Aeva Technologies, Inc (NYSE:AEVA) Secures NVIDIA Tie‑Up, Driving Near‑Term Commercial Momentum

Aeva’s selection for NVIDIA’s DRIVE Hyperion and the launch of a compact Omni sensor sharpen near‑term commercial catalysts. Robust cash reserves contrast with persistent operating losses, creating a valuation tension.

Recent News

On January 5, 2026 Aeva announced selection of its FMCW 4D LiDAR as the reference LiDAR sensor for NVIDIA’s DRIVE Hyperion platform, presented at CES 2026; the companies target production vehicle programs for 2028. The company also unveiled the Omni short‑range 4D LiDAR at CES and announced early‑customer pilots and manufacturing partnership commitments. Aeva set its fourth‑quarter and full‑year 2025 results release and conference call for February 26, 2026. Market coverage noted a sharp intraday share gain following the NVIDIA announcement and an upgraded Relative Strength rating in February.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show an emerging trend: ADX at 20.8 signals an emerging market direction while DI+ exhibits a dip‑and‑reversal and DI‑ shows a peak‑and‑reversal; both patterns imply a shift toward bullish directional strength that supports the recent momentum tied to partnership news.

MACD reads negative at -0.70 with a dip‑and‑reversal pattern; despite MACD remaining below the signal line (-0.24), the reversal morphology indicates bullish momentum attempting to reassert after prior weakness, suggesting momentum could continue to firm if the MACD moves above the signal line.

MRO stands at 11.04 (positive), indicating the current price sits above the model target and therefore carries measurable mean‑reversion downside risk relative to that target; the magnitude denotes material but not extreme pressure toward normalization.

RSI at 48.34 with a dip‑and‑reversal signals recovery from softer short‑term momentum while remaining near neutral; this supports a technical environment where headline catalysts can push momentum without the market being overbought.

Price sits at $14.00, just above the 12‑day EMA ($13.76) but below the 20‑day ($14.11), 50‑day ($14.86) and 200‑day ($16.84) averages; Ichimoku lines place Tenkan at $15.89 and Kijun at $16.91 with the cloud edges near $14.05–$14.74, so the price trades marginally below the cloud, implying technical resistance near short‑term conversion and baseline levels. Bollinger bands range roughly $11.80–$16.42, placing the current price toward the middle band and consistent with consolidation following the CES headline run. Elevated short‑term volatility and high betas (42‑day β 3.84; 52‑week β 2.59) increase event sensitivity and amplify directional moves around news and earnings events.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $3,579,000; YoY revenue growth shows the provided YoY figure at -396.37% while the period growth figure reads -35.06%, both indicating revenue contraction on one or more measurement bases. Gross profit registered $430,000 with a gross margin of 12.02% and gross margin trends show QoQ and YoY declines in the supplied figures.

Operating performance remains negative: EBIT $-33,161,000 and EBITDA $-31,053,000 produce an EBIT (operating) margin of -9.27%, which falls below the industry peer mean (16.76%) and the industry peer median (17.43%), placing the company in the lower portion of the industry peer range for operating profitability. The EBIT margin improved QoQ by 46.21% in the supplied QoQ metric but lags year‑over‑year where the supplied figure shows a sizable decline.

EPS came in at $-0.46 versus an estimate of $-0.45, an EPS surprise of -2.22%. Market multiples show elevated investor expectations: price‑to‑book at 30.24 versus an industry peer mean of 6.77 and median of 5.08, and price‑to‑sales at 280.68 versus an industry peer mean near 16.29—both ratios sit well above peer central tendencies. Forward P/E and PEG metrics remain negative, reflecting loss‑making forward estimates and growth adjustments in the supplied data.

Liquidity and balance sheet position appear strong: cash and short‑term investments $48,888,000, current ratio 3.18 and quick ratio 2.95, with total debt modest at $6,124,000 and debt‑to‑assets roughly 6.6%. Operating cash flow and free cash flow were negative for the period ($-32,312,000 operating cash flow; $-33,586,000 free cash flow), though end‑period cash increased relative to the beginning balance, producing a positive cash flow delta of $23,945,000 in the supplied figures.

