Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (NYSE:BBVA) Poised To Consolidate Gains After Record 2025 Profit

Momentum from strong 2025 cash generation and elevated buyback activity supports a near-term consolidation bias; technical momentum shows weakening and suggests range contraction before the next directional move.

Recent News

November 2025 buyback activity accelerated as the bank executed material share repurchases across mid-November, representing a sizable portion of the announced program; regulators and markets noted the bank’s resumed capital returns. February 5, 2026 corporate announcements set the cadence for investor communication and clarified capital-return intentions tied to the 2025 results.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show a strong trend context: ADX at 38.94 indicates a strong directional market; DI+ at 35.71 decreasing signals waning positive directional pressure, while DI- showing a dip-and-reversal indicates renewed negative directional pressure—together these point to growing directional strength but with bearish bias relative to recent valuation-driven gains.

Momentum measures confirm the shift: MACD at 0.51 has peaked and reversed and sits below its signal line (MACD signal 0.64), signaling declining bullish momentum and a bearish momentum posture for the near term.

Regression-based MRO reads +28.71 and is decreasing, indicating price trades above the model target with downside potential as momentum softens; the decreasing MRO reduces the scale of upside pressure implied by the oscillator.

RSI at 59.81 and falling indicates removal of short-term overbought pressure without reaching oversold territory; this supports a consolidation / controlled pullback outlook rather than a sharp reversal.

Price relationships show short-term weakness versus moving averages: last close $23.20 sits below the 20-day average $25.09 and marginally below the 50-day average $23.46, while remaining comfortably above the 200-day average $18.79—this pattern implies short-to-intermediate consolidation above the long-term trend line.

Bollinger band placement places the close beneath the 1x lower band level quoted, consistent with short-term vulnerability; volume of 5,530,778 versus a 10-day average of 2,058,724 and a 200-day average of 1,690,892 shows elevated trading activity accompanying the pause, increasing the likelihood of a decisive move once momentum re-accelerates.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings and profitability: last reported EPS $0.50 versus an estimate $0.51, an EPS surprise of -1.96%; forward EPS $0.51975 implies a forward P/E of 44.21x versus a trailing P/E of 37.75x, reflecting modest near-term earnings growth expectations and elevated forward multiple compression relative to trailing earnings.

Revenue and growth: reported total revenue $9,777,800,000 and revenue per share $1.69896. Revenue growth (reported label) reads 12.26%; reported revenue growth year-over-year converts to -187.27% per the supplied YoY figure; quarter-to-quarter revenue shows a -197.43% change per the supplied QoQ figure. Earnings growth shows +28.31% year-over-year with a QoQ reading of -292.43% per supplied values. Use these mixed pace signals together with margin and cash metrics when assessing near-term fundamental momentum.

Capital structure and liquidity: total assets $813,063,000,000, total equity $57,643,000,000, and cash $66,001,000,000. Debt-to-equity stands at 1.45893 and debt-to-assets at 10.343%; cost of debt about 7.172%. Tangible book value per share (book value) $10.02 supports a current P/B of 1.85x, which sits above the industry peer mean of 0.879 and above the industry peer median of 1.071, and falls within the peer range low $0.00041 to high $2.69728.

Cash generation and returns: operating cash flow $17,170,000,000, free cash flow $16,751,000,000, and free cash flow yield 15.73%, materially above the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 6.822%; free cash flow to net income shows 661.83%, underscoring strong conversion of reported earnings into cash. Return on equity 4.391% and return on assets 0.318%; ROE sits slightly below the industry peer mean of 4.706% when compared to the provided peer mean.

