TE Connectivity Ltd. (NYSE:TEL) Shows Short-Term Technical Weakness Against Fair-Valued Fundamentals

Technical indicators point to near-term pressure while operational margins and cash generation underpin a fair valuation. Earnings and corporate actions over the past quarter reinforce underlying cash flow and margin strength.

Recent News

Dec. 17, 2025 — Board declared a $0.71 quarterly cash dividend payable March 13, 2026, record date Feb. 20, 2026. Dec. 1, 2025 — Company scheduled the annual general meeting for March 11, 2026. Nov. 20, 2025 — Investor Day outlined multi-year revenue targets and growth catalysts in AI and energy infrastructure. Jan. 26, 2026 — Subsidiary priced $750 million aggregate senior notes across 2031 and 2036 maturities.

Technical Analysis

ADX stands at 22.63, indicating an emerging trend; that strength level suggests momentum exists but lacks the conviction of a strong directional move, which tempers immediate breakout expectations relative to the current fair valuation.

DI+ reads 17.85 and is decreasing, a bearish directional signal; DI- at 32.62 shows a dip-and-reversal, which by definition signals bearish pressure—together these directional indicators point toward downside bias into near-term trading ranges.

MACD equals -3.56 and the MACD trend is decreasing; MACD remains below its signal line (-1.83), indicating ongoing bearish momentum rather than a bullish cross that would support a sustained re-acceleration versus valuation.

MRO at 10.89 sits positive with a peak-and-reversal pattern, implying price currently trades above a modeled target and carries a readjustment risk that reinforces short-term downside potential against the company’s intrinsic-value assessment.

RSI at 48.88 and trending downward reflects neutral-to-slightly-bearish short-term momentum, consistent with price trading beneath short-term exponential moving averages and near the lower Bollinger band, which increases the likelihood of continued consolidation below recent averages.

Price sits below the 20-day average ($224.32) and the 12-day EMA ($222.17) is decreasing while the 26-day EMA ($226.32) remains above; the configuration indicates short-term weakness against longer short-to-intermediate trend averages. Price trades marginally beneath the 1x lower Bollinger band ($216.52), and ichimoku Kijun-sen ($224.94) also lies above the last close, reinforcing short-term resistance overhead. Short-term volatility has risen: 42-day beta 1.87 versus 52-week beta 1.27, pointing to intensified sensitivity to market moves in the coming weeks.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings and revenue: Reported diluted EPS from continuing operations of $2.53 exceeded the estimate of $2.41 by $0.12, an EPS surprise of 4.98%. Net sales registered roughly $4.7 billion year-over-year growth of 22% per the recent report, while orders showed notable sequential strength; those operational results support the earnings beat and cash generation profile.

Profitability and margins: EBIT equals $991 million, producing an EBIT margin of 21.23%, which sits above the industry peer mean (14.12%) and the industry peer median (12.69%), and below the industry peer high (24.67%). Operating margin stands at 20.90% with year-over-year expansion of 12.62 percentage points, reinforcing margin leverage despite mixed top-line dynamics.

Valuation multiples: P/E equals 84.47; that P/E lies below the industry peer mean (119.11) but above the industry peer median (75.28). Price-to-book equals 5.20, which exceeds the industry peer mean (4.47) and median (3.92) while remaining under the industry peer high (7.48). WMDST values the stock as fair-valued, with an enterprise value-to-revenue and enterprise multiple consistent with that assessment.

Cash flow and balance sheet: Operating cash flow reached $819 million and free cash flow totaled $607 million, producing a free cash flow yield of 0.90%, which exceeds the industry peer mean (0.49%). Net debt sits near $4.457 billion with an interest coverage ratio of 33.03, indicating ample coverage for interest obligations. Current and quick ratios of 1.65 and 1.07 respectively show adequate short-term liquidity relative to operating needs.

Capital allocation: Dividend payout ratio equals 27.87% with a dividend rate near $0.71 per share; dividend coverage equals 3.59. The company also recently issued senior notes totaling $750 million, indicating continued debt-market access for financing strategic activity while maintaining cash returns to shareholders.