R&D remains a material expense at $22,164,000, supporting product and manufacturing scale ambitions that underpinned recent commercial announcements. WMDST values the stock as over‑valued; the valuation conclusion aligns with elevated market multiples versus weak operating profitability and ongoing negative cash flow despite a sizable cash buffer.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 21.7 M
 Operating Cash Flow -32.31 M
 Capital Expenditures -1.27 M
 Change In Working Capital -9.54 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 23.9 M
 End Period Cash Flow 45.7 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 3.6 M
 Forward Revenue -224.46 K
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 3.1 M
 Depreciation 1.4 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 2.1 M
 Research and Development 22.2 M
 Total Operating Expenses 36.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 430.0 K
 EBITDA -31.05 M
 EBIT -33.16 M
 Operating Income -33.16 M
 Interest Income 385.0 K
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 385.0 K
 Income Before Tax 107.6 M
 Tax Provision 66.0 K
 Tax Rate 0.061 %
 Net Income 107.5 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 107.5 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.45
 EPS Actual -0.46
 EPS Difference -0.01
 EPS Surprise -2.222 %
 Forward EPS -0.45
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 92.8 M
 Intangible Assets 1.1 M
 Net Tangible Assets 32.2 M
 Total Current Assets 66.4 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 48.9 M
 Cash 45.7 M
 Net Receivables 1.9 M
 Inventory 4.9 M
 Long-Term Investments 13.0 K
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 4.4 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 20.9 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 6.1 M
 Total Liabilities 59.6 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 33.2 M
 Retained Earnings -731.98 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 0.55
 Shares Outstanding 60.008 M
 Revenue Per-Share 0.06
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.0 B
 Enterprise Value 961.8 M
 Enterprise Multiple -30.973
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 6.583 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 1908.806 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 230.414
median: 74.716
mean: 63.245
AEVA: -30.973
low: -236.709
 EV/R 268.732
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.794
 Asset To Liability 1.558
 Debt To Capital 0.156
 Debt To Assets 0.066
Debt To Assets QoQ 229.291 %
Debt To Assets YoY 229.785 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.788
median: 0.28
mean: 0.251
AEVA: 0.066
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.184
Debt To Equity QoQ -1292.497 %
Debt To Equity YoY 603.933 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.012
median: 0.644
mean: 0.6
AEVA: 0.184
low: -1.286
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 30.241
Price To Book QoQ -458.359 %
Price To Book YoY 1997.219 %
Price To Book IPRWA AEVA: 30.241
high: 14.439
mean: 6.769
median: 5.079
low: -7.378
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -36.392
Price To Earnings QoQ -26.999 %
Price To Earnings YoY 635.742 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 359.865
median: 99.818
mean: 99.452
AEVA: -36.392
low: -251.079
 PE/G Ratio -8.007
 Price To Sales (P/S) 280.68
Price To Sales QoQ 55.1 %
Price To Sales YoY 238.824 %
Price To Sales IPRWA AEVA: 280.68
high: 57.726
mean: 16.293
median: 15.795
low: 0.0
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -30.828
Forward PE/G -6.783
Forward P/S -3640.156
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 0.144
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.039
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -27.38 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 217.633 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.503
mean: 0.197
median: 0.19
AEVA: 0.039
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 1.225
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -48.075 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -61.363 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.347
mean: 1.504
median: 1.405
AEVA: 1.225
low: 0.271
 Inventory Turnover 0.732
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -66.485 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -36.908 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.365
median: 1.117
mean: 1.032
AEVA: 0.732
low: 0.134
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 74.474
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 71.159
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 246.893 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 4660.176 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 384.751
mean: 106.431
median: 85.242
AEVA: 71.159
low: -90.357
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.079
 CapEx To Revenue -0.356
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.905
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 33.2 M
 Net Invested Capital 33.2 M
 Invested Capital 33.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 32.2 M
 Net Working Capital 45.6 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.342
 Current Ratio 3.183
Current Ratio QoQ 392.578 %
Current Ratio YoY -26.345 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 8.726
AEVA: 3.183
mean: 2.292
median: 2.07
low: 0.373
 Quick Ratio 2.946
Quick Ratio QoQ 381.679 %
Quick Ratio YoY -30.82 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 6.406
AEVA: 2.946
mean: 1.532
median: 1.388
low: 0.295
