Howmet Aerospace Inc (NYSE:HWM) Accelerates Growth With Acquisition, Momentum Likely To Persist

Howmet’s recent dealmaking and corporate actions create a clear near-term operational catalyst, while valuation metrics reflect a material premium relative to peers. Technical momentum shows a bullish tilt but lacks trend strength, arguing for careful monitoring of confirmation signals.

Recent News

Dec. 22, 2025 — Howmet announced a definitive agreement to acquire Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing (CAM) from Stanley Black & Decker for approximately $1.8 billion in cash; Howmet expects CAM to add $485–$495 million in FY2026 revenue and deliver an adjusted EBITDA margin in excess of 20% before synergies. Jan. 15, 2026 — Howmet scheduled a webcast to announce fourth-quarter and full‑year 2025 results. Jan. 20, 2026 — the Board approved a common-stock dividend. Feb. 6, 2026 — Howmet announced a Technology and Markets Day to be held March 10, 2026.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+/DI-: ADX reads 18.87, indicating no established trend; DI+ shows a dip & reversal and DI- shows a peak & reversal, both per rules implying bullish directional posture. Together this pattern signals potential near-term upside momentum without confirmed trend strength, consistent with a setup that can fail absent follow-through.

MACD: MACD equals 1.14 with a dip & reversal, which indicates returning bullish momentum, but the MACD line still sits below the signal line at 1.81. Momentum has started to rebuild, yet the lack of a bullish MACD crossover keeps a full momentum confirmation pending.

MRO: MRO stands at 28.31 (positive), which indicates price sits above WMDST’s target and therefore carries a predisposition to mean-revert downward; the reading implies elevated potential for a corrective pullback if other momentum signals fade.

RSI and Price Structure: RSI 56.05 with a dip & reversal denotes mild bullish momentum. Price closed at $223.16 above the 20‑day average ($214.20), 50‑day average ($207.92) and 200‑day average ($187.26); the stock trades near its 52‑week high ($226.87) and inside the upper Bollinger band, suggesting upside pressure but limited near-term room before encountering the upper band and recent high.

Supporting levels: Ichimoku Tenkan and Kijun sit around $215.6, providing near-term dynamic support; the super-trend lower at $203.96 offers a structural support reference. Volatility and volume remain elevated versus longer-term averages, which should amplify directional moves but not substitute for trend confirmation.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: EBIT equals $532.0M and EBITDA equals $604.0M. EBIT margin registers 25.47%, above the industry peer mean of 10.11% and above the industry peer median of 12.71%, reflecting stronger operating profitability versus industry averages. Operating margin measures 25.95% and gross margin 31.21%; EBIT margin improved roughly 17.42% year‑over‑year on the supplied metric.

Earnings and cash flow: Reported EPS came in at $0.95 versus an estimate of $0.91, producing a $0.04 beat and an EPS surprise of 4.40%. Net income reached $385.0M while operating cash flow measured $531.0M and free cash flow totaled $423.0M. Free‑cash‑flow yield stands at 0.56%, a low cash yield relative to typical corporate benchmarks and below the industry peer mean for free‑cash‑flow yield provided.

Leverage and liquidity: Total debt sits at $3,352.0M with net debt of $2,530.0M and debt/EBITDA of 5.55x, signaling leveraged position by this metric. Interest coverage equals 14.38x, indicating ample ability to service interest despite the leverage level. Cash and short‑term investments total $659.0M and the current ratio reads 2.35 with a quick ratio of 1.14, supporting near‑term liquidity.

Growth and efficiency: Total revenue equals $2,089.0M. Revenue growth on the base metric shows 1.75%, while the supplied year‑over‑year growth figure reads as a large negative on the line item provided; earnings growth shows 4.40% while QoQ and YoY earnings-growth signals supplied indicate contraction on those specific measures. Asset turnover sits at 0.188, modestly above the industry peer mean of 0.167, indicating relatively low capital turnover but slightly better than the peer mean.

