Vishay Precision Group, Inc (NYSE:VPG) Poised For Near-Term Pullback Despite Strong Momentum

Momentum indicators point to continued upside pressure, yet valuation and MRO suggest increased risk of mean reversion; fundamentals show margin improvement and ample liquidity but free cash flow remains negative.

Recent News

On December 21, 2025 the company received inclusion in the S&P Technology Hardware Select Industry Index, increasing passive-fund exposure and index visibility; on December 5, 2025 VPG published a refreshed investor presentation outlining growth strategy and market applications across sensing, weighing, and measurement systems.

Technical Analysis

ADX registered at 48.91, indicating very strong directional strength and an overextended trending environment; that strength increases the probability of a continuation move in the short term but raises reversion risk if momentum stalls.

DI+ sits at 35.43 and trends increasing while DI- equals 9.84 and trends decreasing, which represents a clear bullish directional setup and reinforces price bias toward higher levels for now.

MACD equals 3.51 and the MACD line trades above the signal line (MACD signal 2.77); the MACD trend increases, a bullish momentum confirmation that supports additional upside in the immediate term.

MRO reads 35.85 and trends increasing; because the MRO is positive, price presently sits above the model target and therefore carries elevated risk of downward adjustment toward fair-value anchors despite ongoing momentum.

RSI at 64.96 and rising shows constructive momentum without severe overbought levels, though proximity to 70 signals diminishing margin for further uninterrupted gains; price trading above the 12-day EMA ($50.79) and the 20/50/200-day averages ($49.42, $41.92, $32.48 respectively) confirms price leadership versus moving averages.

Price interaction with Bollinger bands places the close ($55.07) above the 1x upper band ($54.24) but below the 2x upper band ($59.06), indicating stretched short-term positioning while leaving room for a controlled continuation or a mean-reversion event toward the mid-$40s; the super trend lower support sits near $48.44 and will act as a short-term technical support reference. Beta measures (42‑day 1.86; 52‑week 1.90) underline elevated volatility relative to the market.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue shows mixed timing: YoY revenue growth equals -3.88% while quarter-over-quarter revenue growth equals 27.46%, signaling recent acceleration against a weaker annual comparison.

Profitability improved: EBIT margin equals 12.94%, up 5.73 percentage points QoQ and up 7.21 percentage points YoY; that margin sits below the industry peer mean of 16.76% and the industry peer median of 17.43% but clearly above the industry peer low. EBITDA totals $14,307,000 and operating margin equals 6.04% with operating margin QoQ up 0.57 percentage points, supporting the recent upward margin trajectory.

Earnings per share came in at $0.26 versus an estimate of $0.20, a $0.06 beat representing a 30% positive surprise; forward EPS equals $0.264 and forward P/E equals 109.09, leaving trailing P/E near $124.98—both multiples trade above the industry peer mean P/E of 99.32, indicating premium valuation on earnings expectations.

Liquidity and leverage present a conservative profile: cash and short-term investments total $86,253,000, current ratio equals 4.10 and quick ratio equals 2.71; total debt equals $43,832,000 and debt-to-assets equals 9.48%, which sits well below the industry peer mean debt-to-assets of 25.08%. Interest coverage equals 24.28x, above the industry peer mean of 15.27x, reducing near-term solvency risk.

Cash generation remains a constraining factor: free cash flow equals -$3,450,000 and free cash flow yield equals -0.8%, while operating cash flow equals -$1,257,000; negative free cash flow and recent operating cash outflow limit margin of safety despite strong cash balances. Return on equity equals 2.33% and return on assets equals 1.69%, both modest given the company’s capital base.