Summary valuation note: Strong margins, robust order flow tied to AI and energy applications, and positive free cash flow support the WMDST fair-valued designation, even as elevated short-term multiples versus some medians and recent technical weakness introduce near-term market-risk to that valuation.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-01-21
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-04-22
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.3 B
 Operating Cash Flow 819.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -258.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -358.00 M
 Dividends Paid -209.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -4.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.3 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 4.7 B
 Forward Revenue 1.4 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 2.9 B
 Depreciation 259.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 259.0 M
 Research and Development 225.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 3.7 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.7 B
 EBITDA 1.2 B
 EBIT 991.0 M
 Operating Income 976.0 M
 Interest Income 25.0 M
 Interest Expense 30.0 M
 Net Interest Income -5.00 M
 Income Before Tax 961.0 M
 Tax Provision 210.0 M
 Tax Rate 21.852 %
 Net Income 750.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 751.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.41
 EPS Actual 2.53
 EPS Difference 0.12
 EPS Surprise 4.979 %
 Forward EPS 3.09
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 25.6 B
 Intangible Assets 9.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets 3.6 B
 Total Current Assets 8.4 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.3 B
 Cash 1.3 B
 Net Receivables 3.5 B
 Inventory 3.0 B
 Long-Term Investments 1.0 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 2.1 B
 Short-Term Debt 852.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 5.1 B
 Net Debt 4.5 B
 Total Debt 5.7 B
 Total Liabilities 12.4 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 13.0 B
 Retained Earnings 14.5 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 44.22
 Shares Outstanding 293.710 M
 Revenue Per-Share 15.90
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 67.5 B
 Enterprise Value 71.9 B
 Enterprise Multiple 57.553
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 0.313 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 18.578 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 173.201
mean: 88.184
median: 72.65
TEL: 57.553
low: 29.323
 EV/R 15.408
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.968
 Asset To Liability 2.058
 Debt To Capital 0.305
 Debt To Assets 0.223
Debt To Assets QoQ -3.732 %
Debt To Assets YoY 444.854 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.364
median: 0.235
TEL: 0.223
mean: 0.186
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.44
Debt To Equity QoQ -4.96 %
Debt To Equity YoY 492.824 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 0.878
TEL: 0.44
median: 0.415
mean: 0.384
low: 0.002
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 5.196
Price To Book QoQ 4.529 %
Price To Book YoY 46.816 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 7.479
TEL: 5.196
mean: 4.47
median: 3.918
low: 0.82
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 84.472
Price To Earnings QoQ -2.957 %
Price To Earnings YoY 12.053 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 338.434
mean: 119.106
TEL: 84.472
median: 75.281
low: 32.203
 PE/G Ratio 7.361
 Price To Sales (P/S) 14.454
Price To Sales QoQ 9.716 %
Price To Sales YoY 26.241 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 21.289
median: 19.846
mean: 16.869
TEL: 14.454
low: 0.641
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 73.855
Forward PE/G 6.436
Forward P/S 47.808
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -4.167
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.184
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -3.013 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 8.885 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.494
mean: 0.196
TEL: 0.184
median: 0.129
low: 0.094
 Receivables Turnover 1.359
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.228 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 5.686 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.536
mean: 1.626
median: 1.619
TEL: 1.359
low: 0.985
 Inventory Turnover 1.037
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -7.145 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 7.571 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.59
TEL: 1.037
mean: 0.815
median: 0.611
low: 0.172
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 67.153
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 89.012
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 0.28 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -8.51 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 281.301
mean: 124.964
median: 120.455
TEL: 89.012
low: 57.092
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.415
 CapEx To Revenue -0.055
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.996
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 17.8 B
 Net Invested Capital 18.7 B
 Invested Capital 18.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 3.6 B
 Net Working Capital 3.3 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.247
 Current Ratio 1.651
Current Ratio QoQ 6.103 %
Current Ratio YoY -1.794 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.175
mean: 2.367
median: 2.35
TEL: 1.651
low: 1.243
 Quick Ratio 1.069
Quick Ratio QoQ 3.883 %
