 %
low: -4.587 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 6.301 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.242
Return On Equity QoQ -7.35 %
Return On Equity YoY -43.017 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.251
MSI: 0.242
mean: 0.067
median: 0.021
low: -0.186
 DuPont ROE 26.169 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 5.536 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -5.593 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -109.629 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.517 %
MSI: 5.536 %
mean: 4.389 %
median: 3.009 %
low: -7.355 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum indicators and moving-average alignment favor continued extension in the near term, but positive MRO and elevated valuation compress upside and raise the probability of a corrective pullback. Expect volatility to skew to the upside while the ADX remains strong, with any meaningful selling likely to move price toward its shorter-term averages. Monitor whether MACD momentum sustains above its signal line; a loss of that support would materially increase the chance of mean reversion within the six-week window.

About Motorola Solutions, Inc.

Motorola Solutions, Inc. (NYSE:MSI) designs and delivers public safety and enterprise security solutions across the globe, including the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. The company operates through two primary segments: Products and Systems Integration, and Software and Services. The Products and Systems Integration segment provides a comprehensive range of devices and infrastructure, including two-way radios, video security devices, and communication network solutions. This segment also handles the implementation and integration of these systems for government, public safety, and commercial clients managing private communication networks and video security solutions. The Software and Services segment offers command center software, unified communications applications, and mobile video solutions. It also provides repair, technical support, maintenance, monitoring, software updates, and cybersecurity services. Motorola Solutions caters to industries such as hospitality, manufacturing, military and defense, public safety, mining, oil and gas, transportation, logistics, and utilities. Founded in 1928 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, Motorola Solutions continues to support critical communication needs worldwide.



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