Valuation summary: WMDST values the stock as over‑valued. The valuation outcome reflects high earnings multiples (trailing and forward P/E above the industry peer mean), negative free cash flow, and a price near the 52‑week high ($56.13). Margin improvements, an EPS beat, strong liquidity, and low leverage support fundamental durability but do not offset the stretched market multiples.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-04
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-03
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 90.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow -1.26 M
 Capital Expenditures -2.19 M
 Change In Working Capital -7.28 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -4.12 M
 End Period Cash Flow 86.3 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 79.7 M
 Forward Revenue 8.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 47.6 M
 Depreciation 3.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 4.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 74.9 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 32.1 M
 EBITDA 14.3 M
 EBIT 10.3 M
 Operating Income 4.8 M
 Interest Income 489.0 K
 Interest Expense 425.0 K
 Net Interest Income 64.0 K
 Income Before Tax 9.9 M
 Tax Provision 2.0 M
 Tax Rate 19.8 %
 Net Income 7.9 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 7.9 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.20
 EPS Actual 0.26
 EPS Difference 0.06
 EPS Surprise 30.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.26
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 462.3 M
 Intangible Assets 86.4 M
 Net Tangible Assets 251.3 M
 Total Current Assets 252.3 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 86.3 M
 Cash 86.3 M
 Net Receivables 59.6 M
 Inventory 86.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 24.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 10.8 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 61.5 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 43.8 M
 Total Liabilities 124.5 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 337.8 M
 Retained Earnings 199.1 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 25.44
 Shares Outstanding 13.279 M
 Revenue Per-Share 6.00
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 431.5 M
 Enterprise Value 389.1 M
 Enterprise Multiple 27.194
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -55.66 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -47.017 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 230.414
median: 74.716
mean: 63.105
VPG: 27.194
low: -236.709
 EV/R 4.88
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.369
 Asset To Liability 3.713
 Debt To Capital 0.115
 Debt To Assets 0.095
Debt To Assets QoQ -19.836 %
Debt To Assets YoY 982.306 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.788
median: 0.28
mean: 0.251
VPG: 0.095
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.13
Debt To Equity QoQ -21.938 %
Debt To Equity YoY 958.483 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.012
median: 0.644
mean: 0.599
VPG: 0.13
low: -1.286
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.278
Price To Book QoQ 17.413 %
Price To Book YoY 24.557 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 15.545
mean: 6.807
median: 5.079
VPG: 1.278
low: -8.049
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 124.976
Price To Earnings QoQ -20.172 %
Price To Earnings YoY -7.296 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 383.521
VPG: 124.976
median: 99.818
mean: 99.325
low: -251.079
 PE/G Ratio 2.361
 Price To Sales (P/S) 5.412
Price To Sales QoQ 12.875 %
Price To Sales YoY 20.86 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 57.726
mean: 16.302
median: 15.795
VPG: 5.412
low: 0.0
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 109.089
Forward PE/G 2.061
Forward P/S 47.889
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 100.975
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.172
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.107 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 4.991 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.503
mean: 0.197
median: 0.19
VPG: 0.172
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 1.429
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.828 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -3.062 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.347
mean: 1.504
VPG: 1.429
median: 1.405
low: 0.271
 Inventory Turnover 0.553
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.557 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 8.408 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.365
median: 1.117
mean: 1.032
VPG: 0.553
low: 0.134
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 63.86
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 218.608
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 1.518 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -1.254 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 384.751
VPG: 218.608
mean: 106.28
median: 85.242
low: -90.357
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.418
 CapEx To Revenue -0.028
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.73
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 358.3 M
 Net Invested Capital 358.3 M
 Invested Capital 358.3 M
 Net Tangible Assets 251.3 M
 Net Working Capital 190.8 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.403
 Current Ratio 4.103
Current Ratio QoQ -5.713 %
Current Ratio YoY -6.882 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 8.726
VPG: 4.103
mean: 2.292
median: 2.07
low: 0.373
 Quick Ratio 2.705
Quick Ratio QoQ -5.609 %
Quick Ratio YoY -3.408 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 6.406
VPG: 2.705
mean: 1.534
median: 1.388
low: 0.295
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 3.064
 Cost Of Debt 0.689 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 24.278
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 823.424 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 1217.583 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 93.794
VPG: 24.278
mean: 15.274
median: 14.249
low: -113.26
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.082
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 21.634
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.695 %
 Revenue Growth 6.076 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 27.46 %
Revenue Growth YoY -387.962 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 68.321 %
median: 6.163 %
VPG: 6.076 %
mean: 6.032 %
low: -44.732 %
 Earnings Growth 52.941 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -115.441 %
Earnings Growth YoY -236.763 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 164.706 %
VPG: 52.941 %
median: 14.085 %
mean: 9.393 %
low: -200.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 40.293 %
Gross Margin QoQ -1.012 %
Gross Margin YoY 0.836 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 97.907 %
VPG: 40.293 %
mean: 38.69 %
median: 38.088 %
low: -43.101 %
 EBIT Margin 12.942 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 572.661 %
EBIT Margin YoY 720.672 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 44.499 %
median: 17.428 %
mean: 16.764 %
VPG: 12.942 %
low: -228.471 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 6.038 %
Return On Sales QoQ 57.486 %
Return On Sales YoY 282.879 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 44.617 %
median: 17.308 %
mean: 16.375 %
VPG: 6.038 %
low: -228.471 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -3.45 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.8 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -161.209 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 3.627 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 2.804 %
median: 0.858 %
mean: 0.661 %
VPG: -0.8 %
low: -13.716 %
 Free Cash Growth -173.264 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -770.474 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 12.606 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 288.449 %
median: 8.386 %
mean: -14.565 %
VPG: -173.264 %
low: -351.784 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.439
 Cash Flow Margin 6.314 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.641
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.694 %
Return On Assets QoQ 3037.037 %
Return On Assets YoY -680.137 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.668 %
mean: 2.325 %
median: 1.803 %
VPG: 1.694 %
low: -24.617 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.574 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.023
Return On Equity QoQ 3002.667 %
Return On Equity YoY -668.949 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.191
mean: 0.053
median: 0.046
VPG: 0.023
low: -0.264
 DuPont ROE 2.349 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.309 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 633.016 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -288.49 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 9.897 %
mean: 3.35 %
median: 2.735 %
VPG: 2.309 %
low: -14.977 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical and fundamental signals outline two plausible near-term pathways. Scenario A: bullish continuation—strong ADX, rising DI+, MACD above its signal line, and upward EMAs can sustain momentum toward the analyst mean target area near the low‑$60s, with intraday volatility expected given elevated beta. Scenario B: mean reversion—positive MRO and valuation stretched relative to earnings and free cash flow increase the odds of a pullback into the mid‑$40s where the 20‑day average and super trend support converge; RSI momentum would likely cool during such a rebalancing.