Valuation: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. That view aligns with high free cash flow yield, robust cash balances, and active capital returns (buybacks and elevated dividend announcements), while elevated multiples (forward P/E ~44x, trailing P/E ~37.8x) and mixed near-term growth metrics justify patience for fundamental confirmation.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-07
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 40.0 B
 Operating Cash Flow 17.2 B
 Capital Expenditures -419.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 13.5 B
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 17.1 B
 End Period Cash Flow 57.1 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 9.8 B
 Forward Revenue 2.9 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation 236.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 379.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT
 Operating Income
 Interest Income 14.8 B
 Interest Expense 8.1 B
 Net Interest Income 6.6 B
 Income Before Tax 3.9 B
 Tax Provision 1.2 B
 Tax Rate 31.179 %
 Net Income 2.5 B
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 2.7 B
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.51
 EPS Actual 0.50
 EPS Difference -0.01
 EPS Surprise -1.961 %
 Forward EPS 0.52
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 813.1 B
 Intangible Assets 2.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 55.0 B
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments
 Cash 66.0 B
 Net Receivables
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt 16.7 B
 Total Debt 84.1 B
 Total Liabilities 751.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 57.6 B
 Retained Earnings 54.4 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 10.02
 Shares Outstanding 5.755 B
 Revenue Per-Share 1.70
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 106.5 B
 Enterprise Value 190.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 19.489
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 14.105
 Asset To Liability 1.082
 Debt To Capital 0.593
 Debt To Assets 0.103
Debt To Assets QoQ 11.925 %
Debt To Assets YoY 18.192 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.253
mean: 0.173
median: 0.168
BBVA: 0.103
low: 0.006
 Debt To Equity 1.459
Debt To Equity QoQ 15.467 %
Debt To Equity YoY 14.61 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 4.219
median: 2.449
mean: 2.228
BBVA: 1.459
low: 0.06
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.847
Price To Book QoQ 9.503 %
Price To Book YoY 68.348 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 2.697
BBVA: 1.847
median: 1.071
mean: 0.879
low: 0.0
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 37.755
Price To Earnings QoQ 34.667 %
Price To Earnings YoY 79.642 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 81.671
median: 52.216
mean: 50.211
BBVA: 37.755
low: -0.125
 PE/G Ratio -5.003
 Price To Sales (P/S) 10.889
Price To Sales QoQ -1.059 %
Price To Sales YoY 63.571 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 26.376
BBVA: 10.889
median: 7.39
mean: 6.534
low: 0.005
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 44.212
Forward PE/G -5.858
Forward P/S 47.886
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.012
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 9.431 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 7.895 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.024
BBVA: 0.012
mean: 0.01
median: 0.01
low: 0.004
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 60.417
median: 29.484
mean: 29.061
low: 10.398
BBVA: 0
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue -0.043
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.775
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 140.3 B
 Net Invested Capital 140.3 B
 Invested Capital 140.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets 55.0 B
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 7.172 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 4.645 %
 Revenue Growth 12.262 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -197.433 %
Revenue Growth YoY -187.274 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 15.791 %
BBVA: 12.262 %
median: -5.459 %
mean: -7.2 %
low: -14.145 %
 Earnings Growth -7.547 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -292.427 %
Earnings Growth YoY 28.307 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 39.326 %
BBVA: -7.547 %
mean: -8.087 %
median: -16.667 %
low: -61.932 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 16.8 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield 15.733 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 317.986 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA BBVA: 15.733 %
high: 15.275 %
mean: 6.822 %
median: 6.127 %
low: -0.474 %
 Free Cash Growth
Free Cash Growth QoQ
Free Cash Growth YoY
Free Cash Growth IPRWA
 Free Cash To Net Income 6.618
 Cash Flow Margin 29.761 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.15
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.05
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.318 %
Return On Assets QoQ -10.423 %
Return On Assets YoY -7.558 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 0.582 %
mean: 0.378 %
median: 0.368 %
BBVA: 0.318 %
low: 0.079 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.044
Return On Equity QoQ -9.221 %
Return On Equity YoY -11.597 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.054
median: 0.052
mean: 0.047
BBVA: 0.044
low: -0.007
 DuPont ROE 4.422 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Expect range-bound action with a bias toward consolidation under current momentum conditions. Short-term technicals (MACD peak-and-reverse, falling RSI, decreasing DI+) point to controlled downside pressure; MRO positive suggests upside remains capped until momentum or fundamentals tighten. Elevated volumes during the recent pullback increase the chance of a decisive continuation or break once a catalyst (capital-return detail, currency swings, or regional macro headlines) appears. Swing traders should monitor DI+/DI- direction, MACD relative to its signal line, and whether price reclaims the 20-day average above $25 to confirm re-acceleration; failure to hold the 50-day average near $23.46 would increase the probability of deeper consolidation toward longer-term support near the 200-day average $18.79.

About Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (NYSE:BBVA) delivers a wide range of financial services globally, with its headquarters in Bilbao, Spain. Established in 1857, BBVA serves both retail and corporate clients across various regions, including Spain, the United States, Mexico, Turkey, and South America. The bank provides a comprehensive array of products, including savings and demand deposits, time deposits, residential mortgages, consumer finance, and credit card loans. In addition to retail banking, BBVA offers wholesale banking services, such as corporate and commercial banking, small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) solutions, and investment banking. The bank’s asset management services, along with insurance offerings like life and pension plans, further enhance its financial services portfolio. BBVA also provides leasing, factoring, and brokerage services. BBVA prioritizes digital transformation, offering robust online and mobile platforms to ensure seamless banking experiences. Through its commitment to innovation and customer-focused solutions, BBVA maintains its standing as a leading financial institution, dedicated to supporting economic growth and promoting financial inclusion worldwide.



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