Quick Ratio YoY -2.447 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 3.104
median: 1.783
mean: 1.638
TEL: 1.069
low: 0.65
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 4.566
 Cost Of Debt 0.373 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 33.033
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 3.452 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -72.163 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 164.603
TEL: 33.033
mean: 9.01
median: 4.657
low: -1.224
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.162
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 61.592
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 3.589
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.279
 Dividend Rate 0.71
 Dividend Yield 0.003
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.878 %
 Revenue Growth -1.685 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -135.534 %
Revenue Growth YoY -70.454 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 24.001 %
mean: 7.95 %
median: 6.592 %
low: -0.442 %
TEL: -1.685 %
 Earnings Growth 11.475 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 53.225 %
Earnings Growth YoY -211.886 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 115.385 %
TEL: 11.475 %
mean: 4.333 %
median: -13.793 %
low: -75.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 37.246 %
Gross Margin QoQ 6.554 %
Gross Margin YoY 5.054 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 87.538 %
mean: 39.358 %
TEL: 37.246 %
median: 36.949 %
low: 7.598 %
 EBIT Margin 21.225 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 8.852 %
EBIT Margin YoY 14.353 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 24.665 %
TEL: 21.225 %
mean: 14.116 %
median: 12.691 %
low: -4.127 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 20.904 %
Return On Sales QoQ 5.72 %
Return On Sales YoY 12.623 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 24.313 %
TEL: 20.904 %
median: 11.783 %
mean: 11.37 %
low: -2.826 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 607.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.899 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -51.088 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -41.319 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.766 %
TEL: 0.899 %
median: 0.634 %
mean: 0.49 %
low: -0.372 %
 Free Cash Growth -47.217 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -334.13 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 150.914 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 65.022 %
mean: -22.566 %
median: -35.739 %
TEL: -47.217 %
low: -584.048 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.809
 Cash Flow Margin 17.541 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.092
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.962 %
Return On Assets QoQ 11.563 %
Return On Assets YoY 27.07 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.588 %
TEL: 2.962 %
median: 1.661 %
mean: 1.647 %
low: -0.609 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.838 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.058
Return On Equity QoQ 9.624 %
Return On Equity YoY 35.723 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.059
TEL: 0.058
mean: 0.028
median: 0.021
low: -0.01
 DuPont ROE 5.866 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.143 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 10.48 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -102.598 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 5.587 %
TEL: 4.143 %
mean: 2.516 %
median: 2.099 %
low: -0.399 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect continued short-term consolidation with downside bias while technical momentum remains negative; price currently trades under near-term EMAs and near the lower Bollinger band, increasing the likelihood of range-bound action or further retracement. Watch for stabilization above the 200-day average ($203.72) and any MACD reversal above its signal line for signs of resumed upward momentum. Operational metrics—order growth, margin expansion, and free cash flow—support the medium-term valuation, but short-term price action will likely reflect market volatility and rate-sensitive sector flows rather than changes in underlying fundamentals.

About TE Connectivity Ltd.

TE Connectivity Ltd. (NYSE:TEL) develops and manufactures connectivity and sensor solutions that serve a wide array of industries worldwide. The company operates through three main segments: Transportation Solutions, Industrial Solutions, and Communications Solutions. TE Connectivity produces a diverse range of products, including antennas, cable assemblies, connectors, fiber optics, heat shrink tubing, and sensors. Additionally, the company provides electromagnetic compatibility solutions, energy and power products, and wire protection and management solutions. TE Connectivity offers various services such as 3D printing for production, electrical installation training, and medical device design services. They also conduct automotive webinars and provide machine tooling service and repair. Their vast product and service offerings cater to industries including automotive, aerospace, data centers, energy solutions, industrial machinery, medical technologies, and more. Founded in 1941 and headquartered in Ballybrit, Ireland, TE Connectivity continues to support sectors like 5G and wireless equipment, automation and control, connected home, defense and military, and IoT connectivity, among others. The company, previously known as Tyco Electronics Ltd., rebranded to TE Connectivity plc in March 2011.



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