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -0.197
 Cost Of Debt 0.251 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -3316.1
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -5.045 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -12.449 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 93.794
mean: 15.922
median: 15.13
low: -89.6
AEVA: -3316.1
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 5.265
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 51.029
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.806 %
 Revenue Growth -35.057 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -155.097 %
Revenue Growth YoY -396.365 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 56.746 %
median: 6.163 %
mean: 6.106 %
AEVA: -35.057 %
low: -44.732 %
 Earnings Growth 4.545 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -304.545 %
Earnings Growth YoY -80.072 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
median: 14.085 %
mean: 9.44 %
AEVA: 4.545 %
low: -200.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 12.015 %
Gross Margin QoQ -124.344 %
Gross Margin YoY -137.495 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 97.907 %
mean: 38.738 %
median: 38.088 %
AEVA: 12.015 %
low: -43.101 %
 EBIT Margin -926.544 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 46.213 %
EBIT Margin YoY -44.959 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 44.499 %
median: 17.428 %
mean: 16.761 %
low: -228.471 %
AEVA: -926.544 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -926.544 %
Return On Sales QoQ 46.213 %
Return On Sales YoY -44.959 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 44.617 %
median: 17.308 %
mean: 16.447 %
low: -181.737 %
AEVA: -926.544 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -33.59 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -3.343 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 6.908 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -76.425 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 2.804 %
median: 0.858 %
mean: 0.667 %
AEVA: -3.343 %
low: -13.716 %
 Free Cash Growth 7.682 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -4039.487 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -165.462 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 288.449 %
median: 8.386 %
AEVA: 7.682 %
mean: -14.735 %
low: -351.784 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.312
 Cash Flow Margin 3070.215 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.022
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 116.878 %
Return On Assets QoQ -162.367 %
Return On Assets YoY -673.888 %
Return On Assets IPRWA AEVA: 116.878 %
high: 6.668 %
mean: 2.324 %
median: 1.803 %
low: -24.617 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -46.105 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 3.236
Return On Equity QoQ 98.42 %
Return On Equity YoY -1218.541 %
Return On Equity IPRWA AEVA: 3.236
high: 0.191
mean: 0.053
median: 0.046
low: -0.264
 DuPont ROE -253.013 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -99.767 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -527.359 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -538.228 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 9.897 %
mean: 3.362 %
median: 2.735 %
low: -12.328 %
AEVA: -99.767 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect elevated intraday and event‑driven volatility over the next six weeks as the market digests integration details with NVIDIA and awaits the company’s fourth‑quarter and full‑year 2025 results on February 26, 2026. Technical indicators point to an emerging bullish bias from directional and momentum reversals, but MRO’s positive reading and the price sitting below longer moving averages introduce measurable downside pressure to the WMDST target; liquidity levels reduce immediate solvency risk but do not eliminate headline sensitivity. Traders should monitor momentum confirmation (MACD progression relative to its signal), movement through the 20–50‑day averages, and any operational detail released at the Feb. 26 call.

About Aeva Technologies, Inc.

Aeva Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:AEVA) is at the forefront of revolutionizing sensing systems with its advanced LiDAR technology. Established in 2017 and headquartered in Mountain View, California, Aeva is dedicated to transforming how machines perceive the world, offering groundbreaking solutions that enhance autonomy and perception across a multitude of sectors globally. Aeva’s proprietary technology leverages frequency modulated continuous wave (FMCW) to create state-of-the-art 4D LiDAR systems. Their flagship product, Aeries II, is engineered for automotive-grade production, providing unparalleled perception capabilities for passenger vehicles, trucking, and broader mobility applications. This sophisticated system integrates seamlessly with embedded software, delivering precise and reliable data crucial for autonomous driving and advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS). In addition to Aeries II, Aeva offers Atlas, another 4D LiDAR system that excels in simultaneous velocity and range detection. While primarily designed for the automotive industry, Aeva’s versatile technology is also making significant inroads in industrial automation, consumer electronics, and security sectors. Aeva Technologies is committed to pushing the boundaries of LiDAR innovation, driving forward the capabilities of autonomous systems and reshaping the future of technology across diverse industries.



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