Valuation context: Price metrics show a P/E of 196.94, a price/book of 14.82 (above the industry peer mean of 5.61 and below the peer high), and a price/sales of 36.09. Forward P/E stands near 161.49 and forward PEG is elevated. The current valuation as determined by WMDST rates the stock over‑valued, consistent with stretched multiples versus peer averages and modest free‑cash yields.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-10-30
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-01-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 546.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 531.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -108.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 4.0 M
 Dividends Paid -48.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta 114.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 660.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 2.1 B
 Forward Revenue 608.7 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.4 B
 Depreciation 72.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 72.0 M
 Research and Development 10.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 1.5 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 652.0 M
 EBITDA 604.0 M
 EBIT 532.0 M
 Operating Income 542.0 M
 Interest Income 5.0 M
 Interest Expense 37.0 M
 Net Interest Income -32.00 M
 Income Before Tax 495.0 M
 Tax Provision 110.0 M
 Tax Rate 22.2 %
 Net Income 385.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 385.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.91
 EPS Actual 0.95
 EPS Difference 0.04
 EPS Surprise 4.396 %
 Forward EPS 1.11
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 11.2 B
 Intangible Assets 4.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 623.0 M
 Total Current Assets 3.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 659.0 M
 Cash 659.0 M
 Net Receivables 884.0 M
 Inventory 2.0 B
 Long-Term Investments 88.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 957.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 1.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.6 B
 Net Debt 2.5 B
 Total Debt 3.4 B
 Total Liabilities 6.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 5.1 B
 Retained Earnings 3.7 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 12.63
 Shares Outstanding 403.000 M
 Revenue Per-Share 5.18
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 75.4 B
 Enterprise Value 78.1 B
 Enterprise Multiple 129.29
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 2.251 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 53.879 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 142.731
HWM: 129.29
median: 60.834
mean: 46.479
low: -131.759
 EV/R 37.382
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.197
 Asset To Liability 1.852
 Debt To Capital 0.397
 Debt To Assets 0.3
Debt To Assets QoQ 1.678 %
Debt To Assets YoY -6.707 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.899
HWM: 0.3
mean: 0.293
median: 0.286
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 0.659
Debt To Equity QoQ 0.843 %
Debt To Equity YoY 299359.091 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.207
mean: 0.812
HWM: 0.659
median: 0.6
low: -1.213
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 14.819
Price To Book QoQ 5.395 %
Price To Book YoY 66.334 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 17.705
HWM: 14.819
mean: 5.613
median: 3.575
low: -7.624
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 196.939
Price To Earnings QoQ 4.546 %
Price To Earnings YoY 43.611 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 243.643
HWM: 196.939
mean: 80.208
median: 75.941
low: -135.508
 PE/G Ratio 44.8
 Price To Sales (P/S) 36.093
Price To Sales QoQ 5.676 %
Price To Sales YoY 67.133 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 70.781
HWM: 36.093
mean: 12.308
median: 9.371
low: 1.449
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 161.492
Forward PE/G 36.736
Forward P/S 123.875
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 2.812
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.188
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.101 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 8.79 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.384
HWM: 0.188
mean: 0.167
median: 0.138
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 2.358
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.983 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -3.247 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 7.156
mean: 3.325
HWM: 2.358
median: 2.304
low: 0.616
 Inventory Turnover 0.73
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.647 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 9.182 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 5.174
mean: 1.635
median: 1.095
HWM: 0.73
low: 0.036
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 38.702
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 100.871
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -0.597 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -2.497 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 356.665
mean: 114.245
HWM: 100.871
median: 75.673
low: -64.961
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.95
 CapEx To Revenue -0.052
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.5
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 8.3 B
 Net Invested Capital 8.3 B
 Invested Capital 8.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets 623.0 M
 Net Working Capital 2.2 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.406
 Current Ratio 2.353
Current Ratio QoQ 1.927 %
Current Ratio YoY 5.274 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 9.786