Over the next six weeks, traders should expect choppy price action with sizing and volatility considerations appropriate to the stock’s beta; the technical setup favors continuation while valuation and cash‑flow dynamics raise the probability of a corrective leg if momentum weakens.

About Vishay Precision Group, Inc.

Vishay Precision Group, Inc. (NYSE:VPG) designs, manufactures, and markets high-performance sensors, weighing solutions, and measurement systems. Headquartered in Malvern, Pennsylvania, the company operates through three primary segments: Sensors, Weighing Solutions, and Measurement Systems. VPG’s diverse product portfolio includes precision resistors, strain gages, load cells, and force measurement transducers. The company also develops on-board weighing systems, process weighing products, rolling force measuring load cell systems, and pressure transmitters. Additionally, VPG produces web tension measurement load cells, optical strip width gages, laser velocimeters, and closed-loop crop optimization control systems. VPG serves a wide range of industries, including waste management, bulk hauling, logging, pharmaceutical, oil, chemical, steel, paper, and food industries, as well as test and measurement, medical, construction, agricultural, and consumer markets. The company markets its products under various brands such as Alpha Electronics, Powertron, Vishay Foil Resistors, Micro-Measurements, and others. Since its incorporation in 2009, Vishay Precision Group has established a global presence, with operations in the United States, Israel, the United Kingdom, Europe, Asia, and Canada.



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