HWM: 2.353
mean: 1.611
median: 1.182
low: 0.407
 Quick Ratio 1.138
Quick Ratio QoQ 5.235 %
Quick Ratio YoY 15.925 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 5.116
HWM: 1.138
mean: 1.102
median: 0.966
low: 0.303
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 5.55
 Cost Of Debt 0.871 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 14.378
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 7.767 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 58.957 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 31.057
HWM: 14.378
median: 5.014
mean: 3.253
low: -123.353
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.233
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 63.156
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 8.021
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.125
 Dividend Rate 0.12
 Dividend Yield 0.001
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.186 %
 Revenue Growth 1.754 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -69.314 %
Revenue Growth YoY -173.266 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 60.971 %
mean: 3.028 %
median: 2.29 %
HWM: 1.754 %
low: -46.934 %
 Earnings Growth 4.396 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -24.389 %
Earnings Growth YoY -26.365 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 140.0 %
HWM: 4.396 %
median: 2.545 %
mean: 0.312 %
low: -116.667 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 31.211 %
Gross Margin QoQ 3.516 %
Gross Margin YoY -1.595 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 100.0 %
HWM: 31.211 %
mean: 21.655 %
median: 20.375 %
low: -39.082 %
 EBIT Margin 25.467 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 3.122 %
EBIT Margin YoY 17.419 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 58.23 %
HWM: 25.467 %
median: 12.705 %
mean: 10.11 %
low: -155.296 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 25.945 %
Return On Sales QoQ 3.627 %
Return On Sales YoY 19.623 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 57.493 %
HWM: 25.945 %
median: 11.15 %
mean: 8.196 %
low: -166.148 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 423.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.561 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 14.257 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 37.164 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 3.722 %
median: 1.51 %
mean: 1.251 %
HWM: 0.561 %
low: -6.506 %
 Free Cash Growth 22.965 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -85.346 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -143.633 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 251.349 %
median: 25.597 %
HWM: 22.965 %
mean: -3.378 %
low: -307.394 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.099
 Cash Flow Margin 18.143 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.984
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.465 %
Return On Assets QoQ -7.129 %
Return On Assets YoY 10.809 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 11.701 %
HWM: 3.465 %
median: 1.358 %
mean: 0.863 %
low: -17.358 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 5.57 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.076
Return On Equity QoQ -7.279 %
Return On Equity YoY 1.38 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.262
HWM: 0.076
mean: 0.06
median: 0.042
low: -0.285
 DuPont ROE 7.643 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 5.001 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -6.278 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -106.35 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 9.81 %
HWM: 5.001 %
median: 2.527 %
mean: 1.428 %
low: -16.009 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a range‑bound market structure with a modest bullish tilt driven by the CAM acquisition and recent dividend actions; momentum indicators show rebuilding strength but ADX under 20 signals trend weakness. A confirmed MACD crossover above its signal line would increase odds of sustained upside, while a persistent positive MRO and proximity to the upper Bollinger band raise the probability of a corrective retracement. Monitor confirmation of momentum and whether price sustains above dynamic supports near the Tenkan/Kijun levels for clarity; absent those confirmations, expect volatile, consolidation‑style action around recent highs.

About Howmet Aerospace Inc.

Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE:HWM) develops advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries. Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, the company operates globally, with a presence in the United States, Europe, Asia, and other regions. Howmet Aerospace structures its business into four main segments: Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. In the Engine Products segment, Howmet Aerospace creates airfoils and seamless rolled rings that are crucial for aircraft engines and industrial gas turbines. The Fastening Systems division manufactures durable fasteners for aerospace applications, as well as tools and components for commercial and industrial uses. The Engineered Structures segment focuses on producing titanium ingots, aluminum and nickel forgings, and precision-machined components for aerospace and defense sectors. The Forged Wheels segment delivers high-quality forged aluminum wheels designed for heavy-duty trucks and commercial transportation. Founded in 1888, Howmet Aerospace leverages its long-standing expertise and cutting-edge technology to meet the dynamic needs of its global clients, emphasizing excellence, innovation, and sustainability in its operations.



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